NCAAF: Week Two Picks

[AGurv]

College Football 2012-2013 Overall 5W -3L +1.80 units 62.50% I made some mistakes this week. SC should have won by more then a TD. Umass was ****ty, and SMU was even ****tier. Pitt/Cinci - No play here, but hard to believe Cinci doesnt blow us out. Tino Sunseri is one of the worst QB's in Divison 1 history Mizzu +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Notre Dame -14.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Texas A and M ML -125 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes Northwestern +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[AGurv]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks Illinois +3.5 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes I hope Illinois crushes this game.

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks Cincinnati -6.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle Cincinnati did not play in the first week due to a bye but are coming off a very good 2011 season where they went 8-3. However they are without QB Collaros and RB Pead who were key weapons for them on offence. They will start Legaux at QB and with WRs McClung and Thompkins back from last year, they provide good targets for him. Winn will probably start as the main RB but there are good reports on Poteat so expect him to feature. With 3 OL back from last year, then their is some experience up front. Pittsburgh returned only 4 starters on defence from last year, and that told in their 31-17 loss to Youngstown State last week, as they allowed 177 passing yards and 204 rushing yards in that loss. Though they have several players out suspended for that game and who should return here, Cincinnati is a step up from that game, and like the Bearcats to score some points here. On defence, Cincinnati were very good last year especiallly in stopping the run and creating turnovers. With 2 DEs, 2 LBs and 3 more in the secondary, much of their defence returns from another year and expect them to do well again this year. Pittsburgh have QB Sunseri back again and he had 239 passing yards and a TD against YT last week, while RB was still tender from an injury in running for just 71 yards. But with just two starters on the OL from last year, the concern is how they will stop the Cincinnati pass rush as expect them to get to Sunseri quite often. With Pittsburgh's offence in question then like Cincinnati's defence to contain them. They look better on both sides of the ball and like them to win here Record: 5-7 (-2.10)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks Cincinatti (-9.5) 1pt @ 2.50 Bet365 Pitt lost to a FCS team in Youngstown State last week, and face a far higher quality outfit in the Bearcats this week. Cinci sat out the opening week of games, but will fancy their chances of being able to put points on the board against this Panthers team. Pittsburgh put up 17pts on YSU last week, I don't see them improving on that this week against the Bearcats. I see a 31-17 type game to Cinci in this

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks

Cincinatti (-9.5) 1pt @ 2.50 Bet365

2012 record: 2-2 (+0.50)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks

Cincinnati -6.5 @ 2.16 :D

Utah -9.5 @ 2.36 pinnacle Utah has QB Wynn to continue on from his good season last year, and tuned up for this game with a 41-0 win over FCS opponent Northern Colorado. RB White also had a good game with 119 yards and a TD while backup QB Wilson ran for 15 yards and 2 TDs so they have some good players on offence. This defence looks to continue from last year as they shut out NC last week, and they have plenty of experience there, where they finished 20th overall in allowing just 20 points per game, in the pass-focused PAC conference. With 3 DLs, a LB and 3 more in the secondary having returned for this year, they look good to continue on from here and stop this Utah State offence. Utah State have lost some talent on offence, as RBs Turbin and Smith were responsible for them running for an average of 283 yadrs per game. They go into this game without a recognised RB and though they have two WRs, Austin and Jacobs who have returned, they will look to use QBs Keeton and Kennedy much more and hope they improve on the low 175 passing yards per game from last year. Hard to see them doing well on offence given how good this Utah defence is. As for their own defence, with just one DL back, they will have problems stopping Wynn and White having an impact here. Though they get back 2 LBs and a couple of CBs, doubt that they can hold them out. Utah look too strong on both sides of the ball and like them to win well here. Record: 6-7 (-0.94)

[Samba_SamPa]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks Utah (-9.5) 1pt @ 2.31 Pinnacle Much same as bc here, only I've caught the line worse off. Don't see where many Utah St points are going to come from against the Utah D, whilst can easy see 4 TDs for Utah. Bet365's alternative spreads offer no value imo, so taking Pinnacle's

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks

Utah -9.5 @ 2.36 :eyes

That was rubbish Kansas State - Miami (Florida) over 57.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Kansas State have QB Klein back to link up with WR Harper as he threw for 169 yards and 2 TDs while RB Hubert ran for 152 of the 324 rushing yards the team had in the 51-9 win over Missouri State. However the concern for them is that they allowed 323 passing yards and 95 rushing yards, which is in keeping with last years defence that did well in stopping the run but could not stop the pass. Miami has a more balanced offence, as they threw for 207 yards and ran for 208 yards in the 41-32 road win over Boston College. QB Morris passed for a TD while RB Johnson had 135 yards and 2 TDs but with BC passing for 441 yards, the concern is that the secondary will struggle to hold out Klein here. Expect both teams to air the ball and score on these average secondaries Ohio State -18.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Ohio State's balanced offence put Mimai (Ohio) to the sword as they beat them quite comfortably, 56-10. QB Miller had 207 passing yards and 2 TDs as well as running for another 161 yards and a TD while their defence, returning 10 starters from last year, allowed 313 passing yards and -1 rushing yards, so a huge effort not to concede one rushing yard. Central Florida had 180 passing yards and 206 rushing yards in the 56-14 road win over Akron but this is a big step up here. They only have 3 starters up front returning on the OL, which will face a very aggresive Ohio State pass rush. The defence for UCF allowed 256 passing yards and 69 rushing yards and they have 6 starters back but believe they will have problems coping with the balanced Ohio State offence Clemson -28.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Clemson started this season well with a very good 26-19 road win over Auburn, as QB Boyd threw for 208 yards and a TD while RB Ellington ran for 231 of the 320 yards. Their offence, still missing WR Watkins, still showed that they have some good cover there, and with the defence also doing well, allowing just 194 passing yards and 180 rushing yards, they have a very good side on both sides of the ball. Ball State beat East Michigan 37-26 as they threw for 267 yards and ran for 329 yards but this Clemson defence is much better, as they return 7 starters and the secondary is experienced. Ball State allowed 186 passing yards and 180 rushing yards, and expect this explosive Clemson offence to do much more. Michigan State -20.5 @ 2.00 pinnacle Michigan State had a huge 17-13 win over Boise State as their offence, led by RB Bell who had 210 rushing yards and 2 TDs led the way, while their very good defence, which returned 2 DEs, 3 LBs and 3 more in the secondary, allowed just 169 passing yards and 37 rushing yards. Central Michigan beat Southeast Missouri State 38-27 as they had 171 passing yards and 324 rushing yards, but will not get anywhere near these figures with this Michigan State defence, while they allowed 120 passing yards and 188 rushing yards, and like Bell to run for 200+ yards here. They have 3 DL and 3 more in the secondary, and with no experienced LB returning, then Bell will like his chances for another big game, as well Michigan State, on a defence that allowed 428 yards and 33 points per game last year, and allowed SEMOST to score 27 points last week. USC -26.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle USC were impressive in beating Hawaii 49-10 last week, as QB Barkley threw for 372 yards and 4 TDs and expect them to have another productive game as Syracuse allowed 213 passing yards and 124 rushing yards in their 42-41 loss to Northwestern. WRs Lee caught for 197 yards and 1 TD while WR Woods had 42 yards and 2 TDs and like Barkley to find them again as their 4 returning OL should give them time to tear apart a Syracuse secondary that allowed 258 passing yards per game last year and look set to give up more here. On defence they have only one returning DL, but with 3 LBs and 3 more in the secondary, it will be very hard to pass and run on them, as Hawaii found out, with just 208 passing yards and 56 rushing yards last week. Syracuse passed for 470 yards and ran for 126 yards but doubt that USC allows them to be anywhere near that productive. Syracuse have a good QB in Nasib but they do not have much of a run game, and like the USC LBs to get to the QB often. Wisconsin -7.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Wisconsin will run the ball with RBs Ball and White proving last year to be very effective when working in tandem. Like them to run all over the Oregon State defence that was ranked 84th overall, and though they did resonably well in stopping the pass, their rush defence was poor. They do get back 8 starters on defence, which will help, but when they have to face two very good RBs, doubt that they can prevent Wisconsin from scoring some TDs here. In defence, Wisconsin allowed 316 total yards and 19 poitns per game, and return 3 DL, 2 LBs and 2 more in the secondary, and this defence could be even better then last years. Oregon State's offence struggled last year and though QB Mannion and two WRs return, as well as 3 OL, they do not have a run game to lessen the pressure on their QB, This should see the Wisconsin defence put plenty of pressure on him and can see them creating some turnovers Record: 6-8 (-1.94)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks

Kansas State - Miami (Florida) over 57.5 @ 1.98 :D Ohio State -18.5 @ 1.98 :eyes Needed another 3 points Clemson -28.5 @ 2.12 :eyes Needed another 4 points Michigan State -20.5 @ 2.00 :D

USC -26.5 @ 1.98 Wisconsin -7.5 @ 2.12 LSU -24.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle LSU had a comfortble 41-14 win over North Texas last week as QB Mettenberger had a decent first start, throwing for 192 yards and a TD but it was the run game that excelled, running for 316 yards so expect them to do well once again as Washington beat San Diego State last week, 21-12. but allowed 128 passing yards and 199 rushing yards in that game. Though their secondary is decent, hard to see them stopping the run game with just 1 DL and 2 LBs returning from last years defence that gave up alot of points. On defence, while LSU have returned only 5 starters from one of last years best defences, they do have quality replacements. They allowed just 143 passing yards and 76 rushing yardsand though Washington had 222 passing yards and 106 rushing yards last week, they are without their main RB Callier as well as other injuries on the OL. They lack experience there and expect this LSU defence to have their way with them Nebraska -4.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Nebraska's QB Martinez had a massive game with 354 passing yards and 5 TDs while they ran for another 278 yards in the 49-20 win over Southern Mississippi. They will be without RB Burkhead but have shown that there is enough depth to cover his absence. UCLA's defence did well to allow 174 passing yards and 184 rushing yards in the 49-24 win over Rice and with quite a few starters on defence returning they should do well here to limit Martinez, but he will be hard to stop with the form he showed last week. UCLA passed for 303 yards and ran for 343 more . Defensively Nebraska did well to limit South Miss to 75 passing yards and 185 rushing yards with one of their TDs off a kick return. They are up against a good balanced offence, but there is plenty of experience there to negate Hundley and Franklin in this game. Nebraska look like they have the edge on both sides of the ball and like them to do enough to cover the spread Vanderbilt -3.5 @ 2.09 pinnacle Vanderbilt were somewhat unlucky to lose 17-13 to South Carolina as they had 214 passing yards and 62 rushing yards in that game, while allowing just 67 passing yards and 205 rushing yards. With 6 starters on defence, like them to do well against Northwestern, who had an exciting 42-41 win over Syracuse where they had 213 passing yards and 124 rushing yards in that game, however they got 2 TDs from a punt return and a fumble return so their offence was not as exposive as it looks. Defensively Northwestern allowed 470 passing yards and 126 rushing yards, and like Vanderbilt's QB Rodgers to find his targets Matthews and Boyd here, as the secondary has only 1 returning starter and looked out of sorts last week Record: 8-10 (-1.96)

[blackcrow]

Re: NCAAF: Week Two Picks

USC -26.5 @ 1.98 :eyes Wisconsin -7.5 @ 2.12 :eyes LSU -24.5 @ 2.16 :D Nebraska -4.5 @ 2.03 :eyes Vanderbilt -3.5 @ 2.09 :eyes

Record: 9-14 (-4.80)