NBA Friday

[TazaD]

Cleveland -5.5

League: 61-39-2 (Av. Win 10.3) home 5+ fav, 2 days off 10- ats win as home 5+ fav. [Cleve]

29-9 (Av. Win 10.4) if opp off 10- ats loss.

League: 25-30-1 (Av. Loss 7.6) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 10- ats loss as away 4- dog. [Denv]

5-11 (1-15 SU!...Av. Loss 8.8) if opp off 10- ats win.

1-4 (Av. Loss 10.0) if opp won 10- ats as 5+ fav.

Cleveland won 92-73 @ Denver in December and did nothing special that day.

The Cavs are 10-1 SU (8-3 ats) on 2 days rest this season, winning games by 11.0 av.

As I said the other day, Denver are not a very good team, esp. on the road, and I quite frankly think this line is rediculous!

It's clearly at least 2 points lower than it should be, and even then I'd be on the Cavs! Portland @ Memphis under 186.5 The last meeting in Portland was 82-101….The teams shot a combined 46.7% (Above average for both teams), Memphis hit 53.8% 3's, there were 26 fast break points and 55 FT's (both teams av. 48 per game) Portland games av. 4.6 less points on the road and Memphis home games av. 9.2 points less than away! The last 7 meetings of these teams have all been under…The last 4 meetings in Memphis have av. 177.7 ppg. (1-3 under this number) Wouldn't take anything lower than 186 to be safe, but it does look like a low scoring game on the cards.

[TazaD]

Re: NBA Friday Seattle @ Phoenix under 228 This total is very high, and based more on reputation than numbers. Last meeting @ Seattle was 110-112, and both teams shot nearly 49%! Seattle games average a huge 12.6 points less on the road and they shoot more than 2% worse. Phoenix home games are actually 3.6 points lower aswell, because the Suns actually play some defense at home. They hold teams to 98.6 ppg, and only 43.8% shooting. Depsite their high flying, fast running rep, only 2 Phoenix home games have gone over this total all season....1 by a single point, and one only because of OT!! In fact, Phoenix are 6th in the NBA for 3 point defense. Seattle are 9-13 under on the road this season and only 8-11 under when the total is 200+. Don't get me wrong, this should be an entertaining game...but 228 is a hell of a lot of points.