NBA Wednesday

[TazaD]

San Antonio -2 League: 1-8 (Av. loss 7.9) home 4- dog, 1 day off 4- SU win as home 4- fav. [Wash] The line is low because Duncan is out and Ginobili is ?? for tonight, but SA won the last meeting 101-73 @ home without Ginobili in the line-up and Duncan was held to 11 points. The Wizzards simply couldn't handle the defense of the Spurs, shooting under 40%. (Obviously Duncan was a part of that D, but they held Charlotte to 36% shooting still yesterday.) SA are 8-2 v. teams allowing 99+ ppg...Shows that they will hold opp teams to low scores and do win when they are allowed to score big themselves. SA also have a big advantage in close games...3-0 this season when favoured by 3 or less, Washington 0-3 when dog of 3 or less. Washington were a bit lucky v. Indi last home game, and still have a poor record v. >.500 teams...and SA are one of the very best. Boston -3 League: 3-9-1 (Av. loss 6.8) away 4- dog, 2 days off ats win but SU loss as any away dog. [LAC] League: 6-2 (Av. win 4.6) home 4- fav, no rest off 20+ ats loss as any away dog. [bost] (4-0 if the line was between +4 and -3) This line is a pretty big over-reaction to LA's last 3 away games (where they have either won or gotten close), and Boston's horrible game yesterday. Despite LA's recent road form, they are still 6-15 away from home with an av. loss of 4.3. Pierce was held to just 7 points last night on 2-10 shooting so expect him to bounce back tonight....Also none of the Boston starters played for more than 25 minutes so fatigue certainly won't be an issue. Boston won by 5 in double OT @ LA last meeting...LA score 7.8 less ppg on the road, and Boston hold teams to 7.6 less @ home. Maggette also had 38 in that game and will be missing tonight. Memphis ML (2.30) League:3-7 SU (Av. loss 6.2) home 4- fav, 1 day off any OT as away 5+ dog. [Phil] 0-2 (Av. loss 11.0) if they also lost ats. League: 3-0 SU (Av. win 11.3) away 4- dog, no rest off 10- ats win as any home fav, if opp off any OT. Memphis playing without Gasol, but they still dominated inside v. Minni last night, outscoring them 44-24 in the paint and grabbing more offensive rebounds. Don't really care about Iverson's status for Philli. I personally think they are a better team without him, but even if he sits again tonight, there's little chance of Willie Green hitting 28 and shooting 66% again tonight. Memphis are 10-5 this season on no rest, and 11-4 after a win of 10+. Wouldn't mess about with the spread...Memphis great value to win this game SU. Minni -3 League: 17-5-2 (19-5 this no...Av. win 4.4) home 4- fav, no rest off 10- ats loss as away 4- dog. [Min] 11-2 (Av. win 7.2) if opp off any ats win. 7-0 (Av. win 8.6) if opp off 10- ats win. Beating a crap Utah @ home last night is a totally different story than going on the road and beating the 'Wolves, who will be primed for a big game after a poor effort last night. Granted, Minni have been struggling themselves recently, but Denver are just 7-17 on the road, and have won only 1 game in Minni out of 7 since 2000. Cassell is indeed ?? for tonight, but Min won 93-83 @ Denver earlier in the season, and he was out for that game aswell. Big night, so good luck to us all. :ok

[TazaD]

Re: NBA Wednesday Maggette also had 38 in that game and will be missing tonight. Or maybe not! :@