Laying 1-1 or draw

[anaconda69]

I like the other 1-1 thread so starting my own. Starting with £12.00 bank, bets with betfair. Staking is 50p to start with, then balance allowed stake if 50p one loses until money recovered hopefully. Odds for laying 1-1 up to 9-1 but hopefully average between 6 and 7-1, so need at least 8 from 9 right in circumstances to break even after commission Think Barcelona will thrash Chelsea 2 or 3-0 or -1 so here is first bet: lay chelsea 1+1 barcelona 9.0 50p unmatched I'm using stats for lesser occurance leagues or cup games in general, and looking at past head to head, recent home and away goals and last 6 games (all available on betfair and soccerstats.com) Stats on laying draw only on level stakes so far: 14-3 so 14 points minus loss of 8.4 points would equal 5.6 points profit FT 1-1 stats English Premier League are 12.14% occurance rate. France - stay away from 16.67% occurance rate. Germany - 12.5% Holland 9%, but odds usually rubbish to lay Italy - although many 1-1s the other night (I missed them all thankfully) only 9.71%, making this the best to lay. Spain - 11.18%, again, a good one to go by. Then all league cup games etc that require an outcome that is not a draw are good to go for in my opinion

Worked out that at a level that will allow me to increase first stake and recovery stake. This will be continued in 10p increments until I reach £100.00 bank if it happens, which then the stake will revert back to £0.50. Here is a table and the points of increase if I have got my excel calculations right (see just additions of cover 1 and 2 until cover 3 is reached): [TABLE=class: cms_table]

[TR] [TD=bgcolor: #CCFFCC]Stake[/TD] [TD=bgcolor: #CCFFCC]Cover 1[/TD] [TD=bgcolor: #CCFFCC]Cover 2[/TD] [TD=bgcolor: #CCFFCC]Cover 3[/TD] [TD=bgcolor: #CCFFCC]Total needed[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

[/TD] [TD]

£4.00

[/TD] [TD]

£16.00

[/TD] [TD]

£80.00

[/TD] [TD]

£100.00

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

£0.60

[/TD] [TD]

£4.80

[/TD] [TD]

£19.20

[/TD] [TD]

£96.00

[/TD] [TD]

£120.00

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

£0.70

[/TD] [TD]

£5.60

[/TD] [TD]

£22.40

[/TD] [TD]

£112.00

[/TD] [TD]

£140.00

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

£0.80

[/TD] [TD]

£6.40

[/TD] [TD]

£25.60

[/TD] [TD]

£128.00

[/TD] [TD]

£160.00

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

£0.90

[/TD] [TD]

£7.20

[/TD] [TD]

£28.80

[/TD] [TD]

£144.00

[/TD] [TD]

£180.00

[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]

£1.00

[/TD] [TD]

£8.00

[/TD] [TD]

£32.00

[/TD] [TD]

£160.00

[/TD] [TD]

£200.00

[/TD] [/TR]

£0.50

[/TABLE] N.B. All cover is from average 8-1 odds, I usually take less anyway. Critical staking points - Bet 27: £0.60 Bet 33: £0.70, Bet 39: £0.80 Bet 45: £0.90 Bet 49: £1.00

As we have just reached bet 27, stakes increased to £0.60. The further it gets, the quicker it will be to increase stakes. This should mean the system will reach £100 a lot quicker and possibly by bet 80 or less (lets average this out if I get a few losers inbetween) if all goes to plan and 1-1 isn't seen within 3 games. IF £100 is reached, then I will decide whether to bank some and continue with increased stake or to do the 3 tier system.

[anaconda69]

Re: Laying 1-1 or draw Now matched :hope