TazaD Posted January 24, 2005 Share Posted January 24, 2005 Clevelnd -4 League: 20-17-1 (Av. win 7.3) any home fav, 1 day off 10+ ats win as away 4- fav. [Cleve] 7-2 (Av. win 12.3) if opp was last 5+ dog. League: 0-15 SU (1-14 ats this no!!...Av. loss 11.8) any away dog, 1 day off 4- SU win as away 5+ dog, if opp off 10+ ats win. [Wash] Washington being over-rated after a good win in Indi, but now travel to Cleveland where the Cavs have been on fire. They are 14-3 @ home this season, with an av. win of 10.5! They are 6-0 ats @ home v. >.500 teams, and have beaten Washington @ home already this season 105-74. In that game they had 62 rebounds to 32 and 58 points in the paint to 36! Washington are just 2-6 ats on the road v. >.500 teams, and lose all away games by an av. of 5.6. Maybe the line has over-reacted to McInnes being out for the Cavs, but Snow ran the point beautifully in GS, scoring 16, 12 assists and only 1 tounover. I’m a bit surprised by the line, as I expect -6 at the least....Love getting Cleveland under 5! Chicago @ Atlanta over 182.5 Second total play for the season. 3 days ago these teams met in Chicago, and the score was 95-85...But, the teams combined for 4 points in the last 2 minutes or something silly like that! Also, Atlanta shot only 34.1%, and there were only 12 total fast break points for the whole game. Even discounting that, Atlanta games average 2.4 ppg more at home than away, and Chicago games av. 6.8 more points away than @ home!!...So we can logically expect an extra 9 points to the last game. The last 7 meetings b/w these team @ Atlanta have gone over this number...av. 193.1 ppg. Expect this total to rise before tip-off. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Arsenal_ Posted January 24, 2005 Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Good luck , I placed small bets on those 2 . Also ,small bet on Roger Federer to win 3-1 @ 4.0 .... Agassi isn't that bad :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW1970 Posted January 24, 2005 Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Taza, any idea why the Chicago-Atlanta totals line is falling? Can't see any news of injuries. Sporting Bet are now 181.5 pts. Must make it a better bet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 24, 2005 Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Well as you said the cleveland line seems a bit low and is rising but the bulls total seems to be going down the way ! You can get 182 or 181.5 in some places now, hmmmmm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 24, 2005 Author Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Yeah. Bit of a surprise on the Atlanta total. Can't see any injuries. Does seem a little strange to me....I guess it's why I don't play totals very often :\ Still like it tho....Maybe I'm missing something. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mr chips Posted January 24, 2005 Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday I always seem to have problems just picking the wrong handicap, hopefully playing safe with the following double tonight: CLE Cavaliers 2/5 CHI Bulls 4/7 25pt Double @ B365 I reckon both should cover their handicaps by 3ish but hopefully this should do it. Again nothing major but hopefully a better week this week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 24, 2005 Author Share Posted January 24, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Houston -5 League: 10-46 SU (Av. loss 7.3) away 5+ dog, 1 day off 4- SU win but 10- ats loss as home fav. [Orl] 9-16 ats (5-20 this no...Av. loss 11.6) if opp last away. 2-11 ats (1-12 this no...Av. loss 14.4) if opp won SU away. League: 7-2 (Av. win 11.2) home 5+ fav, 2+ days off 4- SU win as away 4- dog, if opp last lost ats. [Houst] Houston won 108-99 @ Orlando less than a week ago....Dominated inside. 17 offensive boards to 6. In fact Orlando out-shot Houston, which is unlikely to happen tonight. Hill not 100% (if he plays at all) is hurting Orlando....Christie and Turkoglo both not 100% and ?? for tonight. Like Houston to get a big home win tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 25, 2005 Author Share Posted January 25, 2005 Re: NBA Monday McGrady out for Houston. Line down to 3...feel free to bail out! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 25, 2005 Share Posted January 25, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Arrrrrrrrgh too late, and I backed at -5.5 as well, altho did get 2.06 Looks not too bad at the moment, if they can keep the momentum going. Cleveland appear to have forgotten how to score now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heniek31 Posted January 25, 2005 Share Posted January 25, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Chicago @ Atlanta over 182.5 Thanks Taza :ok. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TazaD Posted January 25, 2005 Author Share Posted January 25, 2005 Re: NBA Monday No problems at all. Can't believe the Cavs allowed 76 points in the 2H!!!!! :@ Luckily Houston did the right thing for us too....Who needs T-Mac anyway!! ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aliensyndm Posted January 25, 2005 Share Posted January 25, 2005 Re: NBA Monday Aye I'll let you off with 2 outta 3, better to win the houston pick as that was nicer odds ! Yeah first quarter seemed like cavs were gonna demolish them,but then it slowed up and 4th quarter:eek where did it go wrong ? Keep it up beefcake, looking forward to tomorrows picks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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