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My Betting Log 2012


skylark2009

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Skylarks racing bets log 2012 A new year and a new G.H in the form of a betting diary for horse racing. ### I'll include reasoning with each bet, with the intention of maybe transferring it to the ATR forum at some future point.### General info This hunt will likely be an 'all rounder' with regards to the type of bets. While primarily aimed at win only bets, I'll likely include 'place', 'each way', 'lay to win' and 'lay to place' bets here too. Staking will be based on my old 'Boom or Bust' staking, that is, using 1pt through to 10pts along with a 25pts 'bust' type stake given on how I asssess each bet. Win bets, place bets and lay bets will use the full gamut of the staking range of 1pt to 10pts with the 25pts 'bust' bet, with the proviso that the stakes for lay bets represent the LIABILITY or the amount to be lost if a losing bet. Since Each way bets are two bets (win and place), then the stakes will range from 1pt E/w to 5pts E/w max, with an even number of points given for each bet (i.e 2,4,6,8 or 10pts). For the purpose of determining the overal strike rate if an E/w bet produces a profit or breaks even by placing, then I'll count it as a winner. From time to time, it will also be likely that I bet on more than one horse in a race, such bets will be either 'dutched' or 'saver' type bets or a combination of 'win' or 'place' or 'lay' bets using the given stakes . The betting should (hopefully) be consistent in numbers from January to August, but will peter out during September, October and November as the emerging bigger fields, going changes and the overall poorer quality jumps/flat racing make reading form a lot more difficult during these months. Previous hunts history

Boom or Bust#1 Boom or Bust#2 Boom or Bust#3 Two banks
Bets 145 Bets 38 Bets 91 Bets 750
Wins 68 Wins 14 Wins 45 Wins 316
S/R 46.90% S/R 36.84% S/R 49.45% S/R 42.13%
Staked 7313.2 Staked 1853.82 Staked 560.64 Staked 30262.9
Returns 8145.45 Returns 1488.5 Returns 554.16 Returns 30956.08
Profit 829.25 Profit -365.32 Profit -6.48 Profit 693.18
Yield 11.34% Yield -19.71% Yield -1.16% Yield 2.29%
Summary
  • Horse Racing bets with reasoning
    • Bet Types
      • Win bets
      • Place bets
      • Lay to win bets
      • Lay to place bets
      • E/w bets
      • Dutched bets
      • Saver bets

      [*]Staking

      • 1pt through to 10pts stakes
      • 25pts 'bust' type stake
      • E/w will vary from 1pt E/w to 5pts E/w
      • Stakes for Lay bets (win or place) will represent the LIABILITY or the total that will be lost if unsuccessful
      • The returns from exchange bets will all be calculated with 5% commission

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Re: My Betting Log 2012 Testing the format to see if I like it Five horses to start this GH off with today. The Bet365 bets were placed yesterday (missed a massive 5/2 for Whisky Bravo by minutes), while the Betfair bets were placed today with a combination of win and place bets.

3.50 Chepstow -
Tiger Maguire -
Couse/distance winner last time out. This may be an easy option here for another win being the only winner in the field today. Trainer D McCain jnr is in good form having had 5 wins and 7 places from his last 20 runners. Hearty Royale and Village Vic look to be next best using trainer/jockey stats. (W-0.52, P-0.73)

2.05 Kempton -
Whoops A Daisy
- Has already proven himself over this course and distance by winning here last time out. He has yet to prove himself in handicap company, but may be capable of placing. Trainer has 6 wins and 5 places from his last 20 runners here at Kempton. (W-0.33, P-0.70)

12.10 Southwell AW -
Whisky Bravo
- A decent price available today for his achievements to date. He has had two of his rivals behind him previously, here at Southwell AW and may still be weighted to finish in front of them today. Tends to come with a late run after being held up and the same tactics may be useful again. His three wins to date are here at Southwell AW. (W-0.44, P-0.84)

1.50 Southwell AW -
Bivouac
- A bit of a course specialist with 5 of his 6 wins coming here on the AW surface. Trainer has 11 wins and 4 places from his last 20 runners and 8 wins and 4 places from his last 20 runners here at Southwell. (W-0.45, P 0.80)

3.35 Southwell -
Minortransgression
- He could be progressive enough to overcome his highest rating, being raised 20lbs for his last three wins. Conditions again look ideal today with regards to course, distance and class. On The Cuspmay prove to be best of the rest. (W-0.35,P-0.73)

Bets

#1 12.10 Southwell: Whisky Bravo - 4pts win @ 15/8 Bet365 (BOG) #2 12.10 Southwell: Whisky Bravo - 8pts place @ 0.37 Betfair #3 1.50 Southwell: Bivouac - 3pts win @ 7/4 Bet365 (BOG) #4 1.50 Southwell: Bivouac - 7pts place @ 0.74 Betfair #5 2.05 Kempton: Whoops A Daisy - 5pts place @ 0.59 Betfair #6 3.35 Southwell: Minortransgression - 2pts win @ 9/4 Bet365 (BOG) #7 3.35 Southwell: Minortransgression - 5pts place @ 0.69 Betfair #8 3.50 Chepstow: Tiger Maguire - 10pts win @ 0.73 Betfair #9 3.50 Chepstow: Tiger Maguire - 25pts place @ 0.18 Betfair

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