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Flat Racing 27th Dec


chris34

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These are 3 very very brief ones after a few beers and before work tomorrow lol! 12.10 Southwell Whisky Bravo has really found his feet on this surface making it 3 from 3 around here last time out, although only a 4 runner field was ultimately impressive pulling well clear. Handicapper potentially lenient putting him up only 5lb and the use of capable apprentice offsets that 5lb and looks the one to beat. 2pt win Whisky Bravo 13/8 bet365 1.50 Southwell Bivouac is a course specialist making it 6 wins from 13 starts last time out in a claimer, did well at the weights to suggest he is capable of winning off this sort of mark around here and should clearly come on for the first run for nearly a year and the use of an apprentice helps offset 5lb so is effectively 2lb below last winning mark and a repeat of claiming win will see him go close. 2pt win Bivouac 7/4 bet365 3.35 Southwell Minortransgression is another that has taken to this surface like a duck to water making it 3 from 3 this winter and is clearly thriving and a 6lb rise does not look excessive given the style of his win last time out beating several course specialists in the process and could easily rack up the 4 timer despite the wider than ideal draw in stall 8 (has overcome wide draws last 2 times). 2pt win Minortransgression 9/4 bet365 Because these are all short price course specialists gonna also attempt a 0.5pt Trixie to try and increase return. 0.5pt Trixie = 2pt stake

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Re: Flat Racing 27th Dec Same selections as Chris. :clap

12.10 Southwell -
Whisky Bravo
- A decent price available today for his achievements to date. He has had two of his rivals behind him previously, here at Southwell AW and may still be weighted to finish in front of them today. Tends to come with a late run after being held up and the same tactics may be useful again. His three wins to date are here at Southwell AW. (W-0.44, P-0.84) 4pts win @ 13/8 Bet365 8pts place @ 0.37 Betfair

1.50 Southwell -
Bivouac
- A bit of a course specialist with 5 of his 6 wins coming here on the AW surface. Trainer has 11 wins and 4 places from his last 20 runners and 8 wins and 4 places from his last 20 runners here at Southwell. (W-0.45, P 0.80) 3pts win @ 7/4 Bet365 7pts place @ 0.74 Betfair

3.35 Southwell -
Minortransgression
- He could be progressive enough to overcome his highest rating, being raised 20lbs for his last three wins. Conditions again look ideal today with regards to course, distance and class. On The Cusp may prove to be best of the rest. (W-0.35,P-0.73) 2pts win @ 9/4 Bet365 5pts place @ 0.69 Betfair

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