lorenzo. Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Hello, fellow punters! It's been a while since I did some betting, but here I am again. A few days ago I got an simple idea and I tought to try it. I don't even know if it goes under category "system". If not, then admins can move this thread to glory hunters or something. Probably a lot of people have tried that kind of stuff anyway :D I actually don't believe in accas, but since this is paper trail I decided to see what happens. I make this thread to discipline myself and also just to have more fun paper trailing. The system is very simple: I will pick 2 home-teams and make a double. Both teams must have odds between 1.25 and 1.6. The double must have odds at least 2.00 The bookmaker I get the odds is Bet365 There is really nothing more into it. I will pick teams just watching the odds. League doesn't matter. It may be one of the big leagues, but also some youth league etc. I will pick 1-2 doubles every day. Staking plan: Flat bets, 5% of starting bank. Starting bank will be 200 units so each bet is 10 units. That's it! Let's have fun and hope for the best :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Ok, let's get this thing started: First double: Hoffenheim II (Germany Regionalliga South) @ 1.44 Udinese (Italy Serie A) @ 1.57 Double odds: 2.26 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Second double for today: Gremio U20 (Brazil U20 League) @ 1.5 Ergotelis (Greece Super League) @ 1.36 Double odds: 2.04 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mister magoo Posted December 11, 2011 Share Posted December 11, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Good luck amigo and welcome back... I was going to try a ten leg multi system starting next week, but not sure if you can take a ten leg multi in the UK?... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 12, 2011 Author Share Posted December 12, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Ok, let's get this thing started: First double: Hoffenheim II (Germany Regionalliga South) @ 1.44 :( Udinese (Italy Serie A) @ 1.57 :D Double odds: 2.26 :wall Second double for today: Gremio U20 (Brazil U20 League) @ 1.5 :( Ergotelis (Greece Super League) @ 1.36 :D Double odds: 2.04 :wall Very bad start. But no worries. I think I'm gonna change the picking part. Watching only odds is a bit too luck-based. I will check also current form of the teams from now on. And that means no picks for today. Starting bank: 200 Total bets: 2 Won: 0 Lost: 2 Strikerate: 0.00 % Total staked: 20.00 Profit: -20.00 Yield: -100.00 Current bank: 180 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Good luck amigo and welcome back... I was going to try a ten leg multi system starting next week, but not sure if you can take a ten leg multi in the UK?... Thanks, mister magoo. I don't know anything about ten leg multis unfortunately :D But today I have one double: Duhok (Iraq League) @ 1.4 Al-Shorta (Iraq League) @ 1.44 Double @ 2.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophocles Posted December 13, 2011 Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles GL. Was also thinking about what would be the best approach to a double system and how to back test it. Hope you are in the money soon! :cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles But today I have one double: Duhok (Iraq League) @ 1.4 :D Al-Shorta (Iraq League) @ 1.44 :D Double @ 2.02 :clap And we have a winner in Duhok 4-0 and Shorta 3-1 victories. Starting bank: 200 Total bets: 3 Won: 1 Lost: 2 Strikerate: 33.3 % Total staked: 30.00 Profit: -9.8 Yield: -32.67 Current bank: 190.2 And another double: Real Madrid -2 (Copa del Rey) @ 1.475 Cologne +0.5 (Bundesliga) @ 1.5 Double @ 2.21 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles And another double: Real Madrid -2 (Copa del Rey) @ 1.475 VOID Cologne +0.5 (Bundesliga) @ 1.5 :D Double @ 2.21 :D Real Madrid won exactly 2-0, so the double becomes a single, but still a little profit. Starting bank: 200 Total bets: 4 Won: 2 Lost: 2 Strikerate: 50 % Total staked: 40.00 Profit: -4.8 Yield: -12.00 % Current bank: 195.2 NB! Does anybody know is there a possibility to copy some of the excel sheet parts here (would be easier to copy the stats in that way) ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 14, 2011 Author Share Posted December 14, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles And a pick: Torpedo Kutaisi (Georgia Umaglesi) @1.4 WIT Georgia (Georgia Umaglesi) @ 1.44 Double @ 2.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles And a pick: Torpedo Kutaisi (Georgia Umaglesi) @1.4 WIT Georgia (Georgia Umaglesi) @ 1.44 Double @ 2.02 Nice picks :ok. Good job till now. How many did you ever got in a row?? Good luck. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
punterrr Posted December 14, 2011 Share Posted December 14, 2011 NB! Does anybody know is there a possibility to copy some of the excel sheet parts here (would be easier to copy the stats in that way) ? use internet explorer good luck with your selections! Sent from my GT-I9100 using PL Forum Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 15, 2011 Author Share Posted December 15, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Thanks, guys. UMD, I just started, so these last 3 in a row are record so far :D And a pick: Torpedo Kutaisi (Georgia Umaglesi) @1.4 :D WIT Georgia (Georgia Umaglesi) @ 1.44 :D Double @ 2.02 :D Starting bank: 200 Total bets: 5 Won: 3 Lost: 2 Strikerate: 60 % Total staked: 50.00 Profit: 5.4 Yield: 10.80 % Current bank: 205.4 And a double: Gohar Zagros (Iran Division 1) @ 1.53 Saba Qom (Iran Pro League) @ 1.53 Double @ 2.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 15, 2011 Author Share Posted December 15, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Another one: Barcelona to win to nil @ 1.4 Birmingham @ 1.5 Double @ 2.09 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 15, 2011 Author Share Posted December 15, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles And a double: Gohar Zagros (Iran Division 1) @ 1.53 [1-1] :\ Saba Qom (Iran Pro League) @ 1.53 [1-1] :\ Double @ 2.35 :( Another one: Barcelona to win to nil @ 1.4 [4-0] :D Birmingham @ 1.5 [1-0] :D Double @ 2.09 :D Starting bank: 200 Total bets: 7 Won: 4 Lost: 3 Strikerate: 57.14 % Total staked: 70.00 Profit: 6.3 Yield: 9.0 % Current bank: 206.3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Three doubles for today: First: Sedan (France Ligue 2) @ 1.44 Niort (France National) @ 1.44 Double @ 2.09 Second: Southend (Npower League 2) @ 1.53 Sun Hei (Hong Kong Div 1) @ 1.5 Double @ 2.29 Third: Voledam -1 (Holland Jupiler) @ 1.55 Panthrakikos (Greece B'Ethniki) @ 1.44 Double @ 2.23 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Fourth also: Galatasaray +0 (Turkey Süper Lig) @ 1.425 Bayern Leverkusen (Bundesliga) @ 1.5 Double @ 2.13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Damn, I somehow managed to (wrongly) see that Leverkusen is played tonight. Oh well ... just have to wait a little bit more with that one :D Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorenzo. Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Lorenzo's Doubles Three doubles for today: First: Sedan (France Ligue 2) @ 1.44 :\ Niort (France National) @ 1.44 :D Double @ 2.09 :\ Second: Southend (Npower League 2) @ 1.53 :\ Sun Hei (Hong Kong Div 1) @ 1.5 :\ Double @ 2.29 :\ Third: Voledam -1 (Holland Jupiler) @ 1.55 :\ Panthrakikos (Greece B'Ethniki) @ 1.44 :D Double @ 2.23 :\ All losses. I think choosing games quite randomly without information or a concrete system seems quite pointless. It is and always will be a rollercoaster. I expected at least a little bit better hitrate with these low odds (altough I know, it's been only so little time and can't get the right statistics with so few picks, but still ... ) Anyway, I just got the news I have to go work to a place next week(for 1-2 months) where there might not be a steady internet connection and I probably don't have much time to dealt with that also. Altough I really really want to deal with betting and I am really excited about it in the last couple of weeks ... but what you gonna do. Hopefully can access the internet at least a little bit and bet a little bit at least. Anyway, sorry that I made the thread and abandon it so fast :spank Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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