NFL Week 13 Picks

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs. Carolina Panthers Selection: Carolina Panthers 2.7 @ Boylesports Stake: 10/10 I think there is good value on Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers (3-8) beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7) when they meet at Raymond James Stadium. ESPN's 'Intel Report', which is based on thousands of simulations based on historical data, is making Carolina 51% favorites but they can be backed at odds of 2.7 which is as if they had an implied probability of 37.04% to win. The Panthers 3-8 record is a bit misleading this year as they have lost a lot of close games. In QB Cam Newton they have a real star of the future who is backed by a solid run game (RB DeAngelo Williams, RB Jonathan Stewart) and the ability to run the ball himself! Newton has also has been finding success in the passing game with WR Steve Smith also having a very good season. Offensively the Panthers can really put on the numbers and I don't see this trend changing this weekend. Tampa Bay are on a 5 game losing skid and I think they will be outgunned by Carolina's plethora of offensive weapons. Tampa Bay have one of the worst defenses in the leagues (28th in passing yards allowed per game and 30th in rushing yards). This makes me believe that this game will be a real shootout with plenty of points being put on the board. Personally I think it will be Carolina putting more points on the board and will happily back them at odds of 2.7, good luck :hope

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Re: NFL Week 13 Picks Minnesota Vikings Vs. Denver Broncos Selection: Under 36.5 Points @ 2.11 Pinnacle Stake: 10/10 I don't see many points being scored when the Minnesota Vikings (2-9) play host to Denver Broncos (6-5) at Mall of America Field. The Broncos have been playing a style of high school American Football involving a very simple running game behind QB Tim Tebow. In a brand of football that is torture to the eyes the Broncos have managed to be effective time managers who don't turn the ball over very often and rely on a solid defense. The last 3 Denver games have ended with 30 points or less and I expect much of the same against Minnesota. Rookie QB Christian Ponder has looked decent this season for the Vikes but he may be missing Minnesota's main attacking threat in RB Adrian Peterson. With this being said its hard to see where the points are coming from on other side of the ball so I will be backing unders in this one, good luck :hope