Flat Racing; Thursday 1st December

[Lars]

19:00 Wolverhampton CREW CUT failed to cope with the drop to 5f last time but will be more at home at today’s trip of 6f and if replicating his run at Kempton in September, which showed he could easily outrun his current rating of 70, then he should go well for a yard in decent form of late. Jeremy Gask’s 3 year old has only one win to his name when winning in maiden company over 5f, but he’s since shaped that this 6f trip will be his optimum, putting in two good efforts at this distance in the early part of autumn. One of which, the aforementioned Kempton effort deserves extra praise as he chased a decent pace throughout in a contest that favoured those held-up. Although only 3^rd, he stuck on really nicely when those who had raced prominently faded away and it was a very promising effort, showing to me that he could potentially be competitive off marks in the mid-70s. The winner of that race went on to win again and the runner-up Libys Dream has run well since and opposes him again today (more on that later). His subsequent effort was another solid run over 6f at Bath, when 3^rd again in a competitive race for the grade, which was followed by the poor run at 5f (excusable given how quickly it was run). Although he’ll have to bounce back from a poor run at the minimum distance, he definitely has the form to go very close here back to his ideal trip. He’s been dropped 1lb in the handicap since his last start and he definitely has the ability to win off this mark, especially with this useful 7lb claimer continuing to ride him. There isn’t likely to be much in the way of pace in this contest today and it’ll probably help to be prominent, which will definitely suit the selection. This slow gallop would inconvenience plenty here (including the previously mentioned Libys Dream). This is a competitive race for sure and plenty have a chance, but CREW CUT really doesn’t deserve to be a double figure price today, even though he could be slightly better drawn. If he runs to his Kempton form on his last all-weather start at 6f, then he’ll be bang there at the finish. CREW CUT; 2pts @ 10/1 William Hill (bog)

[MRacing]

Re: Flat Racing; Thursday 1st December Great info. I agree and worth a EW punt. Best of luck