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BBOTD 10th of September


Aidymac

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Census - Doncaster 3:10 I think this horse has a big chance of winning tomorrow. I think Sea Moon is far too short in price first of all. Census is improving with every run. Lost out to Brown Panther by 6 lengths in a Class 2 handicap three runs back, then improved again by losing to Masked Marvel by a head in a Group 3 at Newmarket. Then last time out it turned the tables with Brown Panther winning a Group 3 , beating Brown Panther by 1 1/4 lengths, staying on very well at the finish. Meeznah has come out of that race and has franked the form , and if Sea Moon doesnt repeat its last effort, Census is the one that is going to capatalize. WIN @ 5/1 Bet365 BOG

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Re: BBOTD 10th of February 2:20 Goodwood Karam Albaari EW - 25/1 (Ladbrokes - bog) Have taken this early as it's a big price in a race full of half exposed horses with question marks. Clearly this horse has constantly surprised connections, finishing in very respectable positions behind good horses. Finished close up to Saamidd last year in the Champagne stakes, and then ran well behind Casamento in the Racing Post Trophy. On pedigree and when watching the horse, it's clear as day that he's going to improve when upped in trip. It's interesting then, that connections decided to start him off at this track over what you'd expect to be an inadequate trip of 7f. He probably surprised them by how well he did despite finishing last. Only 3 and a half lengths behind Libranno. I'm sure they would've taken that. Now he appears back at Goodwood in a group three over just short of 1m2f. Given that the step-up should only bring out improvement, that the horse will come on for his run over 7f last time, and that a lot of this field are starting to look slightly exposed, 25/1 could be a huge price. He's been given time to come to himself this year and track experience, which is vital. Martin Dwyer has a superb record at Goodwood too, which is another positive. The trainer also shows a healthy profit at Goodwood. Also worth noting that he's by King's Best, so his first encounter with a softer surface might also add to his chances.

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