MLB: August 1st Picks

[AGurv]

MLB Overall 2011 106-83 +15.20 units (56.08%) Can't believe its August already...July I ended up being a huge month, but i'm on a pretty decent slump right now. Brewers -124 to win 1 unit @ 5dimes

[Heaven&Hell]

Re: MLB: August 1st Picks Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Braves to win @ 1,65 Jair Jurrjens is on the mound for the Braves, and has been solid all season. Jurrjens is 12-3 on the year with a 2.38 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and opponents batting average of just .234. Jurrjens faced the Nationals back on the 17th of July, where he gave up 6 earned runs over 5 innings of work. I think we can look past that start, as Jurrjens had a lot of time off because of the All Star Break (previous start was July 6th). He has won 3 of his 5 career starts against the Nationals, and is coming off a 7 inning out where he allowed just 1 earned run. On the mound for the Nationals is Livan Hernandez, who has been having some struggles as of late. Hernandez is 0-2 over his last 5 starts, and hasn’t lasted more than 6 innings in his past 4 starts. On the season Hernandez is 5-10 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.141 WHIP, with batters hitting a high .289 against him. Note that he is just 7-18 career against the Braves with a 4.80 ERA. The Braves are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 as a road favorite, and 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss. The Braves are also 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs a right handed starter, and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Also note that the Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens’ last 5 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 4 days of rest, and 9-2 in his last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 21-7 in his last 28 starts overall, and 7-2 in his last 9 road starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Nationals are just 3-7 in their last 10 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 as an underdog, and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall. The Nationals are just 3-13 in Hernadez’ last 16 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 home starts. Also note that Washington is just 1-10 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, and 0-7 vs NL East opponents. The Nats are 3-8 in Hernandez’ last 11 home starts vs the Braves, while the Braves are 5-2 in his Jurrjens’ last 7 starts vs Washington. The Braves have been hitting .276 over their last 10 games, compared to the Nationals at .245. Atlanta is in the hunt for the playoffs here, and I think they continue to have success behind Jair Jurrjens. I’ll lay a bit of chalk here on the road team, as the Braves cruise to a victory.

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: August 1st Picks Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.16 pinnacle Jurrjens is 12-3, with a 2.38 ERA as he has allowed 1 run or less in 5 of his last 7 starts, with 10 runs in his last 4 road starts. Though he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in the 9-8 win over Washington last month, he has pitched much better than that against them, and has a 1.74 ERA in his last 3 starts in Washington. With the additon of Bourn to lead off, they have a batter that can set up the rest of the line up with hits and runs, so a good addition to their line up. Hernandez is 5-10, with a 4.19 ERA as he has allowed 30 runs in his last 10 starts, but at home, he has allowed 16 runs in his last 4 starts. Washington has lost his last 5 starts and he allowed 6 runs on 8 hits in the 1-1 loss to Atlanta last month. Jurrjens is the better pitcher and with his team in the playoff race, it is games like this they need to win to stay in contention. NY Yankees -2.5 @ 2.40 pinnacle Sabathia is 15-5, with a 2.56 ERA as he has allowed just 5 runs in winning 6 of his last 7 starts. He has allowed just 3 runs in his last 3 road starts and has faced the CWS once this year, allowing 3 runs in the 12-3 win over them in April. He has a very good overall record against them, going 17-4 with a 3.68 ERA and with the CWS bats struggling for form, then like him to contain him here. Peavy is 4-4, with a 5.27 ERA, as he has allowed at least 3 runs in 8 of his last 10 starts (total of 35 runs) with 19 runs in his last 6 home starts. He is 0-2 with a 3.60 ERA against the NY Yankees, but has not seen them since 2008 but his recent form suggest that they should have not too many problems in scoring off him as they have been hitting well of late Houston - Cincinnati over 8.5 @ 2.14 pinnacle Norris is 5-7, with a 3.39 ERA and thouhg he has allowed 2 runs or less in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 21 runs), he has allowed at least 3 runs in each of his last 3 home starts (total of 11 runs). He has faced Cincinnato twice before, allowing 5 runs and then another 4 runs last year. With the Reds bats getting some form back in the series over the Giants, can see them getting to Norris here. Arroyo is 7-9, with a 5.58 ERA as he has allowed at least 4 runs in 7 of his last 10 starts (total of 39 runs), with 14 runs in his last 3 road starts. While he has a 1.74 ERA in winning his last 7 starts over Houston and they have traded two of their better bats, the young players that have come in, have been hitting, and given his poor form of late, can see Arroyo giving up some runs here July picks: 54-62 (+3.14) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)

[Chris-UK]

Re: MLB: August 1st Picks

Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals Braves to win @ 1,65 Jair Jurrjens is on the mound for the Braves, and has been solid all season. Jurrjens is 12-3 on the year with a 2.38 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and opponents batting average of just .234. Jurrjens faced the Nationals back on the 17th of July, where he gave up 6 earned runs over 5 innings of work. I think we can look past that start, as Jurrjens had a lot of time off because of the All Star Break (previous start was July 6th). He has won 3 of his 5 career starts against the Nationals, and is coming off a 7 inning out where he allowed just 1 earned run. On the mound for the Nationals is Livan Hernandez, who has been having some struggles as of late. Hernandez is 0-2 over his last 5 starts, and hasn’t lasted more than 6 innings in his past 4 starts. On the season Hernandez is 5-10 with a 4.19 ERA and 1.141 WHIP, with batters hitting a high .289 against him. Note that he is just 7-18 career against the Braves with a 4.80 ERA. The Braves are 17-7 in their last 24 games as a favorite, 7-3 in their last 10 as a road favorite, and 10-3 in their last 13 games following a loss. The Braves are also 11-5 in their last 16 road games vs a right handed starter, and 4-1 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. Also note that the Braves are 4-1 in Jurrjens’ last 5 road starts, 4-0 in his last 4 starts with 4 days of rest, and 9-2 in his last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Atlanta is 21-7 in his last 28 starts overall, and 7-2 in his last 9 road starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Nationals are just 3-7 in their last 10 home games, 1-4 in their last 5 as an underdog, and 2-6 in their last 8 games overall. The Nationals are just 3-13 in Hernadez’ last 16 starts, and 2-5 in his last 7 home starts. Also note that Washington is just 1-10 in his last 11 starts as an underdog, and 0-7 vs NL East opponents. The Nats are 3-8 in Hernandez’ last 11 home starts vs the Braves, while the Braves are 5-2 in his Jurrjens’ last 7 starts vs Washington. The Braves have been hitting .276 over their last 10 games, compared to the Nationals at .245. Atlanta is in the hunt for the playoffs here, and I think they continue to have success behind Jair Jurrjens. I’ll lay a bit of chalk here on the road team, as the Braves cruise to a victory.

stop copying and pasteing write ups from other sites...this is from "mlb preditions" site:spank someone elses hard work...

[blackcrow]

Re: MLB: August 1st Picks Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.16 :( Jurrjens struggling for form NY Yankees -2.5 @ 2.40 :@Led 3-0 early with CC in great form and then he gives up 2 runs and fortunate they did not lose the game Houston - Cincinnati over 8.5 @ 2.14 :( Too many runners left on base Not a good start to the month :eyes August picks: 0-3 (-3.00) July picks: 54-62 (+3.14) June picks: 53-72 (-2.95) May picks: 31-73 (-30.18) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52)