NBA Wednesday

[TazaD]

Atlanta +12.5 (1.95 Pinnacle) League: 2-9 (Av. win 9.0) home 10+ fav, 1 day off 10- ats win as awy 5+ fav, if opp off 10- ats win. [Cleve] League: 12-5-1 (Av. loss 6.9) away 10+ dog, 2 days off 10- ats win as away 10+ dog. [Atl] 10-0-1 (11-0 this no...Av. loss 2.2!) if opp off any ats win! Looks a classic case of one team being over valued after a nice win, and the other being under valued on reputation rather than their last performance. Milwaukee -1.5 (1.95 Pinnacle) League: 10-2 (11-1 this no...Av. win 4.8) home 4- fav, no rest off any ats loss as away 5+ dog, if opp off 10+ ats loss. Again, it appears the line is based more on expectations about NJ than their actual performance. Miami -9 (1.95 Pinnacle) League: 20-39-1 (Av. loss 11.7) away 5+ dog, no rest off 10- ats loss as home 4- dog. [NY] 4-14 (2-15-1 this no...Av. loss 14.3) if opp last home. 0-5 (Av. loss 21.4!) if opp off home SU loss. Miami beaten by a very good Seattle team last time out, they get back on track with a big win. (I wouldn't take any higher than 9 tho) Dallas -8.5 League: 24-14-1 (Av. win 12.6) home 5+ fav, 2 days off 10- ats win as home 10+ fav. [Dal] 15-5 (Av. win 13.9) if opp off any ats loss. 6-1 (7-0 this no...Av. loss 17.0) if opp lost ats as dog. League: 6-10 (3-13 this no...Av. loss 17.1) away 5+ dog, no rest off any ats loss as away 10+ dog if opp off any ats win as home 5+ fav. [LAL] 2-8 (Av. loss 18.8) if they loss 10- ats. Line is genuinely 2-3 points too low here...Based on the Laker rep I can only assume. Dallas averaging 106.8 ppg on 2 days rest (their best), LA allowing 100.5 ppg on no rest (their worst)..LA only scoring 92.3 ppg on no rest too, easily their worst...Losing by av. of 8.1 on no rest..>Dallas win by av. 9.3 on 2 days rest. Got one more, but will wait...Busy day!! :loon :drums

[jjbear]

Re: NBA Wednesday Agree with DAL, Lakers were just plain awful last night, but I think it will be closer than tonight due to Dallas more offensive play. Would look for this line to hit 10/10.5. I quite fancy NY away at MIA, money line but just a gut feeling, probaly play them on the spread, will see if I can get 10. Cheers JJ. PS Stan has a juicy 50/1 about the Lakers outright, I know they wont win it all, but this is way too big for a team that Kobe WILL take to the playoffs, what do ya think.