'Favourites' at stupid odds

[v-zero]

Nobody likes variance. Variance is what puts fear in your belly. You've back tested to the high heavens and found that season-long a profit is there, but, variance will make sure you have your down days, down weeks, down months, and that puts a dent in you, makes you doubt it all. How then, to tackle variance? Well, make bets with the lowest expected variance, of course! Which bets would those be? The bets on favourites. Of course, betting on what the book says is the favourite is a quick way to the poor house, but betting on overpriced favourites, according to your own calculations, can be profitable. So, I'll be posting selections here, all to be placed at level stakes, lets say a single unit, with odds from Betfair. I expect to see around a 50% strike rate, fingers crossed.:lol

[v-zero]

Re: 'Favourites' at stupid odds Here's the picks for tomorrow. One point on each. Breda @ 3.25 Excelsior @ 3.75 Roda JC @ 2.48 Birmingham @ 2.22 Chievo @ 2.62 Beira-Mar @ 2.94 Nacional @ 3.5 Porto @ 1.65 Villarreal @ 1.83 Valencia @ 2.62 Eskisehirspor @ 2.76 :dude