UsManyDead Posted January 4, 2012 Author Share Posted January 4, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Good luck with your system, UMD. I have a question for you, and i don't read all your posts. You use Poisson for your picks ? I asked you because i think to make a connection between my rating system, based on ELO, and Poisson. What's your opinion ? Last time I've misread your post. I think you could try of course, and see what results it brings you. Many say that Poisson can be very good to predict 1X2 results if you have a very good rating system, but there are also many who claim Poisson doesn't work. I think it depends how you apply it, so go for it :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 5, 2012 Author Share Posted January 5, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 No matches for Friday as well :\. Saturday and Sunday...I hope for some matches. Anyway it is better to have few matches and a higher strike rate, than lots of matches a lower strike rate. The start of the new system was good :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 6, 2012 Author Share Posted January 6, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Nothing for Saturday...:sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 7, 2012 Author Share Posted January 7, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Sunday Selection: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 SPAIN: Primera Division 20:45 Real Betis - Sporting Gijon 200 @ 2.19 3.90 3.40 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Nothing for Monday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Sunday Result: MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 SPAIN: Primera Division 20:45 Real Betis - Sporting Gijon 200 2.19 3.90 UNDER UNDER 1 - 0 2 - 0 3.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Over 2,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: +620 Units Units Staked: 1000 Units Nr. Selections: 5 Won Selections: 4 Lost Selections: 1 H/R: 80,000% Yield: +62,000% Over 3,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: -1000 Units Units Staked: 1000 Units Nr. Selections: 5 Won Selections: 0 Lost Selections: 5 H/R: 0,000% Yield: -100,000% Over 1,5 Goals at HT System: Profit/Loss: +275 Units Units Staked: 1000 Units Nr. Selections: 5 Won Selections: 2 Lost Selections: 3 H/R: 40,000% Yield: +27,500% Grand Total (All 3 Systems): Profit/Loss: -105 Units Units Staked: 3000 Units Nr. Selections: 15 Won Selections: 6 Lost Selections: 9 H/R: 40,000% Yield: -3,500% Poor week for O3,5 Goals System, which took down the other two systems. But a great performance for O2,5 G and O1,5 G @ HT, with good S/R and returns. Let's see what brings next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 9, 2012 Author Share Posted January 9, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Nothing for Tuesday. There are still some matches from IRAN that don't have odds. I'll see later if anything gets picked. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 No selections for Wednesday or Thursday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Today I've finished doing some back-testing for AUSTRALIA & EGYPT for this season, and after the good results they showed, I've decided to include them in. As a consequence we have one match from EGYPT for today that qualifies. MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 EGYPT: Premier League 19:15 Zamalek - El Gounah 100 @ 2.06 3.50 3.20 :hope There is still time till the match starts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Wednesday Result: MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 EGYPT: Premier League 19:15 Zamalek - El Gounah 100 2.06 3.50 UNDER UNDER 1 - 0 1 - 0 3.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Nothing for Friday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Saturday Selections: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 FRANCE: Ligue 1 22:00 SM Caen - Stade Rennais 100 @ 2.34 4.33 3.55 SCOTLAND: Premier League 17:00 Dunfermline - Hibernian 400 @ 2.00 3.50 3.25 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 14, 2012 Author Share Posted January 14, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Nothing for Sunday. There are some matches from IRAN that don't have odds yet. I'll see if something qualifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Saturday Result: MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 FRANCE: Ligue 1 22:00 SM Caen - Stade Rennais 100 2.34 4.33 UNDER UNDER 0 - 1 0 - 2 3.55 SCOTLAND: Premier League 17:00 Dunfermline - Hibernian 400 2.00 3.50 OVER OVER 1 - 1 2 - 3 3.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 WEEK 2: Over 2,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: +200 Units Units Staked: 600 Units Nr. Selections: 3 Won Selections: 1 Lost Selections: 2 H/R: 33,333% Yield: +33,333% Over 3,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: +800 Units Units Staked: 600 Units Nr. Selections: 3 Won Selections: 1 Lost Selections: 2 H/R: 33,333% Yield: +133,333% Over 1,5 Goals at HT System: Profit/Loss: +700 Units Units Staked: 600 Units Nr. Selections: 3 Won Selections: 1 Lost Selections: 2 H/R: 33,333% Yield: +116,667% Grand Total (All 3 Systems): Profit/Loss: 1700 Units Units Staked: 1800 Units Nr. Selections: 9 Won Selections: 3 Lost Selections: 6 H/R: 33,333% Yield: 94,444% Pretty damn good this week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 WEEK 1 + WEEK 2: Over 2,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: +820 Units Units Staked: 1600 Units Nr. Selections: 8 Won Selections: 5 Lost Selections: 3 H/R: 62,500% Yield: +51,250% Over 3,5 Goals System: Profit/Loss: -200 Units Units Staked: 1600 Units Nr. Selections: 8 Won Selections: 1 Lost Selections: 7 H/R: 12,500% Yield: -12,500% Over 1,5 Goals at HT System: Profit/Loss: +975 Units Units Staked: 1600 Units Nr. Selections: 8 Won Selections: 3 Lost Selections: 5 H/R: 37,500% Yield: +60,938% Grand Total (All 3 Systems): Profit/Loss: 1595 Units Units Staked: 4800 Units Nr. Selections: 24 Won Selections: 9 Lost Selections: 15 H/R: 37,500% Yield: 27,688% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Monday Selection: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 TURKEY: TFF 1. League 20:00 Adanaspor - Denizlispor 300 @ 2.10 4.00 3.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Monday Result: MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 TURKEY: TFF 1. League 20:00 Adanaspor - Denizlispor 300 2.10 4.00 OVER OVER 1 - 1 2 - 2 3.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedlam Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 :clap Another great result UMD, followed you on that one, thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 18, 2012 Author Share Posted January 18, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 :clap Another great result UMD' date=' followed you on that one, thanks![/quote'] Great, me too :D Yep, it finally seems like I've done it. The system is performing extraordinary, and after back-testing it for the beginning of the season that passed, I'm pretty sure that this is it, this is what I've wanted. Let's see it in action. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 19, 2012 Author Share Posted January 19, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 There is one match that qualifies for today, and that is thanks to 12BET. Thursday Selection: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 EGYPT: Premier League 19:15 Zamalek - El Daklyeh 300 @ 1.91 3.20 2.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lorro Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 too bad bet365 didn't offer any odds for O1.5 (& O3.5). I only took the bet on O2.5. Nevertheless a winning bet as the game ended 2-1 (2 goals in first half) so I'm not complaining ;) System looks very solid now. Keep it up :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Luther Posted January 19, 2012 Share Posted January 19, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Only just discovered this thread - it's going well. Well done.. Always nice to get the winner in the 91st minute..! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 It seems there is one match that qualifies for today also, and this because Expekt decided to give starting odds of 2.10 for OVER 2,5. Here it is: Friday Selection: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 IRAN: Premier League 13:30 SaiPa - Saba Batry 200 @ 2.10 3.45 2.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Yep that was a very good selection especially because it pop-ed after I first look and also because it hit the O1,5 @ HT and it went also OVER 2,5. I wasn't expecting OVER 3,5, cause this leagues don't seem to actually strive to win with to many goals difference. MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 EGYPT: Premier League 19:15 Zamalek - El Daklyeh 300 1.91 3.20 OVER UNDER 2 - 0 2 - 1 2.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Friday Result: MATCH Stake O2,5 O3,5 R O2,5 R O3,5 HT S FT S O1,5 IRAN: Premier League 13:30 SaiPa - Saba Batry 200 2.10 3.45 UNDER UNDER 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.90 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 A busy Saturday :eek :eek. Saturday Results: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 ENGLAND: League One 17:00 Preston North End - Leyton Orient 200 @ 1.91 3.25 3.25 ENGLAND: League Two 17:00 Northampton Town - Barnet 300 @ 1.91 3.25 3.25 ENGLAND: Premier League 17:00 Queens Park Rangers - Wigan Athletic 200 @ 2.15 3.63 3.25 GERMANY: Bundesliga 16:30 1. FC Nürnberg - Hertha BSC 500 @ 2.03 3.50 3.00 ISRAEL: Toto League 18:00 Maccabi Petach Tikva - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin 100 @ 2.28 4.00 3.25 ITALY: Serie B 16:00 US Grosseto - Albinoleffe 400 @ 2.23 4.05 3.30 MEXICO: Primera Division 04:10 Estudiantes - America De Mexico 400 @ 2.05 3.50 3.00 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 20, 2012 Author Share Posted January 20, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 There is still one match from ENGLAND: Conference that doesn't have odds yet. If it qualifies, I'll post. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted January 21, 2012 Author Share Posted January 21, 2012 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System v2.0 Sunday Selections: MATCH Stake - Odd O2,5 Odd O3,5 Odd O1,5 ITALY: Serie A 16:00 Lecce - Chievo 400 @ 2.35 4.50 3.40 16:00 Novara - AC Milan 200 @ 1.90 3.25 3.00 VENEZUELA: Primera Division 23:30 Zulia - Deportivo Lara 200 @ 1.95 3.50 N/A :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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