UsManyDead Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: OVER 2,5 GOALS With Statistics Friday Results: Match Odd Result Score TURKEY: Turkcell Super League 20:00 Genclerbirligi - Fenerbahce @ 2.02 UNDER FinalScore: 0 - 0 Profit/Loss Day: -100 Units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: OVER 2,5 GOALS With Statistics Over 2,5 Goals --- Week 5: Week-end Only Profit/Loss: +509 Units Units Staked: 5900 Units Nr. Selections: 59 Won Selections: 29 Lost Selections: 30 H/R: 49,153% Yield: +8,627% This results aren't correct, because, as I said, there was another selection on Friday that lost, so bringing the profit down to 409 Units and the yield to 6,817%. Still a good profit for the week-end, and closing the 11th Week-end (in total) on profit. As bad as this week-end started as good it ended. It seems it works pretty good until now.:clap See you all next week-end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 28, 2011 Author Share Posted November 28, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System I decided to change the name to a more "eye catching" one. After all the system performs well till now. Hope you like it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marockee Posted November 29, 2011 Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System where do u get ssuch high odds? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System where do u get ssuch high odds? I take the highest opening odds available, checking almost all the bookmakers. I'm using both flashscore and oddsportal for this. I'm interested in the birth odds because I think that my system works based on the "door let opened" by the bookmakers at the beginning. This is where I look for value and find. I also thought to see if what would happen if I'll take the last odds available for each match, but this would involve a lot of extra work, besides the extra work that you'll need to do on week-ends when watching every match before start-up. Maybe I'll do some statistics if I have time. On other hand it is easier to catch the odds at birth rather than right before the match starts. Sometimes the odds that I post are still available at the same value at the time I'm posting, but most of the time they aren't. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ssi Posted November 30, 2011 Share Posted November 30, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Fantastic stats. You in principle do not take the odds below 1.9? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Fantastic stats. You in principle do not take the odds below 1.9? Thanks. Yep, you're right. I don't take odds below 1.9 (except I took once at 1.89, but it had to much value), because at this kind of odds you need a lower strike ratio to be on profit. And, besides this fact, they seem to be enough winners at these odds. This was an important fact in my system. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 1, 2011 Author Share Posted December 1, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Friday Selections: MATCH Odd ARGENTINA: Primera Division 22:00 Estudiantes - All Boys @ 2.35 FRANCE: Ligue 2 21:00 ES Troyes AC - FC Istrès @ 2.35 21:00 SC Bastia - CS Sedan Ardennes @ 2.44 GERMANY: 3. Liga 20:00 SpVgg Unterhaching - 1. FC Saarbrücken @ 2.00 ITALY: Serie A 21:45 Genoa - AC Milan @ 2.06 POLAND: Ekstraklasa 19:00 GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzow @ 2.30 SAUDI ARABIA: League 14:15 Al-Raed - Al Ansar @ 2.38 I might add a few matches till tomorrow, since 4 matches that qualified don't have any odds up. If there will be matches to add I'll post them. Also I've noticed a new cut-off statistic and ran a back-test on the matches I have analyzed ( roughly over 1700 matches - only from when I've started the system) to see if there is something good. I'll not tell you what I've found, but we will see together how this thing goes. Until now it has produced at most 2 selections per week and sometimes none, so it is a drastically cut. So, please, keep an eye on the matches with a * in their name, FROM NOW ON, DON'T GO LOOK BACK :D. I'll also keep a separate profit/loss on these. Hope for a good Friday :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 1, 2011 Author Share Posted December 1, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Oh well, from 4 matches, 2 qualified and 1 still doesn't have odds :eek:eek Friday Selections: MATCH Odd FRANCE: National 20:00 Quevilly - Épinal @ 1.93 IRAN: Pro League 13:45 Malavan - Saipa @ 2.08 I'll post the last match if it qualifies. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System The last match qualifies. There are still 5 minutes till it starts :clap Friday Selection: MATCH Odd IRAN: Pro League 13:30 Persepolis - Teraktor @ 2.35 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Also the other match from IRAN (Malavan - Saipa), should have 2,25 for OVER, as Bet365 put their odds, but I have already taken it at 2.08 :wall. I should have waited until more bookmakers put up their odds for the match. This is hard to do, since some bookmakers put the odds later than others... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Saturday Selections: MATCH Odd BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League 21:00 Zulte-Waregem - KSC Lokeren OV @ 1.95 21:00 SK Lierse - KV Mechelen @ 2.18 CZECH REPUBLIC: Gambrinus Liga 20:20 FK Jablonec - AC Sparta Praha @ 2.00 ENGLAND: Premier League 17:00 Blackburn Rovers - Swansea City @ 1.99 FRANCE: Ligue 1 20:00 Montpellier HSC - FC Lorient @ 2.18 20:00 Dijon - FC Sochaux Montbeliard @ 2.23 20:00 Stade Brest - AS Saint-Etienne @ 2.60 20:00 Evian Thonon Gaillard FC - Valenciennes FC @ 2.30 22:00 Nice - Stade Rennais @ 2.44 GERMANY: 3. Liga 15:00 FC Carl Zeiss Jena - Jahn Regensburg @ 1.92 15:00 Werder Bremen II - Arminia Bielefeld @ 2.01 GERMANY: Bundesliga 16:30 1. FC Kaiserslautern - Hertha BSC @ 2.02 ITALY: Serie B 16:00 FC Empoli - AS Ascoli @ 2.16 16:00 Albinoleffe - Nocerina @ 2.18 16:00 FC Modena - Vicenza @ 2.29 16:00 Juve Stabia - Gubbio @ 2.16 19:00 Reggina - Sampdoria @ 2.24 ROMANIA: Liga 1 15:00 FC Brasov - Astra Ploiesti @ 2.49 17:00 Petrolul Ploiesti - Pandurii Tg. Jiu @ 2.34 SCOTLAND: First Division 17:00 Hamilton Academical - FC Dundee @ 2.13 SCOTLAND: Premier League 17:00 FC Kilmarnock - FC Aberdeen @ 2.12 17:00 St. Mirren - Inverness Caledonian Thistle @ 2.12 SERBIA: Super Liga 14:00 OFK Belgrade - Novi Pazar @ 2.25 SOUTH AFRICA: Premier League 15:30 Wits University - Golden Arrows @ 2.01 SPAIN: Liga Adelante 19:00 Girona - Guadalajara @ 2.33 19:00 Xerez - Huesca @ 2.25 TURKEY: TFF 1. League 13:30 TKI Tavsanli Linyitspor - Goztepe AS Izmir @ 2.20 19:00 Kasimpasa - Sakaryaspor @ 2.09 URUGUAY: Primera Division 21:30 Fenix - Rampla Juniors @ 1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System One star-ed match for tomorrow *19:00 Girona - Guadalajara @ 2.33 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Sunday Selections: MATCH Odd ARGENTINA: Primera Division 02:10 Atletico Rafaela - Velez Sarsfield @ 2.32 23:10 Belgrano - Godoy Cruz @ 2.42 CYPRUS: 1st Division 17:00 Nea Salamina - Alki Larnaca FC @ 2.25 CZECH REPUBLIC: Gambrinus Liga 11:15 Viktoria Zizkov - 1.FK Pribram @ 2.10 ENGLAND: Championship 14:30 Cardiff City - Birmingham City @ 1.96 GREECE: Super League 19:30 Aris - Panathinaikos @ 2.41 ISRAEL: Toto League 20:00 Hapoel Haifa - Maccabi Tel Aviv @ 2.05 ITALY: Serie A 16:00 Chievo - Atalanta @ 2.44 POLAND: Ekstraklasa 15:30 Gornik Zabrze - Slask Wroclaw @ 2.40 ROMANIA: Liga 1 16:00 Concordia Chiajna - Gaz Metan Medias @ 2.40 SPAIN: Liga Adelante 21:30 Real Valladolid - Deportivo La Coruna @ 2.18 TURKEY: Turkcell Super League 13:00 Kayserispor - IST Buyuksehirspor Bld @ 2.15 VENEZUELA: Primera Division 22:30 Caracas - Zulia @ 1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System One addition. It seems that Hamburger - Nurnberg had truly opening odds of 2.15 for OVER 2,5 Golas at Tipico, so that makes it a selection. Also there are some matches from Bolivia that don't show up, yet. So if anything qualifies from there, although you rarely get some value in Bolivia, I'll post the selections later. MATCH Odd GERMANY: Bundesliga 16:30 Hamburger SV - 1. FC Nürnberg @ 2.15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Forgot to mention, but the above match is for Sunday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Friday Results: Match - Odd Result - Score ARGENTINA: Primera Division 22:00 Estudiantes - All Boys @ 2.35 OVER FinalScore: 3 - 0 FRANCE: Ligue 2 21:00 ES Troyes AC - FC Istrès @ 2.35 UNDER FinalScore: 1 - 1 21:00 SC Bastia - CS Sedan Ardennes @ 2.44 OVER FinalScore: 2 - 2 FRANCE: National 20:00 Quevilly - Épinal @ 1.93 OVER FinalScore: 0 - 3 GERMANY: 3. Liga 20:00 SpVgg Unterhaching - 1. FC Saarbrücken @ 2.00 OVER FinalScore: 3 - 2 IRAN: Pro League 13:30 Persepolis - Teraktor @ 2.35 UNDER FinalScore: 0 - 1 13:45 Malavan - Saipa @ 2.08 UNDER FinalScore: 1 - 1 ITALY: Serie A 21:45 Genoa - AC Milan @ 2.06 UNDER FinalScore: 0 - 2 POLAND: Ekstraklasa 19:00 GKS Bełchatów - Ruch Chorzow @ 2.30 UNDER FinalScore: 1 - 1 SAUDI ARABIA: League 14:15 Al-Raed - Al Ansar @ 2.38 OVER FinalScore: 3 - 2 Profit/Loss Day: +110 Units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 3, 2011 Author Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System I've just realized I've made a stupid mistake. When looking at the Leagues yesterday I saw on soccerway.com that the IRAN league is named IRAN: Persian Gulf Cup,and thought these are cup fixtures, but found out that it was the IRAN: Pro League. So looking back at the matches there were 3 selections, 1 didn't qualify, and the other two won. This is the good thing, the bad thing is I can't post them here :cry. Anyway, I thought I'll just let you know. Hope the rest of the day is as good. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
De-Kogel Posted December 3, 2011 Share Posted December 3, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System This is interesting UsManyDead. I will follow your system from now on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ssi Posted December 4, 2011 Share Posted December 4, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Great job on Saturday, I hope for the same results on Sunday! Good luck! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 4, 2011 Author Share Posted December 4, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System This is interesting UsManyDead. I will follow your system from now on. Thanks. Be careful if you decide to follow it with money. This ain't a proven system yet. Great job on Saturday, I hope for the same results on Sunday! Good luck! Thanks. Yeah, it was a great day, the greatest I ever had. A good profit made.:clap Let's hope for the best to come :hope The results for saturday will come in a moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 4, 2011 Author Share Posted December 4, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System One addition. It seems that Hamburger - Nurnberg had truly opening odds of 2.15 for OVER 2,5 Golas at Tipico, so that makes it a selection. Also there are some matches from Bolivia that don't show up, yet. So if anything qualifies from there, although you rarely get some value in Bolivia, I'll post the selections later. No match qualifies from BOLIVIA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Over 2,5 Goals --- Week 6: Week-end Only Profit/Loss: -70 Units Units Staked: 5300 Units Nr. Selections: 53 Won Selections: 24 Lost Selections: 29 H/R: 45,283% Yield: -1,321% This results aren't correct, because, as I said, there were another 2 selection on Saturday that won, so bringing the total profit up to 165 Units and the yield to 3,000%. Still a profit for the week-end, and closing the 12th Week-end (in total) on profit. I hope I won't miss any matches from now on :\ See ya next week-end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Over 2,5 Goals --- Week 1: Star-ed matches Profit/Loss: -100 Units Units Staked: 100 Units Nr. Selections: 1 Won Selections: 0 Lost Selections: 1 H/R: 0,000% Yield: -100,000% As I said I will keep a separate track for the star matches. This one was a bad hit... :sad Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 8, 2011 Author Share Posted December 8, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Friday Selections: MATCH Odd COLOMBIA: Liga Postobon 00:30 Millonarios - Envigado @ 2.20 Sorry for the late post. There are still some matches from IRAN, that don't have any odds. I'll post them tomorrow (on time I hope :p) if they qualify. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 8, 2011 Author Share Posted December 8, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System While working on my system I was struck by an incredible idea. I saw a correlation, and I want to share it here (not the secret behind it :p), but I think I'll open a new thread. I started doing some back-test on the matches I have but this will take some time since most of them don't have the required statistics and I have to go back to look for them. Anyway, I hope I'll be able to open the thread in 1-2 weeks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Friday Selections: MATCH Odd IRAN: Premier League 13:30 Moghavemat - Shahrdari Tabriz @ 2.14 One from IRAN qualified. The match from COLOMBIA finished Over, so that's a win. :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Saturday Selections: MATCH Odd BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League 21:00 Mons - Cercle Brugge @ 1.99 ENGLAND: Championship 17:00 Nottingham Forest - Crystal Palace @ 2.25 ENGLAND: League One 17:00 Brentford - Hartlepool @ 2.18 ENGLAND: League Two 17:00 Macclesfield Town - Gillingham @ 2.15 17:00 Bradford City - Plymouth @ 2.01 ENGLAND: Premier League 17:00 Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa @ 1.93 FRANCE: Ligue 1 20:00 Valenciennes FC - Montpellier HSC @ 2.32 20:00 FC Sochaux Montbeliard - Paris Saint-Germain @ 2.05 20:00 AS Saint-Etienne - SM Caen @ 2.32 GERMANY: Bundesliga 19:30 Hannover 96 - Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.95 GREECE: Super League 17:15 Skoda Xanthi FC - Levadiakos @ 2.48 ISRAEL: Toto League 18:45 Maccabi Petach Tikva - Hapoel Akko @ 2.10 ITALY: Serie A 19:00 AC Siena - Genoa @ 2.36 19:00 Lecce - Lazio @ 2.25 ITALY: Serie B 16:00 Hellas Verona - Albinoleffe @ 2.25 16:00 Nocerina - Crotone @ 2.23 16:00 Cittadella - Reggina @ 2.38 16:00 Gubbio - Padova @ 2.29 16:00 US Grosseto - FC Modena @ 2.35 16:00 AS Ascoli - Varese @ 2.32 PORTUGAL: Liga Vitalis 13:15 Moreirense - Belenenses @ 2.26 SCOTLAND: First Division 17:00 Morton - Partick Thistle @ 2.27 SCOTLAND: Premier League 17:00 Dunfermline - FC Kilmarnock @ 1.96 17:00 Inverness Caledonian Thistle - Dundee United @ 1.98 17:00 St Johnstone - FC Motherwell @ 2.43 SCOTLAND: Third Division 17:00 Alloa Athletic - Queens Park @ 2.05 SPAIN: Liga Adelante 17:00 Sabadell - Elche @ 2.44 19:00 Alcorcon - Celta de Vigo @ 2.29 19:00 Cartagena FC - Universidad LPGC @ 2.44 19:00 Recreativo Huelva - Huesca @ 2.44 19:00 Villarreal B - Xerez @ 2.22 TURKEY: TFF 1. League 13:30 Gungoren Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor @ 2.25 There is one match from IRAN that doesn't have any odds. If it qualifies I'll post it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System One star-ed match for tomorrow: ITALY: Serie B *16:00 Gubbio - Padova @ 2.29 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted December 10, 2011 Author Share Posted December 10, 2011 Re: UsManyDead's OVER 2,5 Goals System Sunday Selections: MATCH Odd ENGLAND: Premier League 15:30 Sunderland - Blackburn Rovers @ 1.92 18:00 Stoke City - Tottenham Hotspur @ 2.02 FRANCE: Ligue 1 18:00 Lille - Dijon @ 2.00 GREECE: Super League 17:15 Ergotelis - Doxa Dramas @ 2.23 17:15 Panionios - Panathinaikos @ 2.10 19:30 Kerkyra - Olympiakos @ 2.05 ITALY: Serie A 16:00 Bologna - AC Milan @ 2.13 21:45 Novara - SSC Napoli @ 2.21 POLAND: Ekstraklasa 15:30 Lodzki KS - Slask Wroclaw @ 2.11 PORTUGAL: Liga Zon Sagres 18:00 Rio Ave - Gil Vicente @ 2.42 20:15 Uniao Leiria - Vitoria Guimaraes @ 2.52 ROMANIA: Liga 1 15:00 CS Mioveni - Vointa Sibiu @ 2.79 SPAIN: Liga Adelante 19:00 Guadalajara - Real Murcia @ 2.44 SPAIN: Primera Division 13:00 Rayo Vallecano - Sporting Gijon @ 2.43 17:00 Villarreal - Real Sociedad @ 2.23 19:00 Real Zaragoza - RCD Mallorca @ 2.32 19:00 Malaga - Osasuna @ 2.00 TURKEY: Turkcell Super League 13:00 Antalyaspor - Ankaragücü @ 1.99 UKRAINE: Premier League 13:30 Metalurg Donetsk - Zorya Lugansk @ 2.10 VENEZUELA: Primera Division 22:30 Monagas - Estudiantes de Merida @ 1.95 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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