NFL this week...

[TazaD]

NYG @ Cinci over 43 Both defenses giving up some big plays and plenty of points. In fact in the last 4 weeks, Cinci have allowed 35.5 , and the Giants 32 ppg. After a very shaky start, Eli looked a lot better last week, after working with the coaching staff to call more plays that he was comfortable with. Barber should have a big day and this will help Manning out all the more. Both Palmer and Kitna are capable of putting up points. Like the over at a nice number. Just taking this one early, because I see it's at 44 and rising elsewhere (43 @ Canbet). Like a couple of the early games this week, will post them when I can find the best lines. Hopefully they'll be a bit more successful than last week's debarkle! :wall

[TazaD]

Re: NFL this week... Green Bay @ Minni over 55.5 High total, but too low. 2 high powered offenses…2 terrible defenses playing for their play-off lives should amount to a lot of points here. Both around the 50% mark for 3rd down conversions. Both gain (and allow) more than 4.6 y/carry. GB gain 7.11 y/pass, Minni 8.18! Also shouldn’t be too many FG’s…both teams over 2-1 ratio of TD’s to FG’s. The last meeting in Green Bay went 34-31, with the Min offense not at full strength with Moss out! Now back indoors where Green Bay have gone ‘over’ 9 of their last 10 on turf, (and 12 of last 16 ‘over’ v. inside div.) this one should be over pretty comfortably. Oakland @ Kansas City over 59 Even higher total, but still not high enough!! Last 3 weeks KC have scored 31, 34, 49 and 45..And now face Oakland allowing 7.88y/pass…They should have another pretty huge day. In fact, the Oakland defense has only allowed less than 20 points ONCE this season, and they allow an av. of 30 on the road! Oakland have given up trying to run the ball, throwing nearly at a 2-1 ratio and they should also have some success against the NFL’s worst pass D, giving 8.35 y/pass!! These ‘meaningless’ games always tend to be shoot-outs (see Tenn @ Oak last week!), and 2 decent passing teams with the 2 worst pass D’s should have some scoring fun on Christmas Day! KC Trends: 10-2 over in December last 3 years, and 12-4 over inside div. Houston @ Jax under 38 Only 2 Jacksonville home games this season have gone over this number…v. Indi and the OT v. Detroit. Even the game v. KC ended 22-16. Houston average less than 17 ppg on the road, and only scored 24 @ Chicago last week with the help of 5 turnovers. Jacksonville only allowing 14 ppg at home, and will still be playing hard with a play-off berth at stake. The first meeting this season was 20-6 @ Houston, with an INT returned for a TD late. Nice number here for the under.