Flat Racing - Friday 11th Feb

[Mirage]

Wanted to put this in early incase the price drops and i look a bit suspect when posting what i got. I said in my 'who we are' intro that i was looking to specialise in class 4 races, 10 furlongs and less but i suppose at this early stage in my punting career it won’t harm to experiment slightly. Friday: 19.10 Wolverhampton Looking at a 12 furlong race here at class 4 level (which i think will always be my minimum by the way) and i am willing to take a chance on Straversjoy being able to defy a recent penalty. The selection is in fine form and has won 5 out of her 9 runs around here. Only one of them (a loss) was not over todays 12 furlong trip so the course and distance should not be a problem. Yes, it is another step up in class but she won impressively in her 2^nd run of the year last time out and although the penalty does add another doubt i believe that she has what it takes to overcome that and the rest of her rivals to continue the great form she has shown in her last few runs. The pedigree also shows a few close relatives who won over this distance at the same age. Kindelight Sun is interesting but with only 2 runs there are too many doubts whilst i think Mongoose Alert is in with a shout again after being beaten by a brilliant ride last time out. However, that run was only 2 days ago and im not sure how the recovery will be. I think 4/1 is a good price as i would personally have it around 10/3 or 3/1. Taking the e/w option again since there are currently 6 runners. 1.5pts E/W Straversjoy to win - 4/1 with Bet365

[Monterosso]

Re: Flat Racing - Friday 11th Feb 7:10 Wolverhampton - Realisation - 3pts @ 11/4 (WillHill) Not going into too much detail with this one but I feel Mark Johnston's only runner at Wolverhampton could be worth siding with. He doesn't win as often as he should but has enough ability to go well here and has some decent form in the book around this course. He's dropping in grade now too, having run a good race in a class 3 contest last time out, when finishing 3rd to the inform Hidden Glory. Now that my selection is back up in grade, I feel we'll see a much better performance, as this extended 1m 4f trip should see him to greater effect. He should also come on for that run last time out, as it was on the back of a 2 month lay off. Realisation has C&D form to turn around with Mongoose Alert, who beat him by over 3 lengths back in November. However, they meet here with a 9lb swing in favour of Johnston's runner, which I'm hopeful will be enough to turn around the form, if all goes to plan. Of the rest, Straversjoy looks a big danger based on his 6 length demolition job over C&D last time out. The talented filly is obviously in great form of late but she's up another 6lbs and was possibly flattered up against her own sex. She's now up against the boys and up in class, plus the course won't be riding as slow as it was a couple of weeks ago, so at 4/1, I'll readily oppose. Kindlelight Sun looks a decent type and shaped alright on his 2nd career start at Kempton a couple of weeks ago. That was on the back of 12 months off the track but looks a bit short at 3/1 and could be anything, so I'll pass over. The 2 outsiders don't have much hope in my opinion and I'll certainly leave them be. The Mark Johnston yard are bang in form and especially here at Wolverhampton. With 8 winners from their last 10 runners, which is phenomenal. I'm just hoping that they've this fellow out to try, as his animals seem to run good and bad with regular consistency. However, this fellow rarely runs a bad race and he's very talented and potentially well handicapped, with a lot more to come yet. He gets a 3lb weight allowance for age, which will come in handy and he looks like the value call, as I've marked him up as a 7/4 shot. Realisation will also be partnered by Silvestre De Sousa for the first time and he's a jockey that rarely lets me down. He's a top notch horse man and I expect he'll be a big benefit to this relatively lightly raced 4 year old. Medium sized stakes here, for what is my only bet of the day and one I'm confident will return with the goods, although I've probably jinxed him now.