TheLubet Posted January 28, 2011 Share Posted January 28, 2011 I normally post on glory hunters but im going to post this here, for luck! I've been following and trying to engineer football sysyems for ages. Some have ratings attached others stick a pin in a page others use head to head. This is something im going to try, could be a complete faliure, Might find something for future Systems, we'll find out. The most important success to a system is Yield, followed by Strike Rate and then Profit. Getting the best available odds for each bet is also important. My Mission Statement is to succeed and be profitable on a Weekly/Monthly/Yearly basis, contuinally making the bank larger without chasing losses, and something that does'nt take up all my spare time researching. This might not be that system There are some very good systems on this forum where head to head is showing a profit, mine will have a slight twist. I'm going to break down the head to head into 5 catagories and show profit and loss for each individually and 1 collectivally. The (A and E) catagories will be of most interest, hopefully (A) will be a winner! All Bets 10 Points. Might put (A) into a Super Yankee. A1- Home win only. A2- Head to Head meeting Over 60% Home win. A3- Head to Head Min of 8 games played. A4- Previous Meeting did'nt result in a home win. Lazio v Fiorentina 2.15 Club Brugge v Germinal 1.44 Hereenveen v FC Groningen 2 Gaziantepspor v Genclerbirligi 1.83 Fenerbahce v Trabzonspor 2.1 B1- Home win only. B2- Head to Head meeting Over 60% Home win. B3- Head to Head 4-7 games played. B4- Previous Meeting did'nt result in a home win. Oxford Utd v Cheltenham 1.95 Hamilton v Kilmarnock 3 Lecce v Cesena 2.15 Iraklis v Kerkyra. 2.1 C1- Home win only. C2- Head to Head meeting over 60% Home win. C3- Head to Head Min of 8 games played. C4- Previous meeting Home win. Crystal Palace v Norwich 3.1 Cagliari v Bari 1.66 Juventus v Udinese 2.3 Atletico Madrid v Athletic Bilbao 1.84 Bayer Leverkusen v Hannover 96 1.57 VfB Stuttgart v SC Freiburg 1.61 Bordeaux v Nice 1.67 Lierse v Charleroi 2 Standard Liege v Westerlo 1.57 PSV v Willem II. 1.11 D1- Home win only. D2- Head to Head meeting over 60% Home win. D3- Head to Head 4-7 games played. D4- Previous meeting Home win. Mallorca v Sporting Gijon 1.8 Excelsior v ADO Den Haag 3.2 Panathinaikos v Ergotelis 1.3 Sivasspor v Antalyaspor. 2.3 E1- Home win only E2- Top 8 Lecce v Cesena 2.15 Juventus v Udinese 2.3 Mallorca v Sporting Gijon 1.8 VfB Stuttgart v SC Freiburg 1.61 Bordeaux v Nice 1.67 Standard Liege v Westerlo 1.57 PSV v Willem II 1.11 Heerenveen v FC Groningen 2 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted January 31, 2011 Author Share Posted January 31, 2011 Re: Against The Head A Strike Rate 3/5 60% Staked 50 Profit 6.90 Yield 13.80 B Strike Rate 0/4 60% Staked 40 Profit -40 Yield -100 C Strike Rate 6/10 60% Staked 100 Profit -4.20 Yield -4.20 D Strike Rate 1/4 25% Staked 40 Profit -27 Yield -27 A-B-C-D Strike Rate 10/23 43.48% Staked 230 Profit -64.3 Yield -27.96 An interesting exercise (A) might have a chance at profit, time will tell. © has a chance of breaking even or showing a small yield. (B) and (D) are losers, even at this early stage having such high yield losses only lead to failures long term. The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 1, 2011 Author Share Posted February 1, 2011 Re: Against The Head 01Feb11 A Arsenal v Everton @ 1.44 Man Utd v Aston Villa @ 1.36 C Bolton v Wolverhampton 1.85 Fulham v Newcastle 2.1 Hibernian v St Mirren 2.05 Rangers v Hearts 1.5 Parma v Lecce 1.7 All home win. The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 2, 2011 Author Share Posted February 2, 2011 Re: Against The Head A Arsenal v Everton @ 1.44 :D Man Utd v Aston Villa @ 1.36 :D C Bolton v Wolverhampton 1.85 :D Fulham v Newcastle 2.1 :D Hibernian v St Mirren 2.05 :D Rangers v Hearts 1.5 :D Parma v Lecce 1.7 :@ A Strike Rate 5/7 71.43% Staked 70 Profit 14.9 Yield 21.29 C Strike Rate 10/15 66.67% Staked 150 Profit 20.80 Yield 13.87 A-B-C-D Strike Rate 16/30 53.33% Staked 300 Profit -31.3 Yield -10.40 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 3, 2011 Author Share Posted February 3, 2011 Re: Against The Head 04Feb11 A Osasuna v Mallorca 2.2 Olympiakos v Xanthi 1.29 Anderlecht v St.-Truidense 1.22 C Stoke v Sunderland 2.2 Aston Villa v Fulham 2 Tottenham v Bolton 1.62 Chelsea v Liverpool 1.62 Burnley v Norwich 2.25 Leeds v Coventry 1.7 Auxerre v Lille 3.8 FC Porto v Rio Ave 1.17 Ajax v De Graafschap 1.15 Heerenveen v NEC 1.64 AEK Athens v Aris Salonika 1.67 Trabzonspor v Antalyaspor 1.36 Home win's 10 pts. The Lubet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 7, 2011 Author Share Posted February 7, 2011 Re: Against The Head A Osasuna v Mallorca 2.2 :@ Olympiakos v Xanthi 1.29 :) Anderlecht v St.-Truidense 1.22 :) C Stoke v Sunderland 2.2 :) Aston Villa v Fulham 2 :@ Tottenham v Bolton 1.62 :) Chelsea v Liverpool 1.62 :@ Burnley v Norwich 2.25 :) Leeds v Coventry 1.7 :) Auxerre v Lille 3.8 :@ FC Porto v Rio Ave 1.17 :) Ajax v De Graafschap 1.15 :) Heerenveen v NEC 1.64 :@ AEK Athens v Aris Salonika 1.67 :@ Trabzonspor v Antalyaspor 1.36 :@ A Strike Rate 7/10....70% Staked 100 Profit 10 Yield 10 C Strike Rate 16/27.....59.26% Staked 270 Profit 1.7 Yield .63 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 11, 2011 Author Share Posted February 11, 2011 Re: Against The Head 11Feb11 A Werder Bremen v Hannover 96 @ 1.8 Sochaux v Marseille @ 2.52 Rennes v Nice @ 1.58 C Man Utd v Man City @ 1.83 Hibernian v Kilmarnock @ 2.63 Rangers v Motherwell @ 1.28 Queen of South v Partick @ 2.12 AC Milan v Parma @ 1.4 Roma v Napoli @ 2.23 Juventus v Inter Milan @ 2.94 Real Sociedad v Osasuna @ 2.12 Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao @ 2.25 Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge @ 1.27 Lokeren v Charleroi @ 1.55 Standard Liege v Genk @ 2.3 Pacos Ferreira v Maritimo @ 2.17 Fenerbahce v Kayserispor @ 1.57 The Lubet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 15, 2011 Author Share Posted February 15, 2011 Re: Against The Head A Werder Bremen v Hannover 96 @ 1.8 :@ Sochaux v Marseille @ 2.52 :@ Rennes v Nice @ 1.58 :D C Man Utd v Man City @ 1.83 :\ Hibernian v Kilmarnock @ 2.63 :D Rangers v Motherwell @ 1.28 :D Queen of South v Partick @ 2.12 :@ AC Milan v Parma @ 1.4 :D Roma v Napoli @ 2.23 :@ Juventus v Inter Milan @ 2.94 :D Real Sociedad v Osasuna @ 2.12 :D Mallorca v Athletic Bilbao @ 2.25 :D Anderlecht v Cercle Brugge @ 1.27 :D Lokeren v Charleroi @ 1.55 :@ Standard Liege v Genk @ 2.3 :@ Pacos Ferreira v Maritimo @ 2.17 :D Fenerbahce v Kayserispor @ 1.57 :D A Strike Rate 8/13....61.54% Staked 130 Profit -4.2 Yield -3.23 C Strike Rate 26/41.....63.41% Staked 410 Profit 56.39 Yield 13.73 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted February 15, 2011 Share Posted February 15, 2011 Re: Against The Head Good going on the "Cs", TheLubet BTW, I am sure you will get a load of "views" on this thread.... most just wanting to drool over your avatar :D (PS... don't change it, or else this post will look stoopid ;)) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Re: Against The Head C Lyon v Nancy @ 1.47 The Lubet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Re: Against The Head No problem grex she's a babe. 19Feb11 A Portsmouth v Barnsley @ 1.97 Lens v Sochaux @ 2 Vitesse v De Graafschap @ 1.8 C Inter Milan v Cagliari @ 1.43 Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao @ 1.15 Real Sociedad v Mallorca @ 2.1 Marseille v St Etienne @ 1.59 FC Twente v NEC @ 1.33 PSV v NAC @ 1.18 Maritimo v Beira Mar @ 2 Braga v Pacos Ferreira 1.7 AEK Athens v Panionios 1.62 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 22, 2011 Author Share Posted February 22, 2011 Re: Against The Head A Portsmouth v Barnsley @ 1.97 :) Lens v Sochaux @ 2 :@ Vitesse v De Graafschap @ 1.8 :) C Lyon v Nancy @ 1.47 :) Inter Milan v Cagliari @ 1.43 :) Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao @ 1.15 :) Real Sociedad v Mallorca @ 2.1 :) Marseille v St Etienne @ 1.59 :) FC Twente v NEC @ 1.33 :@ PSV v NAC @ 1.18 :) Maritimo v Beira Mar @ 2 :) Braga v Pacos Ferreira 1.7 :@ AEK Athens v Panionios 1.62 :@ A Strike Rate 10/16....62.50% Staked 160 Profit 3.5 Yield 2.19 C Strike Rate 33/51.....64.71% Staked 510 Profit 65.50 Yield 12.84 Pity about the odds on offer for some C games. I'm surprised A is doing so badly, still if filtering out the A's gives a good yield toward C, i'll take that! The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted February 26, 2011 Author Share Posted February 26, 2011 Re: Against The Head 26Feb11 A Aston Villa v Blackburn @ 1.8 Juventus v Bologna @ 1.5 D Coruna v Real Madrid @ 9 Kaiserslautern v Hamburg @ 3.1 Rennes v Lens @ 1.73 Benfica v Maritimo @ 1.25 Iraklis v Xanthi @ 2.3 C Everton v Sunderland @ 1.75 Newcastle v Bolton @ 2.1 Stoke v West Brom @ 1.91 Roma v Parma @ 1.6 Schalke v Nurnberg @ 1.88 Bayern Munich v Borussia Dortmund @ 1.83 Lille v Lyon @ 2.25 Preston v Burnley @ 3.57 Rangers v St Johnstone @ 1.25 Dundee v Morton @ 1.62 Roda JC v De Graafschap @ 1.62 Feyenoord v FC Groningen @ 2.25 Pacos Ferreira v Vitoria Setubal @ 1.8 Trabzonspor v Kayserispor @ 1.63 Standard Liege v KV Mechelen @ 1.7 I missed a game midweek (Morton v Partick 1-0/1-0) Odds of 2.3, I won't count as not posted C group. The Lubet Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheLubet Posted March 1, 2011 Author Share Posted March 1, 2011 Re: Against The Head 01Feb11 A Espanyol v Mallorca @ 2.2 C Sevilla v Sporting Gijon @ 1.53 The Lubet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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