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KEY RACE: Cleeve hurdle cheltenham 29th january


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Two of the last three winners of this race have gone on to win the World Hurdle so even without Big Buck’s running this race should prove very informative, even if only to see who his main rival might be come March. age [win-place-runners] 5yo:3-1-11 6yo:1-5-18 7yo:1-5-17 8yo:1-2-13 9yo:4-2-14 10:0-1-9 11yo+:0-0-6 the age of winners has been fairly well spreed out with 5yos and 9yos having the best individual records . horses aged 10+ have a poor record [0-1-15] and should be avoided gender mares [2-0-2] have been successful in this race on the 2 occasions they have been represented in the past 10 years [2001 & 2002] weight since this race became a grade 2 in 2004 only inglis drever has managed to carry 11-8 to victory-5 of 7 winners carried 11-0 horses carrying 11-8:1-3-21 horses carrying 11-4:1-7-18 horses carrying 11-0:5-3-30 recent /past form 10 of 10 winners -finished in the 1st 4on their last completed start 9 of 10 winners -posted highest hurdles rpr in 1 of last hurdles runs 10 of 10 winners -had run in 6 to 19 hurdles races prior to this 10 of 10 winners-had no more than 5 runs since august 10 of 10 winners-had won or placed in a grade 1 or 2 9 of 10 winners -had won over 2m 5f 9 of 10 winners-had previously won or placed at cheltenham other races paddy power intermediate h,cap hurdle winner [grand crus]:2 [0-1-1] west yorkshire hurdle winner [fair along]:8887 [0-0-4] 8 of 10 winners ran at the aintree festival in april 3 of 10 winners ran in the relkeel hurdle finishing 2-1-2 3 of 10 winners ran in the mersey novice hurdle 1-2-2 only 2 of 10 winners ran in the previous world hurdle finishing 6-1 trainers alan king [2-2-7] has gained 2 wins and 2 places from 7 runners since 2001 howard johnson [2-1-7] has won 2 of the last 3 runnings [both 9yos] venetia williams [1-1-3] and paul nichols [1-1-6] and have each saddled one winner and one places in the last 10 runnings price 7 of 10 winners came from the first 4 in the betting no strong trends on prices, 3 of the last 5 winners going off 14/1 to 16/1 favourites [3-3-11] have won just 3 of the last 10 giving a level stakes loss of 3.90. based on trends for the last 10 yrs you are looking for a horse : - aged 5 to 9 - carrying 11-0 - finished in the first 4 last time out in past 60 days - run no more than 5 times this season - run 6 to 19 times over hurdles - won or placed at cheltenham - won over at least 2m 5f - won or placed in a graded hurdle - finished in first 2 in the relkeel or mersey novice hurdle - trained by alan king or howard johnson

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