Against the Favorite

[brecki]

Hello everybody, here comes my second system. I backtested an idea that seems to be profitable and I want to paper-trail it here to test it. I use the ratings of goonersguide and bet against any home favorite that has a rating of +120 or better and has a minimum winning odd of 1,26 or higher (on betfair). I bet on double chance draw/away win (which is nothing else than laying the favorite). The formula to calculate the odd is : 1/(home odd-1) +1 These bets will be with betfair. I also bet on asian handicaps where the dog gets an advantage of 1,5 goals. These bets will be with Bet365. Every bet will be fixed before the kick-off. I try to publish the bets as early as possible but of course I have to know the gooners ratings first. I will start with 100 Points - any bet will be with a 2 point stake. I expect to get a consistant monthly win. Bets will be not that much, approximately 20 per month. Any questions and commentaries are welcome !

[brecki]

Re: Against the Favorite Here come the first bets. As mentioned any bet´s stake is 2 points ! Bets on draw/away win (all bets with Betfair): Villareal - Osasuna 2,72 Inter Mailand - Bologna 3,94 Manchester City - Wolves 3,70 Chelsea - Blackburn 4,23 Asian Handicaps +1,5 for the away team (all bets with Bet365) : Villareal - Osasuna 1,50 Inter Mailand - Bologna 1,85 Manchester City - Wolves 1,85 Chelsea - Blackburn 2,175