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+1.5 goals


smw30

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Tentative system this, backtested a bit and it produced a fairly consistent (albeit pretty low) return. Based mainly on current form with regards to goals scored and conceded, also takes into account league position. English leagues & Scottish Premiership only. Definite paper trail, just want to try for a few weeks and see what happens. Singles only. Staking plan: - 30% of bank split between bets - 50% of profit banked, 30% of remaining bank then split between bets etc For the testing I'll be going with Betfair's odds as they tend to be best for this market. Starting bank : 100 points Week 1 Leeds v Portsmouth - 6pts @ 1.29 Tottenham v Portsmouth - 6pts @ 1.22 Barnet v Stockport - 6pts @ 1.29 Birmingham v Manchester United - 6pts @ 1.36 Southampton v Huddersfield - 6pts @ 1.33 Note that Barnet game odds are not on BetFair that I can see, odds from Boylesports. And I realise the staking plan is a bit risky but we'll see.

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Re: +1.5 goals Hey chap, best of luck with the system, just a word of note: I'd concentrate on only trying to utilise games over a certain threshold (say 1.3) as no matter how convincing a stats you find, I think if you just take odds around 1.2-1.25 then it will prove to difficult to win in the long run. Mainly due to the massive difference there is between 1.2 and 1.33. Maybe on your spreadsheet, open up 2 more sheets, 1 where you put in just over 1.3 results, and one where you just put in under 1.3 results and see how it works in the long run? My newly started thread based on +0.5 goals is here if interested: http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f21/ncfcrulzs-laying-0-0-system-111397/

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