[French Open 2017]

47 minutes ago, radicaly said:

For today:

Suarez Navarro +4,5 vs. Halep @ 1,92 on Pinnacle. (5pts) + Suarez Navarro to Win @ 3,65 on Pinnacle. (1pt)

Incredible odds on this game.
By just checking the H2H on clay, Suarez Navarro is at 4 Wins out of 4 games against Halep. Last one was Roma 2015 in semi final with a win of Carla 2-6, 6-3, 7-5.
If you take a H2H, it's 6/5 for Halep so she's not really dominating.
Since the beg of RG, both of them havent lost any set or went through Tie Break. Halep, as being ranked #3, had some easy games. It wasn't so complicated for Carla as well but Vesnina and Cristea are good opposition.
 

Khachanov +2,5 sets @ 1,8 on Pinnacle (6 pts)

Khachanov is having a very good RG so far defeating Berdych (ok, it's hard to analyse this game but still) and Isner. By the way, he didnt concede any break points against him. He was very strong on his first serve with 90% win. Against Berdych, 88%!
Murray lost a set in his first 2 games vs. Kuznetsov and Klizan and almost lost one to Del Potro on Saturday.
I really think that Murray can loose one set again today and this game might even go in 5 sets.

What a start... This is incredible..  

[French Open 2017]

For today:

Suarez Navarro +4,5 vs. Halep @ 1,92 on Pinnacle. (5pts) + Suarez Navarro to Win @ 3,65 on Pinnacle. (1pt)

Incredible odds on this game.
By just checking the H2H on clay, Suarez Navarro is at 4 Wins out of 4 games against Halep. Last one was Roma 2015 in semi final with a win of Carla 2-6, 6-3, 7-5.
If you take a H2H, it's 6/5 for Halep so she's not really dominating.
Since the beg of RG, both of them havent lost any set or went through Tie Break. Halep, as being ranked #3, had some easy games. It wasn't so complicated for Carla as well but Vesnina and Cristea are good opposition.
 

Khachanov +2,5 sets @ 1,8 on Pinnacle (6 pts)

Khachanov is having a very good RG so far defeating Berdych (ok, it's hard to analyse this game but still) and Isner. By the way, he didnt concede any break points against him. He was very strong on his first serve with 90% win. Against Berdych, 88%!
Murray lost a set in his first 2 games vs. Kuznetsov and Klizan and almost lost one to Del Potro on Saturday.
I really think that Murray can loose one set again today and this game might even go in 5 sets.

[French Open 2017]

4 hours ago, Fader said:

Lol yeah not the best of buddies. I wonder who the crowd will be with tomorrow?

Hi,

The crowd will clearly be behind Cornet.

Garcia decided to refuse to play for French FED Team last year to focus on a personal career. The girls in the team didnt understand her decisions and had some arguments. Cornet/Mladenovic/Parmentier are not talking to Garcia anymore.

On top of that, Garcia decided to stop playing double with Mladenovic. That's a shame and Mladenovic didnt really understood her decisions as they were really strong together. They won RG together last year.

Regarding the game: Garcia is more talented. However, Cornet is having an amazing RG so far. It's a no bet for me.

[French Open 2017]

What a disastrous day yesterday. lost 2 bets. Williams was very serious! Pouille should have lost the first set but eventually is in strong form. (-10 pts)
It can only get better!
Very surprised by Bertens and Cibulkova who should have won easily their 2nd round.. 
I put a coin on Radwanska @48 to win RG.

Nothing special today. I like Chardy & Olivo as underdogs.

Good luck to all,

[French Open 2017]

Good to be back!
Roland Garros is not really doing well for the French players so far. Too bad as I'm French...! And my 2nd pick is not going to help this trend!

My picks for today:

V. Williams vs. Nara: Nara +5,5 Handicap 2,2 @pinnacle

I find the handicap very high as Williams is not going to win so easily IMO. If you check her recent results, she's not like her sister trashing her opponents 1/2 or 2/2 in 2 sets. She waits for the good timing to do the break during the set, and it's done. The 2 tournaments on clay that she played so far havent been so easy and her first round on Sunday lasted 1 hours and 40 minutes.
Nara is definitely not a strong opponent but she's always fighting hard, even more on a 2nd round of GS. Hopefully, she will cover the HDC.

Pouille vs. Bellucci: Bellucci +5,5 1,9 @Pinnacle
Bellucci is in a pretty good form with 2 good tournaments in Roma and Madrid losing tight games against Cuevas and Goffin.
On the other hand, Pouille is not in a good run since 1 month. He lost in the first round these 2 tournaments mentioned above against Herbert & Querrey... For his first round in RG, he beat Benneteau in 5 sets who had a Wild Card...
If we talk about current form, there is no comparison. If you talk about experience, there is no comparison as well.
Mentally, Pouille is really strong and should be supported by all the Home fans. That's his main asset today but he will also have a lot of pressure.
As a reminder, he lost on the 2nd round last year in RG in 3 sets to Andrej Martin...! 

Over is another possibility as I expect at least 4 sets.

Good luck to all,

[French Open 2016]

Yes, Indeed... Horrible RG so far in terms of bets and tennis.. Haven't seen a great game since the beginning.. 

So many forfeits + surprises so far.. It's ridiculous..

Anyway, small bets for me for today: 

Svitolina first set @4.5 vs. S. Williams (3 pts) at pinnacle. + Svitolina (-1,5 sets) (1pts)  @14 on pinnacle
Considering the recent conditions + motivation issues with all these games postponed, Svitolina might be able to win the first set and surprise Williams.
Since the beginning of the tournament, she's flying (6/1 6/3 vs. Cristea, 6/3 6/0 vs. Townsend, 6/4 6/4 vs. Ivanovic). Of course Williams is another level but who knows.
Small bets.

 

[French Open 2016]

2 days without any big bets.. Just small stake not to be mentioned here.

For today: 

Safarova (-3,5) to beat Stosur @1.990 at pinnacle (6 pts)

First of all, Safarova is at 10-3 vs. Stosur and unbeaten on Clay in 3 games. It was 3 times in a row on a three setters and 2 times she could cover the 3,5 handicap. I'm confident that she will cover it this time. RG is the garden of Safarova. 

Safarova is on fire conceding only 6 games so far in 2 games. Even if Diatchenko and Golubic are not top class players, I've watched the game and she was 100% under control.
Safarova won Prague tournament 1 month ago (beating Stosur in final by the way) before being disappointing in Madrid (walk over) and Roma (losing to M. Doi).

Stosur is a strong player and has a strong season on clay so far. However, she barely beats better ranked player than her.. She lost 6-2 6-0 against Halep in Madrid 1 month ago.
 

Good luck all.

[French Open 2016]

Not too bad yesterday with 1/2. +1,64 pts thanks to Cepede.

For today,

Cirstea (-2,5) to beat Svitolina @ 2,35 (5 pts).

Cirstea has been amazing during the qualifying rounds with 3 easy wins. Of course Svitolina is another level but she has showed some good tennis since the Clay seaseon has started with a very good tournament in Madrid beating Jankovic, Kovinic, Siegemund but loosing to Cibulkova in 3 sets. She's at ease on clay in 2016 and arrives in the final table with confidence. On the other hand, Svitolina only won 1 game in her last 3 tournaments on Clay. She's definitely a much better player on hard surface. She has a lot of points to defend here as she went to QF last year (more pressure...). I just don't think that she's capable of beating Cirstea today.

[French Open 2016]

Hi All,

I've been following this forum since several years, especially Czech for all his good tips/advice. Thanks by the way,
I joined one year ago just before RG but didn't post anything at that time.

I finally take the time to put some of my picks for RG:

Hantuchova to beat Lucic-Baroni @3.4 with Pinnacle (3pts)
Cepede Royg to beat Lisicki @2.64 with Pinnacle (3pts)
 

I took 2 underdogs for the R1 of RG.
Hantuchova had a great qualifying tournament by winning 3 games by 2 sets to nil. She's a very experience player (reached 4 times the 4thround of RG) who should be able to beat Lucic-Baroni. 
LB did a great tournament in Strasbourg before losing 6-1 / 6-4 to Garcia.  Before reaching the final, she beat T. Babos but Parmentier and Mladenovic are definitely not very serious opponents these days.
I would expect this odd to be around 2.5.

Regarding the other bet, I'm betting against Lisicki more than betting for Cepede. However, Cepede, like Hantuchova, has already 3 wins in the qualifying tournament. Her motivation and confidence should be here for this game. This is The most important game of her young career.
Lisicki, on the other hand, hasn't done much since several months. She hasn't won 2 games in a row since February. 2016 is a disaster for her. I don't expect much from her here.

For the outrights, I put 1pt on Safarova @41 + 1pt @10 on Muguruza on Pinnacle as well.

Good luck all,