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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Ziener

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Posts posted by Ziener

  1. Re: Argentina > Primera division > 2013/14 Just amazing to see that down to 10 man and 0-1 against finally olimpo starts making tempo and showing they want to win. What a bunch of wankers :) Anyway I made some good profit in the Dutch league this weekend so I am not too saddened but for now I feel done with South America, just don't know enough to stake big and then it's no use.

  2. Re: Argentina > Primera division > 2013/14 That's a bit risky mate to me it looks a little dead at the moment not really exciting attacking play of either sides. I am going to watch for 20 minutes in the 2nd half and then probably make a consolidation if it is still not 1-0. Probably go for a draw or just a over 1.5 or over 0.5 goals if it catches on a bit. The old saying goes if the home favourits will not make the goal the away side will at some point.

  3. Re: Argentina > Primera division > 2013/14 72% possession so far for olimpio good sign. I didn't dare the half time bet just picked fulltime result bets here did not see much other value. I am now just going to watch it if they do not manage any lead untill minute 60 or 70 I might consolidate a bit but I really see no reason for them not to win now. Monday night is spooky however but I went in with about 5-10% of my total.

  4. Re: Argentina > Primera division > 2012-13 Hot tip for Tonight: Olimpo v Racing Club - Result: Olimpo @ 2.1 Pinnacle. The value on this bet is great I have both the Result and The AH-1 Olimpo which is at an Odd of 4.2. Racing Club is one of the worst teams in the world with only 3 goals made in 12 matches, lost 10 matches and drew 2. They have conceded 20 goals already more than anyone in the league. Olimpo on the other hand has the home advantage and their current place on the ranking is not very representative. They have an excellent home form with no loss in all of their 5 home matches so far in the Primera Divison. They also managed to beat Boca 3-0 at home 6 weeks ago or something. They have beat Velez Sarsfield ( rated by many as one of the strongest teams in the league ) with 1-2 Away 2 weeks ago. There is so much value on this bet that yet I question it a little bit but I cannot leave it. Hurry up the game starts in 40 minutes :) *I accidental typed 12 home matches which is a typo. They have played 5 home matches and lost none.

  5. Re: Sunderland v Newcastle United > Sunday October 27th Think this game will be similar to Crystal Palace vs Arsenal, the smaller derby. Both Sunderland and Crystal Palace are not good but CP did not play as diabolical against Arsenal though being the absolute underdog and they managed to put up a good fight with good drawing chances. The penalty and red card just made them be on the short end of the stick. Newcastle is by far not of the quality of Arsenal so I am cautious with betting any straight Newcastle wins.

  6. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th

    Result: Netherlands 8 Hungary 1 Bet won :ok Netherlands really went to town in attack in this game.
    Congratss and thankyou for the tip when I heard the announcer say van Persie played I banked on this one great value! All in all a fantastic night for me all my bets landed clap.gif Cheers all for some great tips. Especially Switzerland I didn't see that one myself.
  7. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th

    For Nethereland' date=' it's very importan to win in fact as they could lose their seeding place on WC. Especially after Belgium just took all three points in Zagreb[/quote'] Then again we have van Gaal, he is an egomaniac who thinks his system of giving young players a chance and experimenting is much more important besides he has not mentioned this fact at all. I would just be careful with goal bets and handicaps. I think it is safe to say we will win this match.
  8. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th

    I don't see Van Persie as crucial to Holland's chances. He only played half the game in Hungary when they won 4-1 and often seems to under-perform for his country.
    Underperforming? He is a few goals away of becoming the Dutch all time topscorer of the national team. More than van Basten,Kluivert,Nistelrooy etc. You can hardly call that underperforming in fact in qualification matches he is often a crucial factor with Robben. Our central defense, Martins Indi and de Vrij from Feyenoord are in bad shape at their club and are not performing well in the league at all. So I don't agree with the bet untill I know if van Persie is there or not but hope it will happen for you good luck :ok
  9. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th

    Group D Netherlands v Hungary Netherlands have already qualified. Hungary are second and competing with Turkey and Romania to finish runner up in the group. Hungary might well need to win this game to finish second because the other teams could easily win both their games. Romania are away to Andorra, then home to Estonia. So Hungary will probably try to win here - as there is no point in getting a draw and finishing 3rd in the group. Netherlands have a very good home record and I can see them scoring a few goals tonight if Hungary attack. The home team don't have to win of course, but I don't think they are the sort of team to give up a game, especially at home. Instead, they can play without pressure tonight against opponents who probably have to win. The Dutch have failed a few times at home - they drew with Germany and Italy in friendlies recently. But in general their home record has been excellent. They haven't conceded a goal in their four other home games against Turkey, Andorra, Estonia and Romania, scoring a total of ten goals against these teams. They beat Hungary 4-1 in Budapest last September, and I see a similar scoreline tonight, making Netherlands good value on the handicap - Netherlands -1.5 2.03 sbobet
    How can you bet this when it's still not sure if van Persie is playing tonight? Then we will field Ricky van Wolfswinkel. I would not bet on him as a Dutchman ;) Also our coach van Gaal has a reputation for experimenting since we are already qualified he will probably give some young players the chance while Hungary plays for their life as they can still qualify. Maybe you are lucky tonight but I would not recommend this bet untill persie is playing.
  10. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th I will not touch it but if I were too make a result bet I would favor Denmark but here is my problem. Denmark have to win so the Italians get to play their favourit counterdefending game and they are excellent at that. I see too many chances for failur but I were to try something it would be Denmark +1 AH or perhaps a under 2,5 goals bet. But they won't give you any fantastic odds.

  11. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th For those of you interested in Holland - Hungary I would advise you to pay good attention if van Persie is playing. It has been reported today in Dutch media he is still insecure for the game. Then Huntelaar is also out so in replacement you get the rather mediocre Norwich city striker van Wolfswinkel up front. This could dramatically influence the chances of your result and goal bets. Good luck.

  12. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread

    ziener i did the same' date='great profit blow on the same matches,lanus and velez with red card woes,cruizero was my biggest bet for some time,ouch,but theres always hope that you can go on a nice winning run,starting tonight i hope.[/quote'] Yeh never had such a dramatic loss so it might have alot to do with the fact I do not know the leagues very well. I stayed out of it tonight I will observe them for a while. Now trying to get some money back from the WC Qualification, it´s in the different topic but I would catch a few if you can there are some good ones. Handicap Germany 0-1, Sweden, to name but a few. Good luck m8 and next week Cruzeiro and Velez still look interesting.
  13. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread Might give that one a try but smalle stake as currently I have big hangover from south american football :\ was really doing good at the euros now got overconfident blew my profit of the past months away in 3 days of SA lol. Unbelievablely unlucky with velez cruzeiro and gremio. Good luck 2night boys.

  14. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th

    would like some opinions guys please, thinking a sort of punt bet spain v belarus over 4.5 goals, it's 2/1 on skybet and last time these guys played each other it was 4-0 spain, that was in belarus this time it's in spain, good bet? bad bet? i guess spain would have to do all the work for this one, being joint top of there group with france i'd expect spain to open up a clear goal difference advantage here might also add england to win 4/11 on skybet for a 3.09/1 double
    That's a bit wild m8 why don't you just take a over 2.5 and a handicap 0-1 or 0-2 in a multi bet. Probably same odd or better but much better chances. A 3 goal difference will do for the risk I think.
  15. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread

    Cruzeiro for me is the bet of the year' date=' as I stated above...Gremio is a dull team, playing for 1-0 and that´s all...should win, but tight....Nautico is a lost hope and Vasco is definitely not favourite against Fluminense....lots of missing players, including Juninho Pernambucano...Flu, on the other hand, will bring back Gum, Felipe and Edinho, coming back from suspentions...Flu is a favourite for me here tonight, but, despite of being played on neutral venue, it is a derby from Rio....we never know...I´ll skip it and focus on the blue machine for a possible handicap against a very weak São Paulo side...[/quote'] Thankyou well I was succesful before betting against Botafogo but backing nautico might be one step too far. I think Gremio and Cruzeiro are fine bets tonight and offer a fine odd. I will have to look a bit more into vasco vs flu but I might give it a try it feels like a must win for both. Vasco is fighting for their life and Flu is fighting for a possible five place increase or so. The injuries will make the final decision probably fall on Flu. Boa Sorte to both of us with Cruzeiro!
  16. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread

    Do Gremio have their full squad. Do they look a good bet?
    Just doing my final take and the top striker is there however the 2nd best striker is suspended with a red card. Still they should hammer them, looks good to me so does Cruzeiro who have almost all their good ones present. The rest is some more puzzle work.
  17. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th I stay out of the switzerland bet here. Just recently they could not beat cyprus away and they are far worse than albania is at home. Albania is quite decent at home drawing and almost beating sides like Sweden,Denmark,Norway and barely losing to Portugal altough still. They also beat Slovenia at home. Turkey is a decent bet but Estonia plays good counter as they did against Holland and Turkey has to go in head over heels. I stay out of Turkey as well.

  18. Re: Brazil Serie A 2013 Thread I am in on Cruzeiro and Gremio. Cruzeiro will be a major bet but i trust them more than my own. Gremio medium stake. Still contemplating Nautico 1-0 AH and Vasco 1-0. The latter is played on neutral grounds and both teams are in decent shape but I favour Vasco. Any advice here from the brazilian guys?

  19. Re: World Cup Europe Qualification > Friday October 11th Like your picks there m8 Turkey have everything to play for and so do Iceland. My tip would be Sweden - Austria 1 @ 1.75 Sweden are great at home and Austria never win away games against good sides. Sweden has to win this to secure their play off place and they have the quality to do so. Austria can also still win it IF they win so that means they are going to have to take alot of risk and give Sweden lot's of space. That is where the Swedish attackers excel in.

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