Pirate53
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Posts posted by Pirate53
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None today, docs appointment!
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2.30 As: Winning Ways
3.05 As: Emilia James
3.40 As: Qemah
4.20 As: Decorated Knight
5.00 As: Banksea
5.35 As: On Her Toes -
Chelmsford 19.40 Jelly Monger 1pt win @ 9/2 Sportingbet
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When I looked at Royal Ascot selections, most were false arbs, i.e. only an arb because one bookie (usually Betbright!) had pushed the price out. Hard to weed these out but they shouldn't count because no money is pressuring the price.
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Todays Sels, ignoring most of Royal Ascot.
Chelmsford
18.10
Uther Pendragon
1
13.00
Hamilton
17.10
Bonnie Gals
1
6.50
Ripon
19.50
Pernickety
1
8.00
Chelmsford
21.10
Misu Pete
1
7.00
Uttoxeter
16.45
Craig Star
1
9.00
Uttoxeter
16.45
Get Home Now
1
7.00
Hamilton
17.10
Bling King
1
6.00
Ripon
21.20
Yorkshire Pudding
1
11.00
Chelmsford
18.40
Classic Villager
1
10.00
Chelmsford
19.10
Jordan Sport
1
9.00
Ripon
20.20
Jack Flash
1
4.00
Chelmsford
19.40
Jelly Monger
1
6.50
Ripon
18.50
Carlovian
1
7.50
Chelmsford
20.10
Mazzini
1
4.00
Ascot
17.35
Gymnaste
1
8.00
Uttoxeter
14.55
Taras Rainbow
1
12.00
Chelmsford
20.40
Summerghand
1
7.50
Results: 17 Bets, 2 wins, 1 NR, -£3.00 -1.5pts. Quite a few 2nds today.
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Yesterday: 28 bets, 3 wins, 2 NR's -£5.00 -2.5pts
None today, gone to the zoo!
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Brighton 20.10 Swiss Cross 1pt win @ 6/1 Coral
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2.30 As: Ribchester
3.05 As: Denaar
3.40 As: Signs Of Blessing
4.20 As: Thunder Snow
5.00 As: Rainbow Dreamer
5.35 As Nootka Sound -
Todays Selections:
Wetherby
17.15
Ambitious Icarus
1
11.00
Wetherby
15.15
Bollihope
1
5.00
Nottingham
18.30
Dyllan
1
4.00
Wetherby
16.45
Fairy Lock
1
8.50
Carlisle
17.00
Royal Cosmic
1
8.50
Wetherby
15.45
Lozah
1
13.00
Wetherby
17.15
Decadent Times
1
13.00
Wetherby
14.45
Tor
1
7.50
Carlisle
16.00
African Blessing
1
8.00
Carlisle
15.30
Competition
1
34.00
Wetherby
14.15
Barford
1
17.00
Wetherby
17.50
Lady Joanna Vassa
1
5.50
Nottingham
18.30
Sir Dudley
1
17.00
Carlisle
16.30
Miss Sheriden
1
6.50
Carlisle
17.00
Knightsbridge Liam
1
13.00
Windsor
20.45
Sandy Shores
1
6.50
Wetherby
16.15
Danot
1
13.00
Wetherby
16.45
Kelpie Spirit
1
8.00
Windsor
18.45
Shovel It On
1
4.50
Wetherby
15.15
Scottish Summit
1
9.00
Wetherby
14.15
Kingfast
1
26.00
Nottingham
20.00
Toms Anna
1
19.00
Wetherby
14.45
Daveys Dilemma
1
10.00
Carlisle
15.00
Danish Duke
1
34.00
Wetherby
15.45
Beatbybeatbybeat
1
15.00
Windsor
19.45
Fit For The Job
1
8.00
Windsor
19.45
Ogbourne Downs
1
7.50
Nottingham
18.00
Lexington Grace
1
6.00
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Hi Snoop,
Yes, your first statement is what I'm saying. Simply placing a back bet on a horse that has been highlighted as value by being flagged as an arb. I don't arb or lay back later.
You're also correct in saying that some are only there for seconds. I probably miss as many as I find! The best ones are the ones that show up several times through the scanning period at progressively lower odds. While paper trading this last month I had several winners over 20 (1 at 34) that actually started in single figs. One 33/1 shot went off at 4/1! (Didn't win though!)
Nice to see someone following.
Cheers!
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Nottingham 18.30 Dyllan 1pt win @ 5/2 Betvictor
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Salisbury 14.45 Edged Out 1pt win @ 11/1 Betfred
- Tipsterix and BillyHills
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Just a few today:
Doncaster
14.00
Sovereign Bounty
1
5.00
Salisbury
14.45
Super Julius
1
7.00
Salisbury
14.45
Waseem Faris
1
13.00
Doncaster
16.00
Wentworth Falls
1
5.00
Doncaster
16.00
Dougan
1
9.00
Salisbury
16.15
Luna Eclipse
1
4.00
Doncaster
16.30
Aelius
1
11.00
Salisbury
17.15
Brother In Arms
1
11.00
8 Bets, 0 wins, -£16.00, -8pts
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Muss. 15.10 Orions Bow 1pt win @ 15/2 Bet365
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Yesterdays results: 25 bets, 2 winners, -£8.00, -4pts.
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Sandown 14.00 Branscombe 1pt win @ 15/2 Bet365
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Goodwood
20.15
Marzouq
1
4.33
Aintree
19.20
Buachaill Alainn
1
5.50
York
17.15
Peterhouse
1
7.00
York
14.55
Our Little Pony
1
6.00
Newton Abbot
16.30
Milan Heart
1
7.00
Sandown
14.35
Master Of Wine
1
13.00
Sandown
15.10
Endless Gold
1
6.00
York
16.40
Mark Hopkins
1
4.50
Sandown
16.50
Romanor
1
10.00
York
14.55
Laydee Victoria
1
21.00
Sandown
17.25
Chaparrachik
1
15.00
Aintree
20.25
Solar Impulse
1
15.00
Chepstow
19.00
Distant High
1
7.00
Chepstow
19.30
Sheer Intensity
1
5.50
Goodwood
18.35
Fiftyshadesofgrey
1
6.00
Sandown
15.45
Richie McCaw
1
5.00
Sandown
16.50
Lunar Jet
1
8.00
Goodwood
20.15
Ivegotthepower
1
10.00
Newton Abbot
17.00
Shows Over
1
4.33
York
14.55
Milton Road
1
6.00
Newton Abbot
17.30
Ragged Dream
1
13.00
Chepstow
19.00
Matravers
1
11.00
Sandown
14.00
Branscombe
1
10.00
Sandown
14.35
Font Vert
1
17.00
Chepstow
21.05
See and be Seen
1
7.50
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Newbury 15.40 Tomahawk Kid 1pt win @ 13/2 Coral
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Newbury
13.30
Curiosity
1
5.00
Uttoxeter
18.25
Buble
1
8.50
Haydock
20.10
Jacbequick
1
15.00
Fontwell
16.05
Lee Side Lady
1
6.00
Newbury
17.20
Zephyros
1
15.00
Newbury
14.30
Unified
1
10.00
Haydock
19.05
Leeshan
1
6.50
Uttoxeter
17.55
Pearlita
1
5.50
Fontwell
16.40
Bouggie To Pieces
1
7.00
Newbury
16.15
Herm
1
12.00
Newbury
15.40
Tomahawk Kid
1
9.00
Fontwell
14.20
Changing The Guard
1
15.00
Uttoxeter
21.00
Solstice Twilight
1
21.00
Nottingham
14.45
Le Tissier
1
17.00
Newbury
16.15
Lawfilly
1
8.00
Fontwell
17.10
Captain George
1
4.50
Fontwell
13.50
Kublai
1
4.75
Nottingham
17.00
Patent
1
8.00
Fontwell
15.30
Fort Gabrial
1
5.00
Haydock
18.05
Suitor
1
13.00
Todays Selections and the prices obtained earlier. Warning, as the value is in the prices don't bet on these now!
20 bets, 2 winners -£17.00 -8.5pts.
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Yarmouth 15.40 Robbie Roo Roo 1pt win @ 9/2 W.Hill
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June 13th 21 bets, 4 wins +£6.00 +3pts. No post tomorrow as flying back to UK. (Live part year in Corfu).
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Hi all,
Been a lurker and occasional poster on here for years but haven't actually contributed much so thought I'd share my latest system (if you want to call it one!). I have always been fascinated by, and looked to profit from, following the money with regard to early prices falling as money is piled on for one reason or another. The wisdom of crowds and weight of money moving prices downward. Obviously the only way to profit from this is to take an early and hopefully higher price.
I'd been a subscriber to Oddsmonkey for years, did a few arbs but soon tired of the low returns for much effort! Then I thought how about using Oddsmonkey as a scanner to highlight falling prices? I set up filters for racing only, bookies that still wanted my custom, and an odds range of 4-34 (3/1 to 33/1). With oddschecker open and all bookies logged in I decided to scan for about 1 hour each morning, backing at the best price I could when an arb of 100% or higher appeared. Typically this would give me 20-30 bets each day. Stake is £2 win up to odds 21 or £1 ew over 21. Some bookies where I'm restricted involve 2 X £1 bets to make my 2 quid! I started this on 1st June and up to yesterday my original £100 bank stands at £159.74. Some days I miss if it's not convenient. Saturdays are a bit too manic so miss those.
Yesterday as an example I placed 21 bets, 4 winners +£27.00 or 13.5pts
Was going to attach spreadsheet but not possible it seems.
I'll keep you posted!
- vikki37, BillyHills and Sir Puntalot
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17.15 Yarmouth. Agnethe 1pt win @ 7/1 Sportingbet
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Windsor 20.00 Arzaak 1pt win @ 4/1 PP
Royal Ascot Tipsters Competition - Day 3 Selections
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
2.30 As: It Don't Come Easy
3.05 As: Bay Of Poets
3.40 As: Mori
4.20 As: Big Orange
5.00 As: Son Of The Stars
5.35 As: Atty Persse