richard-westwood

@Zilzalian   @Sporting Sam     Got me started now lol 😆  ......all makes perfect sense really .....if you run the race from a physics aspect in your head...lets take a simple analogy...if an athletics track they all started level that's what's happening in racing !!!!.....the rail horse has a big advantage if it has enough form to win (important) .....  people have done numerous studies on this over years 
One study came up with the figure 1.89 length further if you ran 2 wide 🤔....and 2.83 lengths if you ran 3 wide 
Another study said a horse than ran 2 wide ran ...2 pi(RAD +4) =12.6 FEET or an average of 1.5 lengths 8f .......3 wide ran ...2 pi (rad +8) 25.1 feet or 3 lengths at 8f ......which all seems to back up the first study ...... you lose 1.5 lengths at 8f running 2 wide .....3 lengths running 3 wide . .......obviously if the horse is 3 lengths superior to the rail horse in form to begin with it can cancel this out but very interesting 🤔 
I mean expanding it .if 2 runners ran on an athletics track in lanes 1 and 2 from an equal start then a comparison with racetime plus dist ran using formula above would give you a rating that would obviously say the horse in lane 2 is much stronger even if lost by half length etc (you could adjust this)  and adjust for weight next time  .....food for thought 

I'm fascinated by the physics of racing....sections of my ratings incorporate this and I've based speed ratings on it in past with really good success........I just find it fascinating and enjoyable ...after all if equations govern moving objects ...a horse is just a moving object 🤣

Some interesting results yesterday many of which confirmed my belief surrounding the physics of racing. Hopefully based on some of yesterday’s results particularly at Salisbury and Carlisle. I can go forward and work out the odd forecast, the odd winner and maybe even the odd tricast.
I hope so anyway.

345 hay 
Persuasion  8.4 4/1 
Riot      8.2 8/1 
These 2 are a little ahead ....5pt win both 

Haydock. 
Single. 
3.45. Street Kid       6/1      8/1      1st
stk 5.00     rtn 35.00
Newcastle 
Double. 
2.45. Barroso      7/2     3rd
3.55. Caribbean Sunset    11/4
singles & double 
stk 6.00    rtn 50.25.
Good luck all. 

335 hay 
Very Very classy and interesting race ....obviously shaquille will be hard to beat but no horse is unbeatable in these 6f sprints ....blow the start and lose 2 lengths or draw bias and it can all be over so no value in shaquille price ....this is how I picture the race 
Shaquille   118 + 
Run to freedom  116 gs 
Khaddeem   116 gf 
Run to freedom would probably love just a drop of rain but is still capable on good ...khaddem is 7 yo and only seems to run his best once or twice a,season now but very Very capable when he plays his ace .....bet 365 are offering 18/1 khaddem and 8/1 Run to freedom (3 places without shaquille and spycatcher ) .... that sounds like an interesting bet now ....5pt ew both khaddem and Run to freedom 

3rd ...ew money 💰 

345 hay 
Persuasion  8.4 4/1 
Riot      8.2 8/1 
These 2 are a little ahead ....5pt win both 

Did it again posted the wrong day.
a losing selection in the last.

3rd ...ew money 💰 

Very nicely done Richard!!

3rd ...ew money 💰 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

Todays napers naps just to say don’t do below 5/1 because of e/w 
@Craig bluenose @Zilzalian @HERE @Donnyflyer @Gary66

Couple of Singles. 
3.00. Hayd Blue Moon Baby      5/1    unpl
stk 5.00    rtn 30.00
Parislongchamp
3.43. Alshinfarah     9/4     unpl
stk 5.00   rtn 16.00
Good luck all 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

845 wolv
Very classy 100000 sprint .....lots of these have questions marks over trip or going etc ....so the doors wide to spring a surprise ......I've rated the lowest 5 draws and the one that stood out was aramis grey ....last 2 runs were a bit lacklustre so is a speculative bet ....but I think he wants a fast 6f which might explain recent poor runs and he gets that tomorrow ....Nice low draw ...course and dist form reads 1214 ....so 14/1 5places seems,a value bet in what is a difficult race
5pt ew aramis grey 14/1 5 places
 

Live in the moment...wins ...Aplomb 3rd ...+32.00

+£32 today did c/o before last wich lost well done 

505 good 
 
Live in the moment 8.7 7/1 
 
Mister bluebird 8.5   8/1
 
Aplomb 8.1 
 
Strong ratings for these top 2 so I'll try 5pt ew top 2