** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **
v3rn0n
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Posts
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Posts posted by v3rn0n
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Bath 7:10 - Hope Is High - 5/2 @ Betfred
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Brighton 7:15 - Wapping - 9/4 Betfred
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Ayr 3:15 - Braes Of Lochalsh - 3/1 @SkyBet
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Ayr 5:30 - Horsforth - 7/2 @ Betfred
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Nottingham 6:40 - Socialites Red - 5/1 @ Paddy Power
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I'll have some of that..!
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15:35 Doncaster - Classic Seniority - 8/1 @ Coral
- BillyHills, corky, Jimmy2shoes and 1 other
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4
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3:20 Cartmel Charlie Wingnut 10/3 @ Stan James
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2:25 Newcastle
Dont Touch
7/2 Bet365
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Re: Does distance matter? An away betting model (272 bets, +33.18 points, +12.2% ROI)
I would be very interested in this, as I have been looking at all the information on Bayesian Theory since reading your post the other day. I have tried doing the calculations in excel but failed, Its a little bit too 'mathy' for me.If you want to know how to calculate win probabilities (1X2 odds) from ratings I would be happy to show you how. -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-19% yield) The latest installment that is sure to BOMB..! [TABLE=width: 748]
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Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 820]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]RETURN[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]17[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Burton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]3-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£20.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]18[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£20.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]19[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]D1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]01/03/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Ein Frankfurt[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]M'gladbach[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.14[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]20[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]F1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Sochaux[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Nancy[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]21[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]E0[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]02/03/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Stoke[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]West Ham[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]22[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]03/03/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Torino[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.16[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 600] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]22[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]£220[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]£[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]£[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 469] -
Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 820]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]RETURN[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]EC[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Lincoln[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.00[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]0-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]14[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Sampdoria[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£20.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]15[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Parma[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Catania[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]1-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]25/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Levante[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Osasuna[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]0-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]17[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Burton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]3-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£20.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]18[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 60]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]2.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 60]£20.60[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 600] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]18[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 120]£180[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 120]£192.50[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]£12.50[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 120]+6.94%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 800]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RETURNS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]EC[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Lincoln[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.00[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]14[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Sampdoria[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£20.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]15[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Parma[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Catania[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]25/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Levante[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Osasuna[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-2[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]17[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Burton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Morecambe[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]18[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]26/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Northampton[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Bristol Rvs[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.06[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 800] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]£160[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]£151.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]-£8.90[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]-5.56%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-15% yield)
I was amazed that a couple of these didn't come in, but that's how it seems to be going at the minute... CURRENT BET 126 units bet 35.18 units returned -90.82 profit/loss -72% yield RUNNING TOTAL 1638 units bet 1326.73 units returned -311.27 profit -19% yield Below are the stats for different multiple bets [TABLE=class: cms_table_cms_table_grid, width: 600] [TR] [TD]SINGLES[/TD] [TD]DOUBLES[/TD] [TD]TREBLES[/TD] [TD]4 FOLDS[/TD] [TD]5 FOLDS[/TD] [TD]6 FOLDS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5%[/TD] [TD]1%[/TD] [TD]-6%[/TD] [TD]-19%[/TD] [TD]-37%[/TD] [TD]-58%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE][TABLE=width: 748] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Southport[/TD] [TD]Woking[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.53[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Burton[/TD] [TD]Exeter[/TD] [TD]1.65[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Peterboro[/TD] [TD]Birmingham[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD]Ladbrokes[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Lincoln[/TD] [TD]Barrow[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Reading[/TD] [TD]Wigan[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Mainz[/TD] [TD]Wolfsburg[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.80[/TD] [TD]Bet Victor[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Barnet[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]1.65[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD]Millwall[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]Ladbrokes[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-15% yield) [TABLE=width: 748]
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Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 800]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RETURNS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]7[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]4-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]8[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Getafe[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Celta[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]3-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]9[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.26[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Rotherham[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]11[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Aldershot[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Torquay[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.11[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SC0[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Motherwell[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Dundee United[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]EC[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]23/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Lincoln[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Barrow[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.00[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]14[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Sampdoria[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]15[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]24/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Parma[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Catania[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]25/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Levante[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Osasuna[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.05[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 800] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]16[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]£160[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 800]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RETURNS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]7[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]4-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]8[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Getafe[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Celta[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]3-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]9[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.26[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Rotherham[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]11[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Aldershot[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Torquay[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.11[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SC0[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Motherwell[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Dundee United[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 800] [TR] [TD=class: xl64]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]£120[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]£130.60[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]+£10.60[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]+8.83%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 700]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RETURNS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]7[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]4-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]8[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Getafe[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Celta[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]3-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]9[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.26[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Rotherham[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]11[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Aldershot[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Torquay[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.11[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SC0[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]19/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Motherwell[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Dundee United[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.08[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-3% yield)
The bad run continues... CURRENT BET 126 units bet 32.66 units returned -93.34 profit/loss -74% yield RUNNING TOTAL 1512 units bet 1291.56 units returned -220.44 profit -15% yield Below are the stats for different multiple bets [TABLE=class: grid, width: 600] [TR] [TD]SINGLES[/TD] [TD]DOUBLES[/TD] [TD]TREBLES[/TD] [TD]4 FOLDS[/TD] [TD]5 FOLDS[/TD] [TD]6 FOLDS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7%[/TD] [TD]4%[/TD] [TD]3%[/TD] [TD]-15%[/TD] [TD]-32%[/TD] [TD]-54% [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE][TABLE=width: 748] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Woking[/TD] [TD]Newport County[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.53[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]17/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Nurnberg[/TD] [TD]Hannover[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.78[/TD] [TD]Bet Victor[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Hereford[/TD] [TD]Lincoln[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]BlueSQ[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SC0[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Motherwell[/TD] [TD]Inverness C[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.62[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Ipswich[/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Hull[/TD] [TD]Charlton[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [TD]William Hill[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Alfreton Town[/TD] [TD]Macclesfield[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Ebbsfleet[/TD] [TD]Stockport[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD]Mansfield[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]Best Odds >>>[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]BlueSQ[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 700]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]BET[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]DIV[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]DATE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]HOME SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]AWAY SIDE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]ODDS[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]STAKE[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RESULT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]RETURNS[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]1[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]D1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Hannover[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.28[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.80[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]2[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]F1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Troyes[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Sochaux[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.00[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]3[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]La Coruna[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Granada[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]0-3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]4[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]09/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Mallorca[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Osasuna[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.20[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]5[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]F1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]10/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Lyon[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Lille[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.12[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-3[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]6[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]12/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Leeds[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.20[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.00[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]7[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]4-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]8[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Getafe[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Celta[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.22[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]3-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£22.20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]9[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.26[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-1[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£0[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Rotherham[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£10[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]1-0[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]£21.00[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE=width: 700] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]BETS[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]STAKES[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]RETURN[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]PROFIT[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]YIELD[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]10[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 140]£100[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 140]£109.50[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]+£9.50[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 140]+9.50%[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] After a terrible (but typical) first week of bets, the 2nd week have turned it back around and I am even in profit. -
Re: ELO & Poisson rating system My system also gave Derby a greater chance of winning than Cardiff.
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Re: v3rn0n's HOME 50/50 [TABLE=width: 469]
[TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Crystal Palace[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Middlesbrough[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]SP1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Getafe[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Celta[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]I1[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chievo[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Palermo[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl64, width: 50]E3[/TD] [TD=class: xl63, width: 95]16/02/2013[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Rotherham[/TD] [TD=class: xl64, width: 130]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, width: 64]2.10[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-3% yield) [TABLE=width: 748]
Monthly Naps - Thursday July 13th
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
Carlisle 3:10 - El Hombre - 9/4 @ Bet365