v3rn0n
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Posts posted by v3rn0n
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 745]
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca
CURRENT BET 126 units bet 211.72 units returned +85.72 profit/loss +68% yield RUNNING TOTAL 504 units bet 604.72 units returned +100.71 profit +20% yield SINGLE UNIT BET TOTAL 34 units bet 38.89 units returned +4.89 profit +14% yield[TABLE=width: 795] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Bristol City[/TD] [TD]Peterboro[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.53[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Dartford[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Stockport[/TD] [TD]AFC Telford United[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.62[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SC0[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]St Johnstone[/TD] [TD]Inverness C[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Nuneaton Town (P)[/TD] [TD]Alfreton Town (P)[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.62[/TD] [TD]Stan James[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Cardiff[/TD] [TD]Millwall[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Bradford[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [TD]William Hill[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Brighton[/TD] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [TD]Bet365[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E2[/TD] [TD]29/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Milton Keynes Dons[/TD] [TD]Coventry[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD]best odds[/TD] [TD]1.91[/TD] [TD]William Hill[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: Liscarroll 21 - either team to score 4+ goals I think you should count the Middlesbrough v Blackpool result as a win and include it in your results. After all, you DID predict it and this thread isn't here to show your inability to place a bet :p
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 795]
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Re: BTTS Selections I'm looking forward to seeing how you get on. Good Luck. :D
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca And for the purists out there... Single bets would have the following returns: 26 units bet 28.83 units returned +2.83 units profit/loss +11% yield
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca
Due to the Bristol City vs Watford match being postponed 15 minutes after it should have kicked off, this weeks bet was a result (win) down and has affected the returns. Another bad week... CURRENT BET 126 units bet 73.95 units returned -52.05 profit/loss -41% yield RUNNING TOTAL 378 units bet 392.98 units returned +14.98 profit +4% yield[TABLE=width: 528] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Forest Green[/TD] [TD]Newport County[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Dartford[/TD] [TD]Ebbsfleet[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E2[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Bournemouth[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Braintree Town[/TD] [TD]Cambridge[/TD] [TD]1.53[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Bristol City (VOID)[/TD] [TD]Watford (VOID)[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Chesterfield[/TD] [TD]York[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Burton[/TD] [TD]Rochdale[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Rotherham[/TD] [TD]Port Vale[/TD] [TD]1.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]26/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Nuneaton Town[/TD] [TD]Tamworth[/TD] [TD]1.65[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 528]
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Re: Value Home Picks (6 bets + 70% yield) Good start, although I work your yield out to 59% (which is still VERY good)
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca It seems that most of the EC games are also off. So rather than alter the system to get the bet on, i'm going to leave it alone. VOID bet.
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca Due to the Torquay vs Exeter game being postponed, I will swap this game with the following: [TABLE=width: 479]
[TR] [TD=class: xl66, width: 48]E0[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, width: 107]22/12/2012[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 130]Liverpool[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 130]Fulham[/TD] [TD=class: xl69, width: 64]1.91[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 491]
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca To be honest, I am monitoring the best returns from singles, doubles, 3 folds and 4 folds. I feel that the 4 fold option is the most aggressive so I have put this on the forum because IF I pull it off, it will make me look AWESOME..! However, 2 weeks in and I am already thinking that I should have gone for the more conservative doubles which I can almost certainly 'guarantee' profit. Another system that I have been working on (and betting on) is currently 12 weeks in and showing +78% yield, which is nice, but I may just have been 'lucky', so more info to follow when I have confidence in it.
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Re: Sky Sports Fantasy Football League 2012/13 - Punters Lounge FREE League Only took me a week and I'm TOP OF THE LEAGUE..!
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca
252 units bet 319.03 units returned +67.03 profit +27% yeild[TABLE=width: 531] [TR] [TD]SC0[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Dundee United[/TD] [TD]Inverness C[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Burnley[/TD] [TD]Watford[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SC0[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Hibernian[/TD] [TD]Motherwell[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Fortuna Dusseldorf[/TD] [TD]Hannover[/TD] [TD]1.73[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E2[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Walsall[/TD] [TD]Yeovil[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SP1[/TD] [TD]17/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Celta[/TD] [TD]Betis[/TD] [TD]1.70[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]I1[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Lazio[/TD] [TD]Inter[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Cheltenham[/TD] [TD]Port Vale[/TD] [TD]1.65[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]15/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Blackpool[/TD] [TD]Blackburn[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: Under 2.5 Doubles System (5 bets + 11% Yield) That's a shame, cos I do love a good acca..! It all started so well... :(
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 531]
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Re: Low Risk = Mega Winnings Just out of interest, how are you identifying the games/teams to pick? do you have a mathematical system based on statistics or just a gut feeling..?
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Re: Sky Sports Fantasy Football League 2012/13 - Punters Lounge FREE League Just seen this and entered my team. A respectable 2nd place, not to shabby..!
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Re: 2DRAWSFAVSYSTEM I'm NO expert, but i think you have calculated your yield wrong..! By my calculations you have risked £120 to win £128 giving you a profit of £8 which is a yield of 7%. Can anyone confirm whether this is the case..? or can someone educate me on what I have done wrong..?
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca
126 units bet 209.75 units returned +83.75 profit +66% yeild[TABLE=width: 463] [TR] [TD]SC0[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Inverness C[/TD] [TD]Hibernian[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Ein Frankfurt[/TD] [TD]Werder Bremen[/TD] [TD]1.40[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Nurnberg[/TD] [TD]Fortuna Dusseldorf[/TD] [TD]1.95[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Hyde United[/TD] [TD]AFC Telford United[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]EC[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Dartford[/TD] [TD]Lincoln[/TD] [TD]1.60[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E3[/TD] [TD]09/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Burton[/TD] [TD]Accrington[/TD] [TD]1.61[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E0[/TD] [TD]09/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Everton[/TD] [TD]Tottenham[/TD] [TD]1.67[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D1[/TD] [TD]09/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Hannover[/TD] [TD]Leverkusen[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]E1[/TD] [TD]08/12/2012[/TD] [TD]Derby[/TD] [TD]Leeds[/TD] [TD]1.57[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] -
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca [TABLE=width: 463]
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Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca I should mention that ALL odds are with William Hills and the leagues that I use are the following: E0 - English Premier League E1 - English Championship E2 - English League 1 E3 - English League 2 EC - English Blue Square Premier SC0 - Scottish Premier League D1 - German Bundesliga SP1 - Spanish La Liga Primera I1 - Italian Serie A F1 - French Ligue 1
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After reading and following some great systems on here I have decided to contribute by putting up my own. My system is a bit different from the majority of the others as it combines 2 of my favourite bets, BTTS (Both Teams To Score) and accumulators. Without giving too much away on the first date, the basic system looks at past results which include shots on goal, shots on target and goals. Each team is then given a rating depending on their performance against their opposition, which is calculated from the odds given by the bookmakers. These ratings are then turned into an average to give each team a 'score' that can be reverse calculated on match days to give me an 'expected' amount of goals. From my results I pick the top 9 most 'probable' games where both teams will score and include them in a 4 fold accumulator (126 bets). I'm not starting with a bank, but will keep a running total of winnings or loses and the yield. This system has NOT been back tested and I would NOT recommend anyone following it. I WILL be backing this system and the first picks will follow later.
v3rn0n's BTTS acca (-19% yield)
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: v3rn0n's BTTS acca
CURRENT BET 126 units bet 35.54 units returned -90.46 profit/loss -72% yield RUNNING TOTAL 630 units bet 640.24 units returned +10.24 profit +2% yield SINGLE UNIT BET TOTAL 43 units bet 47.39 units returned +4.39 profit +10% yield This week was a bad week in general for BTTS bets as the percentage of winning games were a lot lower than the average. That being said, this system is only 1 of 4 that I am currently testing and and one of my other systems showed a +281% yield which is very exciting under this weeks conditions. I also mentioned before that I was keeping track of results had I used doubles or trebles instead of 4 folds, so FYI doubles currently stand at +14% yield and trebles +12% yield. Hopefully have better results with this system when the other leagues start back up and as usual I post more selections at the weekend.