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ElPrincipito007

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  1. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in US Open 2017   
  2. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Belgian Jupiler Pro League Predictions 2017/18   
    Both Sint-Truiden and Lokeren changed manager already.
    Oostende @1,75
    In my opinion Waasland-Beveren is a bit overrated here. They got 2 draws (3-3 and 2-2) but are conceding too easily. Oostende was quite good last week at Anderlecht and are the big favorite here at home.
    Genk @2,22
    2 "miracles" for Antwerp so far. I really think that they can grab some points at home this season, but they can't Always be so Lucky. Genk is the better team, so I expect once again a very defensive Antwerp. But Genk has some attacking power so I guess they will score what probably can be enough here.
     
     
  3. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in July 31 - August 6   
    The craziest of seasons. I didn't have any bets on the match, but Paul lost 3-6 1-6 against Muller last week and he beat him 6-7 6-4 6-3 this one? After getting seriously lucky against Ruud in the first round? What the...? There's a truly bizarre result or two every single day!

  4. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from Bazza23 in Europa League 3rd Qualifying Round > Aug 2nd & 3rd   
    Altach-Gent over 2.5 @2,12 (Pinnacle)
    Gent were the better team in the first leg, but they concede goals way too easy. It's really frustrating their coach Vanhaezebroeck. Past weekend they lost in Sint-Truiden with 3-2 and today they have to score at least one goal so I expect an open game.
  5. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30   
    Seriously though, 2017 has been sickening me over and over again. Look at Quiroz ffs - he was 7-6 2-0* up and had three break points to make it *3-0. And then he loses 7-6 3-6 1-6 and ruins the handicap bet. Too many of these freak occurrences this year.
    @Waggy_2 As I've already stated, I think that there is, especially in live betting, which is what you should go for if your ambition is to make a living out of it (not my case). I still believe that this is just a long downswing with very little luck going my way, as that's what my experience tells me. I've had losing seasons before, I've had winning seasons before, you can't win them all. Are there better sports for betting if all you want is profit? Most likely. Is it possible to win money in tennis? Yes, but I don't believe that you should be trying to do so if you don't enjoy following the game.
  6. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Belgian Jupiler Pro League Predictions 2017/18   
    I am a card holder at RSC Anderlecht for 20 years now  
    But that doesn't influance my betting.
  7. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30   
    There isn't any "one" place. Those who post them usually have them in their signatures or perhaps in the Glory Hunters sub-forum.
    As for myself - 2017 has been a nightmare so far, but yes, I'd say that I have a slight edge over the bookies in the long term. My feeling is that tennis betting has gotten harder recently, especially pre-match betting, but I believe that it's still possible to be profitable. Now to prove it...
  8. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to StevieDay1983 in Belgium Pro League 2016/17   
    Yes mate. Going up today! We will be more in-depth too with a topic dedicated to each week of action. 
  9. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30   
    Nice call, odds already dropped a lot.
  10. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in July 24 - July 30   
    One early pick.
    Back Marco Chiudinelli (+6) to beat Paolo Lorenzi at 1.93 with Marathonbet
    There's obviously a big gap between the two quality-wise nowadays, but I'm not convinced that this is going to be an outright demolition. Not only is Chiudinelli going to play his heart out at home, but Lorenzi is also bound to be tired after that run in Umag (where he needed several MTOs).
  11. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in July 17 - July 23   
    Lacko @2,3
    I don't see why he is the underdog against Opelka. I expect a close match with chances 50-50.
  12. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    I expected lower odds for her, so I am on Muguruza for the final @1,877
  13. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to four-leaf in Wimbledon 2017   
    Rafael Nadal/Gilles Muller over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with bet365
    Got to try this since Gilles has been playing his best tennis ever last year and especially this season. Now he's reached three finals and one being on clay. I remember the last time Rafa played Gilles in SW19 and it was two tiebreaks and third set 6-1 to Rafa since Gilles just fell apart after not being able to win a set when he had set points in both tiebreaks and it was only about two points where Rafa was better. Gilles has a mutch better chance of winning a set this time against Rafa.
  14. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    I am also on Zverev and Garcia.
    Third pick is Dimitrov AH  +2.5 sets @1,869
    When he is good, he is really good, but he often let it slip. After his fantastic start of the season, he had it much difficult afterwards. All in all, I don't think he deserves being such a big underdog. Federer is far more consistent, so I am going for Dimitrov to win a set
  15. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    Back M.Cilic/RBA - Over 3.5 sets at 1.80 with Paddy Power
    Both guys are playing really well at the moment, I was very impressed by RBA's composure against Nishikori honestly. Cilic to win probably, but not without a fight.

  16. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2017   
    Day seven selections
     
    Angelique Kerber vs Garbine Muguruza
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Well im hoping that it will be a great match as these two play good on the grass so two tight sets should happen and quite a few breaks as well
    Jelena Ostapenko vs Elina Svitolina
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Well i was shocked that it was not a three set match when Ostapenko was playing. But this will be a tougher match and is more likely that it will be a long one
    Ana Konjuh vs Venus Williams
    Over 21.5 games 4/5 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Konjuh to win 7/4 paddy power
    I like the look of Konjuh as she is playing well at the moment and should give her opponent a tough match as she is not exactly winning her matches easily and a upset might just happen
    Victoria Azarenka vs Simona Halep
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    Well there are so many good matches playing on the same day and this another one. Azarenka is playing well but her opponent is going to be really tough and might just nick it as she has played more tough matches in the last few weeks including that run in the French Open
    Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marin Cilic
    Over 35.5 games 4/5 paddy power
    Cilic to win 3-1 5/2 paddy power
    I expect Cilic to win but it is more likely to lose a sets against his tough opponent who had impressed on a surface that is not his best and is definitely good enough to give Cilic a good match
  17. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from four-leaf in Wimbledon 2017   
    Anderson AH -2.5 sets @1,813 (Pinn)
    Bemelmans said in the Belgian newspapers that the match against Medvedev was the best he ever played. I don't think he can do this another time as he's just an average player. Also Anderson is serving very well, so this could be an easy win for him.
    Johnson +2.5 sets @1,8 (Pinn)
    I see him more often take a set than not. Not really an explanation.
    Paire @2,1 (Pinn)
    He beated Janowicz in Stuttgart in 2 sets. There he was the clear favorite and now 2 weeks and a win over Janowicz later he's the underdog? At least the chances are 50-50 so I am happy to take this odd.
     
  18. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    Anderson AH -2.5 sets @1,813 (Pinn)
    Bemelmans said in the Belgian newspapers that the match against Medvedev was the best he ever played. I don't think he can do this another time as he's just an average player. Also Anderson is serving very well, so this could be an easy win for him.
    Johnson +2.5 sets @1,8 (Pinn)
    I see him more often take a set than not. Not really an explanation.
    Paire @2,1 (Pinn)
    He beated Janowicz in Stuttgart in 2 sets. There he was the clear favorite and now 2 weeks and a win over Janowicz later he's the underdog? At least the chances are 50-50 so I am happy to take this odd.
     
  19. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2017   
    Dominika Cibulkova vs Ana Konjuh
    Over 21.5 games 8/11 paddy power
    This match will be very close and i would be shocked if i dont see at least two tight sets
    Jelena Ostapenko vs Camila Giorgi
    Over 21.5 games 4/5 paddy power
    Over 2.5 sets 5/4 paddy power
    So another match and another three sets for Ostapenko to play in as she must love playing in these sort of matches as with her play she is more likely to lose a set. Her opponent by the way is playing well so it definitely wont be easy
  20. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to radicaly in Wimbledon 2017   
    Very good day with +11units.
    Czech I agree with your selection. 
    I also back Sakkari at +5.5 (7units)
    I have not seen the game between Brengle and Kvitova so can't say if Brengle played well or is just Kvitova who is missing some feeling/experience after such a long period away from Tennis...
     
    Good luck all,
  21. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2017   
    Back Fabio Fognini (+2.5 sets) to beat Andy Murray at 2.83 with Pinnacle
    Third time's a charm? Hopefully, nothing to add here really, just that the scorelines have been flattering Murray imo.

  22. Like
    ElPrincipito007 reacted to radicaly in Wimbledon 2017   
    0 out of 3. Disastrous day. 
    Surprised by Pouille and Medvedev actually.
    Very surprised by Kvitova as well. I have Garcia as To Win Wimbledon with 1 unit @64. Odds hasnt changed for her and playing againt Brengle instead of Kvitota next round is much better.
    Actually, I really don't see any favorite to win this year so I put a small coin on the french girl. Murray said that one day, she will be #1.
    For today, I like the below:
    Gulbis +6 vs. Del Potro @2,05 (7 units)
    Mannarino @2.09 against Sugita. (7 units)
    He lost in final last week but he's clearly more talented that the Japanese.

    Maria @4.5 against Vandeweghe.  3 units.
    VAndeweghe is overpriced here. 4.5 for Maria is a clear value to me. Small stakes.
  23. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from four-leaf in Wimbledon 2017   
    6 out of 8 today, that makes it a very profitable 1st round. 
    Paire @1,8 (Marathon)
    I simply rate him as the better player. Not much to add.
    Anderson-Seppi over 36.5 games @1,917 (Pinnacle)
    Seppi has some decent results on grass the recent years. Anderson isn't easy to break. I think this can be a long match
    Brown +2.5 sets @2,5 (Pinnacle)
    Pouille -1.5 sets @1,73 (Unibet)
    Sevastova @1,7 (Marathon)
    Vekic @4,2 (Marathon)
    She's on a good run and won against Konta 2 weeks ago. Value bet.
    Wang @4,1 (Marathon)
    She won against some good players this year and has a good record. She lost on Rolland Garros against Williams, but Williams didn't win easily. Now that Williams has some other issues, I think this game can be closer than expected.
  24. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from four-leaf in Wimbledon 2017   
    Youzhny-Mahut over 37.5 games @1,88 (Marathon)
    I think this match has every chance to go over 3.5 sets, as I can't see a clear favourite in this one.
    Lepchenko @2,79 (Marathon)
    She isn't having the best grass season, but neither does Davis. Se leads the H2H 2-1 and beated Davis quite easily on hard earlier this season. Worth a shot.
    Paire @1,8
    Estrella Burgos @2,28
    Ramos-Vinolas @2,41
    Lajovic @1,83
    Cirstea @1,81
    Makarova @2,02
    Kucova @3,44
     
     
  25. Like
    ElPrincipito007 got a reaction from Bronxie in Wimbledon 2017   
    6 out of 8 today, that makes it a very profitable 1st round. 
    Paire @1,8 (Marathon)
    I simply rate him as the better player. Not much to add.
    Anderson-Seppi over 36.5 games @1,917 (Pinnacle)
    Seppi has some decent results on grass the recent years. Anderson isn't easy to break. I think this can be a long match
    Brown +2.5 sets @2,5 (Pinnacle)
    Pouille -1.5 sets @1,73 (Unibet)
    Sevastova @1,7 (Marathon)
    Vekic @4,2 (Marathon)
    She's on a good run and won against Konta 2 weeks ago. Value bet.
    Wang @4,1 (Marathon)
    She won against some good players this year and has a good record. She lost on Rolland Garros against Williams, but Williams didn't win easily. Now that Williams has some other issues, I think this game can be closer than expected.
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