anaconda69

2nd and 3rd ...beaten by a horse never raced on turf ....still a good result...Ew on miller 50p rule 4 ...ran well 

Bless Him                                                           3 00 Asc/                1/40th   of a pt ew    40/1
Fivethousandtone                                             3 00 Asc/               1/40th    of a pt ew   33/1
Call Me Ginger                                                   5 25 Asc/               1/40th    of a pt ew   28/1

@harry_rag
Silkie wilkie. 441 
Korker. 433 
Ferrous  424 
Radio goo   422 
Badri. 420 
Bergerac. 417 
Dapper valley 415
Trefor 415
International girl 412 
Rock opera.  412
Manila Scouse. 410 
Dare to hope 408 
Brazen bolt 408
Rage of bamby 405 

Maybe, first 2 selections today came second to odds on favourites

Backing every runner at Ripon with a speed rating of 65+ would have generated a profit of 887 points with 334 runners from 2,580 runners, a ROI of 34%. A relatively small sample size but the AE is so high it may be worth investigating further.
5 year olds have 1,829 winners from 14,217 winners with a profit of 389 points. A much lower ROI but a higher AE. I would then combine that with other strategies, the sample size would reduce but the ROI / AE would increase.
For example combining this with forecast odds of between 2/1 and 16/1 increases the profit to 963 points with 1,683 winners from 12,195 winners with an AE of 1.10.
 

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES  Ascot 2.25 Attila The Honey 5.00 BETFAIR   Thirsk 2.35 Shamal Wind 4.50 BET VICTOR   Ascot 3.35 Hosaamm 3.50 BET VICTOR   Thirsk 3.45 Pearl Sands 5.00 BET VICTOR   Ascot 4.10 Miller Spirit 6.00 LADBROKES   Thirsk 4.20 South Parade 8.50 BETFAIR   Ascot 4.45 Apeeling 5.00 BET VICTOR   Thirsk 4.55 Dandy Fitz 4.50 BET VICTOR   York 5.30 Leadenhall 4.50 BET VICTOR 5 York 5.30 The Cookstown Cafu 7.50 BET VICTOR 5 York 5.30 Finbar's Lad 12.00 BET VICTOR 5 Sandown 5.55 Bletchley Storm 8.00 BET VICTOR   Chepstow 6.50 Rhubarb 11.00 BET VICTOR   Sandown 7.05 Naasma 9.00 BETFAIR   Sandown 8.10 Game Set 6.50 BET VICTOR   York 8.20 Merrimack 6.50 LADBROKES 4 Chepstow 8.25 Bonaventure 5.50 BETFAIR   Sandown 8.45 King Of Charm 4.00 BETFAIR   Chepstow 8.55 Meet Me In Meraki 6.00 BETFAIR              

Dunno why ???...usually it's ok 
150 ascot 
Simmering. 410 13/8 0.35 
Aviation time 402 16/1 2.32 excellent 
Tales of heart 390 12/1 1.71 very good
Definitive 382 
Alice Fairfax  376 
Mandurah.  374 
Betty clover.   369 
Handcuffed.    360 
 
I'm out visiting family so no access to computer now ....
225 ascot 
Sirona.  393
Friendly soul. 382 
Mr soprano  375 
Julia Augusta.  370 
Doom. 370 
Devoted queen. 369
Naom laoalugia. 364 
Thorn Brook 355 
 
340 ascot 
Luxembourg 493 
August Rodin 483
Sunway.  478 
Rebel romance. 473 
Muddle earth.  470 
Dubai honour. 465;
Goliath.   459!
Blue stocking 459
Hans Anderson.  450
.  
Not back til tonight ... So can't do other race  ....only 4 horses anyway so no value in race imo ?
Unless you tackle the dash 245 York ....I've already got results for that one lol 

I am also waiting for the correction, a return of 43% is not sustainable with this volume of daily bets.
This is turning out to be my most profitable month ever.

The Big Board                                               4 45 Asc   1/40th of a pt ew      20/1             -2nd
Good Earth                                                    7 15 Yrk   1/40th of a pt ew      14/1
Howth                                                            2 25 Asc   1/40th of a pt ew      40/1

Next time you have 4/5 winners can you let us know which ones beforehand so I can bang then in a lucky 15/31 

I need to start backing these selections or stop looking at the thread! 
Otherwise it’s almost like I’m sat here wanting the “inevitable” correction to kick in, not out of malice but to justify my faith in the laws of probability.
But, then again, if there’s one thing that’s almost certain to curtail your good fortune it’s me putting money on your selections. Damned if I do… 

I reckon you aint going back to them shorties. 😉

1 point profit on Thursday
COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER PLACES  Doncaster 6.45 Highland Olly 9.50 LADBROKES 4 Haydock 6.55 Sparkling Red 5.50 BETFAIR   Newmarket 7.05 Papagei 14.00 BETFAIR   Doncaster 7.45 Summer Of Love 4.25 LADBROKES   Doncaster 8.45 Zafaan 7.50 BETFAIR   Haydock 9.00 Jonny Concrete 3.50 BETFAIR   Doncaster 6.45 Highland Olly 9.00 LADBROKES  

Best day so far today with 5 winners from 14 selections at 12.00, 10.70, 8.82, 8.29 and 17/4 for a profit of 30 points
Now past the 150 mark
78 wins from 359 runs, profit 155.43

410 ascot 
King of the plains 356 15/2 1.01 
Individualism 341  7/2 0.4
Baltic. 335. 0.24 7/4 
Miller spirit 335 1.94 16/1 
Wasn't going to bet Friday but this race looks interesting ...Baltic is short priced fav but value bets are king of plains and miller spirit could run well at a big price (he's got same rating as fav !!) 1 PT Ew both 
 

Pedro second rated wins and top rated 4th

# Horse Odds Rating Val 1 Al Rufaa (FR) 10 107.30 78.29 2 Al Muqdad 15 106.86 110.29 3 Royal Velvet 10 106.78 72.68 4 Mostawaa 9.5 105.93 60.43 5 Lennon (FR) 5.5 103.35 19.73 6 Mister Mojito (IRE) 19 102.16 43.89 7 Carolus Magnus (IRE) 15 101.64 26.29 8 Visibility (IRE) 67 99.83   9 Naepoint (IRE) 12 98.55   10 Mr Swivell 11 97.94   11 Beylerbeyi 9.5 96.91   12 Havanarama 13 96.27   13 Bluelight Bay (IRE) 15 90.95   14 Lough Leane (IRE) 15 85.54   Fair to say the market has moved around a bit for this race! I've done Al Muqdad e/w at 15/1 to 4 places (can't see anyone going 5 now). Agree Al Rufaa was strong at 25/1 but that's long gone.

3 out 4 placed ....I think we are dialled in 😁 ...ready to go live Saturday now 

Even my friends curse me when I bet on Irish 🤣🤣......it's ridiculously bad .....they just don't bother betting because the results are stupid .....you can have a horse rated 400 ....and a 50/1 rated 344 .....and the 344 will win by over five lengths over the 400 .....it's that bad and you just think wtf 😒...time and time again .....I'm either missing a vital piece or all the figures for the races over there are totally inaccurate ....( Course standards ....postmarks etc .) Which is possible .....I just don't know ...all I know is it doesn't happen in France 🤣🤣

COURSE TIME  SELECTION ODDS  BOOKMAKER Doncaster 2.00 Thapa VC 5.50 BETFAIR Sandown 2.10 Spring Bloom 4.50 BET VICTOR Sandown 2.40 Pantile Warrior 7.00 BETFAIR Doncaster 3.05 Kings Merchant 4.25 LADBROKES Sandown 3.15 Alla Stella 6.00 LADBROKES Sandown 3.50 Spaceport 4.50 BETFAIR Doncaster 4.15 Eranthis 14.00 LADBROKES Sandown 4.20 Enrico Caruso 7.00 BETFAIR Yarmouth 5.30 Dream Harder 5.50 QUINNBET Yarmouth 6.00 Hover On The Wind 12.00 BETFAIR Newbury 6.15 Absolute Queen 7.00 BETFAIR Yarmouth 6.30 Royal Velvet 9.00 BETFAIR Yarmouth 7.00 Love Billy Boy 4.50 BETFAIR Yarmouth 7.30 Tropical Island 3.00 BETFAIR

Ragosina                                                          7 45 Neb/          1/40th of a pt ew        33/1
Holy Fire                                                          7 00 Yar/            1/40th of a pt ew        40/1
 
 
 
P/L       + 178 Pts

High violet and seargant Mayer and kirumu all  placed 

Second rated won at 12/1. Gordon Bennett was the only other to run well 

Christ ...even with this stay away from Irish richee🤣

Placed