Ashtee
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Posts posted by Ashtee
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New Zealand @ 1.38
Extra importance applies to this game for both but Cairns 1-11 away record says something in itself. Particuarly after a tough travel day and with Breakers crowd bringing them home. NZ a better chance than this IMO!
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Canberra +10.5 @ 1.90
Obviously Montgomery an interrupted preparation but needing every player 101% isn't the issue for them. They've been good for chunks of games lately. Strong chance to finish close with the unrested Rangers.
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Played, Townsville +1 @ 1.90
No rest & bus trip but low mins from starters last night. Hopefully seeing top spot present itself combined with depleted opp doesn't proove that great a downfall. Seem on a focussed road weekend and with talent advantage should be enough to make it a fight, at least.
Ps. Backed this with Nigerian bookmaker who sent me email this morning.
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You on anything?
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Tomlinson on the Lynx team sheet.
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Must admit I haven't bothered looking into that total.
Forced to have a play I'd be on Perth right now. Got a hunch we'll see them pretty good tonight but that's just the opinion of someone who's due a loss on the night.
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I thought a positive for them would be important road double header should focus them and the bench often gets it done too in those scenarios. Now, I wonder do they come out a bit slack knowing that Griffen is out??
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Don't think I'd be taking any 1.01 for this Town line to hold on.
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Bit surprised you weren't on (Fire) or was it the line movement that got you? Can't blame you but. A hard team to trust this season.
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Some SEQ players obviously are in better shape now than they had been (along with Lynx & Rangers I think they can win it, only for the finishing possy) and I agree, Lynx aren't exactly blowing the league apart at present but by what I can glean, should be better prepared than Adel were. Tired and still somewhat jerked around SEQ has got to make it tough.
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Townsville bet is effed .. jumping out to an early ten point lead.
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I marked the Perth game near to it's current mark but didn't dive in this morning. Happy to sit back.
Rangers into fave with Pinnacle.
Leans to the unders on both the early games but decided to stay cautious, so together with also reneging the NBL under there's no doubting what never fails to happen here.
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Tonight;
Dandenong @ 2.35 & +2.5 @ 1.95
Should see a desperate Flames again but they may well be outclassed again by the very impressive Rangers, who are one of just three teams currently that can win champioship IMO, looking to secure a good finals spot.
Townsville -9.5 @ 1.92
Townsville have their problems beating anyone by ten but get their chance tonight, even though the bench will see plenty of minutes.
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Looks half Lightning team made prearrangements to see family and are out. SEQ -5.5 @ 1.88. Should do it on talent alone.
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Opened -5.0 last night, which would have been a bet for me a few days ago but ...
Boarded a plane three hours ago.
Is the location of that stadium (Logan) conjuicive to getting crowds?
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I think those two might have fallen over!
![:\](/images/smilies/ohwell.gif ":\")
Illawarra - Melbourne Over 180.5 @ 1.92
Previous meetings 174M,189I,193M. Melbourne don't get this high too often at all but no surprise to find they are 5-7 away, while #1 Illawarra are higher at home and usually over playing the middle ranked teams. 180.5 was as much as I was keen on, so would probably leave the current number.
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Two plays on tonigts game:
Adelaide @ 2.00
It doesn't bother me that Randle is out, they are the more healthy, united and puposeful team. Currently around 1.81 & -2 is still a good deal IMO.
Adelaide - New Zealand UNDER 176.5 @ 1.95
I can't support this move for an over with Randle out (0-3 before he arrived, BTW). 36ers have played some no-defence teams since the 211 with #7 Townsville, who were all guns ablazing that night and on fire off some insipd performances. 36ers games have actually been more defensive at home this season, while Breakers overs come at home. They are 1-11 away. Breakers always like to set up and slow the pace and that's what could be expected in this hugely important game. Previous meetings: 161A,186N,168N.
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With public money for the under I manged to get some 160.5 very late, so, together with scrounging a part return on Canberra, the day wasn't as bad as could have been.
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Yep, relieved to just drop half unit on that game but if they hit that last basket would have taken it.
Just got some Sydney @ 4.01
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I wonder if she'll consider just getting a stop?
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Missing Swords but they should be desperate agian. At the same time SEQ look onimous if they're not caught a little slack off those wins - usually put a knock on a players after getting POW award too.
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Couple points lower would spark my interest.
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They either win on a sniff of inspiration or lose doub digits again, which is why I was always thinking odds but rather than taking 2.60-2.70 I thought +2 was a good deal - perhaps more likely get done on a last play rather than close a losing gap.
Same with Sydney game, as you say. Don't fancy the cap but leaning to Flames win odds but wanting it to drift somewhat.
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Canberra +2 @ 2.40 Pinnacle
Won after QT last week against Townsville. Adelaide could be weary on second leg of consecutive road weekends, where they've been up for each game. Best part of this bet is Caps can keep their flawless losing record and I still win. Took quarter of the stake +4 @ 2.03
WNBL 2015/16
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Posted · Edited by Ashtee
Problem riding Canberra is never know ehen the 0-15 run will hit. 3QT 51-50