thecurlyone1

Place Backs system noted earlier in the thread is available for anyone also.
Send an email to [email protected]
28.5 pts profit on this system for May after 2% commission at Betfair SP
 
 

And that's how we finish the season.
Overall position now looks like this (going back to the 2013/14 season).
271 bets showing a level stakes profit of 66.87 points with an ROI of 24.67%. This is the fifth season I've recorded to advised stakes, which show 162 bets, 41.33 points profit and ROI of 28.6%.
The level stakes ROI has been (earliest to latest) 27.03%, 25.91%, 13.04%, 21.84%, 41.06%, 19.75%, 20.04% and 30.17%.
I wonder what the odds are on Kev being back next season? Surely he can't be too far away from retirement now!

No bet this week so we may be done for the season unless anything tickles his fancy for the CL final.

Another great run yesterday by Thaayer, just beaten by a neck off 14.78, disappointing not to close it out.

Todays selections are below;


26 May 2021 14:50 BEVERLEY Midnite Bride 26 May 2021 15:10 HAMILTON Blistering Barney 26 May 2021 16:20 BEVERLEY Casilli 26 May 2021 17:10 HAMILTON Gunnerside 26 May 2021 17:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Sir Rodneyredblood 26 May 2021 20:30 WARWICK Hillview 26 May 2021 20:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) International Law  

This week we have Schalke +4.5 Asian handicap corners v E Frankfurt,1pt at evens with 365.

Bet won.
19 wins and 1 push from 28 bets. +9.45 points to advised stakes with an ROI of 34.36%, +8.95 points to level stakes with an ROI of 31.96%

Nice winner with Tynecastle Park yesterday at 7.84.
 

30 Apr 2021 14:20 CHEPSTOW Cogital 30 Apr 2021 14:55 CHEPSTOW Coul Kat 30 Apr 2021 15:35 MUSSELBURGH Victory Angel 30 Apr 2021 15:50 GOODWOOD Tasfeeq 30 Apr 2021 17:50 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Camelot Tales 30 Apr 2021 18:20 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Imperial Command 30 Apr 2021 19:55 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Klopp 30 Apr 2021 19:55 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Nordic Fire 30 Apr 2021 20:25 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Sambucca Spirit  

No paywall shenanigans this week!
 
Under 11 Asian total corners Dundee United v Ross County, 1pt at 1.875 with 365.

Youve smoked it for us @harry_rag 
 

20 Apr 2021 13:00 SEDGEFIELD Cooper's Cross 20 Apr 2021 14:40 SEDGEFIELD Road Warrior 20 Apr 2021 15:10 SEDGEFIELD Snowy Burrows 20 Apr 2021 15:45 SEDGEFIELD Just A Sip 20 Apr 2021 16:10 YARMOUTH Winter Snowdrop 20 Apr 2021 17:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) At Your Service 20 Apr 2021 17:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Katelli 20 Apr 2021 18:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Muftakker 20 Apr 2021 18:30 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Travel Lightly 20 Apr 2021 19:00 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Scale Force 20 Apr 2021 19:30 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Dark Side Prince 20 Apr 2021 19:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Stylish Performer 20 Apr 2021 20:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Puffin Island  

If reciprocal of bookie odds against reciprocal of the computed odds shows an edge of 10% or above. Gives 65 bets from 1541 games showing 27.78 profit at 1pt level stakes.
No qualifiers from this weekends games. One qualifier from the midweek games in the list I presented which was an away bet on Morecambe v Scnuthorpe, a resounding loss with the home side winning 4-1.
OTOH last weekend also threw up a single bet, Wealdstone v Barnet, home win @ 2.59 who obliged with a 5-1 victory.

16 Apr 2021 13:50 FONTWELL Full Back 16 Apr 2021 14:50 NEWBURY Caribou 16 Apr 2021 16:35 NEWBURY Folly Beach 16 Apr 2021 16:40 BATH Nodsasgoodasawink 16 Apr 2021 16:50 EXETER Kilmington Rose 16 Apr 2021 17:20 EXETER Seaside Girl 16 Apr 2021 18:50 EXETER Espressino  

2nd April
No winners on the Win Backs yesterday, three qualifiers, two places and a good run from Beat the Breeze especially but none got to the line first.

2 Apr 2021 14:25 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Irish Times 2 Apr 2021 14:25 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Noble Queen 2 Apr 2021 14:35 LINGFIELD (A.W) Fizzy Feet 2 Apr 2021 14:50 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Devil's Angel 2 Apr 2021 14:50 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Global Warning 2 Apr 2021 15:10 LINGFIELD (A.W) Lampang 2 Apr 2021 15:35 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Papa Stour 2 Apr 2021 16:00 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Glen Again 2 Apr 2021 16:07 CHELMSFORD (A.W) United Front 2 Apr 2021 16:15 LINGFIELD (A.W) Bangkok 2 Apr 2021 17:07 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Spirituoso 2 Apr 2021 17:30 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Kind Review 2 Apr 2021 18:10 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Excellent George
 

Just to note that from 1st April I won't be listing the Second System selections here any longer. If you wish to receive the same please send an email request for this to
[email protected]
Just to note that since 1st Feb the place backs are up 48 units using this second system to flat stakes, net of 5% commission.
 

This week’s selection is Morecambe +1.5 Asian handicap corners v Harrogate, 1pt at 2.0 with 365. Already into 1.85.

A losing bet this week.
15 wins and 1 push from 23 bets. +6.975 points to advised stakes with an ROI of 31%, +6.475 points to level stakes with  an ROI of 28.15%

Boom!
29 points profit yesterday which was just incredible. The cream being Mrs Milners huge win at Cheltenham in the 13:55 which won at a whopping 24.0. This was followed up by two more winners at 5.90 & 5.57. A brilliant day for us.

Here's todays selections

19th March
19 Mar 2021 13:20 CHELTENHAM Adagio 19 Mar 2021 13:35 LINGFIELD (A.W) Desert Boots 19 Mar 2021 14:10 LINGFIELD (A.W) Hotalena 19 Mar 2021 14:45 LINGFIELD (A.W) Tone The Barone 19 Mar 2021 16:30 LINGFIELD (A.W) Secret Glow 19 Mar 2021 17:05 LINGFIELD (A.W) Princesse Animale 19 Mar 2021 19:15 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Travel Lightly 19 Mar 2021 20:15 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Mister Blue  

Just to restate, the selections are listed daily but if they are below 5.0 BSP at the off then they are ignored.
We'd three qualifiers on Thursday with Greek Kodiac trading into 1.13 from 6.60 but it finished second frustratingly.

Here's todays selections

18th March

18 Mar 2021 13:35 DONCASTER Gilbertina 18 Mar 2021 13:55 CHELTENHAM Mrs Milner 18 Mar 2021 14:20 HEXHAM Buddha Scheme 18 Mar 2021 14:45 DONCASTER Onemorefortheroad 18 Mar 2021 15:20 DONCASTER Aquila Sky 18 Mar 2021 15:30 HEXHAM Cash Again 18 Mar 2021 15:40 CHELTENHAM The Shunter 18 Mar 2021 16:05 HEXHAM Achill Road Boy 18 Mar 2021 18:25 CHELMSFORD (A.W) United Front 18 Mar 2021 18:55 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Headley George 18 Mar 2021 19:25 CHELMSFORD (A.W) Puffin Island                                                                    

Three very good runs yesterday with Mukha Magic trading into just 1.10 from 8.60 but no winner.

Just to restate, the selections are listed daily but if they are below 5.0 BSP at the off then they are ignored.
Here's todays selections
16th March


16 Mar 2021 12:30 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Sezina 16 Mar 2021 13:00 SOUTHWELL (A.W) High Security 16 Mar 2021 13:35 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Qaaraat 16 Mar 2021 15:20 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Custard The Dragon 16 Mar 2021 15:30 SEDGEFIELD Oxwich Bay 16 Mar 2021 15:55 SOUTHWELL (A.W) Red Stripes 16 Mar 2021 17:15 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Silver Shade 16 Mar 2021 18:15 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Brazen Bow 16 Mar 2021 18:45 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Greek Kodiac 16 Mar 2021 18:45 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Streak Lightning 16 Mar 2021 19:15 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Seas Of Elzaam 16 Mar 2021 19:45 NEWCASTLE (A.W) Devil's Angel

Todays selections are below.

Two good winners on Friday brought back up our week after a few good runs but no winners. Also Royal Act traded into 1.39 from 6.01 on Friday but ran in second so it was close to being a huge day. We're still up over 20 pts in March.
Just to restate for those that might have skipped through the thread, the selections are listed daily but if they are below 5.0 BSP at the off then they are ignored.
(Also just to note that for flat stakes since 1st Jan that selections under 5.0 at the off (backed to WIN) is down 8 units.
Selections above 5.0 is up 4 units YTD off 5% commission, this moves to 9.5 units profit off 2% commission; this is a very positive recovery with Jan down 11 units and February down 5 units so March has seen a positive recovery.
Here's todays selections

15th March
15 Mar 2021 13:45 PLUMPTON Whydah Gally 15 Mar 2021 14:17 PLUMPTON Clondaw Robin 15 Mar 2021 14:33 STRATFORD Beach Break 15 Mar 2021 14:40 TAUNTON Menapian 15 Mar 2021 14:47 PLUMPTON Blame The Game 15 Mar 2021 15:10 TAUNTON The Widdow Maker 15 Mar 2021 16:10 TAUNTON Queen Of The Court 15 Mar 2021 16:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Kylla Looks 15 Mar 2021 16:40 TAUNTON The Boola Bee 15 Mar 2021 16:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Choosey 15 Mar 2021 17:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Big Wing 15 Mar 2021 18:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) International Law 15 Mar 2021 18:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Mukha Magic 15 Mar 2021 19:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Nellie French 15 Mar 2021 19:50 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Shaqeeqa 15 Mar 2021 20:20 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Atacamena

Another winner without the need for the handicap start.
15 wins and 1 push from 22 bets. +7.975 points to advised stakes with an ROI of 37.09%, +7.475 points to level stakes with  an ROI of 33.98%.

3 winners on the trot, good going

Kahinha gave a good run into second off an opening BSP of 10.14 yesterday but no winners from the four qualifiers.

12th March


12 Mar 2021 12:30 LINGFIELD (A.W) Stopnsearch 12 Mar 2021 13:00 LINGFIELD (A.W) Crimson King 12 Mar 2021 14:30 SANDOWN Grey Diamond 12 Mar 2021 14:40 LINGFIELD (A.W) River Wharfe 12 Mar 2021 15:30 LEICESTER Royal Act 12 Mar 2021 15:50 LINGFIELD (A.W) Swiss Pride 12 Mar 2021 16:05 LEICESTER Newberry New 12 Mar 2021 16:10 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Miracle Garden 12 Mar 2021 17:15 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Kath's Toyboy 12 Mar 2021 18:15 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Sea The Shells 12 Mar 2021 20:15 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Katheefa

Second System
Two good winners yesterday at 13.0 & 6.40 respectively.

12 Mar 2021 14:20 LEICESTER Mind's Eye 12 Mar 2021 14:20 LEICESTER Pop Rockstar  

12 Mar 2021 14:30 SANDOWN Grey Diamond 12 Mar 2021 14:30 SANDOWN Longhouse Sale  

12 Mar 2021 15:40 SANDOWN Monsieur D'Arque 12 Mar 2021 15:40 SANDOWN Monty's Award  

12 Mar 2021 16:05 LEICESTER Iskabeg Lane 12 Mar 2021 16:05 LEICESTER St Merryn  

12 Mar 2021 16:10 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Miracle Garden 12 Mar 2021 16:10 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Terri Rules  

12 Mar 2021 16:40 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Ancient Astronaut 12 Mar 2021 16:40 WOLVERHAMPTON (A.W) Andre Amar  

Second System
I've run some staking systems using this second system and there is an angle for place backing all at stake say of 1% of bank for today, and if today is a losing day raising this stake to 1.2% of bank for day 2 and onto day 3 again if day 2 is losing etc. Definitely Not a full loss recovery but something small and consistent (maybe 10-20% of an increase from day to day). The hit rate on the places is decent and there are good priced placings in the selections (eg one placed at 8.0 yesterday).
Here's todays selections - as mentioned I will likely put my email up here and anyone that wants the selections into the future I can email them on directly. The thread will get too busy here between the two systems and I don't want any confusion.

10 Mar 2021 13:00 FONTWELL Ardbruce 10 Mar 2021 13:00 FONTWELL Brother Bennett 10 Mar 2021 13:00 FONTWELL Cooladerry King 10 Mar 2021 13:00 FONTWELL Dawn Sunrise 10 Mar 2021 13:00 FONTWELL Hold Me Tight  
 

10 Mar 2021 14:00 FONTWELL Ballyegan Hero 10 Mar 2021 14:00 FONTWELL Definite Dilemma 10 Mar 2021 14:00 FONTWELL Neil The Legend 10 Mar 2021 14:00 FONTWELL Twenty Twenty  
 

10 Mar 2021 16:15 CATTERICK Show Promise 10 Mar 2021 16:15 CATTERICK Steel Wave