Simao BVB
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Posts posted by Simao BVB
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Re: AFC Champions League 2011 Esteghlal Tehran - Al Nassr Riad Esteghlal need a win over Al Nassr to go to second round, while for Al Nassr a point will do. Al Nassr won first game in Saudi Arabia 2-1 in which Esteghlal took a lead, but Al Nassr manage to overturn the result in their favour. Esteghlal got no significant injury concerns, but for Al Nassr their Australian defender McKain is suspended. Bet: Esteghlal AH -0.5 1.8 odds, Bet365
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Re: AFC Champions League 2011 Pakhtakor Tashkent - Al Sadd Al Sadd need a win if they want to finish first place in this group nevertheless of other results...any slip of points and Al Nassr will have a chance to overcome Al Sadd being just one point behind. Pakhtakor lost any chance of qualifying to second round, so they will play for pride. Al Sadd is without influential defender Lee Jung-Soo, Ali Afif and Majdi Abdulla are injured too...three players need to be careful as they don't want to receive a yellow card which will mean they will have to miss next game. Pakhtakor has selection concerns of their own, they are without Krimets and Sharofedtinov. I think that a team with Belhadj, Abdul Kader Keita and Leandro will have to much for Pakhtakor and win this game which will guarentee them first place in this group and second game at home in second round. Bet: Al Sadd AH0
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Re: AFC Champions League 2011 Jeju United - Melbourne Victory Both teams need to win this game to have any chance of progressing to second round. Jeju United is third in group with 6 points, trailing by one to Gamba Osaka, whose game is at home against leaders of the group Tianjin Teda. Melbourne Victory is fourth with five points. Everybody in Jeju is somewhat shocked after their striker Shin Yong-Rok collapsed into a coma during last weekend game vs Daegu FC in K-League (3-0). Coach has visited Shin in a hospital and said that everyone in his team has desire to win and play in second round. Melbourne Victory also has some selection problems as Cernak, Pondeljak and Angulo will not feature in this game, but Robbie Kruse, young striker returns and will build a partnership with Archie Thompson up-front. Jeju is playing good at their own stadium and Melbourne is not great away although they got a point in China against Tianjin, but lost the game at Osaka 5-1. Bet: Jeju United AH -0,75 and over 2.5 goals
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Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May
It can certainly go over, but Santander is not the team who will go attacking, they're pretty much defending team with lack of decent strikers, so even bad Atletico defense might survive. Santander will try to win, but they won't risk it too much, because even one point would men a lot for them.What does anyone think of Santander-Atletico to go over 2.5? Santander are 4 points above the drop and therefore somewhat safe, but not entirely. They have won their last two games and have a decent home record. I know nothing of them as a team or how they operate though. I watched Atletico at the weekend when they for trashed 3-0 by Malaga. Two goals came from out wide so that may be something Santander could look to exploit. According to the info I read they are without Perea and Godin in defence which would also help. Historically you always fancy Atletico to both score and concede in a match and they need to try and cement their EL place. Kun and Forlan are both available which is obviously good. I know that Ujfalusi is chronically slow at the back and if Santander have any pace they could try and exploit that. All in all I quite fancy this bet, even though the odds are right on the cusp of where I'd leave it alone. Currently 1.80 at Bet365. Am I missing anything crucial? -
Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May Malaga -Sporting Gijon This a clash between two teams who needs a few more points to be safe from relegation. Malaga is 3 points ahead of danger zone and Sporting Gijon 4 points. Malaga got extremely hard schedule in last 2 weeks, first they go to Athletic Bilbao and in the last game they will play Barcelona at home. Surely Barcelona will be champions before that game but it's never easy to beat Barcelona, especially when they will play relaxed, even with a B team. Sporting Gijon coach M. Preciado usually rotates squad a little bit during the week games and should do the same today, because they have very important match at home on Sunday against Santander and Hercules away on the last day. Malaga has full squad available, only goalkeeper Asenjo is long-term missing. Gijon is without Diego Castro, Sastre and Cuellar. Malaga is in great form winning 13 of last 15 points available, especially with the help from Baptista and Rondon. With all the facts written above my bet is Malaga win at 1.72, bet365
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PSG - Nancy PSG in need of a win for their ambition of entering champions league football next year. They're 2 points behind Lyon, who occupies the last place which guarentees place in Champions League qualifying. On the other side we have Nancy who is currently on 18th place which will put them down to Ligue 2 if that doesn't change in last 4 rounds. They're 2 points away from safety. PSG won last 2 games at home against Lyon (1-0) and Valenciennes (3-1), while Nancy came back with zero points in their last 2 away games, losing to Sochaux and St. Etienne with one goal margin. PSG will be without Armand, Ceara, Makelele, Luyindula for tonight's game and Nancy will miss the services of Bracigliano, Alo'o Efoulou, Diakite, while important defender Andre Luiz is doubtful. I believe that PSG who looks good in recent weeks will have too much for Nancy side and the visitors will have to search for points to stay in Ligue 1 elsewhere. Bet: PSG AH -1, 1.7 Bet365
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Re: AFC Champions League 2011 Cerezo Osaka - Shandong Luneng Cerezo Osaka need one point to be sure of qualification into the next round of Asian Champions League, while Shandong is trailing Osaka by two points so they need to win this game in Japan. Shandong Luneng will be under the guidence of interim coach Magic, who was assistant of Branko Ivankovic, who was fired last week after string of bad results, one of those even draw against amateurs from Indonesia in AFC Champions League. Shandong is also missing suspended central defender Wang Qiang Cerezo Osaka only need one point to be sure of qualification, but i believe they will try to decide this game a little bit earlier to eliminate any kind of pressure in dying minutes. Bet: Cerezo Osaka AH -0.75, odds 1.85 Bet365
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Re: Tennis - 9-15 May are this courts in Rome as fast as in Madrid or are much slower. I'm considering putting bets on Makarova against MJMS and on Bartoli against Parra Santonja...i know that MJMS is defending title from last year but i don't think her form in anywhere near the level from last year...also Stakhovsky against Hanescu if courts are fast
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Tonight's game Laval vs Evian is very important for Evian, they are first with 4 point advantage from 4th place which doesn't bring promotion and with 4 games till the end Evian will do everything to win in this game, but Laval is very strong at home having 9 wins and 8 draws with zero loses. Laval is in the middle of the table virtually safe from relegation having 10 point advantage with 4 games to play and are 9 points away from 3rd place which guarentees promotion. What do you guys think about this game?
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Re: UEFA U17 CHAMPIONSHIP Hey guys, what do you think about France win today againt Denmark with odds around 2.00...Denmark already first in this group and France with a win will join them in the semifinal...so Denmark will probably play with some mixed squad trying to rest important players for semifinal game, while France will do everything to join Denmark in that semifinal.
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Re: Bulgaria A PFG 2010/2011 todays game in Bulgarian league caught my eye...Chernomorets in really bad form recent weeks, they probably stopped playing when there season is virtually over, on the other side we have a team Kaliakra also in bad form, but they still trying to avoid relegation and have beaten Montana away two week ago...they have odds around 5 for a win today and 3.75 DNB on Kaliakra...maybe Jompy can provide more info about missing players. I know that Savio Nsereko is in the squad of Chernomorets but he was injured and i don't know if he is fit yet? Nevertheless odds on Kaliakra look very tempting
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Re: Spain - Liga Adelante - 6-8 May I like Barca B - Albacete over 3 goals as both know how to find a net and play without any pressure as Barca B can't promote and Albacete is already relegated. The second bet worth considering is Cartagena (-0,75AH) - Ponferradina. Cartagena fighting for promotion playoffs spot, while Ponferedina already relegated.
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Re: Ukraine Premier League 2010/2011 i saw the game and indeed what a blunder from Metalurg Z goalkeeper...they should be two goals infront by that time as Mahno said. What about Zorya +1 against Dnipro today. Zorya still in relegation fight and need a few more points to be safe, while Dnipro is sure as european contender in UEFA Europa League for next year so motivation is on Zorya side.
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Re: Spain - La Liga - 7-8 May Hello guys, for tonights games i like a few bets which i would like to discuss with you... Athletic Bilbao - Levante Athletic Bilbao would want to enter european competitions once more and for this achievement they "must" win games like this against Levante, who looks pretty safe from relegation and for that they should be more relaxed. Athletic Bilbao AH -1 Getafe - Almeria Getafe in very dangerous position, while Almeria already relegated. Getafe will surely fight for survival. Getafe AH - 1 I also like Sporting Gijon against Deportivo although in this game i see as one of possibilities also a draw, so Sporting at around 2.1 looks a bit short, but under 2.25 looks decent at prices around 1.7 in a match between teams that don't score or concede a lot. Valencia had pretty tough schedule in Mestalla recent weeks, so in fight for direct place in champions league should win a game with Real Sociedad who is very bad in away games. Valencia AH -1 at around 1.7 Last game that is interesting is the one between Atletico Madrid and Malaga where we should see some goals, over 3 maybe an option with prices around 2 odds. Good luck guys
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Re: ARGENTINA Primera Division 2011 Thread What do you think about tonights games? I'm leaning towards Quilmes who is in fine form recently and also on Olimpo and Colon, but i will have to do more research...
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Re: ARGENTINA Primera Division 2011 Thread
i was also on this bet...although it was very close till the end...nevertheless congrats tommysmith:clapNewells v Godoy Cruz bet= over 2.5 goals @ 13/10 william hill. 20th v 3rd with Godoy scoring 2 goals per game on the road & Newells scoring over 1 per game at home. Thinking goals, so thats the bet. GL :ok -
Re: Ukraine Premier League 2010/2011
Hey Mahno, where can i find info on missing players...i was looking into this game earlier and based on stats and form i was leaning towards Metalurg but without info on missing players i didn't bet on this game. what do you think about price offered for over 2, which is around 1.65?Metalurg Z. v Kryvbas Metalurg are bottom of the table.theoretecly they are not relegated yet but they need to win all 3 games and hope other teams will lose. Anyway back to this match.kryvbas is missing few players today: Lisickiy,Petrov,Bartulovuch and Ivaschenko are all suspended.Maksymov and danylovskiy are injured. Metalurg missing Teyku and Ashraf is doubtful. Metalurg only lost once in last 7 home matches while Kryvbass only had 1 win away in whole season. Metalurg Z DNB @1.67 bet365 -
Re: Tennis - Madrid ATP Masters/WTA Premier Event (1-8 May) Hey guys, what about Monfils win against Karlovic? Monfils definitely a better claycourter than Karlovic, he is fast, good in defense and got quite a nice serve. Karlovic only played "clay" in Houston this year. I think Monfils should win this. The other interesting match-up for me is Falla - Baghdatis. Baghdatis in pretty dreadful form last weeks and was never very good on clay. Although Falla doesn't have one of best seasons, he is still in my eyes more suitable on clay than Baghdatis.
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Re: Sweden Allsvenskan 2011
that shouldn't be a reason for making the bet. Facts are that GAIS have two wins at home at the beginning of the season and Elfsborg got 2 losses. Elfsborg is considered better team than GAIS but that doesn't show at the moment. GAIS is missing great striker Alvaro Santos, but have Omotoyossi back if he would be selected, also they have great player in Wanderson, who is making the difference. Maybe DNB on GAIS or GAIS AH (0) would be best selection here.I will add to your reasons another one: they haven't beaten Elfsborg in last couple of years and I think it is time for a win of GAIS Gotenburg. -
Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Tuesday 29 March Both sides have some missings and at first glance missings in Northern Ireland squad look more important than missing of our main CD Cesar, who will be replaced with Mavric-Rozic, player with similar qualities (strong, good in the air, lacks pace) but definitely not the same overall quality. I know that Lafferty is quite fast, so his missing is definitely a blow, as is Healy's and maybe most important of all missings is A. Hughes, the rock at the back of N. Ireland defense and if J. Evans will not be ready (i expect him in starting line-up) that will be a huge blow for the hosts. There is a chance of rain during the game and if we know that pitch on Windsor park is not in good shape we can expect an underish game with host trying to defend and create something on counter or through set pieces, while Slovenia will probably have more possesion, but will find it hard to penetrate through N. Ireland defence. There are some indications that we will see formation change for this very important game, from usual 4-4-2 to 4-2-3-1, but that is not confirmed and we will have to wait till official line-ups will be out. To sum up, i expect underish games with a narrow win for Slovenia.
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Re: Ice Hockey: EBEL - Austrian league
Maybe more important than "must win" bet is that Zagreb is welcoming back some players which didn't play last or last games (Kinasewich, their best scorer, Powers and Sandrock)...surely they will not be 100% fit, but 15000 fans in Arena Zagreb will surely help...on the other side we have Olimpija, which is not in the best form and with both teams fighting for play-offs motivation is surely on the highest level. I agree on Zagreb win, just adding some more info on this game.
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Re: Tennis - The Australian Open (17-30 January)
It's gonna be really tough for Dolgopolov to get anything from this match. So far he played players that are better known for their hitting and power than defensive skills in which Murray is surely one of the best in tour. Dolgopolov is hitting the balls very hard, he's not changing his approach and Murray will surely ran and try to get as many balls possible back in play. Murray was often playing to defensively, but that is not the case in this years Melbourne as he is hitting the ball pretty hard. In my opinion Murray will destroy Dolgopolov as he is also fresher, because he's played very short matches opposing to Dolgopolov. Ukrainian is new going so long in the Grand Slam, so there are many points that go Murrays way. I like the way Dolgopolov plays and he will surely make sure his name will be heard a lot in the future.Dolgo-Murray is a tough match to call IMO. Instinctively you think Murray will win as he will be far more consistent and persistant than Soderling and others were against Dolgo, but on the other hand Dolgo is patient as well so Murray won't destablise him too much either, and Dolgo seems to me to be more of a go-getter than Murray in clutch moments. I think it could be close, as long it all doesn't suddenly start to catch up on Dolgo. He's had a tough draining set of matches, and he needs to be mentally fresh for this. -
Re: 22nd Men's Handball World Championship (13th-30th Jan.) I'm leaning towards Denmark win against Croatia and France win agains Spain in today's matches. Denmark will be a bit fresher for today's very important game against Croatia which will bring two extra points (or one a piece) to one of these teams going in second group phase. Croatia had very hard match against Serbia yesterday in which main players Balic and Vori played quite a lot, so will surely feel some tiredness if not sooner in later stages of the game with high tempo team of Denmark. Croatia was a little bit lost without Balic in attack as Duvnjak after his injury is not on the level expected. Denmark has also some advantage in the bench as Wilbek is surely more experienced than Goluza, who was there with Cervar during all the successes Croatia team had, but to be in charge and have to making decisions in crucial moments is smth different, so i'm expecting a win for Denmark in tonights game. France is the main favourite for the gold watching games so far, they have excellent defense with brilliant keeper and so much variety, creativity in attack, the latter missing for the Spaniards who are playing like "robots" with power, a lot like Germany. So Wins for Denmark and France in tonights crucial matches.
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Re: Asian Cup
:welcome to PL' date=' Simao. Great and very informative first post, btw. Keep them coming;)[/quote'] Thanks, will try my best:)
Austria Bundesliga, 11 MAY
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
Posted
11 May 20:30 FC Magna Wr. Neustadt v LASK Linz 1.44 4.33 7.00 11 May 20:30 FC Wacker Innsbruck v SV Ried 2.40 3.30 2.90 11 May 20:30 Rapid Vienna v SV Mattersburg 1.30 5.00 10.00 11 May 20:30 SK Sturm Graz v FK Austria Vienna 2.20 3.25 3.25 SK Sturm Graz - FK Austria Vienna We will see very important match tonight in Austria Bundesliga. Leader Sturm Graz will welcome third place Austria Vienna. They're just two points separating this two teams and with 4 games till the end, this is one of most important matches of the season. Sturm Graz is without important midfielder Hoelzl and Wolf, full back Perthel is still not 100% fit. Austria Vienna will miss Marko Stankovic, Tomas Jun, Petr Vorisek and Schumacher. Both teams have great attack with great strikers, Kienast and Szabics in Sturm, while Austria has Linz and Junuzovic. I believe that goal line is too low. Bet: over 2.25 goals 1.75 odds, bet365