Simao BVB
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Posts posted by Simao BVB
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Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 20-22 August
I would be careful about this match as Man Utd suffered 3 injuries in a game vs West Brom, with Ferdinand out for six weeks, Vidic two and Rafael 10 weeks on the sidelines. Also Hernandez is out. What worries me is that Man Utd will have very young back four with a young goalkeeper, so it will be interesting to see how will they cope with Crouch, Defoe, Pavlyuchenko, Van der Vaart or whoelse might play in front for Spurs. The only experienced player in back line of Man Utd is Evra and he will play with either Jones, Smalling, Evans, Fabio, who are all very young.Man.United – Tottenham Man.United has a very good record against Spurs at Old Trafford. They won last 6 home games against Tottenham and in 5 out of these 6 games they won by at least 2 goals. I expect price on Man.United to drop further closer to kick-off, so will be taking this one early. Man.United -1 AH @ 2.15 (5 units) Bet365 -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 16-17 August
Yes it's true that BATE lost with Minsk, but they have a pretty big advantage in Belarussian league, so they rested some players for a very important game with Sturm. Just to point one fact to consider when putting a bet. Good luckBate Borisov : Sturm Graz
Bate could be well placed as favorites but the odds are not attracting me and instead I rather go for Sturm Graz. Bate might have more European experience but their current form is not at the top of the hill and a proof to that is the poor game on Friday when they lost to FC Minsk. Sturm Graz on the other hand is coming into this encounter on the back of a 1:0 win against Rapid Wien and that might be the morale boost they need for this 1st leg. Bate will be missing suspended playmaker Renan Bressan and Evgeni Kuntsevich, Alexsandr Pavlov which are injured. Also 5 more other players are threatened to miss the second leg if they pick up a yellow card. Sturm Graz has also few missings but they also stand on a 6 player threat in case of yellow card. The teams might try not to bruise each other too much and risk suspensions for the decisive leg in Austria and I expect a tight game with few chances for both sides. Odds are tasty for asian handicap on Sturm so I'll go for that and hope they will be at least go home with a draw. Plus, even if they would lose by 1 goal difference I'll still recover half of my stake. Selection: Sturm Graz +0.5,+1.0 @ 1,72 - 6/10
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Re: Dutch Eredivisie August 13-15
You are right that Groningen created many chances in a game vs. Roda and would deserve much more than loss, but it's also important to know that Roda was with only 10 men from 12th minute when their player was sent off and Groningen manage to score from a penalty. Roda was pretty lucky with two goals in the end, but they fighted and got a reward with a win in front of their own fans. I didn't see much of the ADO game, but i think they will Bulykin pretty much this year. They still got great creators but their lack of quality finishing might cost them this season, but transfer window is still open.Groningen - ADO 1 @1' date=72 (Unibet) Groningen had a good game at Roda JC last week even though they lost, they created many chances and gave few away. They were very unfortunate to lose the game. Ado played a boring 0-0 draw at home against Vitesse and were not impressing. The game was boring and so was ADO. They do have Verhoek available who cancelled his own transfer to Nottingham at the very last minute. He is in the squad for sunday. Medium stakes:hope -
Re: France - Ligue 2 - 5-8 August meatman, Atko and others who contribute on this forum, you shoudn't be paying much attention to anyone who can't give you a thank you for all the work you are doing here...providing everybody with much insight and your views on the games...keep up with the good work and good luck...
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Re: Tennis - Wimbledon I don't think that Kvitova will choke in this match, but i still believe that Sharapova will win. Kvitova will play the only way she knows with powerful hitting which is impossible to stop even for better defensive players than Sharapova is. On the other side we have Sharapova who is back in position she hasn't been for years. She is a great fighter and competitor and that is why i think Sharapova will prevail.
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20 May 20:30 FC Gratkorn v SV Scholz Grodig 1.70 4.00 4.33 20 May 20:30 FC Lustenau v SCR Altach 4.33 3.75 1.75 20 May 20:30 FC Trenkwalder Admira v Austria Lustenau 1.25 5.50 11.00 20 May 20:30 Hartberg v First Vienna FC 1894 2.20 3.40 3.20 20 May 20:30 St Polten v WAC St Andrä 2.10 3.40 3.40 Gratkorn - Groedig There are 2 games left in Austrian Erste Klasse and Gratkorn is a team along with Hartberg and First Vienna who is fighting against relegation. Hartberg is currently in best position having 36 points, while Gratkorn and First Vienna have 33 both. One of them will directly relegate, one will go in extra play-off games with a team from lower league and one will stay directly in Erste Klasse. Groedig on the other side got virtually nothing to play for as they're safe with 40 points. So the character of players will come to show, also they're playing for some extra money. Gratkorn manage to win 3 of last 5 home games and won the last two, that's a signal that they're fighting hard to stay in this league and that's why i will go on them today, although the odds are not that great. Groedig only managed 3 points in last 5 away games and lost the last two. Gratkorn will miss suspended midfielder Mario Steiner, while Groedig will be without center back Thomas Pfeilstoecker, defensive midfielder Matthias Hattenberger and left winger Daniel Sobkova. Bet: Gratkorn AH -0.75, 1.95 odds
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Re: Netherlands - Eredivisie Play-offs - 19 May I would be on Den Haag too, but they're missing one of their best players who is great in attack Wesley Verhoek, who was providing all season with goals and assists and i don't know if Den Haag got any decent alternatives.
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Re: Denmark SAS Ligaen 2011
FT: 2-1 Bet won.FC Nordsjaelland - Randers In tonights game both teams are in fight against relegation, so motivation is surely on both sides. Both teams were in pretty good scoring form lately and i think that trend will continue tonight. Randers FC will miss their number one GK Ousted, they're also without Fejzullahu and Traore but they're not so important. FCN are without Nordstrand, Bernier, Stockholm. Stockholm is their captain and will surely be missed in midfield. I believe that the likes of Lawan, Nielsen and Mikkelsen can score some goals. Bet: over 2.5 goals 1.975 odds -
Re: Denmark SAS Ligaen 2011 Odense BK - AC Horsens Odense need a few more points to be sure of a place in next year Champions League qualification, they are 4 points ahead of Midtjylland with 3 games till the end. Horsens need a few more points to stay safe of relegation. At the moment they have 4 points advantage. Odense still have games with Koebenhavn at home and Lyngby away, while AC Horsens have games with Silkeborg and Esbjerg left till the end. AC Horsens managed only 2 points in last 5 away games, but those are narrow loses with one goal difference, mainly 1-0. They're a team with great organized defence and they don't concede very much. On the other hand we have Odense who have great players in Utaka, Djemba-Djemba, Andreassen who can score a goal or two against Horsens. Horsens got no important missings, while Odense will miss important Gislason, Traore and Haland. Nevertheless i think they're still stronger than Horsens. Bet: Odense win at 1.7 odds and under 2.5 goals at 1.775 odds.
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Re: Denmark SAS Ligaen 2011 FC Nordsjaelland - Randers In tonights game both teams are in fight against relegation, so motivation is surely on both sides. Both teams were in pretty good scoring form lately and i think that trend will continue tonight. Randers FC will miss their number one GK Ousted, they're also without Fejzullahu and Traore but they're not so important. FCN are without Nordstrand, Bernier, Stockholm. Stockholm is their captain and will surely be missed in midfield. I believe that the likes of Lawan, Nielsen and Mikkelsen can score some goals. Bet: over 2.5 goals 1.975 odds
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Re: Austria Erste Klasse, 13th May St. Poelten - First Vienna One more game that has motivational factor advantage. This time on First Vienna side. St. Poelten is in the middle of the table and their season is pretty much over, although their coach said that they want to better their all time points score. First Vienna is on last place and are 6 points away from safety. (14th Hartberg 35 points, 15th Gratkorn 30 points, 16th First Vienna 29 points). With Vienna win in todays match they can close the gap to Hartberg on 3 points as Hartberg plays Admira today who fights for promotion and they will have difficulties gaining any points. First Vienna also have games with Gratkorn (home) and Hartberg (away) still ahead and even points gap look quite big, they have every chance to stay in league if they beat their main rivals. St. Poelten got center back Popp suspended. Manuel Roedl, Thomas Froeschl, Dominik Hofbauer are doubtful. First vienna got problems in goal. As number 1 (Kuru) and number 2 (Lukse) goalie were injured with Lukse back in training and with a chance to be number one today. Bet: First Vienna AH +0,25 2.00odds
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13 May 18:30 FC Gratkorn v Austria Lustenau 2.62 3.30 2.60 13 May 18:30 FC Lustenau v WAC St Andrä 2.30 3.40 3.00 13 May 18:30 Hartberg v FC Trenkwalder Admira 4.50 3.75 1.75 13 May 18:30 St Polten v First Vienna FC 1894 2.10 3.40 3.40 13 May 20:30 SCR Altach v SV Scholz Grodig 1.33 5.00 8.50 Gratkorn - Austria Lustenau Gratkorn is fighting against relegation, they are currently on relegation spot 5 points behind places that guarentee staying in this league and we have 4 more rounds till the end, while Austria Lustenau is without a chance for promotion on 3rd place. Motivational factor is on Gratkorn side. Austria Lustenau is surprise package in Austrian football this year as they managed to get to cup final, which will be on 29 May. Gratkorn home form is pretty average as are Austria Lustenau away form. They're no important missing reported and this bet is based on motivational factor. Bet: FC Gratkorn AH-0,25 2.15odds
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Re: Spain » Segunda Division 12 May 20:00 Girona v Xerez 2.30 3.25 3.10 12 May 20:00 Granada v Huesca 1.44 4.20 7.50 12 May 20:00 Villarreal B v Alcorcon 2.20 3.25 3.30 12 May 21:30 Las Palmas v Cartagena 2.00 3.30 3.80 12 May 22:00 Rayo Vallecano v Elche 1.75 3.60 4.50 12 May 22:00 Salamanca v Celta Vigo 2.30 3.10 2.90 Las Palmas - Cartagena Las Palmas is 17th on the table and got 3 points advantage over 19th place which will mean relegation in the end of the season. Cartagena is on 10th place, seven points behind 6th place that guarentee promotion playoff spot and got a game in hand. Las Palmas is playing pretty good at home where they have 8 wins, 8 draws and just two loses. they got 4 wins and 2 draws in last 6 home games. Cartagena is average away, wining 5 games, draw four of them and were nine time defeated away from home. In last 6 away games they got 1 win (against already relegated Albacete), 1 draw and 4 loses. Las Palmas will be without Pedro Vega (Left Winger 25apps, 2 goals, 0 assists), Juanpe(Center back, 8 apps) and Adrian Pollo(central midfielder, 18 apps) for todays game, while Sergio Suarez(Attacking midfielder, 24 apps, 4 goals) and Josico(defensive midfielder, 23 apps, 2 goals) are coming back Cartagena will miss suspended Botelho (Left Winger, 35 apps, 4 goals), while Cala(central defender 25 apps, 4 goals), Txiki (right back, 21 apps) and Maldonado are injured. Bet: Las Palmas 2.00 odds
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Re: Spain » Segunda Division
FT: 5-1 bet won.Valladolid - Cordoba Valladolid want to win this game, because they're fighting for promotion playoff spot. On the other side we have Cordoba who is still not safe of relegation. Valladolid has 5 win and a draw in last 6 home games, the only draw came from Vallecano which is second on the table and on his way to Primera. Cordoba has 4 losses and 2 wins in last 6 away game. They won against struggling Tenerife, who will most probably relegate and Villareal B who is a team like Barcelona B just trying to develop youngsters and have no real competing motivation as they can't go to Primera. Valladolid has no important injury concerns, Cordoba is missing a few players, especially on right wing. Bet: Valladolid AH -1, 1.825 -
12 May 21:15 Gil Vicente v Penafiel 1.50 3.80 7.00 Gil Vicente - Penafiel Gil Vicente is second in the table (top two teams promote to Liga ZON Sagres) two points behind leader Feirense. Penafiel is 11th in the table with 33 points, seven points more than 15th placed team Covilha. (15th and 16th team relegate). Just one point behind Gil Vicente are Trofense and Oliveirense and this four teams (Feirense 48 points, Gil Vicente 46, Trofense 45, Oliveirense 45) will decide who will promote. Penafiel is almost safe, especially if we know that 15th placed Covilha plays Trofense away in next game, where it's going to be tough to win any points. In last 6 home games Gil Vicente managed to win four and draw the other two...Penafiel on the other side has 2 wins and 4 loses in the last six away games. Gil Vicente got 4 overs in last 5 home games and Penafiel got 3 overs in last 5 away games. Gil Vicente is without Murta (second or third choice Gk) and Rodrigo Galo, important right back, while Penafiel is without two strikers Zamorano and Guedes, who are not so important. Gil Vicente main scorers Ze Luis, Ramazotti, Hugo Vieira are in the team as are Cascavel, Michel, Bruno Madeira in Penafiel. BET: Gil Vicente AH -1, 1.95 odds, over 2.5 goals 1.925 goals.
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Re: France Ligue 1, 10-11 May 2011
FT: 4-0 Bet won.Auxerre - Lyon Tonight will meet two teams that still have something to play for. Auxerre is by no means certain to stay in league 1, so they desperately need any points, while Lyon will want to gain second place to enter next year Champions League directly and not participate in qualifying for the most prestigious football competition. Auxerre is in good form recent weeks, at least at home, where they have 3 wins and 2 draws in last 5 games beating PSG, Sochaux, Montpellier, while Lyon is pretty bad away having only one win in last 5 against Sochaux on 12th of March, recently they lost to Toulouse and PSG. Hosts will be without very important midfielder Pedretti for this game, also missing are Mignot and Chafni. But situation in Lyon is much worse. They're without Diakhate, Kallstrom, Toulalan, Gourcuff, Ederson and latest casualty being Lisandro, for who season might be over. They welcome back Cissokho and Bastos. We all know Auxerre is very hard to beat so i find value in these odds: Bet: Auxerre AH +0,5 1.775 bet365 -
Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May
FT: 1-1 Bet won.Levante - Barcelona Barcelona on their way to be champions has to stop in suburbs of Valencia, which is home of Levante. Levante has been in good form recent weeks which brings them much better position in terms of fight against relegation. But they're still not sure in will surely fight to gain some points against Barcelona, even if it is difficult to expect to see something similar than in Real Sociedad - Barcelona game. I don't believe Barcelona will push very hard although a win will mean they're champions. There are no important missings in both sides. For Barcelona even Bojan and Maxwell are coming back. I see the goal line to high. Bet: under 3.25 goals -
Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May
FT: 2-0 Bet won.Malaga -Sporting Gijon This a clash between two teams who needs a few more points to be safe from relegation. Malaga is 3 points ahead of danger zone and Sporting Gijon 4 points. Malaga got extremely hard schedule in last 2 weeks, first they go to Athletic Bilbao and in the last game they will play Barcelona at home. Surely Barcelona will be champions before that game but it's never easy to beat Barcelona, especially when they will play relaxed, even with a B team. Sporting Gijon coach M. Preciado usually rotates squad a little bit during the week games and should do the same today, because they have very important match at home on Sunday against Santander and Hercules away on the last day. Malaga has full squad available, only goalkeeper Asenjo is long-term missing. Gijon is without Diego Castro, Sastre and Cuellar. Malaga is in great form winning 13 of last 15 points available, especially with the help from Baptista and Rondon. With all the facts written above my bet is Malaga win at 1.72, bet365 -
Re: Italy - Coppa Italia - 10-11 May
FT: 1-1 Bet lost.Inter - Roma Second leg of italian cup semi final will be a clash between Inter and Roma and tonight we will see who will join Palermo in the final. Inter won first game in Rome 1-0. There's no point at backing Inter, because simply they don't have to win. On the other side we have Roma that must attack to score some goals and progress into the final. Inter is missing Sneijder, Ranocchia, Stankovic and Cordoba, while Roma will be without the services of Mexes, Totti, Brighi, Taddei. All in all i believe we will see some goals in tonights game, simply because Roma will attack, that will leave spaces behind and both teams are better up front than in defense. Bet: over 2.5 goals, 1.75 bet365 -
Re: Spain » Segunda Division Valladolid - Cordoba Valladolid want to win this game, because they're fighting for promotion playoff spot. On the other side we have Cordoba who is still not safe of relegation. Valladolid has 5 win and a draw in last 6 home games, the only draw came from Vallecano which is second on the table and on his way to Primera. Cordoba has 4 losses and 2 wins in last 6 away game. They won against struggling Tenerife, who will most probably relegate and Villareal B who is a team like Barcelona B just trying to develop youngsters and have no real competing motivation as they can't go to Primera. Valladolid has no important injury concerns, Cordoba is missing a few players, especially on right wing. Bet: Valladolid AH -1, 1.825
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Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May Espanyol-Valencia I believe we will some goals in this game tonight. Espanyol is still hoping for european place, while Valencia will try to guarentee third. They're both in good attacking form, especially Osvaldo and Soldado. In last 6 home Espanyol games we saw over 5 time. The same goes for Valencia away. Bet: over 2.5 goals 1.725
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Re: Spain - La Liga - 10-11 May Levante - Barcelona Barcelona on their way to be champions has to stop in suburbs of Valencia, which is home of Levante. Levante has been in good form recent weeks which brings them much better position in terms of fight against relegation. But they're still not sure in will surely fight to gain some points against Barcelona, even if it is difficult to expect to see something similar than in Real Sociedad - Barcelona game. I don't believe Barcelona will push very hard although a win will mean they're champions. There are no important missings in both sides. For Barcelona even Bojan and Maxwell are coming back. I see the goal line to high. Bet: under 3.25 goals
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Re: Italy - Coppa Italia - 10-11 May Inter - Roma Second leg of italian cup semi final will be a clash between Inter and Roma and tonight we will see who will join Palermo in the final. Inter won first game in Rome 1-0. There's no point at backing Inter, because simply they don't have to win. On the other side we have Roma that must attack to score some goals and progress into the final. Inter is missing Sneijder, Ranocchia, Stankovic and Cordoba, while Roma will be without the services of Mexes, Totti, Brighi, Taddei. All in all i believe we will see some goals in tonights game, simply because Roma will attack, that will leave spaces behind and both teams are better up front than in defense. Bet: over 2.5 goals, 1.75 bet365
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Re: France Ligue 1, 10-11 May 2011 Auxerre - Lyon Tonight will meet two teams that still have something to play for. Auxerre is by no means certain to stay in league 1, so they desperately need any points, while Lyon will want to gain second place to enter next year Champions League directly and not participate in qualifying for the most prestigious football competition. Auxerre is in good form recent weeks, at least at home, where they have 3 wins and 2 draws in last 5 games beating PSG, Sochaux, Montpellier, while Lyon is pretty bad away having only one win in last 5 against Sochaux on 12th of March, recently they lost to Toulouse and PSG. Hosts will be without very important midfielder Pedretti for this game, also missing are Mignot and Chafni. But situation in Lyon is much worse. They're without Diakhate, Kallstrom, Toulalan, Gourcuff, Ederson and latest casualty being Lisandro, for who season might be over. They welcome back Cissokho and Bastos. We all know Auxerre is very hard to beat so i find value in these odds: Bet: Auxerre AH +0,5 1.775 bet365
UEFA Europa League > Thurs 18 August
in Europa League Predictions
Posted
Re: UEFA Europa League > Thurs 18 August Ultravires or anyone who have more insight in Roma preparation...is Luis Enrique trying to copy Barcelona system with Roma or is he more flexible and will play with players natural positions?