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fishy25

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Posts posted by fishy25

    Friends Life T20 2012

    in Cricket Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Friends Life T20 2012 Like Kev says, let's hope for an up night tonight and I'm taking 2 with the hope that Sussex win to help the outright. Sussex Highest 1st 6 Overs- 4/5 BetVictor- (4/10) I think Sussex deserve to be bigger favourites for this bet in all honesty. Both Luke Wright and Chris Nash have been in good form so far and both scored runs quickly against Essex when the two sides recently met down at Hove. Sussex comfortably won the 6 overs battle then, scoring 74 in their powerplay whilst Essex only made 41. Both Nash and Wright will go at the Essex bowlers early on and can afford to as there is plenty of batting to come after them. Mark Pettini and James Franklin have both needed a bit of time to settle down so far in most of their innings and they won't be quite as aggrressive as the Sussex openers I don't imagine. Pettini isn't anywhere near as attacking as the other 3 anyways which is a good thing for backing Sussex here. Luke Wright and Scott Styris who is likely to play tonight have also bowled pretty well from the start and it's never easy to get Styris away for too many anyway and come the end of the first 6, I expect Sussex to be on the bigger score. Amjad Khan Most Economical Bowler- 7/1 Stan James- (2/10) Only Tim Phillips, Chris Liddle, Graham Napier, Ryan ten Doeschate, Will Beer and Amjad Khan count in this market. I can't ignore the Sussex man here at these odds. No way am I going to consider backing a spinner down at Chelmsford as in any of their 4 overs, they are more than likely going to go for double figures which effectively rules them out so that rules Phillips and Beer out. I'm also not sure about Napier either as although he is sometimes terrific at the death, he's had the tendency to go around the park a bit and with his pace, if he gets it even slightly wrong, he's going to the boundary on this ground. That leaves 3 and although I really like both of the other guys concerned and they've both been in good form, I'm going to side with Khan. When the two sides met in the reverse fixture, out of the players involved, Khan was the most economical and if we look at his last couple of bowling figures in the tournament, he hasn't gone for very many at all. Luke Wright and Scott Styris opened the bowling with success up at Hove when the two sides met and I'd be surprised if Sussex changed that winning formula which would help Khan a bit as the field would be relaxed for the majority of the overs and at 7/1, I'm going to hope my luck changes with him tonight.

    Wimbledon 2012

    in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Wimbledon 2012 Hopefully it'll be another highly profitable day in the forum. Taking on quite a few today as the lines look pretty decent. Lots of these have been covered by Atko so I'm not going to ramble on and repeat too much. Hopefully the rain showers in the early afternoon don't last for too long but expect an interval or two today. Marin Cilic (-5.5 games) to beat Lukasz Kubot- 10/11 Stan James- (4/10) Like Cilic in this one after he came through Stebe in less than convincing fashion. I think he'll come through this one far more comfortably though and he usually fares extremely well against big servers and that's just what he's up against here. Kubot will look to serve and volley whenever he can whilst he won't do much in the rallies and that should suit Cilic. He returns extremely well on serve and once he deals with the first return, there's not too much to Kubot's game in truth. He's extremely good at the net with his big frame but once Cilic gets going, he should be able to pass the Pole and dominate whilst Kubot won't offer much on return providing Cilic doesn't serve a ton of double faults today. The Croat has beaten his opponent here twice in the past, both pretty comfortably indoors where Kubot's serve will be at it most deadly and on the grass, I think Cilic will win this nicely. David Goffin (-3.5 games) to beat Jesse Levine- 19/20 BetVictor- (4/10) I'm with Czech and Atko again here on the in form Belgian as the handicap looks pretty low to me. Beating Tomic in the first round is a huge scalp for the youngster, as it's usually the Australian and not Goffin who is touted for big things in the future so in winning that won, Goffin has firmly put himself into the public eye and shown that his French Open run wasn't a fluke. He's not experienced on the grass at all but with that win over Tomic, his confidence should grow and he'll settle down on the grass. Levine dominated his first round match with Beck but this is a few steps up from the challenger events he has been playing. He'll fight and fight and could take a set, but the good thing about this line is that Goffin could lose a set comfortably and still cover the handicap and given how I think he'll come through, the handicap looks a good option to me for the Belgian. Andy Roddick (-7.5 games) to beat Bjorn Phau- 5/6 Stan James- (4/10) Although Roddick is nowhere near the force he used to be, he should have way too much for Phau here. The American narrowly beat Baker in 3 sets in the first round but playing a Brit is never the easiest thing to do at Wimbledon with the crowd and everything so he'll be pleased just to get past the first round and I think he should be more relaxed now. He actually played some really good stuff though against Baker which was good to see and you have to fancy him to beat Phau without too many complications. The Frenchman doesn't have any real weapons for this surface really and beating Odesnik, who was a lucky loser in 5 sets doesn't fill me with any confidence about his chances here. Roddick should be all over him from the first few service games, and with him winning the last 3 encounters between the two extremely comfortably indeed, I think he'll make that 4 in a row today. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga (-6.5 games) to beat Guillermo Garcia-Lopez- 10/11 Stan James- (4/10) The Frenchman's finger looked fine and dandy to me against Hewitt which gives me enough confidence to back him here. He's extremely dangerous on this surface like the others as well but grass in particular is where he can be particularly destructive and unbeatable and I think he'll win this one well. His huge serve is unbreakable at times, whilst he can unleash winners on his forehand on both sides and I don't see the Spaniard coping with that in truth. Garcia-Lopez beat Roger-Vasselin in an epic in the first round but that's as far as he goes in this year's tournament. He may be able to keep this close for a little while if he plays well, but his mental state is fragile and if things aren't going well, he is more than capable of rolling over. Tsonga will be too good for him though and with this handicap, it's possible that one break a set could cover it and that's the minimum I expect here. Juan Martin Del Potro (-7.5 games) to beat Go Soeda- 4/5 Stan James- (4/10) Hard to see Soeda making too much of an impression here. He beat Kunitsyn easy as you like in the first round but you can't read too much into that as the Russian is in poor form and Soeda will have to go some to trouble Del Potro today. He's not really got any significant weapons to get much success today and the Argentinian will have far too much power on his shots for Soeda to really gain a foothold in the match. He had some problems against Haase but as IAG said, Haase has the game to trouble anyone if he's on song so it's not too much of a shock that he caused some problems in that match. Soeda doesn't have that game though and I think Del Potro should be all over him despite the Asian's hard work rate. He has beaten Soeda in both matches they've played extremely comfortably and one easy set here should see the handicap through. Benoit Paire vs Alexandr Dolgopolov- Over 38.5 games- 5/6 Stan James- (3/10) This one should be extremely entertaining to watch and could turn into a bit of a mini classic which could easily go all the way. The thing with both guys is that despite being talented players, they have the tendency to check out a bit mentally which leads to massive inconsistency. Paire has played well recently with getting to the semis in Holland and then beating Edben comfortably enough in the first round here but you only have to take a closer look at those results to get an indication of what he's like. He dropped a set 6-0 in beating Kubot last week whilst after dominating Ebden for long periods, he still managed to drop a set which emphasizes that inconsistency. Dolgopolov as we know has so much raw talent but his inconsistency is probably second to none and he's equally likely to win a set 6-1 and then lose the next by the same scoreline. The handicap is an option here, but I'm more interested in the overs as there's too much possibility of some erratic sets which could screw any handicaps. I do think we'll see at least 4 sets, and quite likely 5 which will cover the overs, but a couple of tightish sets in a 4 set match could also do the job. Ivo Karlovic vs Andy Murray- Tie Break in Match- 4/6 Coral- (3/10) Going back to my old favourite bet here and expected much shorter odds for a breaker occurring in this one in truth so the 4/6 price was a bit hard to turn down. I read the Murray-Davydenko match completely wrong as the Russian couldn't do anything to Murray but Karlovic has his one main weapon to cause some problems today - his serve. We all know about Dr Ivo and his serve which is extremely hard to break and that should be the case here despite Murray's returning skills. It doesn't matter who you are really, if Karlovic delivers some of his bomb serves, it's near enough impossible to return especially on the grass. I was a little worried about him fitness as at the French Open he was clearly injured but it looks as though he's over that problem now and his serve is back on form. He won't be doing much on return, if anything at all as if the rallies are longer than 3 or 4 shots, Karlovic is pretty much f*cked but I think he'll hold serve enough times here to force a tie break in one of the sets.

    Friends Life T20 2012

    in Cricket Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Friends Life T20 2012 Some absolutely disastrous batting by Leicestershire in the final 5 overs looks like it cost me and Kev there. The Sarwan run out in particular was shocking. At the change of innings it looked as though both of my bets would come through but frustratingly neither did which sets me back to -0.16. :wall

    Wimbledon 2012

    in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Wimbledon 2012 Thought Bemelmans was going to balls that all up there but he has managed to cover the handicap...just. Looks like a really good day in here. Think Slider and me will be Polish for the night after Janowicz's win, also a push for Atko as well which was even better! Perfect day for me though with all 4 bets coming in which makes up for some dreadful batting in the cricket. +15.60 today, taking me to +21.00 overall now and hopefully that will increase. Just a little point from me. Well done to everyone in the tournament so far in what I think have been a really tricky few days to call. Atko, Slider, Czech and IAG have all had terrific shouts. (Won't be long until Czech nails one of these huge odds outsiders) Some good calls from others as well and long may it continue. :clap:clap

    Friends Life T20 2012

    in Cricket Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Friends Life T20 2012 Just the two for me tonight over in the TV match where I'm going for a bit of value. Leicestershire (Most 6's) vs Yorkshire- 7/4 Stan James- (3/10) Think Leicestershire are good value in this 6's bet tonight in their own back yard. Boundaries have actually been pretty hard to come by up at Leicester this season in the T20 and there haven't been a tons of runs scored there with the highest score only being 154. There's a few reasons why I like Leicestershire tonight. The main reason being the news teams. Yorkshire will be without Andrew Gale and Bairstow, who are two of their main boundary scorers which only really leaves David Miller and Gary Ballance as the main threats for the sixes for Yorkshire. They will also be without Ryan Sidebottom tonight who usually keeps things pretty tight and doesn't go for too many so that significantly weakens the Yorkshire bowling attack. The Foxes have the likes of Razzaq, Cobb, Du Toit, White, Smith and Boyce who can all hit a long ball which shows the attacking nature that Leicestershire have in their side. Yorkshire's main man so far with the ball has been Mitchell Starc but on TV this season he's been terrible in truth. Leicestershire know the conditions well up at Leicester and should know how the pitch is playing so I'll back them to outscore Yorkshire on the maximum front. Robert Taylor Most Economical Bowler- 9/2 Stan James- (2/10) Only Mitchell Starc, Moin Ashraf, Ryan Sidebottom, Robert Taylor, Claude Henderson and Abdul Razzaq count in this market. Rob Taylor looks a big price to me here. As usually is the case in this market, there's a player we can immediately rule out and today that is Ryan Sidebottom as he's out with a calf problem. Now although Mitchell Starc has been taking wickets for fun in the tournament so far, he's been absolutely pony in the TV matches that Yorkshire have been involved in so I think he's way too short to be backed here. Abdul Razzaq and Claude Henderson haven't been as consistent as they have been in recent years either and both have gone around the park a little in the matches they've played so I'm going to rule those two out as well given their form. That leaves Moin Ashraf who I must say has been extremely impressive when I've watched him this season and Rob Taylor. My money is going on the Leicestershire man as he's been the one who has consistently kept the runs down for his side so far in the T20. His economy rate stands at just over a run a ball which is good going especially when you consider he's had to bowl up at Old Trafford where Lancashire have been hitting the ball to all parts and he's been forced to bowl in reduced over matches where teams have been forced to just try and slog every ball so going at a run a ball is a good return and I'll back him to go well tonight and be the most economical out of the bowlers in this market.

    Wimbledon 2012

    in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Wimbledon 2012 Not the biggest fan of today's card as there looks to be some potential banana skins to me. Taking just the additional 3 to Janowicz who I took last night. Roger Federer vs Fabio Fognini- Under 28.5 games- 4/5 Stan James- (4/10) Would expect Roger to get this one done pretty comfortably without too many problems. He's back on centre court court for this one which he loves and I'm sure he'll want to mark his return with a solid performance and this one could be quite good to watch as Fognini's matches usually are but I don't honestly see him hurting Federer. His game is extremely effective on the clay where he can move about and craftily move the ball, but on a quicker surface against one of the greats I fear for him. Federer has already beaten the Fog 6-1 6-1 in the past and after dismantling Ramos in the first round, I expect him to maybe not win by such a great margin, but win comfortably nonetheless. Ruben Bemelmans (+7.5 games) to beat Richard Gasquet- 4/5 Stan James- (3/10) Think the handicap is a little high here and Gasquet is being overrated due to that win over Kamke in the first round. The scoreline, despite Kamke being pretty poor flatters the Frenchman though as Kamke had chances to break and go ahead in the first set, whilst he had other chances as well but he failed to take them and he sort of just lost his focus from there really. Gasquet just had to remain solid and wait for the errors really but I do expect Bemelmans to prove a stiffer test than the German. The Belgian is clearly playing well, coming through qualification and then beating Berlocq in a tight match and he should have enough about him to keep this one close and even pinch a set. His serve is extremely effective on the grass and has troubled the likes of Berdych and Kohlschreiber in the past on grass which shows what he can do. Gasquet is still too inconsistent despite the scoreline against Kamke and even in 3 tight sets Bemelmans can cover the handicap, but he might take a set off the Frenchman which will also do the job. Regardless of how many sets we see, I think he'll keep it tight enough here. Igor Andreev vs Denis Istomin- Over 37.5 games- 5/6 Stan James- (3/10) I expect a pretty tight affair between these two. Andreev was extremely poor in the first round against Golding in the first set but as the match went on he did raise his game without impressing me too much. Golding as always let his attitude get on top of him as well which helped Andreev but I can't see the Russian playing as bad as he did in that match. Istomin came through a marathon against Seppi after being a set down on a couple of occasions so that will have pleased him but he may well have to play another lengthy match in this one IMO. Neither guy is the most reliable to keep up their level for 3 sets straight and I'd expect a few shifts in momentum as we go through the match. Andreev still isn't at the level he was a couple of years ago so I'd expect Istomin to come out on top in the end, but he's not consistent enough for my liking to see the Russian off comfortably. They met earlier this year on clay where Andreev came out on top, but that match went the distance and to 3 sets, including a tie break being played as well and I expect a similarly close match again today.

    Friends Life T20 2012

    in Cricket Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Friends Life T20 2012 No joy tonight with Stevens not getting going but the boundaries bet sailed in which leaves me on +4.84 for the tournament so still not really got going. Unlucky on Davies tonight guys, thought he had it after the first innings but Kent couldn't really cope with Finn's pace unfortunately. :sad

    Wimbledon 2012

    in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Wimbledon 2012 I'll do my bets tomorrow morning once I've let the odds settle down again and can properly have a look at the matches. I am having one now as I can't ignore these odds and I'm very much siding with slider. Jerzy Janowicz to beat Ernests Gulbis- 15/8 Stan James- (4/10) Price is a fair bit higher here than most places have it but no way can I be trusting Gulbis these days, even off the back of that stunning win over Berdych. Gulbis played some outstanding stuff in that match but his consistency is terrible, whilst his professionalism has never been anywhere near the level it should be. He may have beaten the Czech, but his results speak for themselves with losses to Bolelli and Kukushkin in recent weeks and defeats to the likes of Bubka, Greul and a Hungarian kid as well this season which sum Gulbis up. Slider has pointed out a crucial point as well in that he won't be playing on a show court tomorrow and he'll be expected to win which really don't suit Gulbis as he tends to play his best stuff against the top players on the big stage so no doubt he'll see this as a massive step down so his concentration could well be absent. Janowicz served extremely well against Bolelli, facing just the one break point in the entire match which could have been down to nerves early doors but from the second set on he was impressive and the win should give him confidence. He beat Gulbis fairly recently in fact over in Rome on clay so that will also give him confidence going into this one and he will know if he serves well and stays close to Gulbis for a while, the Latvian is more than likely going to go missing which should give the Pole chances and I'm happy to back him here to make the most of a vintage Gulbis hangover.

    Wimbledon 2012

    in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Wimbledon 2012 Really haven't got into the tournament yet really but +3.54 today which takes me to +5.40 after the first couple of days. Terrible read on the Murray match though, never seem to get the hang off Murray matches in truth. Dustin Brown was as entertaining as always though and has already secured the handicap whilst Querrey did the business to secure the profit after James Ward fought back well. Some really good calls in here today. Atko and IAG with some cracking calls and Slider continues his 100% record for the tournament if I'm not mistaken. Czech also called the Querrey match perfectly with the overs. Top stuff fellas. :clap:clap

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