ofcourseitwas
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Posts posted by ofcourseitwas
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Re: Home Form Counts! One more match for tonight: Everton vs Sporting Lisbon: back Everton -0.75 @ 2.00
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Re: Home Form Counts! two selections tomorrow (wednesday): Newcastle vs Coventry: back Newcastle @ 1.53 Bayern Munich vs Fiorentina: back Bayern -1 @ 2.00 hope the good form continues :clap
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Re: Home Form Counts! Excellent! another win today: Rhyl vs New Town (Wales): back Rhyl -1 @ 1.75 :clap Bets: 7 Won: 6 Staked: 70 Profit: +26.5 Yield: 38%
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) yes, i noticed this too :wall
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?)
hey, just emailed u[email protected]. intrigued to hear your thoughts!! -
Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) hey kmabet, can you give me ur email so i can email you to see if i have it right? i cant pm you because dont have enough messages yet
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Re: Lunatism's Series Of Interesting Bets (Super Experimental At This Stage!!!) haha.....or maybe "a series of unfortunate events"? no just kidding...good luck!
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Re: Home Form Counts! Rhyl v New Town only match for tomorrow
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Re: Home Form Counts! Bayern won tonight, but Grasshoppers match was postponed and will not be included. Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund (Germ): back Bayern -1 @ 1.75 :clap Bets: 6 Won: 5 Staked: 60 Profit: +19 Yield: 32%
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Re: Home Form Counts! 2 more wins on friday: Zwolle vs Telstar (Neth): back Zwolle @ 1.40 :clap Caracas vs Mineros (Venez): back Caracas @ 1.65 :clap Bets: 5 Won: 4 Staked: 50 Profit: +11.5 Yield: 23%
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Re: Home Form Counts! First match won today, but will wait for the second before updating. Here are 3 matches for the weekend: Bayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund (Germ): back Bayern -1 @ 1.75 Grasshoppers vs Aarau (Swiss): back Grasshoppers -1 @ 1.92 Rhyl vs New Town (Wales): back Rhyl -1 @ 1.75
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Re: Home Form Counts! Two matches for tomorrow: Zwolle vs Telstar (Neth): back Zwolle @ 1.40 Caracas vs Mineros (Venez): back Caracas @ 1.65
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Re: Home Form Counts!
Yesterday was better! 1 win and 1 draw brings the yield back into the positive. St. Etienne vs Vannes: back St. Etienne -1 @ 2.10 :clap FC Porto vs Academica: back Porto -1 @ 1.63 :tongue2 Bets: 3 Won: 2 Staked: 30 Profit: +1 Yield: 3.3%Ok it is still over an hour before kickoff. I put the wrong Coupe de France match. Remove the Auxerre game and insert St. Etienne. The 2 matches are below: St. Etienne vs Vannes: back St. Etienne -1 @ 2.10 FC Porto vs Academica: back Porto -1 @ 1.63 -
Re: Home Form Counts! Ok it is still over an hour before kickoff. I put the wrong Coupe de France match. Remove the Auxerre game and insert St. Etienne. The 2 matches are below: St. Etienne vs Vannes: back St. Etienne -1 @ 2.10 FC Porto vs Academica: back Porto -1 @ 1.63
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Re: Home Form Counts! Decided to give this another go. 2 matches for tonight: Auxerre vs. Plabennec: back Auxerre @ 1.35 (Interwetten) FC Porto vs Academica: back Porto -1 @ 1.63 (10Bet)
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Re: Home Form Counts! Back Atletico -1 @ 1.70 :( Bets: 1 Wins: 0 Profit/Loss: -10 Yield: -100%
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Re: The anti +0.25 thread hmmm. although if you look at it, wouldn't this system just be taking the home side every time the handicap was set at level ball?
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Re: The anti +0.25 thread Nice start Jase. :clap have you done any backtesting for this? should be pretty easy on football-data. have you looked at any leagues other than English?
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) haha, did you just make an original claim and then refute it all in the same post? what was the point?
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) i don't believe it to be a hoax. i've worked out a way to do it (in theory), i'm testing it with a paper trail on betfair right now. I'm kind of pessimistic too (thinking there MUST be something wrong with my logic), but looking at the numbers, there doesn't seem to be a way to lose. :tongue2
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Re: Value in 1x2; 45 selections, 20.51% yield however, if you're only aiming for a 15% edge, a +20% yield is still performing above expectations right? ;)
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) kmabet, i reckon i may have cracked this as well. i cant PM yet because not enough posts. I'm going to try it out in the meantime and post any success/failures on here while trying to reach the PM limit... :hope
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Re: Laying correct score multiples experiment i cant find these on betfair anymore??? ive followed the instructions in the first posting but there is still only the option for match result and under/over 2.5 goals???
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?)
haha...not a bad ideaIs this a cunning ruse to get someone to PM you the answer? :lol
Home Form Counts! 20 bets/41% Yield
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Home Form Counts! thanks pj, a loss must come at sometime so maybe it will be in coventry's favor. :\ I couldn't understand why odds were so high for Everton though, clearly there was value in this bet before kickoff, even if sporting do look more impressive as the match is being played.