ofcourseitwas
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Posts posted by ofcourseitwas
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Re: Anyone heard of 'Let it Ride' offered by Sportsbooks? Yes but with a good system showing a 95% hit rate, you could bet 10 games in 1 multiple at a time at really good odds and win 1 out of 2. :dude
Bookies love multiples as their overround get even better. Assume you bet on a coin flip. Bookie offers you 1.90 on heads. Scenario I: Starting bank 2 units. You bet 1 unit each on two coin flips, no multiple. 1 in 4 you win both bets, you get 3.80 units back. 2 in 4 you win one bet, you get 1.90 units back. 1 in 4 yow win no bet, you get 0,00 units back. In average you will now have a bank of 1.90 units after two coin flips. Scenario II. Starting bank 2 units. You bet 2 units on a multiple of two coins flips. 1 in 4 you win, 2 x 1.90 x 1.90 = 7.22 units back. 3 in 4 you lose, you get 0,00 units back. In average you will now have a bank of 1.81 units after two coin flips. See why bookies love silly punters to burn their money on multiples? -
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Re: Anyone heard of 'Let it Ride' offered by Sportsbooks?
haha thanks for the advice davidc :eek youre right it's exactly the same as multiples, i never wouldve thought of that:zzzSorry, don't know of this specific bet. It seems to me though that if the bets are spread over a number of days then you may be better placing your 1st bet (and each subsequent bet in the 'multiple') at the bookie with the best odds at the time and placing the returns from each bet at the bookie with the best odds as you go, which in effect will give you your multiple anyway. GL -
Re: Anyone heard of 'Let it Ride' offered by Sportsbooks? Since I've always heard that bookies love bettors who go for multiples, it would seem they'd offer this, no? It would not place them at any more disadvantage than a regular multiples bet I think?
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Just had a thought today that it would be nice to be able to make a multiples bet, but not have to choose all of the bets at once. For example, if you had a good system with high percentage of wins, but the games were spread out too far apart (maybe only 5 selections per week), you couldn't place all of the bets together in a multiple (because odds for later matches are not offered by bookmakers yet). Is there such thing as a 'let it ride' bet offered by bookmakers? It would be a multiples bet, but you would only have placed your original stake and if any subsequent game you choose loses, the entire bet is lost. Just wondering if anyone had heard of this?
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Re: Work this one out!! (Lunatism where are you?) Good idea robbito, this was the first place I went when looking for a solution, but as the Doctor said, the 1-1 correct score does not always drop enough to guarantee you a profit or even break even.
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Re: Home Form Counts! 3 selections for Saturday: Newcastle vs Preston (EngChamp): back Newcastle @ 1.57 Stevenage vs Workington (FA Trophy): back Stevenage -1.5 @ 2.10 Port Talbot vs Welshpool (Wales): back Port Talbot @ 1.33
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Re: Need laying tool or spreedsheet well your results have been good so far, why not start posting some picks on here?
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Re: Home Form Counts!
A draw is not a loss :). I'm not sure if I should include draws in calculating my yield? Can someone offer any opinions on that? Not counting drawn bets, the yield would be somewhere around 46%. Universidad de Chile vs Caracas (Copa Lib): back U. Chile -1 @ 1.90 :) Bets: 11 Won: 10 Staked: 110 Profit: +36.8 Yield: 34%Matches for tonight yet to be played, but going ahead and posting the lone selection tomorrow: Universidad de Chile vs Caracas (Copa Lib): back U. Chile -1 @ 1.90 -
Re: Home Form Counts! YES! fiorentina almost pulled one off in this match, but Klose saved it with a late goal. Newcastle showed their class after going 1 down: Newcastle vs Coventry: back Newcastle @ 1.53 :clap Bayern Munich vs Fiorentina: back Bayern -1 @ 2.00 :lol Bets: 10 Won: 9 Staked: 100 Profit: +36.8 Yield: 37%
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Re: Need laying tool or spreedsheet sounds good. I use soccerway pretty often too. how many matches have you tested to get 75% and 65%?
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Re: Need laying tool or spreedsheet no problem. are you working on a specific system or just going on a hunch for teams you expect not to win?
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Re: Need laying tool or spreedsheet your total liability for each bet should only be 2% of your total bank. If all 10 bets lose, you've only lost 20% of your starting bank. you could set up a simple formula to find out your stake: (2% / (1-odds)) = stake step 1: subtract 1 minus the odds step 2: divide 2 by your product from step 1 so if your starting bank was 100$ and you only wanted to risk 20% on 10 bets, you would only want to risk 2$ on each bet: Bet 1: (2$ / (1-1.70)) = 2.85$ is your stake Bet 2: (2$ / (1-2.40)) = 1.43$ is your stake In both instances, you would only lose a maximum of 2$ (2% of your starting bank of 100$) on each bet. After 10 bets, the maximum you would lose is 20% of your total bank. Ask me if this is not clear enough
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Re: Home Form Counts! Matches for tonight yet to be played, but going ahead and posting the lone selection tomorrow: Universidad de Chile vs Caracas (Copa Lib): back U. Chile -1 @ 1.90
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Re: Tipsters - Laying ok i was just wondering because it was the first post from both of you ;)
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Re: 4 Systems are better than 1 ?? hey Grex. congratulations on the good start! 33% after 26 picks at least lets you know you may have something here. 1 question I was hoping you could help with, how do you insert these excel spreadsheets into posts?
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Re: Home Form Counts! Everton won this one convincingly if not for a 86' penalty/mistake by Distin. Still have Bayern and Newcastle to play tomorrow. hope you're right pj :hope Everton vs Sporting Lisbon: back Everton -0.75 @ 2.00 :clap (win 1/2) Bets: 8 Won: 7 Staked: 80 Profit: +31.5 Yield: 39%
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Re: Tipsters - Laying haha same person both posts? ;)
Home Form Counts! 20 bets/41% Yield
in Betting Systems & Strategy
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