Jk
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Re: Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season
On that basis Bent might as well be playing in the Championship on that performance and Ferguson might as well have sold Rooney after last World Cup. He had a poor game (infact he's been poor the last few games) but he's showed good ability when returning to the Arsenal team and I'll give him the benefit of the doubt for now. I don't think he'll be first choice next season anyway.if anyone watched the england game tonight i would be thinking about petitioning wenger to sell djourou. he is shocking and will never be a good centre back.
8 goals and 9 assists isn't bad for a player who only played 1600 minutes of football in the league. I'm certainly not his biggest fan and don't think he should be first choice but to say he should 'quit football' just sounds like a spiteful comment from an England fan. There's a lot he still needs to improve but he's still only 22 and has time on his side.also walcott might aswell quit football and be a sprinter. seriously has there ever been a more stupid footballer??? running at a defender what does he do.. trip up. faced with 4 defenders in front of him while crossing...il kick it about 1 yard in the air so one of them can control it. seriously if arsenal lose fabregas its over. van persie always has an injury no matter what so u cant rely on him for nowt.
We'll see ;)but ive bet my arsenal fan mate that city finish above them.. by 10 points! easy peasy top 3!!!??? wow mate -
Re: Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season
jeeeeesus christ...... where have we heard this before :unsure It's very much like de ja vue being an Arsenal supporter. I'd like to point out that you have injuries every season' date=' and you've been blooding the youth for several years now.[/quote'] Yep this is true but I think people have been a little impatient and often forget just how young this squad is. I still think it will be a couple more seasons before they hit their peak, but I definitely they're progressing rather than degressing which is what many seem to believe. -
Re: Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season
I personally think that if you want to lay anyone to finish top four it has to be Arsenal. They look a bit stagnant to me. They've finished trophy-less again' date=' and will struggle to hang on to Fabregas again this season should a bid come in. Does he even seem to want to stay??? Still huge GK issues, which don't look like being addressed any time soon...[/quote'] Here comes the argument from an Arsenal fan. What you have to remember is that our squad is still very young and will keep growing year on year. In Szcezney, Vermaelen, Fabregas and Van Persie we have a very talented spine, and although they all need to prove their fitness, I think having a summer off will be very important. Of course there is a chance that Cesc will go, but personally I can see him staying a couple more years. You then have the likes of Wilshere, Ramsey, Nasri, Walcott, Song, Koscielny and Djourou who are in their early 20's and will have learnt a lot from last season. Remember last season we had a brand new keeper and 3 pretty much brand new centre backs with Djourou missing a lot of the previous few seasons. If we can keep Vermaelen fit, we should have a much more solid defence alongside Djourou or Koscielny. Van Persie has proven towards the end of the season how lethal he can be and his goals will be vital. You then have Chamakh who will have settled in better after his first season. Nasri and Walcott will always be dangerous and I'm expecting Wenger to sign a world class winger, perhaps Hazard. I think we'll be closer to the top of the league than outside the top 4 next season, but once again we will go through the summer as the team most likely to drop out the top 4 like we have done for the past 5 seasons. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 16 February
We have indeed 'bottled' games previously, there's no denying that, but I just think this team is mature enough now to stop that happening. There's no weak points in the side other than perhaps Eboue at RB and that's what gives me confidence.But the point I was making is Arsenal bottle things year on year. United have made a living out of playing poorly and winning for years. Chelsea were probably due a dip in form given the huge changes that are required within their playing squad. It's really irrelevant whether United and Chelsea have bottled anything this season too because it's Arsenal that matters here.And' date=' I don't really see Fabregas as a strong inspirational leader. I mean, United have Rooney. Chelsea have John Terry. Liverpool have Gerrard. I don't prersonally believe Arsenal really have that inspirational figure. No doubt Fabregas is an extremely talented footballer, but I seem to remember the only reason he was made captain was to keep him from moving to Barca.[/quote'] Who would you say Barcelona have? The reasons for making Cesc captain are irrelevant, he is still in my opinion an inspirational captain - he may show it in a different way to those you have mentioned but I don't think that matters. BTW, Rooney, inspirational? :rollin -
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 16 February
Well for a start we had Silvestre start CB last season, the less said about that the better. Djourou and Koscielny have looked far more solid than our defence back then, that's also due to having Szcesny between the sticks who has so far looked very solid and better than Almunia. Djourou and Koscielny as a partnership have conceded only 3 goals in their last 765 minutes of football.How do you work that one out? Reasoning :D They still have the same goalkeeping and defensive issues.
Not sure about that. Of course they are very important players, but you could say the same about Messi and Xavi for Barca. Nasri has 7 goals this season, Chamakh 7, Arshavin 5, Walcott 7. Even Song has 4.The same complacency. They rely a lot on Van Persie and Fabregas.
I think Cesc is a great leader and will be even more so as he has something to prove against Barca. Arsenal bottling it is just a cliche, Man Utd and Chelsea have 'bottled' it far more times than Arsenal have this season. The Newcastle game was a fluke, we were down to 10 men and we had Squillaci at CB which says it all. By all means, Barcelona are a fantastic side, the best in the world, but I don't think that Arsenals first 11 are as far off as many people believe. Don't forget Barca are without Puyol too, the only 3 times Barca have lost this season have been when Puyol hasn't played.This Arsenal side still show signs of bottling it when the pressure gets too much. I don't think they've got a real leader on the pitch either. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 16 February
Our team is twice what it was at that point last year.Yep, I seem to remember saying the same thing last season. For the Arsenal V Barca game, and for Arsenal V Porto (which they won 5-0). And, like I say, Barca were cruising last season before Walcott had the desired impact from the bench. If he starts it may be different. -
Re: JK's 2011 Diary
Cheers for pointing that out mate, I'm a bit rushed off my feet with various goings on at the moment so trying to keep everything updated in here is proving to be a bit of a rush. When I get a bit of spare time I'll go through it all and recount it properly. In the meantime, I've got another bet for tonight; -------------------------------------------------------- I can't be having Wigan at 9/4 despite how poorly they've played recently. Aston Villa had a tough game against Man City and had to chase the ball around for about 70 minutes. A game of that intensity can sometimes have a negative effect going into the next game and that's where I'm basing my thoughts on tonight. I know Wigan were poor against Arsenal but they never got started and played with a lot less intensity than Villa did against Man City. Wigan @ 5/2 - William HillHi Jk, Been keeping an eye on this thread from the start, after noticing some of your tips from last year and some of the praise you have received recently. Good luck with mate, i hope you keep it going and end up in profit at the end of the season/year:ok However i think it's only right that i point out that your P/L is way off the mark and that their are mistakes in many of your posts. For example, on two occasions 10 pts have not been included in your total pts staked and up untill yesterday, you had staked 125 pts instead of the 105 pts you state in your last post. In the same post(#30) you say you are sitting on -19.1 and then just below -14.1 ?:unsure In post #28 you correctly state that you staked 24 pts but that you returned 15.5 pts. This is wrong and should be 13.625. Your total returns are also wrong and in this case you're doing yourself an injustice as it should be more than the 90.9 pts you have down. maybe you didn't count your return of stake on Chelsea? Sorry if you don't like what i'm pointing out, but i think it's only fair to yourself and anyone who reads the thread that we are getting the correct P/L records which are obviously very imortant, otherwise the thread loses any credibility. -
Re: JK's 2011 Diary All went a bit tits up last weekend, a loss of 14pts means I'm now sitting on -19.1pts. JK's 2011 Football Diary Bets Placed: 30 Bets Won: 8 Staked: 105pts Returned: 90.9pts P/L = --14.1pts ------------------------------------------------------------------ Arsenal v Wigan Arsenal follow up their midweek victory over Leeds by hosting relegation candidates Wigan and Arsene Wenger has the rare opportunity to name an almost full strength side. Fabregas, Van Persie, Wilshire, Walcott and the in-form Samir Nasri are all at his disposal, a strike force that has proved successful in recent games for the Gunners. At 1/5 the bookmakers obviously believe this is a home banker and with Wigan’s attacking options limited to Rodellega and N’Zogbia and having not scored in their last 5 trips to the Emirates it’s difficult to disagree. At 1/4 however, the straight Arsenal win presents little value and so we look to a slightly different bet of Arsenal to win to nil at 5/6 with PaddyPower. With Wigan’s lack of options and poor record at the Emirates and Arsenals growing confidence in defence, Arsenal to win to nil at 5/6 looks decent value. Recommended bet: Arsenal to win to nil at 5/6 - (PaddyPower) - 5pts ------------------------------------------------------------- Man Utd v Birmingham Manchester United’s unbeaten record has a great chance of continuing as they host Birmingham tomorrow and it’s unsurprising to see that the bookmakers have priced the home side as short as 1/5. It’s difficult to argue otherwise, United’s impeccable home form and impressive record against Birmingham all point to a relatively easy win for the Reds. Birmingham may have a glimmer of hope however. They proved to be a stubborn test in the reverse fixture and managed to pick up a point, albeit with a late, controversial goal. Recent history between the two also suggests this may not be as easy as it would seem with the last 5 meetings between the two going Under 2.5 - United coming out 1-0 winners on 3 of those 5 games. With no value in United at such short odds we look to the half-time market where stats suggest United will get an early lead. 8 of 11 United home games have seen the home side lead 1-0 at half time whilst Birmingham have been 1-0 down in 4 of 10 away games. It may be a slightly speculative bet but 9/4 looks like decent value considering the stats and the way that McLeish is likely to set up his Birmingham team. Recommended bet: Man Utd 1-0 at Half Time at 9/4 - (Boylessports) - 3pts -------------------------------------------------------------- Blackpool v Sunderland Blackpool continues to surprise bookies and punters alike and have another interesting and unpredictable tie against Sunderland who are playing their first game without top goal scorer Darren Bent. In fact Steve Bruce faces somewhat of a striker crisis with Welbeck ruled out for two months, leaving only Gyan as a real attacking option. The bookmakers seem to have finally caught up with Blackpool and at best odds of 17/10 they look increasingly difficult to back, despite Sunderland’s injury problems. One thing you can expect from Blackpool however is attacking football and with that, plenty of goals. This has proved especially true at Bloomfield Road where all 8 of Blackpool’s home games have gone Over 2.5 and seen an average of 3.5 goals. It’s difficult to see Blackpool approach this game with any other thoughts than to attack and with that being so, we like the look of the Over 2.5 market at 9/10. Recommended bet: Over 2.5 goals at 9/10 – (Bet365) - 5pts ------------------------------------------------------ Everton v West Ham With Everton slowly creeping up the table to a more respectable position, it will be interesting to see if they have the right mentality to push on against relegation strugglers West Ham. The reverse fixture, only 3 weeks ago, saw a 1-1 draw between the two sides and this game looks like it may be equally as tight. West Ham are likely to play a combative midfield three of Parker, Noble and Kovac which may prove difficult to break down for Everton who who lack a creative influence in the middle. With Yakubu off to Leicester, Saha a major doubt and Cahill on international duty, Everton will be relying on Anichebe and Beckford to provide the attacking threat and although both strikers are undoubtedly capable, neither is yet to hit goal scoring form. With both teams proving to be quite unpredictable it’s difficult to find real value, but with Everton’s lack of attacking threat and unpredictability mixed with West Hams ability to cause an upset we recommend West Ham +1 on the Asian Handicap available at evens. Recommended bet: West Ham +1 (Asian Handicap) at Evens – (Victor Chandler) - 5pts -------------------------------------------------------------- Fulham v Stoke After an 8 game winless streak, Mark Hughes appears to have finally got Fulham back to winning ways with only one defeat in their last 5, a run that began after a 2-0 win in this reverse fixture at the Britannia Stadium. That was an important, although somewhat fortunate win for Fulham, who have since gone on to record convincing victories over both West Brom and Peterborough. However, a defeat at White Hart Lane and a late equaliser against Wigan last weekend suggests the form may not be as strong as it first appears. With Fulham yet to provide consistent results under Hughes, the 5/4 available with most bookmakers looks to be a tad short and the value may lie with Stoke who have already recorded 3 victories away from home this season. They are a best priced 11/4 and that looks to present decent value, especially when you consider Stoke are fighting for a European position in comparison to Fulham who are fighting relegation. Recommended bet: Stoke at 11/4 – (Victor Chandler) - 3pts ----------------------------------------------------- Newcastle v Tottenham With Chelsea not playing till Monday, Tottenham have the opportunity to temporarily overtake them for that fourth Champions League spot by picking up the 3 points at St.James’ Park. The bookies have priced Spurs favourites at best odds of 13/10 and that looks to be a fair price but lacking in any value. Instead we’ll look towards the goals market for the value. Newcastle’s usual offensive attitude and Tottenham’s equally attacking outlook means you’re always going to have the potential for a high scoring game. The stats back up the theory too with Newcastle going Over 2.5 goals in 8 out of 11 home games and Spurs going Over in 6 of 10 away games. Newcastle proved in their 5-0 victory over West Ham that they can get by without Carroll who is still out with injury and with Defoe, Van der Vaart and Bale in the Spurs side you can’t help but think this fixture should provide an exciting, end to end game of football. The last 5 meetings at St.James’ Park have also provided goals with the previous 5 going over. With that in mind the 9/10 available on the Over 2.5 market looks appealing and that’s where the recommended bet lies. Recommended bet: Over 2.5 at 9/10 – (12Bet) - 5pts
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Re: Horse Racing £5000 - £25000 in a year. For some rediculous reasoon I decided to do a p/l on the thread and to equal £10 stakes, including lays, I work it out to be about £20 up before today.
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Re: Place Selections Nice work :clap About 60/1 to get all those I think.
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Re: Horse Racing £5000 - £25000 in a year. Unlucky yesterday. If, as you often point out, horses go off shorter than you get them at, do you not try trading yourself?
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Re: Horse Racing £5000 - £25000 in a year. Prime, no one would be having a go at you if you actually responded to peoples requests instead of just ignoring them. :eyes
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Re: Horse Racing £5000 - £25000 in a year. Prime, you need to take a few deep breaths and actually listen to peoples comments on this thread. I respect that you've had your say and I agree that perhaps some people were a bit quick to strike you down, however, you need to clean up this thread otherwise its pointless. For a start, do you have any proof you're making this bets? For a while now people have been asking and you're yet to show anything. Secondly, we need to see a p/l table, lay out all your bets and just make it easy for people to see. If you need help with it don't be afraid to ask.
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary Chelsea v Blackburn Has Chelseas form recovered? A 7-0 win over Ipswich isn't the greatest indicator but it's a start. No fresh injuries will be a relief to Ancelotti and he has a bit of a problem now in deciding his first team. Blackburns away form is pretty poor, they seem to leak goals left right and centre and the disappearence of Samba won't help that. 17 goals conceded in their last 5 away games is pretty awful. Roque Santa Cruz has been brought in to help the attack but I doubt he will be match fit yet. Chelsea with an almost full team and off the back of a 7-0 win against a team that leaks goals away from home is leading me to a convincing chelsea win here. Chelsea -2 (AH) @ 2.30 - Bet365 - 5pts Man City v Wolves On paper this looks pretty straight forward, a simple Man City win. New signing Dzeko is unlikely to start but Tevez and Silva are both fit. I'm not going to put too much analysis into this as I feel there's not much to preview really. Wolves have struggled away from home all season picking up only 4 points. A lack of any real clinical striker isn't helping and they've struggled to score away from home, scoring only 6 in 10 games. With Man City's solid defence and Joe Hart in great form I expect another clean sheet here with perhaps a 1, 2 or 3-0 victory. Man City to win with clean sheet @ 20/21 - StanJames - 5pts Stoke v Bolton I really like what Coyle has done with Bolton this year and this certainly won't be an easy task for Stoke. Bolton have picked up points away from home against 5 teams this season, drawing 1-1 on 4 of those occasions. Stokes form has been a little eratic, beating Everton 2-0 but prior to that losing points against Blackpool and Fulham. I think the odds suit Bolton here, especially if Holden is fit who I rate as one of Boltons most important players. Bolton +1/4 (AH) @ 21/20 - StanJames - 5pts West Brom v Blackpool Can't help but expect a scruffy Championship-esque battle here. Despite both teams being credited for playing attacking football this season, injuries and small squads have taken their toll and both managers are facing the task of trying to put together a team. History shows that there's usually goals in this game, however I feel that may be different tommorow. Odemwingie and Miller are both big doubts for West Brom, limiting their attacking options quite dramatically. Just got a feeling that this could end up a low scoring tight game, I may be totally wrong though. Under 2.5 goals @ 11/10 - WillHill - 4pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary Nolan anytime scorer @ 15/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts :( Best anytime scorer @ 15/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts :( Deportivo v Barcelona Under 2.5 Goals @ 13/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts :( Draw at HT @ 7/4 - StanJames - 2.5pts :) Draw/Spurs (HT/FT) @ 7/2 - StanJames - 1.5pts :) Liverpool +3 corners @ 5/6 - StanJames - 7.5pts:( Utd v Liverpool @ Half time Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5 - StanJames - 3pts :( I've gone in again on this at 3/1 with another 2pts and half hour to go. :( ------------------------------------------------------------------------- I had a bet on Townsend first scorer in the Spurs game at 12/1 but seeing as I didn't post it here I won't count it. Also had a bet on Real Madrid -1 but the same applies. Bit of a fustrating day really, Liverpools sending off meant that corner bet had no chance really and then although the game opened up neither team were really able to create much. 24pts Staked 15.5pts Returned = -8.5pts ------------------------------ JK's 2011 Football Diary Bets Placed: 26 Bets Won: 8 Staked: 96pts Returned: 90.9pts P/L = -5.1pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary
I've gone in again on this at 3/1 with another 2pts and half hour to go.Utd v Liverpool @ Half time With United 1-0 up and Liverpool down to 10 men, Liverpool are going to have to go for it, they have nothing to lose really. With the game opening up you expect United to get more opportunities on the counter. I expect at least a couple of goals this half. Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5 - StanJames - 3pts -
Re: JK's 2011 Diary Utd v Liverpool @ Half time With United 1-0 up and Liverpool down to 10 men, Liverpool are going to have to go for it, they have nothing to lose really. With the game opening up you expect United to get more opportunities on the counter. I expect at least a couple of goals this half. Over 2.5 goals @ 6/5 - StanJames - 3pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary One for the United v Liverpool game where I think the Corner Handicap line is set to high. There's not to much reasoning behind this, United havn't been getting to many corners at home this season full stop and with a better performance expected from Liverpool I just think this line is high. Kuyt and Maxi will be outlets down the wings and they should provide plenty of crossing opportunities. Liverpool +3 corners @ 5/6 - StanJames - 7.5pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary Spurs v Charlton Right, looking at that Spurs midfield and I can't help but think this is going to be a tough first half for them. They've got obvious quality on the bench but they may need that later on. Charlton will be well up for this, they havn't had to travel far to the game and under new management their may be a feeling of 'revival' about the team. Class should shine through in the end but I think the odds of a draw at HT are too high, especially when you consider in 11 of Charltons away games, they've only been behind twice, and Spurs have only been ahead in 3 of their 11 home games this season. Draw at HT @ 7/4 - StanJames - 2.5pts Draw/Spurs (HT/FT) @ 7/2 - StanJames - 1.5pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary Deportivo v Barcelona Under 2.5 Goals @ 13/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary Stevenage v Newcastle Being honest I don't know a whole deal about this Stevenage team. However, I do know that Leon Best should be full of confidence after his hatrick and he looks a big anytime scorer @ 15/8. Nolan also looks big at the same price. Not my most well thought out reasoning I know but I just feel there's value there. Nolan anytime scorer @ 15/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts Best anytime scorer @ 15/8 - StanJames - 2.5pts
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary JK's 2011 Football Diary Bets Placed: 18 Bets Won: 6 Staked: 72pts Returned: 75.4pts P/L = +3.4pts Back in profit :beer
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Re: JK's 2011 Diary
3pts Staked 9.9pts Returned
Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season
in Premier League Predictions
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Re: Barclays Premier League > Ante-Post 2011-12 Season