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PL_Crewman

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    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Catterick 3:55 Massapoag Finished 3rd of 15, beaten 9.50 lenghts at this course and distance last month on Good to Firm going. This is bumper for Conditional Jockeys and Amateur Rider. Jockey Mr O Williams has a form worth to follow in bumpers. 3 wins from 14 for J M Jefferson. 7 of 16 finished 3rd or better. 1 win from 2 at this course. Trainer J M Jefferson has a very good bumper record at this course - 4 wins from 8 the past 5 seasons. 0 wins from 21 bumpers this year but has two second and three third. Other big priced to like are Spare Days (Owned by Trevor Hemmins) but Mamba (Owned by Andrea & Graham Wylie) I like the form of Massapoag's trainer/jockey. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 6:50 Blue Manruna Has one win and second from the last three. Taken down to a Class 6 today, from 5 LTO. LTO was also raced at this course and distance, won. Has to carry 9-6 today but I think he can handle it. Finished 2nd of 11 last month with 3rd placed horse 5 lengths behind - he was topweight at 9-7 that day. Also, the winner Mutamaasek was onle 1/2 length in front. Mutamaasek has raced two since and won both. Blue Manruna is in too good of shape to leave out for this race. 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Kempton 6:50 Prime Contender Only runner of the day for trainer G L Moore. Has jockey George Baker booked for today. Only 7 of 9 for his last all weather start but lifetime form is at three wins and one third from nine. Baker was on for two wins, 2006 at this course for 1m4f and 1m3f. The trainer and jockey combo had two runs here yesterday both able to be placed as beaten favorites. Baker for this last three 1m2f trips has two wins. Both at Lingfield, finished 4th of 12 on the other being at this course. Owned by Matthew Green & Richard Green. Baker has three wins from six for them, one from one this year. 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Kempton 7:50 Dancing Duo Trainer D Shaw is doing very well this year. Shaw at this course, has a form of 1-8-2-2-1-3-1-3 since January 11th - 2-2-1-3 with jockey Dean McKeown. McKeown and Shaw since January 11th at any course: 2-2-2-1-3-2 Dancing Duo finished 3 of 14 here at the 7f trip last October and an 8 of 13, beaten 3.75 lengths at the same trip 13 days ago. With her having done some good here and trainer+jockey in very good form, this one has a good chance to take this event. 3pts ew @ 12-1 William HIll Kempton 8:20 Distincly Game Won LTO, Lingfield 6f. Lifetime form on the all weather is respectable at two wins, one second, two third from eight runs. Has one course and distance win and that happened last January with N Callan on board. Trainer and jockey won their only combo at this course for the year. Hard to oppose with the winning time LTO for Distincly Game being fast by 0.77 than the Racing Post standard. 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 8:20 She's My Outsider A worthy outsider based on course and distance form. Has tried the C&D twice finishing 2nd of 10 and 1st of 12 in 2006. Trainer A W Carroll and jockey Kirsty Milczarek combo has 3 wins from 7 this year - Bold Diva (17-2, here), Golden Square (25-1, here), and Bold Diva (5-1, Southwell). A small gamble is worth it as she's proven herself over this C&D and trainer and jockey able to win with big priced runners. 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 8:50 Mind Alert Has the trick to win today after winning the last two by a combined 5.25 lenghts - Southwell by 4 and Kempton by 1.25. The last being raced here to bring his C&D form to 6-2-1. Trainer D Shaw is doing very well this year. Shaw at this course, has a form of 1-8-2-2-1-3-1-3 since January 11th. Jockey James Doyle, who was on board the last two is booked for today. 10pts win @ 3.65 Betfair

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wolverhampton 3:30 Age Of Reason Not liking this one for the trend of the winners having a run on the year they won. This one have not raced all year. Also, only one of last 7 winners is a favorite, a 7-2 joint favorite won last year. Pacifism is a strong contender but price is low to be backed and there are two by the name of Sweet Hope and Elusive Lady to make a good outing. 10pts lay @ 2.60 Betfair

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wolverhampton 1:20 Mafaheem I do not like the draw this one has. I also like two other runners for the race to do well, Grimes Faith and Calloff The Search. Has a laybale price of almost 2-1. Competition is more than capable of beating this one and jockey booking has it overbacked in my opinion. 10pts lay @ 2.96 Betfair

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Wolverhampton 1:20 Calloff The Seach Having a busy year but has shown plenty of good runs - 3-1-2-6. The 6 days off for this one should be enough to not run like his latest. Besides the last race being raced off a 24 break I think the 5f trip was also a problem. The first three this year was for 6f. Being back to that trop today should help. Gained plenty of support fro the last three outing 3-1, 4-6, 9-4 are his SP's - Racing Post Forecast is 14-1. 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 1:20 Grimes Faith Two wins from three Class 6 starts. The trip of 6f has been a problem thoughout his career (0 from 6) but this first time with jockey N Callan may be enough for a win. Callan failed to win from four attempts here yesterday but perhaps being his first meet here this year might have caused that. His form here the past 5 seasons has many wins and I do not believe he's capable of producing a similar result from yesterdays meet. 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 1:50 Aggbag First crack at a mile trip, 1m141y today, and I like his chances of getting a good day. Won his last start by a head at this course running down The Salwick Flyer. The last three runs have been with jockey Andrew Elliot. Two of those three are 7f races for a form of 2 of 10 and 1 of 11. The other being a 6f race for 7 of 9. I like that the best efforts came at the longer trips when with Elliot and this mile+ trip should be suitable. 5pts ew @ 10-3 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 3:30 Elusive Lady 7 of last 9 winners had at least one race for the year they won. Last two won their first January run before winning this event. Only one of last 7 winners is a favorite, a 7-2 joint favorite won last year. Elusive won earlier this year and has a Racing Post forecast of 14-1. Likely to be that only one female was able to win this event the past 9 years. Her progress has been going too well to back away from this one. Winner of her last three outings, all here, the last two at the 1m141y trip. Catlin in booked again, only other combo are the last three runs. 5pts ew @ 9-1 vc bet Wolverhampton 3:30 Sweet Hope Worst effort of the three career all weather runs was held at this course and distance, beaten 7.75 lenghts into 4 of 7. She did have three well trained runners that finished ahead - Fandangerina, Counterclaim, Snowy Indian. That experience led her to a 5 length voctory on her next outing, Lingfield 7f. Even though there is plenty to dislike about this, from race trend to C&D form, I think the Ryan and Callan team can put up a good fight. 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 4:05 Emerald Bay All weather debut. Has one win, one second, four third from thirteen Class 4 runs on turf. Finished 3rd or better for 7 of 14 runs at 1m to 1m54y on turf. A good run today can be expected based on the form of trainer Miss L A Perratt with all weather runners this year. Perratt have sent three runs and they finished for one win and two second. All raced at this course with jockey Tom Eaves the jockey for the winner. 3pts ew @ 12-1 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 2:00 Love You Always 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 11 [-6.00] towards rear, headway on outer over 2f out, stayed on final furlong Southwell 2:00 Wodhill Be 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport Unplaced: 8 of 11 [-10.00] started slowly, soon mid-division, ridden over 2f out, weakened final furlong Southwell 2:30 Dickie Le Davoir 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 7[-10.00] soon outpaced and towards rear, brought wide and headway over 2f out, driven and one pace final furlong Southwell 4:00 Wodhill Schanps 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 12 [-1.25] dwelt and towards rear, smooth headway 2f out, driven and one pace final furlong Wolverhampton 6:50 Coleorton Dancer 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 6 [-10.00] led for 1f, led again over 2f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened and eased Wolverhampton 7:20 Hollow Dream 2pts ew @ 40-1 Bluesq Unplaced: 7 of 9 [-4.00] held up rear, ridden over 3f out, soon beaten Wolverhampton 7:50 Alonso De Guzman 5pts ew @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 6 [+12.50] with leader, led over 5f out, ridden over 1f out, kept on (hand timed) Wolverhampton 9:20 Montiboli 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 6 [-10.00] in touch, ridden over 1f out and one pace

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 2:00 Love You Always Debut for trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam. Truely nothing to like about it from recent times but perhaps a new trainer who's in winning form can help. Chapple-Hyam has two wins, one second from five at this course this year and Love You Always is the only runner of the day. This is Class 7 event so even with his poor form I think having been trained by Chapple-Hyam gives the possibility if a good run. 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG Southwell 2:00 Wodhill Be All three career wins have been raced at this course and distance. The latest being last year, January 16th with Hayley Turner on board. Turner is back on duty and very possible the trainer has the same plans from last year. Wodhill Be has been able to do well at this level - 3rd or better for 9 of 25 runs. 3rd or better for 9 of 19 runs at this course. Trainer D Morris has sent just 5 runners all year but they count for two wins, one second, and two third - all placed/won. All Morris runner for the year was raced at this course. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport Southwell 2:30 Dickie Le Davoir Won two of his last three starts - at Wolverhampton (7f) and here (6f). Both at Claiming Stakes races but I think his chances are very good. He and the RP Forecast favorite Realt Na Mara ran the course and distance two days apart earlier this year, both of the winning. Time for Dickie Le Davoir was 1m 16.24 and RPF Realt Na Mara 1m 16.86s. The former 90+ rated from last summer Dickie Le Davoir is a good value here. Trainer K R Burke and jockey Andrew Elliot has 4 wins from 12 when teaming up this year - 3 from 6 with 4yo+. Burke has a form of 2-2-6-1-3-9-2-1-1 from the last 9 runners - 2-6-3-1-1 with Elliot from that span. 5pts ew @ 6-1 Bet365 BOG Southwell 4:00 Wodhill Schanps Trainer D Morris has sent just 5 runners all year but they count for two wins, one second, and two third - all placed/won. All Morris runner for the year was raced at this course. Wodhill Schanps has a good course form - 6 of 9 races finished 3rd or better. With jockey Hayley Turner, 5 of 10 races finished 3rd or better. With Turner at his course, 4 of 6 races finished 3rd or better. 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 6:50 Coleorton Dancer Last two races was at Southwell finishing 3rd for both starts. Latest course and distance run resulted in a dead-heat for 2nd of 10 as the 2-1 favorite. Jockey John Egan was on board that day and this course is where he has the lowest all weather strike-rate the past 5 seasons. N Callan is booked for today this course is where Callan has his best all weather strike-rate the past 5 seasons. Coleorton Dancer will be the first of the year at this course for Callan - lifetime they have 3 wins from 14 runs together. 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 7:20 Hollow Dream Only runner of the day for trainer R A Harris. Harris has been in awful form from the past 5 meetings he's had a runner - 10-7-UR-8-7-9 against 10-7-7-7-8-8-12 runners. All was raced at Southwell, Lingfield, or Kempton. But the return to this course might enjoy a return to a winning form. Harris has one win and two second at this course from the last six runners this year (January 4 to 12). Hollow Dream has no form to suggests a winning run is within her but the last five Harris trained runners for jockey T G Laughlin finished 5-4-2-1-5 at this course. 2pts ew @ 40-1 Bluesq Wolverhampton 7:50 Alonso De Guzman Tough race but this one being the lightweight has the advantage. His lifetime form at the course is 1-1-4-2 - C&D is at 1-2. The latest was at C&D for a 1 length defeat to Given A Choice. But 6lb pull for today really gives him a great chance. Despite the form of 4-4-2 since winning two straight I think he's still capable of regaining those abilities. 5pts ew @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG Wolverhampton 9:20 Montiboli K A Ryan and N Callan combo with this one. Callan has three wins from five 3yo's this year. Ryan has one win, one second, three third from seven 3yo's this year. Montiboli was teamed with Callan for her first two resulting in a 2nd and 3rd placed efforts. Montiboli was raced here the third time for a 3rd of 7 w/o Callan on board. I think she has to be given a chance using the Ryan and Callan form for this year - they as a combo have two wins from three entering the day 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Lingfield 1:10 Nawamees 10pts win @ 8-11 Sportingbet Unplaced: 2 of 4 [-10.00] held up in 3rd, ridden over 3f out, chased winner over 2f out, hung left from over 1f out, no extra Lingfield 2:20 Banjo Bandit 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 11 [-1.00] 4-1 SP keen hold in touch, pushed along over 6f out, headway well over 1f out, stayed on well towards finish Lingfield 2:20 Black Heart 5pts ew @ 8-1 Boylesports Unplaced: 9 of 11 [-10.00] led 8f out, headed 5f out, under pressure over 3f out, lost place 2f out opened 12/1 touched 14/1 Lingfield 2:50 Art Man 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betfred 1st of 8 [+54.00] held up in rear, good headway on inside over 2f out, soon led, clear over 1f out, stayed on well, readily Lingfield 2:50 Baylini 10pts win @ 8-11 Sportingbet Unplaced: 4 of 8 [-10.00] tracked leaders, travelled strongly, led over 2f out, soon headed, rallied approaching final furlong, weakened close home Lingfield 3:55 Sands Crooner 10pts win @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 7 [+30.00] held up towards rear, headway on inside over 1f out, led inside final furlong, ridden out Lingfield 3:55 Somkin Beau 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 7 [-10.00] led, headed 2f out, every chance approaching final furlong, weakened close home Kempton 6:20 Prettilini 5pts ew @ 9-1 Bluesq NON-RUNNER Kempton 6:20 King Of Charm 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betfred 3rd of 9 [+4.00] mid-division, headway to chase leaders over 2f out, ran on Kempton 6:20 Stoneacre Donny 10pts win @ 15-8 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 9 [-10.00] slowly into stride, soon puched along, slightly hampered over 3f out, effort on inside approaching 2f out, faded final furlong Kempton 6:50 Cavalry Guard 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport 3rd of 10 [+4.00] in touch, ridden to chase leading pair 2f out, one pace Kempton 7:20 Jessica Wigmo 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 8 [+3.00] 8-1 SP held up, steady headway on inside from 3f out, led approaching 1f out, shaken up and headed close home Kempton 7:20 Lordswood 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 8 [-10.00] held up, driven over 2f out, kept on Kempton 7:50 Parkview Love 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport 3rd of 12 [+6.25] slowly into stride, headway to chase leaders over 2f out, shaken up over 1f out, no extra Kempton 8:20 Smokey Rye 10pts win @ 7-4 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 7 [-10.00] in touch, close up, chased clear winner soon after Kempton 8:20 Annes Rocket 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 7 [-4.00] 20-1 SP slowly into stride, headway 2f out, ridden and weakened final furlong Kempton 8:50 Isa' Af 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 9 [-5.00] 5-1 SP prominent, ridden and weakened 4f out Kempton 8:50 Prince Of Medina 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 9 [-10.00] led and keen, hung left throughout, ridden 2f out, weakening when headed over 1f out Kempton 9:20 Earl Kraul 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG 3rd of 8 [-10.00] held up, headway when switched left on bend over 2f out, soon chasing leaders, kept on

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 6:20 King Of Charm Trainer G L Moore has been in very good form with and continued that today with a 7-1 winner earlier today at Lingfield. Jockey Fergus Sweeney did not have a good afternoon at Lingfield but form at this course is likeable - three wins from eight this year. Trainer and jockey won their last combo, two days ago at this course for a 5-2 winner. King Of Charm is well outside being in good form from recent outings but he's done his best when Sweeney was on board. They raced for five last year for a form of 4-1-10-6-15. Two runs at this course for a 1st of 12 and 6 of 12, both at the 6f trip. Could have a big race with trainer and joceky in winning form and also having his best career efforts with jockey on board. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betfred Kempton 6:20 Stoneacre Donny Won here 5 days ago in an Apprentice Classified Stakes (Class 7) race by a margin of 3 lengths from the 4-6 favorite. His previous race was a Handicap 0-55 at Wolverhmapton for a 4 of 10, beaten just 1.75 lenghts by multiple winners Ace Club, Bentley, and Taboor. I think his win from last time has to be respected even if it was at low levels. The race today is the same but not for apprentice riders. Being one of the two course and distance winner should give this one a good advantage for a race of this class. 10pts win @ 15-8 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 8:20 Annes Rocket Very good value with this one. On his 6th start today and progressing nicely. - 13-5-5-4-1. Boxing Day winner. This is the last Boxing Day winner from the Wolverhampton meet. The other 5 collected 4 winners between them at SP's of 11-8, 11-4, 4-1, 4-1. This one is currently the biggest priced yet and worth to go with by his current progress. 3pts ew @ 14-1 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 6:20 Prettilini Return to this level should be appreciated. Lifetime form in Class 7 events is at 2-4-6. 6f is the trip where he has the most wins, 2 from 7 and 2 from the other 36 runs. His latest, 12 days ago, was a defeat by 30 lengths to finish last of the 14 runners. It was the first run since last August so this time may be different. Trainer A W Carroll and jockey Kirsty Milczarek has 3 wins from 7 this year. Bold Diva (17-2), Golden Square (25-1), and Bold Diva (5-1) are the winners. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Bluesq Kempton 6:50 Cavalry Guard All weather debut (Lingfield) was only for 13 of 14 runners, ebaten 6.75 lengths 19 days ago. Today will be his second start for current trainer J R Boyle. I think he's not one to count out just yet. It's been a distant since his debut in July 26, 2006 but he finished 2nd by 1.25 lenghts to Cockney Rebel that day who was also on his debut. Cavalry Guard has gone on a different direction compare to Cockney Rebel but Boyle is capable of getting him into the winner circle. Jockey Fergus Sweeny has 3 wins from 8 runs at this course this year - 0 for 5 on the other courses. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport Kempton 7:20 Jessica Wigmo She's been on the best form of her life the past three months - 3-1-5-8-2. Only career win was at the course and distance, maiden. She lost by 1.75 lengths to Lordswood LTO but had 2lbs more that day. Main danger to Lordswood today and should be able to give another good outing with same jockey on from last time and gets 3lb less than Lordswood. 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 7:20 Lordswood Only 5th of 10 LTO. Won his race two days prior to that with jockey booked for today Hayley Turner. An apprentice was on board LTO so I think a repeat of his winning performance is possible with Turner back. The form of the trainer and jockey for 7f-1m runners are good. Trainer: 2 wins from 6 aged 4+ Jockey: 2 wins from 5 aged 4+ 10pts win @ 11-4 Bet365 BOG Kempton 7:50 Parkview Love Has finished 3rd or better in 7 of 10 lifetime runs with jockey Dean McKeown. This trip of 1m has been the best for Parkview Love - 3rd or better in 10 of 21 runs. 1m trips with McKeown is good for a win at Lingfield last March and a 5 0f 7 at Southwell last month. With the good record or being 3rd or better with the jockey booked and the distance should have this a good day. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Totesport Kempton 8:20 Smokey Rye Most consistent from this field of 8 with his 3-1-2-2-2 form since last November. Only a favorite once from that span and won that day at the SP of 11-4. That happened to be the only career attempt at this course. The distance was 6f that day but this 7f trip should not be alot of problem. Also, jockey on that day was George Baker, their only pairing and today will be the second. 10pts win @ 7-4 Bet365 BOG Kempton 8:50 Isa' Af 25-1 winner over the course and distance 3 days ago and it was not an easy win. chased leader, ridden and upsides just over 2f out, led last 100yds, forged ahead towards finish - from Racing Post comments in running. Jockey change from JIm Crowley to Tolley Dean for today should not cause many problems. Dean currentl has a form of 3-2-3-1 from the last 4 runs excluding an 11 of 11 outing, also all 4 placed. Dean's season at Kempton has been well so far having 2 wins from 4 - 2 wins previous 47 runs. 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Kempton 8:50 Prince Of Medina One who's in good form lately and could possibly be better than Isa'Af if able to do what was expected last time. His latest was being the 11-10 favorite in the race Isa'Af won. His "very one pace" effort the last 3f that day caused him that event, beaten 3 lengths for 5th of 10. That same jockey from last time is back, Hayley Turner. They have a form of 3rd of 8 and that 5th of 10. His 1st (14f, Wolv) and 2nd (C&D) placed efforts before the latest cannot be forgotten. 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG Kempton 9:20 Earl Kraul Had a good span of 1-2-3-3 in January last year all from Class 7 except the last. His first outing of the year was a win at this Class, course, and just 1f less of trip. Trainer G L Moore changes jockey from Adam Kirby LTO to George Baker for today. Baker has two wins from seven Moore runners this year. I think he'll be able to do well again. He proved he's capable of being consistent this time last year. 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Lingfield 1:10 Nawamees Won his last two starts, both 1mf4 at Lingfield and Wolverhampton. He's been 3-1-3-3-1-1 since last October and this will be his firs trun of the year. The three wins are all on the all weather while the others being hurdle races. Should give too much for rivals to do today based on current efforts. 10pts win @ 8-11 Sportingbet Lingfield 2:20 Banjo Bandit Showing good form on the surface (3rd and 1st) with his turf form being last of 13 from two starts. He's only been raced for 7f but with what he's shown I think he can handle the 1m2f trip today. Only runner of the day for trainer J S Moore. Moore is one to follow so far with the form being 1-7-2-2-1-2-1 this year. Jockey Tolley Dean was on board for the 7th placed finish, while the rest had John Egan. 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 2:20 Black Heart Not found much from three starts on the other all weather courses - 6-8-6. I think he's trained well for this course debut, trainer M Bottin has two runs here this year for a win and a third. The win was with jockey Kirsty Milczarek, who is also the jockey for both of Botti's win this year. First time visor might help and jockey Milczarek for the first time should also help. 5pts ew @ 8-1 Boylesports Lingfield 2:50 Art Man Won his last start over course and distance in a maiden event. Defeateing P F I Cole's Srikuatan by 1.50 lenghts. Art Man was the 8-11 favorite for that win and faired well on two handicaps over C&D before that run. The last three runs have been at the course and distance - 4-5-1 and beaten just 1.50 and 2.50 lengths for thos handicap events. Owner Matthew Green is worth to follow at this course - 12 wins from 54 the last 5 seasons, 8 from 25 aged 4+. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betfred Lingfield 2:50 Baylini Course and distance have been raced for her last three runs - 3-1-1. The latest being a 6 length victory with an ease near the finish. Going to be odds-on but worth the risks with what she's capable of. Lifetime form at the course has three wins, one second, and three third from seven starts. 10pts win @ 8-11 Sportingbet Lingfield 3:55 Sands Crooner Has a couple of starts this year, finishing 2nd for both. Has to be shorlisted for those efforts and really been doing well since last month - 1-5-2-2 since December. The win came at this course and distance. Only race with Tolley Dean was good enough for 2nd to Almaty Express to start the year. With his three career wins from five being here I think he'll be able to keep his good form. 10pts win @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Lingfield 3:55 Somkin Beau Looking for the hat trick today after winning his last two. Both raced last year, November and December at Kempton. I think this first start this year should be of no problem with trainer N P Littmoden doing well here so far - two wins from six runs. Littmoden and jockey Kirsty Milczarek teamed up for the first time 4 days ago here at 1m2f and won. Owner Miss Vanessa Church has 5 wins from 20 aged at least 4 at this course the past 5 seasons including the Littmoden/Milczarek combo. 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 1:10 Elms Schoolboy 2pts ew @ 20-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 10 [-4.00] steadied start, always in rear, kept on from over 1f out, never nearer Kempton 1:40 Come What July 5pts ew @ 9-1 Ladbrokes 3rd of 10 [+4.00] behind and soon ridden along, headway over 2f out, stayed on to take 3rd inside final furlong, not trouble first 2 Kempton 1:40 Sahf London 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG 1st of 10 [+27.00] raced keenly, tracked leaders on outer, carried right over 1f out, stayed on to lead inside final furlong, driven out Kempton 2:10 Diane's Choice 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 6 [-10.00] chased leaders on outer, not quicken over 1f out, kept on same pace Kempton 2:40 Hiss And Boo 2pts ew @ 20-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 8 [-4.00] tracked leader, hung right over 2f out, soon ridden, no impression over 1f out Kempton 3:10 Beckenham's Secret 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 8 [-10.00] raced keenly, prominent, ridden over 2f out, slightly outpaced over 1f out, kept on one pace final furlong Kempton 3:40 Arfinnit 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 9 [-10.00] reared leaving stalls, in touch, ridden 2f out, no impression over 1f out, kept on inside final furlong, never nearer Kempton 3:40 Muktasb 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG 1st of 9 [+24.00] 7-2 SP held up in rear, good headway over 2f out, ridden to lead well over 1f out, clear final furlong, driven out Kempton 4:10 Equilibria 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 13 [-10.00] prominent until weakened over 2f out Kempton 4:10 Mujamead 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 13 [-10.00] took keen hold, chased leader, led 5f out, ridden and headed final 75yds, kept on Southwell 1:00 Maktavish 5pts ew @ 9-1 VC Bet Unplaced: 4 of 6 [-10.00] led, ridden 2f out, headed entering final furlong, soon no extra Southwell 2:30 Yankee Storm 10pts win @ 5-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 7 [-10.00] close up, ridden over 1f out, soon weakened Southwell 3:30 T'Ai Chi 2pts ew @ 100-1 Bluesq DNF: Pulled Up [-4.00] slowly away and ran green, always behind, pulled up over 2f out Southwell 3:30 Charlie Chan 2pts ew @ 80-1 Sportingbet Unplaced: 7 of 8 [-4.00] always towards rear Southwell 4:00 Cerebus 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 3 of 7 [-10.00] led, ridden over 2f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra Southwell 4:00 Sweet Pickle 10pts win @ 6-4 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 7 [-10.00] tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, led inside final furlong, headed towards finish

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 3:30 Charlie Chan The other 7yo in this maiden. Only making his third start but could possisble he can do well in this event. Trainer D W Chapman had a winner at this course with jockey Liam Jones 7 days ago. Jones have been doing well the past 2 days with three runs being placed - 3-3-5-2 at prices of 12-1, 7-1, 12-1, 9-4. Jones' last two mile run have finished 3r of 11 at 12-1 and 2 of 7 at 9-4 at Kempton and Southwell. Charlie Chan is offered at a big price and the event does not appear to be too competitive so his chances are still there. 2pts ew @ 80-1 Sportingbet

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 1:10 Elms Schoolboy Form from LTO, 6 of 8, can be forgiven for it being his first race in 8 months. He's likely to be more able to do his best and his best efforts have been at this level. Last win was in November '06 but it won at the course and distance. All three career wins are from this class. The last two trainer/jockey combo here finished 1st of 13 at 11-1 and 4 of 13 at 16-1. 2pts ew @ 20-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 1:40 Come What July Lifetime form at 1m2f has one win and second from six runs. He usually does well at this time of the year - 2 wins from 10 when January (6 of 8 runs in February finished 3rd or better). His last outing, 4 days ago, was for a 1m4f race. The last time he went from 1mf4 into a 1m2f race her finished 2nd of 13. That occurence happened last April on the 25 and 30 of the month. Today is on 5 days rest so this similar tactic might provide a good outing. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Ladbrokes Kempton 1:40 Sahf London Not been on the all weather since for nearly a year, 5 hurdle races from that span. Something good is that three of four career all weather runs was raced here - 4-1-7. All three was raced at this level and should be able to do well with his hurdle form from Class 3 to 4 being far from disgraced Trainer G L Moore has 7 of 15 all weather runners finish 3rd or better - 3 winners. 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Kempton 2:10 Diane's Choice Four lifetime runs of 5f has two wins and one second - one win from one try at the 5f trip on the all weather, Lingfield '06. She also has one win, three second, one third with jockey Dane O'Neill. Has been raced here twice finishing 3rd of 11 and 1st of 9 both from the 6f trip. Also raced in Class 3, 3, and 2 for the last three runs, Lingfield all weather. No wins from there but beaten distances was not far, 2.25, 1.50, 3.50 lengths. Plenty to like about this one for today. Racing Post Forecast of 8-1 is unlikely to be available but with the trainer having just 2 wins from 54 5-6f runners the last 5 seasons should get her there. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 2:40 Hiss And Boo Trainer P Howling has a 10% strike-rate with 3yo's on the all weather the past 5 seasons - 21 wins from 207 - total of 41 finished 2nd. Hiss And Boo finished 4 of 6, beaten 11 lengths LTO, 27 days ago at this course for his career debut. He had Fair Gale (1st) and Seattle Storm (2nd) to worry about along with a M Botti runner (3rd). I think he'll be able to do better this time after that experience and with jockey T G McLaughlin booked is a big help. Big price but the rivals for this Maiden Auction Stakes has little experience to count this one out. 2pts ew @ 20-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 3:10 Beckenham's Secret Gained only career win at this course, 5f, on his second career starts. Not been close to that form since but jockey Kirsty Milczarek should boosts the chance of getting back to the winner circle. Milczarek has two wins from four at the course and distance this year. Trainer A W Carrol has one win and one second from the last four 1m runners - 5-2-1-10. 5pts ew @ 11-2 Bet365 BOG Kempton 3:40 Arfinnit Owner All The Kings Horse has 4 wins from 27 runs on the all weather. Three of those four wins came from Arfinnit. LTO, 13 days ago was a win at this course and distance in a Class 6 handicap. Jockey then was Kirsty Milczarek and she is booked again for today. Arfinnit is currently the best horse trainer Mrs A L M King has so I think he's well ready for this try at Class 5. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 3:40 Muktasb Really done well since October last year - 2-2-6-1-3-7-3-1-1. Two of those wins was at this course, the last outing being a win at the course and distance. All but one, the 7th placed finish, was with jockey Adam Kirby. Kriby is not schdeduled for today but the shape Muktasb has been in is too good to pass up. Even without Kirby I think Muktasb can do well today. He has a lifetime form of two wins, two second, one third at this course. 5pts ew @ 3-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 4:10 Equilibria Winless from 10 try on the all weather. Three tries at this course. Today will be different with jockey George Baker set to be on board for the first time. Baker does well here, 18% strike-rate with 4yo+ runners - 19 wins from 103. Baker for trainer G L Moore has a form of 10-1-2-8-1-4 this year and 23% strike-rate on the all weather with 4yo+. Even with Equilibria lack of success in thses races I think Baker can do alot of good with him here. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Kempton 4:10 Mujamead Won his last outing and it was a hurdle race. Not been on the all weather since he started his career but hurdle form currently sits ar 4-1-3-1 since last August. The last two outing are his only start for the current yard, A W Carroll. Carroll is capable of winning here and I think with the current form of Mujamead Carroll can get him to do well today. Also, Racing Post Forecast favorite is Mujamead at 3-1. 10pts win @ 2-1 Bet365 BOG Southwell 1:00 Maktavish Has a January form of 1-2-7 the last two years. Two career wins and one third from nine career runs on Class 6 races. Not been able to win since 2006 but that win was at this course and distance - total of 4 wins from 18 here. All four career wins on the all weather was held at this course. I think the trainer is in good enough form for Maktavish be back in winning form at the track. Trainer R Brotherton for this year has a form of 1-2-7-2-2-4-4 with the last 6 being here. Brotherton with jockey Paul Mulrennan has a form of 1-2-2 this year. 5pts ew @ 9-1 VC Bet Southwell 2:30 Yankee Storm Really progressed well on his first year of racing last year - 5-12-10-4-2-2-1. Continued that form by winning his first start as a 3yo nine days ago. Different class (6 to 5) and jockey (Cosgrave to Mulrennan) but he's been running too well to oppose even with those changes. Still has the same course and distance from the last two starts. 10pts win @ 5-4 Bet365 BOG Southwell 3:30 T'Ai Chi Debut on the all weather. Has one race for experience and that was from a bumper on boxing day - finished 12 of 12. That was a 2m race: chased leaders until lost place after 6f, hopelessly tailed off last 4f She 7yo and this will be her 2nd career start but her maturity could be an advantage for this maiden event. The Dam, Trojan Desert, has four of five females able to be placed - two was able to win. There is not alot of form from the rivals that can automatically have this one out of contention. Trainer John A Harris has a three wins from nine this year with two from this course. This is his only runner of the day. Jockey Mickey Fenton had a win and second from the last two runs for Harris. 2pts ew @ 100-1 Bluesq Southwell 4:00 Cerebus Won his last start of '07 at Wolverhampton, 6f -November 10, 2007. Has been 3rd or better in 11 of 20 starts here - four wins and second, three third. He's been able to be placed for four of eight January runs - one win, three second. It's been 66 days since her last outing but with jockey Stephen Donohoe booked I can ignore that fact. Her record with Donohoe on board is a three wins and one third from eight starts. 5pts ew @ 4-1 Bet365 BOG Southwell 4:00 Sweet Pickle In very good form this year with a 1st and 2nd placed efforts after no being raced since November. He course record is now at four wins, five second, four third from seventeen runs. Jockey Seb Sanders is booked and it's a rare occasion for the connections. Sanders has zero wins from two runs for trainer J R Boyle and has no runs for owner M Khan X2 the last 5 seasons. Khan and Boyle has been winning alot lately and I doubt this can do anything wrong today. Sweet Pickle is tied for most wins (7) and second in total prize money (£25,034.18) with all weather runners for Khan the past 5 seasons. 10pts win @ 6-4 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 1:10 Bold Diva 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG 1st of 7 [+31.25] 5-1 SP raced keenly, held up behind leaders, ridden to lead over 1f out, edged left inside final furlong, ran on Southwell 1:10 Fulford 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 4 of 7 [-10.00] dwelt, headway to go prominent after 1f, every chance over 2f out, beaten over 1f out Southwell 2:10 Home 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG 1st of 7 [+25.00] chased leader, led over 1f out, edged right inside final furlong, pushed out Southwell 2:40 Silver Sprite 5pts ew @ 9-1 Williamhill Unplaced: 4 of 4 [-5.00] 4 runners-win bet only led to halfway, soon ridden, hung left over 2f out, weakened well over 1f out Southwell 2:40 Terracos Do Pinhal 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 3 of 4 [-5.00] 4 runners-win bet only chased leader until led halfway, ridden and headed over 1f out, weakened inside final furlong Southwell 3:10 Musical Feud 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG 2nd of 6 [+12.00] 28-1 SP, 2pts ew slowly into stride, soon chasing leaders, ridden when hampered over 2f out, hung left over 1f out, stayed on same pace final furlong Southwell 3:40 Clear Reef 10 pts win @ 13-8 Bet365 BOG 5 of 6 [-10.00] held up and behind, not clear run well over 3f out, soon ridden, never troubled leaders Southwell 3:40 Noble Plum 10 pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG 1st of 6 [+25.00] held up, raced keenly, headway to lead over 3f out, soon clear, hung left 2f out, stayed on well, eased near finish

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Southwell 1:10 Bold Diva Finished 2.50 lengths clear of 2nd place when winning at Kempton LTO, 5 days ago. This is a tougher looking race but she gets some of similarities from LTO. There is a switch of venue but the distance remains at 6f. Jockey Kirsty Milczarek is again on board. The number of rivals is again at six. This will be the second race since last October so what she showed LTO should not be worn out just yet. 5pts ew @ 7-2 Bet365 BOG Southwell 1:10 Fulford The other LTO winner from this field, the other is Bold Diva, and Fulford won at the course and distance. The win was not easily accomplished as the 2nd placed horse did fought hard for it. It was also the first time with jockey Mark Lawson and he's again booked for today. Lawson has two wins for trainer M Brittain this year - 2 wins from 9, two more finished 3rd. 10pts win @ 9-4 Bet365 BOG Southwell 2:10 Home A frustrating runner to follow but Racing Post Forecast of 9-2 will be worth to bet on if available. He's been able to stay close to the winner but never able to win until LTO when winning by 7 lenghts in a bloodless 3 runner seller. Connections then spent 10,000gns to buy Home after that win. LTO was his first try at this course so I think being back here will only help. 10pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG Southwell 2:40 Silver Sprite Jockey Patrick Donaghy is booked for the time with Silver Sprite. Donaghy has two of four wins this year from frist time out pairing with those winning horses. This is also the course where Donaghy has three wins from eight runs. Trainer D Shaw had Donaghy for four horse this year and it has been a successfull strategy. Tartatartufata: two wins from two runs, only two runs with Donaghy. Sands Crooner: 2nd of 5, only run with Donaghy. Jazz Romance: 11th of 11 at 50-1, only run with Donaghy. 13-9-12 from previous three runs. Lucius Verrus: 7 of 7, only run with Donaghy Silver Sprite has a decent form and has his best effort at the course and distance. 5pts ew @ 9-1 Williamhill Southwell 2:40 Terracos Do Pinhal Owner David Livingston has two horses owned the past 5 seasons. The other was Dee Cee Elle, 2 wins from 13 on turf but all weather form had 2 wins from 3 runs. Terracos Do Pinhal has a very poor form of 9 of 9, 7 of 7, and 6 of 10 on turf but I think he'll do well at this course. Trainer Mark Johnson has 6 wins from 17 3yo's at this course last year - Jockey Dean McKeown, booked for today, have had a good last two days - 2-2-2-2-1 at Lingfield, Wolverhampton, and Kempton. McKeown has only 2 wins from 62 here the past 5 seasons but he's placed in 3 of the last 4. 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Southwell 3:10 Musical Feud Trainer Jane Chapple-Hyam has a total of 4 wins from 10 at this course since last year. Jockey Pat Cosgrave has been out of winning form the couple of days but being back at this course might help. Cosgrave has 4 wins from 10 here this year. Musical Feud is the outsider with a Racing Post Forecast of 25-1 for this 6 runner event. 3pts ew @ 16-1 Bet365 BOG Southwell 3:40 Clear Reef Has two wins at this course from two different distance. Again a different trip for today but already shown plenty on first two try to not be opposed. Jockey T G McLaughlin was booked for the last two and will be on again today. He spoiled the 2nd placed horse of a hat trick LTO but 1.50 length at 1m6f and won by 2.50 last month at the trip of 1m3f. I doubt the distance can stop him. Has 3lb less today from LTO. 10 pts win @ 13-8 Bet365 BOG Southwell 3:40 Noble Plum She has a tough rival by the name of Clear Reef but that runner has 2lbs more to carry here. This will be the first try at the course but connections is doing well to ignore that. Trainer Sir Mark Prescott two wins, one second, one third from four runners aged at least 4 this year. Seb Sanders is booked for the first with Noble Plum and he's been at least 3rd for 9 of 10 races this year. 10 pts win @ 5-2 Bet365 BOG

    PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist

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    Re: PL_Crewman | Sports-Punter Specialist Kempton 12:45 Hero Heart 2pts ew @ 40-1 Betfred Unplaced: 9 of 11 [-4.00] chased leaders, ridden over 2f out, no progress and weakened quickly over 1f out Kempton 12:45 Wherry 5pts ew @ 5-1 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 6 of 11 [-10.00] started slowly, towards rear, ridden 3f out, kept on from over 1f out, nearest finish, not troubled leaders Kempton 1:15 Fortune Point 5pts ew @ 13-2 Betfred Unplaced: 10 of 10 [-10.00] towards rear, headway over 3f out to chase leaders, soon ridden and weakened from 2f out Kempton 1:45 Zabeel House 5pts ew @ 9-2 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 7 of 11 [-10.00] slowly in to stride, held up in rear, stayed on steadily from over 1f out, never nearer Kempton 2:55 Mine Behind 5pts ew @ 9-1 Betfred Unplaced: 8 of 10 [-10.00] always in rear, never a factor Kempton 3:55 Countback 5pts ew @ 8-1 Betfred Unplaced: 6 of 10 [-10.00] towards rear, headway on inside over 2f out, not troubled leaders, nearest finish Kempton 3:55 Prince Of Medina 10pts win @ 11-8 Bet365 BOG Unplaced: 5 of 10 [-10.00] mid-division, ridden over 3f out, no impression final 2f Well, Sunday looks like the day to fear :sad

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