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Sco

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    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bank Starting bank = 100 Current bank = 93.96 Total staked = 130 Number of bets = 22 Winning bets = 12 Losing bets = 10 Strike rate = 54.5% Yield = -4.6% Profit/Loss = -6.04 (Still the Duisberg game to follow) Only a small loss today, but hoping that the Munich game can put me nearer to being in the black. Might post up with some more selections soon. Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 21 Wigan V Leeds Lay Wigan 5pts on Betfair (Would return 10.32) Info by Keemanan (And general thread)

    Now Leeds smack of a poss outsider , I'd back The pie eaters every time away from the JJB but at home they seem to get the jitters. 1 win in 4 home games recently ,Leeds have won their last 2 away , this is an amazing price and one I'd never thought I'd see. I'll be having a nibble so I can tell the grandchildren that I was on the whites when they were 3/1 at Wigan
    Bet 22 Brighton V Sunderland Sunderland to win 5pts@ 2.20 Info by Keemanan
    Brighton v Sunderland , now this does interest me , a game that McCarthy will be looking to win without a doubt . On paper and form Sunderland looked nailed on and anything over evens is a must IMO.Brighton no win in 4 lost their last 2 , the mackams beat them 2-0 at home. 3 wins in 4 for Sunderland , I fancy them to be too much for Brighton going for that automatic promotion.
    Bet 23 Chesterfield V Sheff Wed Wednesday to win 5pts@ 2.74 Info by AndyCoull
    Chesterfield vs Sheff Wed. Found this useful... Moving into League One and Sheffield Wednesday look a big price to bounce back from last week's derby defeat against Bradford. As Wednesday fans will tell you on any football forum the Owls should never be backed at Hillsborough as time and time again they manage to turn winning situations into losing ones, but on the road they are a different kettle of fish. Paul Sturrock's side have lost only three times away from home this season and sitting in fourth place they are well-positioned to make the end-of-season promotion lottery that is the play-offs. Last week's defeat against the Bantams was a big blow but with teams around them also slipping up, the defeat was a little easier to take, and a win at Saltergate on Saturday would get them nicely back on track. The Owls head to Chesterfield having avoided defeat in their last seven away games and bearing in mind they have gone to places such as Luton, Bournemouth, Barnsley and Bristol City in this unbeaten run, it's fair to say that Owls fans are right to state on the forums that if you are thinking of backing Sturrock's boys to avoid defeat, do it when they are on the road! Prior to last Saturday's setback the Owls had gone 10 games unbeaten and at 8/5 they look too big a price to see off a Chesterfield side who were extremely fortunate to win at Doncaster last weekend. Roy McFarland's side were completely outplayed by Donny and nicked a 1-0 win when they managed to find the net with their only shot on target! Taking that freak win out of the equation the Spireites have managed to win just one of their last 10 matches and at home they have lost two out of their last three, including recently letting four goals in against a Wrexham side that currently sit third-from-bottom. These two side shared a 2-2 draw at Hillsborough back in October but Wednesday are different side these days and while Chesterfield will be buoyed by last week's win, it remains to be seen whether they can get the better of Sturrock's well-drilled promotion hopefuls.
    Some good info this week, might be back with a few more when I get back from work. Sco

    If anyone needs any help ..

    in Poker

    Posted

    Re: If anyone needs any help .. Thats interesting as with most people here, your stakes are much higher. I generally play $.50/$1 tables, or maybe $1/$2. Bascially just wondering what hands you would raise pre flop, and with what hands I should fold. I personally hate games where there are loads of pre-flops, as I never have the balls to go for it with crap hands. Also with low stakes like that, how often should you bluff and go for raising with crap cards? New to all this, but trying to learn! Sco

    Tennis thread.

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Tennis thread. OK. I actually fancy Ancic to win this one, after coming through a tough first round opponent. Although as you pointed out, he can be hot and cold in matches so I suppose the value is in Rochus who has been consistently playing well. Henman should win...simple as that, not too much to say. I fancy also Mello to beat Vassallo, but have not looked at H2H's yet, or if there is any other info I should know about. Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 20 Esbjerg V Djurgarden Esbjerg to win 5pts@ 1.81 Info by Galea78

    Stakes 1-10 Esbjerg - Djurgarden - Home Win 9/10 @1.81 FT Prediction 4-1 Esbjerg name a strong squad including new striker Michaël Murcy from La Lovière in Belgium, Djurgardens are all but out with 2 games left sitting bottom with 1 point having already been beaten 3-0 by the then injury hit Esbjerg side.Djurgarden are playing for pride and i can see them scoring here. Djurgradens are without several key players for tonights game too including playermaker Tobias Hysén and the Keeper, introducing several U21's. Djurgarden last played on the 1st and lost 3-2 against lower league opponents. 4-3-3 Wahlström Concha- Kuivasto - Johannesson - Rasck Arneng - Árnason - Magro Sjölund - Kusi-Asare - Wowoah Tommi Vaiho, Fredrik Stenman, Søren Larsen, Eldin Kozica, Patrick Amoah
    Good luck:hope Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 19 Duisberg V Munich Lay Duisberg 5ptsliability (possible payout of 10.91) Info by Kojic2003

    MSV Duisburg v TSV 1860 Munchen I just saw some very, very interesting news on the German TV, so there is no point to wait anything.Duisburg are facing huge squad problems right now and I’m pretty sure these high odds on Munchen will drop till Monday when the news(Kicker.de) get published.Duisburg's strongest lineup is well known: Koch – Wolters, Drsek, Baelum, Bugera – Voss, Ivica Grlic, Lottner, van Houdt – Ahanfouf, Kurth, but they go into this game without the services of first-choice goalkeeper Koch(five yellow cards), playmaker Ivica Grlic(red card), while both Voss and Peter van Houdt are very doubtful(none of the played against Essen last week) and according to latest news, they are likely to miss the game as well.So, except Lottner, the hosts are likely to have three second-choice midfielders(Wehlage, Spizak, Meyer???) in the starting lineup(including the second-choice goalkeeper), and the absence of former Cottbus goalkeeper Koch is even the bigger blow as he was really outstanding this season.Duisburg were totally outclassed and humiliated at Essen last week.They lost only 0:1, but the hosts could have easily won by 3, 4 or even more goals(a lot of amazing saves by Koch) as they dominated the game from start to finish, producing their best performances of the season!Duisburg have the home advantage here and this is the only reason why I’m not going to take the straight away win, but Munchen, who are a different team after the winter break, should have enough for them IMO.The Lions are in clear uptrend period for a while, they are full of confidence after some of a very good results recently, most of their players are in top form(especially Kolomaznik and Matthias Lehmann), they have no any squad problems and under the current circumstances they are simply worth of support.Munchen really need these points and I truly believe they can succeed in this mission as they're still one of the biggest promotion candidates.Add in the fact that Duisburg’s biggest star Ahanfouf(top scorer) is totally out of form at the moment.TSV 1860 Munchen +3/4(1.93 at PointBet) is too good to miss IMO! Good Luck!
    I see a bit of value here so have gone for it! Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) No Im certainly going to carry it on. Got a little side tracked with some tennis betting at the moment. I'll have a look through the threads to see if I can find anything. If anyone see's a good thread with some good analysis then please post it up, so I can have a look as I might have missed it. Hopefully some selections to follow. Sco

    Tennis thread.

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Ok. After some time off thought I might start on some good ol' tennis betting again. First thing I would do is to put an accy on for the big 4 here: Johansson, Federer, Roddick and Tommy Haas. These 4 dont give the best return, at around 1.27 but these are sure bankers. Possible Upsets: Henman V Kiefer, Keifer has the possibility to beat Henman here, who lost in the australian somewhat suprisingly to Davydenko. Keifer has not been too bad this year, so there is possible value in 2.62 I also quite fancy Ancic to beat Taylor dent. I have never really been a big fan of Dent, and I guess it will come down to who serves best on the day. Picks: Ok. Well if I will be going for (strength out of 10) 10/10 on the Accumulator above @1.27 4/10 Kiefer tb Henman @2.62 4/10 Ancic tb Dent 5/10 Schalken tb Pavel Fingers crossed everyone Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Well I dont know what happened here...I was sure that I posted my selection up for Arsenal game over 2.5? I came to the thread to work out the new bank and couldn't find the post. Anyway as no-one seems to be following the thread (with money at least) I am going to include it as I know that it was a bet I made, and is included in my spreadsheet. If anyone has any objections then il take it off. Bet 18 Arsenal V C. Palace Over 2.5 betfair 5pts@ 1.7 Info by SecondSight

    Arsenal/Palace Looks high scoring to me, neither team keeps many clean sheets. 90 goals in 26 games this season for both teams, suggest at least 3 goals in the game. I also feel it will not be a one sided game. Palace could create a surprise. I thought they played well against Bolton despite losing, also beat a fancied Spurs side 3-0 lately and got a point at WBA with 10 men for alot of the game. Should be good Palace away support for short trip too. AK has not liked betting on Arsenal of late and the facts tend to back him up. Arsenal only managing to draw at home to WBA and Southampton. Great win at Villa for Arsenal but was that an after reaction to the poor display at home to MU or was that the real Arsenal at Villa? My prediction is 2-1 or 3-2 to Arsenal, but I am not discounting 2-2 shock. Interesting that Ladbrokes were quoting best odds on Arsenal at 1/4, they were keen to get punters backing Arsenal, but they have reduced odds to 1/5 so punters were keen on the Arsenal at 1/4
    Bank Starting bank = 100 Current bank = 90.51 Total staked = 110 Number of bets = 18 Winning bets = 10 Losing bets = 8 Strike rate = 55.5% Yield = -8.63% Profit/Loss = -9.49 Peace Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bank Starting bank = 100 Current bank = 87.01 Total staked = 105 Number of bets = 17 Winning bets = 9 Losing bets = 8 Strike rate = 52.9% Yield = -12.37% Profit/Loss = -12.99 Bit dissapointing, think everton had a good chance until Beatie went and got sent off! Bolton good easily have won or lost the game, perhaps a lay on Middlesborough would have been a better option...oh well. Hopefully will have some more selections soon, as Im gonna keep the thread going no matter how shit things get! Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 17 Cambridge V Macclesfield Lay Cambridge @3.25 betfair 5pts (would return 5+ 2.22) Info by Winbet

    cambridge v macclesfield @ 2.7 for anyone with a betclass account - cambridge not won in 14 games, macclesfield won 4 and drawn 1 of last 5. My notts county mates say macclesfield best team they have witnessed in this division after seeing their side get thumped 5-0 by them at meadow lane a few weeks back.
    Thats it for today folks. Fingers crossed:hope

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 15 Bolton V Middlesborogh Bolton to win @2.2 Stan James 5pts Info by SecondSight

    Bolton/Boro - Sky 5.15pm Saturday. Bolton must have at least 50% chance of beating Boro. They could not have picked a better time to play Boro. 7 wins on the trot for Bolton including defeat of Arsenal, Boro have not won away since October with only draws at Soton and Norwich. Boro have 9 players out, Bolton close to full strength. More importantly the midfield has been ripped out with injuries and suspensions (Boateng (seeing a toe specialist on Monday ), Zenden (1 match suspension), Parlour (1 match suspension), (Mendieta out till May). Bolton will bombard the Boro box with high balls, long throws etc as the Boro defence has crumbled in recent weeks under this sort of pressure and Kevin Davies can be a real handful, After Saturday it looks better for Boro with Zenden, Parlour, Cooper and Davies (on loan at QPR) returning. Bolton have the added advantage of leap frogging Boro with a win and claiming a top 6 spot. Boro did put up a real fighting display last week and dominated the first half against Blackburn, but were on the back foot a little in second half. Boro know their home games are more vital than away at present, as the 3 points are easier to gain at home. At the end of the game last week Boro had 5 youth academy or recent academy players on the pitch and as Hansen said you win nowt with kids at this level. Betting advice: Take anything greater than evens for Bolton. Kevin Davies to score any time at 7/4 looks value too, I would have thought 40% chance of scoring. Overall weighting 50% Bolton 28% Draw 22% Boro
    Bet 16 Everton V Chelsea Lay Chelsea @1.86 Liability of 5pts (Would return 10.75) Info by ShermanBlue
    Initial thought is Everton are way overpriced against Chelsea at home (5.00 with SJ). Everton 9 of 13 wins at Goodison and undervalued all year by the bookies, they've shrugged off the loss of Gravesen and are still grinding out results, don't score many don't conceed many. Of course the big question is can Chelsea overcome the loss of Robben. For me this is akin to Arsenal losing Henry .. yes we still have great players in all positions and we will still win much more than we lose or draw but like Henry for Arsenal, Robben is the one player that makes this team truly unique and a class apart from the other top teams. The 5.0 price on EVE is too good to refuse although I'm also considering taking the Chelsea handicap at 3.2. If Chelsea are ahead then they will definitely protect the lead and look to hit on the break so can see this easily being 0-0 or 2-0 with a late Lampard or Joe Cole effort Personally I still think Chelsea will win the league but interesting to consider the 7.5 available right now on United - after City this wkend they have 5 games against weak teams Pompey H, Palace A, Fulham H, Blackburn H and Norwich A before they Chelsea visit Old Trafford in what will no doubt be dubbed the title decider. With Robben out for a while the lead could easily start to diminish before then.

    Doubles and Trebles bankers system...

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Doubles and Trebles bankers system... Just a few things. First of all are these games really 'bankers'? I mean I would say these are more probables/possibles than bankers? I would class Chelsea, Ranger, Celtic etc bankers. Secondly could I make a suggestion, of making the Treble different teams than to the double? I only say this as I tried something similar, and it is SO annoying if 1 team thats a 'banker' from the double loses, if all your others win. Like the idea though, as if one of them are pulled off then you will end up in profit. Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bank Starting bank = 100 Current bank = 94.79 Total staked = 95 Number of bets = 14 Winning bets = 8 Losing bets = 6 Strike rate = 57.1% Yield = -5.5% Profit/Loss = -5.21 Phew...Both selections came through for tonight, so one 'not lose' away from being possibly in the black again.! Going again to look for some reviews, but it may be until the weekend until any games are selected. Sco

    Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football)

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Bets picked by Punterslounge 2005! (Football) Bet 14 (Bradford game was 13!) Bury V Shresbury Lay Bury with liability of 5pts - would return 9.24 if wins Info by Deets and others

    There's a possibility I might go to Bury tomorrow. I was there when they beat Northampton a couple of weeks ago. 2 bad mistakes by the away centre half and Bury won 2-0. Very lucky that day in my opinion but they have massive hearts and if nothing else will give 110% for the cause. The club is in dire financial trouble AGAIN although they might have avoided administration at least until the end of the season. The manager will be happy this season to avoid relegation to the conference due to the financial position. He recently sold 2 of the better players, Nugent ( PNE ) and Swailes ( Macclesfield ). Add to this the injuries they have recently picked up and the U21 call ups and this adds up to a big ask tomorrow. Just a side topic, this match was posponed recently when Shrewsbury were held up on the M6 due to a crash ! They had a number of injuries to key players that day. Bury were at full strength ( before the transfers ! ). Bury asked for the match tomorrow to be postponed due to the call ups but the league refused. I don't know the punishment for Shrewsbury that day but certainly tomorrow it will be adavantage Shrewsbury thanks to the football league ( tossers ) I suspect Bury's team tomorrow will be something like Marriot, Unsworth, Challinor, Woodthorpe, Cartledge, Kennedy, Barry-Murphy, Flitcroft, Whaley, Newby, Kazim-Richards and probably a new lad signed on loan today from Blackburn. Subs will be the reserve team players I presume. Any injuries during the game and Bury will be in shit street. Regulars are in bold. If there was a team I'd like to play in this position, its probably Shrewsbury who are no great shakes themselves although they had a tremendous win on Saturday, 4-1 at home to Orient. Their away record is 1-5-8 so I suppose you could take the view they are due another win. Bury know its a must win otherwise the trapdoor will beckon even more. They are 11 pts clear of next to the bottom Kidderminster but with 48 pts still to play for, every point will be vitally important.
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