Vilamoura04
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Posts posted by Vilamoura04
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On 04/08/2016 22:19:41, twinny said:
Fulham v Newcastle
skysports one 19:45
both of these coming off a decent pre season with Fulham only loseing one of there last 6 games to a decent Betis side and Newcastle winning 5 of there last 6,
i will go for the home advantage 1st game of the season to be a factor and go for a home win with a little saver on the draw as follows
backing Fulham @ 4.1 for £6.5 to win £16.65 minus 5 percent( includeing the draw stake out)
backing the draw @ 3.65 for £3.5 to win £2.78 minus 5 percent (includeing Fulham stake out)
bets matched on betfair
Very impressed with this. Every man and his dog were tipping up Newcastle. I was wondering why the bookies weren't cutting their Newcastle prices drastically, should have been a big red flag but I backed the Toon anyway.
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Very impressive!
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Manager: Vilamoura04
Team Name: MuchAddoAboutNothing
Forum Username: Vilamoura04 -
Tough luck waggy hope your ok
Just level stake everything for a while?
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Going well so far today waggo!
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Keep the faith chap
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Mammoth profit to date again Waggles
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Having experienced Wycombe's tactics a couple of weeks ago, they will certainly make it horrible for Villa and if the visitors go in with a youthful side they will get bulled especially on set pieces and in possession. Much will depend on the referee. A strong referee would negate Wycombe's systematic fouling and aggressive pressing. We have Michael Oliver, a premier league referee who isn't afraid to make big decisions. This comes at Villa's advantage. Now waiting for team news. A strong Villa team = Villa win at anything over 5/4. Young Villa side = HW or draw at at 2.5/1 or bigger.
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On 16 December 2015, waggy said:
£220 Hull to beat Reading @10/11 Be there tonight and expect a narrow win against an out of form Reading. Price is better than I expected
Nice one waggy followed you on this you called it spot on - was worried at half time though!
Sensible staking this week too
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Very good. I wonder if its got something to do with the time of year?
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Do you only do this at the weekend? I've often heard people say you get more underdogs winning in midweek, because the lights, weather and tiredness make midweek make it more of a "non-standard" game.
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Samp 2 Roma 1. All second half goals. Roma the better team and didn't deserve to lose but struggled to turn dominance into clear cut chances. When they did, Viviano was in good form.
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Anyone care to put me off over 2.5 goals in the Samp-Roma match? Its priced up at evens.
- Samp 4 last 6 over
- Roma 3 last 6 over
- Samp missing both fullbacks, veteran defensive midfielder Palombo doubtful, and suspect defensively. Strong Eder-Muriel partnership has continued under Zenga.
- Roma having to play De Rossi at CB and have been struggling to stop their more skilful opponents creating chances.
- Roma out for revenge after 0-2 home defeat in March.
Negatives:
- Both teams tend to play quite centrally (Salah excepted) which may give us a congested game.
- Its not traditionally a high scoring fixture
Grateful for any views
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Nice Europa treble :ok
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Congrats to Cilic backers yesterday. Price was too big. Had a few doubts with all the ankle injury pictures on twitter in the afternoon tho...
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Brilliant thanks for that :ok
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Does anybody have Tsonga's 12 month record v top 10 opponents to hand? I like Cilic price in this one but his record v top 10 is 0-7 which is a worry (Tsonga is 18th).
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Tidy
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Looking forward to it :clap
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No problem, Just tried it for a month or so with very small stakes and it lost money. Almost certainly didn't try it for long enough or with enough scientific rigour.
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Clean sweep :clap
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Wouldn't betfair exchange be a better indicator of WoC than pinnacle? I looked into this a few years ago, ie using betfair to identify value in bookmakers prices. I cant remember the details but I had to give up on it - it wasn't profitable.
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Any view on the challenge cup semi waggy?
sport on tv interest bets
in Glory Hunters
Posted
just out of interest how did you get £1 on? Isn't minimum stake £2?