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Vilamoura04

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Posts posted by Vilamoura04

    Waggys AllSports

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Waggys AllSports Tough luck, all on the ladies then! Saw the opening Germany game and they looked suspect defensively. Took best striker Sasic off at HT to save her for this match too. Sorry to bang on and Ill shut up after this but Ive been looking at your June numbers. Small sample size (23 selections) but with very basic fixed profit staking you would have staked 6% more and lost 25% less. So with the same selections you could have won more if they had come in and lost considerably less when they didn't!

    Waggys AllSports

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Waggys AllSports I know you know all this but I'll say it anyway :) My opinion is that your selections are exceptionally good especially as you are covering such a wide range of sports - I'm not sure you need to be more risk averse with your picks. You obviously like to have a bet on for the enjoyment of having a sporting interest in the event. This is a perfectly healthy reason for doing it, but it will make it harder for you to be more selective in your selections so why try - no point taking all your enjoyment out of it and setting yourself up to fail. It looks like its just your bankroll management that wavers a bit when you go through the inevitable dip, which is human nature. Maybe your focus could be to have another look at your staking rules and develop some that you really believe in? Therefore making you more likely to stick to them. Rather than doing a % of your bank I would look at your own confidence rating (say, £50 on low confidence, £100 on medium, £150 on high) or on odds (£50 on 2/1+, £150 on 1/2 or less, £100 on anything in between). A fair few professional tipsters just level stake everything, albeit usually within a fairly narrow odds range, but they stick rigidly to it because they know this is the way to maximise their edge. Your loss chasing is rare but obviously high risk. Its a horrible one though because you can pretty much guarantee it romps in if you don't back it... This is however a great position to be in because getting the selections right is the hard bit - bankroll management is relatively easy with a bit of effort to set rules that work for you and then add in a bit of motivated discipline. Good luck with Verdasco :ok

    Waggys AllSports

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Waggys AllSports Good luck :ok You were £280 in profit from your starting bank which is a considerable achievement and should not be underestimated. You've also only lost 9 of the last 16 - pretty standard allowing for variance when your average odds are around evens (which yours are). I wonder if the problem is you are doing much better than you think you are?

    Waggys AllSports

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Waggys AllSports Any profit is excellent waggy in this game and doubling your bank is exceptional. Most people lose. Constantly reviewing is a good idea of course do you can cut the leaks. I can track your stats for you if that would help? Either on here or privately. Would leave you free to concentrate on selections.

    UK General Election 2015

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Re: UK General Election 2015 It is odd that the polls (OK not reliable) are suggesting it is neck and neck between the top 2: http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/may/07/labour-one-point-lead-tories-final-icm-poll But the bookies have conservatives ahead, bet365 going 3/1 for labour to get more seats than the Tories and the Tory seats over/under line is 10 seats higher than Labour. Who's more likely to be right, the polls or the books?

    MLS 2015 (USA/CANADA)

    in MLS Predictions

    Posted

    Re: MLS 2015 (USA/CANADA) I like over 2.5 goals in this, both teams are unusually overish for MLS and the Toronto team news points to them being a little weaker defensively and stronger in attack. 1 point at 1.8

    MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    in MLB & Baseball Predictions

    Posted

    Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting 1 point Milwaukee Brewers (Fiers) at St Louis Cardinals (Lackey) at 2.3 (general) Although the Cards had the better of the H2H v Milwaukee last year, when you drill down to how the pitchers did in those matchups the story changes. Fiers is 2-1 with a 1.30 ERA in six career games (four starts) against the Cardinals, including a 1-1 record with a 1.98 ERA in two starts last season and a 1-1 record with a 1.29 ERA in four games (two starts) at Busch Stadium. Milwaukee hit Lackey for eight earned runs over 13 innings last season. Milwaukee's offensive struggles are the obvious concern but I think the 2.3 about the dogs is worth a shot. Record: W1 L2 Profit: -0.95

    MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    in MLB & Baseball Predictions

    Posted

    Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting Ridiculously good night for samba last night :notworthy Updated stats:[TABLE=width: 572]

    [TR] [TD] Bet Type [/TD] [TD] Bets [/TD] [TD] W [/TD] [TD] Push [/TD] [TD] L [/TD] [TD] Staked [/TD] [TD] Profit to stakes [/TD] [TD] Level Stakes Profit [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Moneyline [/TD] [TD] 20 [/TD] [TD] 12 [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] 8 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 82.5 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 20.11 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 4.06 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Mixed accas [/TD] [TD] 10 [/TD] [TD] 4 [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] 6 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 25 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 16.79 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 11.87 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Stats [/TD] [TD] 4 [/TD] [TD] 2 [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] 2 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 11 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 11.98 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 3.83 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Handicap [/TD] [TD] 65 [/TD] [TD] 23 [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] 42 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 189.5 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 5.84 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 7.43 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Correct Score [/TD] [TD] 2 [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] [/TD] [TD] 2 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 2 [/TD] [TD=align: right] -2.00 [/TD] [TD=align: right] -2.00 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Over/Under [/TD] [TD] 10 [/TD] [TD] 4 [/TD] [TD] 1 [/TD] [TD] 5 [/TD] [TD=align: right] 43 [/TD] [TD=align: right] -5.39 [/TD] [TD=align: right] -1.56 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]

    MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    in MLB & Baseball Predictions

    Posted

    Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    Not followed baseball for the last 2 years because of Uni commitments but starting to get back into the loop. Probably start betting again in a few weeks time' date=' but in the meantime I look forward to following some of the bets on this forum.[/quote'] Bet365 streaming all games live this year makes it more accessible than ever buddy
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