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Vilamoura04

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Posts posted by Vilamoura04

    MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting

    in MLB & Baseball Predictions

    Posted

    Re: MLB 2015 Season - Match Betting Some brilliant write ups gents, congratulations, I will be reading with interest this season please keep it up. Very early days so not a big enough sample size to draw conclusions but interesting that so far the moneyline picks have been the most profitable. My firt go of the season later with a tentative two for me (hence the stakes). Sorry guys Im not much of a writer on MLB. Basically I select based purely on which pitchers I read people more knowledgeable than me rate or don't rate. It's an approach that has given me modest success. 1 point NY Mets (Harvey) at Washington (2.05 generally available) 1 point CHI White Sox (Danks) at KC (2.15 betvic)

    Calculation of combination bet 1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5 ?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Calculation of combination bet 1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5 ? Ha sorry Froment I should have been more clear. It wasn't a question, just a statement. We can use the spreadsheet to identify theoretical value in one or the other market depending on which market we think is correctly priced. Because they don't match up exactly, just closely. Personally I believe the correct score market is likely to be more accurate simply because less people bet it, meaning it could be less biased by the betting public. btw your spreadsheet can easily be adapted to the Match Result/BTTS market also

    Calculation of combination bet 1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5 ?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Calculation of combination bet 1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5 ? I don't think its as simple as match odds x over/under. Statistically speaking, I'm sure that the more goals there are in the match, the more likely it is the favourite to win, and vice versa. If those numbers up there are the same bookmaker or are best prices I would also suggest the bookmaker has built a huge margin in.

    Waggys AllSports

    in Glory Hunters

    Posted

    Re: Waggys AllSports Tough luck yesterday waggy, such is variance. I was at the Wycombe game, they did look a big price, couldn't back it myself being Oxford fan. Lots of missed chances for the home side but too open at the back. Seems they are a team to back at reasonable prices away rather than 1 to be trusted at shorter odds at home.

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