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gbettle

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Posts posted by gbettle

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Good luck all

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-07 14:00 Leopardstown Prevaricate 1.41  
    2022-03-07 16:20 Leopardstown Mt Leinster 1.17  
    2022-03-07 17:10 Wetherby Grey Dawning 1.38  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 37.43 17.43    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    LOL, was so exciting, yesterday's trixie, I forgot to post todays

    Doh!

    So, take with it what you will

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-06 14:30 Leopardstown Whiskey Sour 1.69 1
    2022-03-06 16:30 Wexford Egality Mans 1.62 1
    2022-03-06 17:30 Wexford Dancing City 1.37 2
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 13.69 -6.31    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 6 120 168.09 48.09  

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    11 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-05 15:58 Navan Gentleman De Mee 1.32  
    2022-03-05 20:00 Southwell Chief White Face 1.69  
    2022-03-05 20:30 Southwell Auriferous 1.75  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 57.01 37.01    

    :nana

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-05 15:58 Navan Gentleman De Mee 1.32 1
    2022-03-05 20:00 Southwell Chief White Face 1.69 1
    2022-03-05 20:30 Southwell Auriferous 1.75 1
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 57.01 37.01    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 5 100 154.4 54.40  

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-05 15:58 Navan Gentleman De Mee 1.32  
    2022-03-05 20:00 Southwell Chief White Face 1.69  
    2022-03-05 20:30 Southwell Auriferous 1.75  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 57.01 37.01    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    23 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-04 14:10 Lingfield Gold Medal 2.12  
    2022-03-04 14:30 Doncaster Midnight Callisto 1.93  
    2022-03-04 15:05 Doncaster Boombawn 1.91  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 98.21 78.21    

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-04 14:10 Lingfield Gold Medal 2.12 1
    2022-03-04 14:30 Doncaster Midnight Callisto 1.93 5
    2022-03-04 15:05 Doncaster Boombawn 1.91 2
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 4 80 97.39 17.39  

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-04 14:10 Lingfield Gold Medal 2.12  
    2022-03-04 14:30 Doncaster Midnight Callisto 1.93  
    2022-03-04 15:05 Doncaster Boombawn 1.91  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 98.21 78.21    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    6 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-03 14:00 Ludlow Karl Philippe 1.77  
    2022-03-03 14:38 Taunton Groom Doudairies 1.74  
    2022-03-03 15:20 Clonmel Bravo Team 1.47  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 63.83 43.83    

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-03 14:00 Ludlow Karl Philippe 1.77 1
    2022-03-03 14:38 Taunton Groom Doudairies 1.74 3
    2022-03-03 15:20 Clonmel Bravo Team 1.47 1
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 13.01 -6.99    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 3 60 97.39 37.39  

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-03 14:00 Ludlow Karl Philippe 1.77  
    2022-03-03 14:38 Taunton Groom Doudairies 1.74  
    2022-03-03 15:20 Clonmel Bravo Team 1.47  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 63.83 43.83    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    4 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-02 13:45 Musselburgh Loughderg Rocco 1.46  
    2022-03-02 13:55 Wincanton Last Royal 1.85  
    2022-03-02 15:30 Musselburgh Champ Is Real 1.42  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 56.18 36.18    

    :nana

    Welcome to March, Trixie! 

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-02 13:45 Musselburgh Loughderg Rocco 1.46 1
    2022-03-02 13:55 Wincanton Last Royal 1.85 1
    2022-03-02 15:30 Musselburgh Champ Is Real 1.42 1
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 56.18 36.18    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 2 40 84.38 44.38  

    Southwell draw bias

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    28 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

    As suspected, the advantage seems to have quickly gone.

    The AE figures for draws 4 to 9 are

    December 1.23

    January 1.06

    February 0.95

    My criteria of ignoring races below 7 furlongs still looks to have an advantage with an AE in Ferbruary of 1.18. Indeed it may be worth tightening this criteria as for 8 furlongs there were 19 runners and no winners.

    The criteria of selecting those that had finished in the 1st 4 was effective with an AE of 1.39. For those not in the 1st 4 there was 1 winner from 33 runners.

    However the criteria of only selecting the 1st 4 in the betting was not effective with an AE of 1.00, those forecast 5 to 7 had an AE of 2.11.

    Those drawn 8 and 9 had 0 winners from 13 winners.

    So for March (1st meeting tomorrow) my criteria will be :-

    Draw 4 - 7

    Distance 9f +

    FPLR 1-4

     

     

    Many thanks @MCLARKE

    Sorry, but what does FPLR mean?

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-02 13:45 Musselburgh Loughderg Rocco 1.46  
    2022-03-02 13:55 Wincanton Last Royal 1.85  
    2022-03-02 15:30 Musselburgh Champ Is Real 1.42  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 56.18 36.18    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    20 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-01 14:05 Catterick Da Vinci Hand 2.12  
    2022-03-01 15:00 Leicester Oscars Leader 2.64  
    2022-03-01 16:35 Leicester Rebel Dawn Rising 2.66  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 165.73 145.73    

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-01 14:05 Catterick Da Vinci Hand 2.12 1
    2022-03-01 15:00 Leicester Oscars Leader 2.64 3
    2022-03-01 16:35 Leicester Rebel Dawn Rising 2.66 1
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 28.20 8.20    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    3 1 20 28.2 8.20  

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-03-01 14:05 Catterick Da Vinci Hand 2.12  
    2022-03-01 15:00 Leicester Oscars Leader 2.64  
    2022-03-01 16:35 Leicester Rebel Dawn Rising 2.66  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 165.73 145.73    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    23 hours ago, gbettle said:

    Good luck all

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-02-28 15:00 Plumpton Malinas Island 2.5  
    2022-02-28 19:00 Wolverhampton Base Note 2  
    2022-02-28 20:30 Wolverhampton Million Reasons 2.7  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 153.25 133.25    

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-02-28 15:00 Plumpton Malinas Island 2.5 2
    2022-02-28 19:00 Wolverhampton Base Note 2 1
    2022-02-28 20:30 Wolverhampton Million Reasons 2.7 1
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 27.00 7.00    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    2 28 560 462.12 -97.88  

    Not a good month

     

     

    2022-02 to date pl20.jpg

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Good luck all

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-02-28 15:00 Plumpton Malinas Island 2.5  
    2022-02-28 19:00 Wolverhampton Base Note 2  
    2022-02-28 20:30 Wolverhampton Million Reasons 2.7  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 153.25 133.25    

    £20 Daily Challenge - All Welcome

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    5 hours ago, gbettle said:

     

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-02-27 13:50 Fontwell Nassalam 1.48  
    2022-02-27 15:20 Fontwell Jerrash 1.29  
    2022-02-27 17:30 Naas Sandor Clegane 1.65  
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 48.15 28.15    

    One day to go for the month, I'll try my best to contain myself:

    event_date time course selection betfair position
    2022-02-27 13:50 Fontwell Nassalam 1.48 1
    2022-02-27 15:20 Fontwell Jerrash 1.29 1
    2022-02-27 17:30 Naas Sandor Clegane 1.65 2
               
               
    Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit    
    Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 9.55 -10.45    
               
    Month bets outlay return profit  
    2 27 540 435.12 -104.88  

    Underbet Non-Hcap Cheltenham Chase favourites - February 2022

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    With no candidate races tomorrow, that ends this test.

    To re-cap, start from first post in this thread, or for those who find it TL;DR:

    "in non handicap chases leading up to Cheltenham the favourites do disproportionally well as the uncompetitive nature of the racing due to the festival approaching led to small fields and underbet favourites."

    So, for this February: 

    Bets	Wins	Exp. Wins	A/E	LSP
30	17	14.37		1.18	+8.93
			
Avg BSP		Avg Win BSP		
2.41		2.29

    image.thumb.png.9c11153865a549c595a1bddec817221d.png

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