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Posts posted by gbettle
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14:20 Chester Truely Aclaimed 3.25 @ Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-10 14:20 Chester Truely Aclaimed 3.25 2021-09-10 14:30 Sandown Kettle Hill 2.62 2021-09-10 14:50 Chester Bookmark 3.00 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 258.35 238.35 -
I'd like to recommend a, ""Wisdom Of Crowd Market Index" you can find here.
TL;DR: "In sports markets, the probabilities implied by the prices on offer are a proxy for the wisdom of the crowd for that particular event. By adapting Shannon's Entropy formula, we can generate our own."
- alexcaruso808 and Bang on
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13 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-09 13:00 Chepstow Alhezabr 1.61 2021-09-09 14:40 Doncaster Inspiral 1.38 2021-09-09 15:55 Epsom Downs Curtiz 1.80 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 58.02 38.02 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-09 13:00 Chepstow Alhezabr 1.61 1 2021-09-09 14:40 Doncaster Inspiral 1.38 1 2021-09-09 15:55 Epsom Downs Curtiz 1.80 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 58.02 38.02 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 9 180 69.12 -110.88 - peanut peanut, MCLARKE and Nigwilliam
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14:10 Doncaster No. 10 Ever Given @ 4.33 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-09 13:00 Chepstow Alhezabr 1.61 2021-09-09 14:40 Doncaster Inspiral 1.38 2021-09-09 15:55 Epsom Downs Curtiz 1.80 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 58.02 38.02 -
11 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-08 16:10 Uttoxeter Jimmy The Digger 1.79 2021-09-08 16:40 Uttoxeter Rock On Rocco 1.43 2021-09-08 17:15 Wolverhampton Sovereign Prince 1.72 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 62.50 42.50 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-08 16:10 Uttoxeter Jimmy The Digger 1.79 3 2021-09-08 16:40 Uttoxeter Rock On Rocco 1.43 1 2021-09-08 17:15 Wolverhampton Sovereign Prince 1.72 3 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00
What a rubbish start to the month - at least it's easy to keep track of LOL!Regression to the mean?:
Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 8 160 11.10 -148.90 - The Equaliser and MCLARKE
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16:20 Carlisle No. 6 Propagation @ 5.37 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-08 16:10 Uttoxeter Jimmy The Digger 1.79 2021-09-08 16:40 Uttoxeter Rock On Rocco 1.43 2021-09-08 17:15 Wolverhampton Sovereign Prince 1.72 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 62.50 42.50 -
13 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-07 13:00 Catterick Cover Name 1.33 2021-09-07 17:07 Goodwood King Vega 1.24 2021-09-07 18:30 Galway Haparanda 1.79 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 46.01 26.01 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-07 13:00 Catterick Cover Name 1.33 2 2021-09-07 17:07 Goodwood King Vega 1.24 1 2021-09-07 18:30 Galway Haparanda 1.79 1 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 11.10 -8.90 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 7 140 11.10 -128.90 -
14:35 Catterick No. 10 Langholm @ 5.75 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-07 13:00 Catterick Cover Name 1.33 2021-09-07 17:07 Goodwood King Vega 1.24 2021-09-07 18:30 Galway Haparanda 1.79 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 46.01 26.01 -
9 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 60.02 40.02 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 1 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 PU Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 6 120 0 -120.00 -
17:40 Galway No. 17 Lady L'lerom @ 4.33 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-06 14:10 Newton Abbot Kilmington Rose 1.57 2021-09-06 14:40 Newton Abbot Wagner 1.62 2021-09-06 17:05 Galway Jazzaway 1.65 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 60.02 40.02 -
5 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 100.76 80.76 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 3 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 2 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 5 100 0 -100.00 -
13:45 Perth No. 5 Aliomaana @ 4.5 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-05 13:00 Fontwell Oneonechop 2.18 2021-09-05 13:30 Fontwell Writteninthesand 1.69 2021-09-05 15:25 Perth Yccs Portocervo 2.18 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 100.76 80.76 -
3 hours ago, gbettle said:
event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-04 13:20 Navan Chestnutter 1.53 2021-09-04 13:25 Stratford Camprond 1.35 2021-09-04 14:00 Ascot Alotaibi 1.56 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 48.90 28.90 event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-04 13:20 Navan Chestnutter 1.53 2 2021-09-04 13:25 Stratford Camprond 1.35 2 2021-09-04 14:00 Ascot Alotaibi 1.56 2 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 0.00 -20.00 Month bets outlay return profit 8 31 620 703.98 83.98 9 4 80 0 -80.00 -
15:45 Ascot No. 5 Cliffs Of Capri @ 5.75 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
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14:10 Wexford Happy B WIN @ 6.32 Paddypower
15:45 Ascot Cliffs Of Capri WIN @ 5.75 Paddypower
16:05 Haydock Jawwaal WIN @ 6.51 Paddypower
Reserves:
14:10 Wexford Little Mixup WIN @ 4.5 Paddypower
15:45 Ascot Top Secret WIN @ 6.40 Paddypower
16:05 Hadock Mondammej WIN @ 7.20 Paddypower
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event_date Time Course Selection betfair position 2021-09-04 13:20 Navan Chestnutter 1.53 2021-09-04 13:25 Stratford Camprond 1.35 2021-09-04 14:00 Ascot Alotaibi 1.56 Bet Total Outlay Total Return Total Profit Trixie 20.00 (4 bets of 5.00) 48.90 28.90 -
16 hours ago, gbettle said:
13:20 Ascot No. 6 Chorus Girl £20 @ 4 WIN Betfair
3rd, -20 for the day, -60 for the month : "In touch with leaders, ridden and some headway on far side of group 2f out, went third inside final furlong, no match for first two (op 13/2)"
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18:15 Kempton No. 6 Camerata @ 5 WIN Paddypower\Betfair
Finding winners
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
Did you click the link? It explains it pretty clearly - including examples - how to calculate the WCMI: