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Labrador

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  1. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Faroe Islands League(s)   
    On current form it seems a bit of an insult that Argjir are 25/1 (Hills, Ladbrokes) to win away at Vikingur (3.00 today).
  2. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from StevieDay1983 in Premier League Predictions > Aug 5th - 7th   
    If you look at the respective teamsheets of Bournemouth and Villa this afternoon I suspect there would not be a single Bournemouth player that would warrant a place in Villa's team, ..............yet this is Villa, and Bournemouth are bound to be at 110% for their latest Premiership debut.
    I'm sure Villa will be all out for 3 points and will at no stage settle for a draw. They will have Cash and Digne (replacement last January for Targett, although Augustinsson is an interesting recruit) bombing forward. I anticipate Villa will have the majority of possession and have bought their corners squared at 42 with Sporting Index.
    Whilst not confident that Villa will find the net as often as their likely possession should warrant, I think there is a chance they score 3 or 4 goals so have bought their goal rush at 18 (Sporting Index).
  3. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Premier League Predictions > Aug 5th - 7th   
    If you look at the respective teamsheets of Bournemouth and Villa this afternoon I suspect there would not be a single Bournemouth player that would warrant a place in Villa's team, ..............yet this is Villa, and Bournemouth are bound to be at 110% for their latest Premiership debut.
    I'm sure Villa will be all out for 3 points and will at no stage settle for a draw. They will have Cash and Digne (replacement last January for Targett, although Augustinsson is an interesting recruit) bombing forward. I anticipate Villa will have the majority of possession and have bought their corners squared at 42 with Sporting Index.
    Whilst not confident that Villa will find the net as often as their likely possession should warrant, I think there is a chance they score 3 or 4 goals so have bought their goal rush at 18 (Sporting Index).
  4. Thanks
    Labrador reacted to harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Ok, a bit of a review, I'll try and keep it to the point in terms of things that may be of use from a future betting perspective.
    Total goals: Made up at 95 with 3 in extra time. Not much damage done if anyone sold at 93 as I flagged pre-tournament, I'd probably be a seller if the expectation was inflated next time round. There were progressively less goals in every round of group games and (unsurprisingly) the knockout stage. Usually the opening round of group games tend to be tighter.
      Total corners: Averaged an unremarkable 10.23 per game (in 90 minutes). There were 5 instances of a team registering 10 or more corners with France the only team to manage it more than once. 3 of those totals came against Belgium (11 by France, 12 by Italy and 13 by Sweden).
      Bookings: Averaged 21.61 points overall in 90 minutes, exactly 20 in the group stages and 27.14 in the knockout rounds. 11 out of the 31 games went over 25 points or 2.5 cards, 8 of the 24 group games and 3 of the 7 KO's.
      Headers scored: 26 in 14 out of 31 games, so 28.26% of all goals scored in 90 minutes and at least one in 45.16% of all games. There were only 2 scored in the 7 KO games, both semis where I'd decided to swerve the bet!  Certainly worth considering in future tournaments though worth bearing in mind that what we saw here was a high % of goals scored from headers and a higher than normal number of goals per game. You'd need both trends to continue to replicate the results. Around 17% seems a typical figure for headed goals in men's leagues, I've not found figures for the WSL yet to see if this is a phenomenon confined to International tournaments.
      Penalties scored: 7 in 31 games in 90 minutes. Most, no doubt, after a VAR check! I suspect you'd have lost a fair bit of money betting on penalties being scored or taken at the available odds.
      KO games being drawn/going to penalties: 3 out of 7 games drawn for a decent profit and an ROI a shade under 60%. It remains an obvious potential betting strategy for all major International tournaments. None of the 3 games went to penalties, bucking the observed trend in recent Women's competitions (11 out of 13 draws went the full distance). Maybe keep it simple and just back the draw! You'd have still made a profit if, for instance, you'd had £20 on the draw and £10 on pens but not much.
  5. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Actually have decided to back Lena Oberdorf to be booked (11/10 bet 365).  Perhaps one or two words in the referee's ear during HT.
  6. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Unlucky - she should have scored with her head in that 1st half and then shot over from a decent pull-back.. Personally from what I've witnessed in this tournament Russo is now a far better centre forward and is very unlucky not to be first choice.
    So unlucky about Popp getting injured in the warm up, Harry.
    Referee is terribly inconsistent. She missed a couple of definite yellows against the Germans and then books Stanway for something less naughty. Tempting to go in on bookings but will desist.
  7. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Unlucky - she should have scored with her head in that 1st half and then shot over from a decent pull-back.. Personally from what I've witnessed in this tournament Russo is now a far better centre forward and is very unlucky not to be first choice.
    So unlucky about Popp getting injured in the warm up, Harry.
    Referee is terribly inconsistent. She missed a couple of definite yellows against the Germans and then books Stanway for something less naughty. Tempting to go in on bookings but will desist.
  8. Like
    Labrador reacted to Bachelors Hall in Juvenile Hurdlers 2022/23   
    Stratford - 28th July - Preview
    Stratford is set to host the first maiden juvenile hurdle of the season and, as per its title, probably won’t be the classiest affair. Quality form, either on the flat or over jumps, is thin on the ground with the six runners achieving just one win from a combined thirty-nine starts. Nevertheless, it is not a race entirely devoid of intrigue. The two runners with experience reoppose having finished fourth and fifth over course and distance eighteen days ago behind a pair of subsequent winners. Meanwhile, the four hurdling debutants, two of whom graduated the Tattersalls Sale early this month, represent capable trainers in the sphere and all bring ratings above the absolute average of 55 for juvenile hurdlers. That three of these are set to be their sires’ first runners over hurdles adds another dimension to the contest. Despite being a sharp and generally flat track which seldom sees winter ground, Stratford still presents one of the sternest stamina tests for juvenile hurdlers. The winning Dis of 0.93 median, 1.21 mean, are lower only at Cheltenham, Chepstow, Hexham and Worcester with only Hexham having the largest discrepancy between the DIs of winners and beaten horses.  The completion rate of 81.20% is also in the bottom ten, although it is somewhat fairer as a jumping test with a clear round rate of 95.41% falling fractionally below average. It is not a venue which is particularly kind to debutants with the comparative strike-rate for newcomers being worse at just two British courses. The ground is currently described as good, good to firm in places, with moderate weather and some watering set to ease somewhat conditions. With there are no habitual front-runners among the six starters, Stratford’s stamina demands may not be as pronounced as usual.
    Dicktate bg Roger Teal f5-0-0 (62) 64 j2-0-1 (96) 80 90
    Lawman (Pivotal){3-d}(1.20) 2/2 Catherine Chroi 46 12th 3yo Maiden Hurdle , Fairyhouse 2021
    After finishing well beaten on his debut at Kempton last August, Dicktate was not disgraced during the Autumn over ten furlongs at Bath and Goodwood; for all that he was beaten a combined fifteen lengths. However, his season ended with a tailed off eighth of nine at Newmarket and the revised mark of 64 still looked beyond him on his sole flat start this year when he was beaten twelve lengths at Salisbury with no apparent excuses to be made. Insofar as a switch to hurdling is concerned, the credentials of his sire, Lawman, are better as while his offspring are seldom better than ordinary, their winner-to-runner rate of 20% is solid enough. However, the damline is more patchy as the closest winning jumper, First Man’s success coming in a three-mile Catterick Handicap, appears at 4/3. Roger Teal’s jumps strike rate of 6.7% drops to 0% when isolating juvenile hurdlers with nine horses contributing to his zero from eighteen strike rate. Dicktate was the latest to add to this record when making his jumps bow behind Captain Square at Newton Abbot last month. Drifting from 17/2 to 18/1 in the ring, Dicktate was prominent in the opening stages but his being hampered at the first foreshadowed a round of mostly slow and cautious jumping which saw him fall back to midfield. Already ridden along going out into the second lap, he was disputing a distant third when the leader fell at two out. Having to avoid the faller, Dicktate attempted to pull himself up shortly afterwards and while he consented to continue, it was without enthusiasm, ultimately finishing a twenty length third behind the winner. Dicktate’s latest outing came at Stratford eighteen days ago where there was little market confidence beforehand in his improving for the experience; starting at 25/1. Disputing the lead in an evenly ran contest, he was close and untidy at the second, and steady when getting the fourth wrong. Dicktate was off the bridle from half a mile out and driven entering the straight. He still held a narrow advantage but was headed approaching the last where an awkward jump cost him any momentum that remained as he was relegated to a nine-and-a-quarter length fourth on the run-in. Despite his errors, there was an upturn in his enthusiasm and aptitude and further improvement can probably be expected. However, the standard he sets for the potentially capable newcomers is not a high one so the first-time application of the tongue-tie needs to have a telling effect.
    Graffiti bg Gary Brown f7-0-0 (64) 70
    Sixties Icon (Excellent Art){A34}(0.82) 1/1 Banksy’s Art 100 3rd Juvenile Hurdle, Market Rasen 2018
    Starting off over a mile at Goodwood last September for Mick Channon, Graffiti ran twice at Pontefract in the Autumn, finishing no nearer than eight lengths behind the winner in a pair of novice stakes. Following a winter break, he had a couple of spins on the all-weather in handicap company and while he finished last on each occasion, was at least able to finish closer. His initial mark of 71 was quite difficult to justify, and a return to the turf, drop to 67 and switch to Gary Brown’s failed to trigger a change in fortunes. He was last seen looking decidedly slow over a mile when beating just one home at Newbury three weeks ago. Graffiti shapes as though he can get the trip over jumps and his full-brother, Banksy’s Art, managed to place third in a juvenile hurdle. Former inmates of Mick Channon’s have a solid winner-to-runner rate of 24.16%, although this drops to 19.09% when removing those who went to Sheena West; Banksy’s Art amongst them. Gary Brown himself has not had a winning juvenile from the nine he has saddled since Hilali won at this venue in 2012, and the yard’s improvement rate of 16.67% is not sufficient to grant encouragement to  Graffiti’s patchy, if not lamentable, profile. 
    Mutara bg Sean Curran f8-0-3 (55) 62 j1-0-0 (-) 75 85
    Muhaarar (Lucky Story){3-c}(0.78) 3/2 Ramonex 136 1st 2m3f Handicap Chase (120), Catterick 2018
    Making his debut at Kempton in February, Mutara finished no better than midfield on his first three outings. However, in five flat outings since his switch to handicaps in early April, he has yet to finish outside of the first four. It should be noted that these performances came off mark decreasing from 55 and that the winners’ enclosure has thus far eluded him; but by the same token, he has been a consistent animal. He was doing his best work towards the finish when third over eleven furlongs at Windsor in early May and returning to the turf after a Wolverhampton fourth, would twice find only one too good. At Leicester, he was no match for a horse who recently completed a four-timer, and at Chepstow last month, was bested by another subsequent winner. Mutara did little wrong on either occasion and has little to answer for in terms of attitude. For all of his honesty, his stamina is not entirely assured and the pedigree is not wholly encouraging. Muhaarar has had one winner from seven juveniles and the jumpers that appear on the damline prior to Ramonex at 3/2 have been poor. Sean Curran has had winners in the division; albeit at a winner to runner rate of 9.09%. None had scored first time out, which afforded lowered expectations for Mutara on his hurdling debut at this track earlier in the month. Starting at 15/2, having been as short as 9/2 om the ring, Mutara was keen early on, and his being badly balked at the first put paid to his confidence as he was big and ungainly over the remaining obstacles. Never out of the rear, or threatening to get involved in the contest, Mutara was eased on the run-in; finishing five lengths behind Dicktate. There is ample scope for Mutara to leave that debut performance well behind, although his prospects hinge considerably more on potential than substance without accounting for the fact that, for all his consistency and decent attitude on the flat, his rating is still the lowest from that sphere.
    Rogue Mission grg Milton Harris f4-1-1 (71) 70
    El Kabeir (Spinning World){2-d}(4.33) 2/1 Primus Inter Pares 107 1st 2m3f Handicap Chase (101), Catterick 2008
    At the 2021 Tattersalls July Sale, Milton Harris walked away with four juvenile hurdlers for sums between fourteen and twenty thousand guineas. Three of these, Aliomaana, Genuflex and Knight Salute, would all find the winners’ enclosure with the latter named – incidentally the least expensive of the bunch – capping off a fantastic campaign with success in the Grade One Anniversary Hurdle at Aintree. Returning to the well at this year’s sale, Mr Harris brought along a much thicker wallet, and left with five potential juveniles; three costing over fifty-five thousand guineas. The cheapest of the quintet this time around was Rogue Mission, who commanded a comparatively modest sum of fifteen thousand guineas. Gelded before his racecourse debut in early January, Rogue Mission’s four flat outings have all come at Lingfield under the care of Tom Clover. A steady 25/1 ahead of a ten furlong novice stakes, Rogue Mission dove out of stalls, took keen hold in rear and went nowhere under pressure; finishing a ten length seventh of eight. He reappeared three weeks later in an identical contest where he attracted outside support in the ring, shortening four points to 12/1 at the off. He started better on this occasion, although he did have another horse to bounce off when leaving the stalls. Still keen and held up towards the rear, he moved into a prominent position turning for home and although he took a while to gather himself under pressure, Rogue Mission was able to narrowly get the best of an honest battle inside the final half-furlong with the pair finishing a couple of lengths clear. The runner-up sadly lost his life next time out, although the third and fourth have each given the form a bit of substance in subsequent outings. Four weeks later, Rogue Mission was outclassed in a match race against a horse who had finished a length second to a subsequent listed winner before he made his handicap debut over ten furlongs back in May. Returning after a ten-week break off a mark of 71, Rogue Mission was friendless in the market and ran accordingly. Ridden from the stalls, he made a short lived effort while going wide on the home turn, but ultimately finished a near nine length seventh of eight. Tom Clover has previously supplied only one juvenile hurdler in the form of Appreciate; who incidentally also joined Milton Harris. Based on his four runs in the division, Appreciate looked harshly treated by his mark of 90, although he has gone on to land a four-timer this Summer. Rogue Mission’s damline largely consists of milers and three (at 3/2) who went over jumps fared poorly. Nevertheless, half-brother Rare Groove won over two miles on the flat and uncle Primus Inter Pares was a winning handicap chaser over the intermediate trip. These strands of stamina influence will have to offset the lack of same from first-crop stallion El Kabeir. From the Scat Daddy/Johannesburg line (which has enjoyed little success in the sphere), El Kabir was a graded – rather than top class – miler in America, and while his height of 16.1hh is adequate, his DI of 5.86 is a concern. Moreover, while Rogue Mission has form over ten furlongs, none of his races have been strongly run affairs. Rogue Mission has the class to make an impact first-time; particularly for a yard with a 26.67% strike-rate at Stratford. However, even if this is not the most testing juvenile hurdle held at Stratford, Rogue Mission may be one to come on with time if stamina concerns manifest.
    Never No Trouble bf Donald McCain f9-0-3 (56) 62
    Time Test (New Approach){2-f}(0.82) 2/2 Perceus 115 1st Juvenile Maiden Hurdle, Uttoxeter 2015
    The most experienced of these on the flat, Never No Trouble comes into this contest with nine runs to her name. Five came as a two-year-old with the highlight being a half-length second in a Thirsk novice stakes over a mile in late August. This effort resulted in a mark of 67 which tumbled over her subsequent outings, the latest coming six weeks ago in a ten-furlong selling handicap at Ripon off 56. Attracting market interest for the first time in her career, she was sent off the 11/8 favourite having opened at 5/2 in the morning. Quick out of the traps, she was restrained to track the leader after a furlong before travelling smoothly into contention three furlongs from home. However, she did not find as much as she promised, ultimately splitting two older rivals of questionable professionalism. Nevertheless, this was just about Never No Trouble’s best performance since her Thirsk second and it was enough to see move from Adrian Nicholls’ to Donald McCain’s for £6,000. The two former Nicholls’ inmates to run in the sphere achieved very little in six outings between them, although five of the nine that McCain has bought out of a race have been winners. Most scored at a modest level although Collingham, who came out of a French claimer, was a decent horse last term. Donald McCain also has a strong overall record in the sphere with a healthy winner-to-runner rate of 30.09% and the yard has been in decent form as of late. However, he is not as successful with those lowly rated on the flat with none of the nineteen rated 60 or lower scoring first time out. Never No Trouble is one of three representing a first-crop sire; namely Dubawi’s son, Time Test. Winner of the York, Joel and Manhattan Stakes, Time Test is not the tallest and was untried over further than ten furlongs, but he is a nephew with the modest winning handicapper, Codeshare, with his third dam producing fair winners in Hue and Political Intrigue. From the family of Nashwan, Never No Trouble is herself a cousin of two winning jumpers in Perceus and Noble Behest, with the useful Seventh Sign appearing at 3/2. Stamina should not be an issue for Never No Trouble here, and her feasible pedigree and capable handler afford her some respect. Nevertheless, there is a class deficit to overcome and while she can match and surpass her flat form, she may benefit from an easier opening. 
    Rendition chf Stuart Edmunds f5-0-1 (68) 73
    Ulysses (Pivotal){13-e}(0.85) 3/1 Poet 127 1st 2m½f Maiden Hurdle, Newbury 2012
    Since 2004/2005, three-hundred-and-eight British and Irish trainers have saddled ten or more juvenile hurdlers. Nicky Henderson and Willie Mullins have the strongest winner-to-runner rates, while in joint-third place on 55.56% are Paul Nicholls and Stuart Edmunds. The two juveniles previously bought by Stuart Edmund at the Tattersalls July Sale, Wolf Of Windlesham and Addosh would each earn black type during their first campaigns over hurdles having only cost 15,000 guineas. This year, Stuart Edmunds parted with 24,000 guineas in order to secure the 68 rated maiden, Rendition. Initially with Andrew Balding, Rendition made her debut when midfield in a Wolverhampton novice last December before returning in a similar contest at Chepstow in late April where she still looked green and was not strenuously encouraged to better her midfield finish. A few weeks later, Rendition went to Redcar for a ten furlong fillies’ race on good to soft where she lacked the pace of the two short-priced market principals, but was able to finish four lengths clear of the remainder. A twenty-one length midfield finish at Newbury can probably be dismissed as the race rather fell apart, and she posted what was probably her best effort to date early this month in a ten-furlong fillies’ handicap at Ffos Las off 72. Unable to quicken off a modestly-run contest, she ultimately finished a six-length sixth of ten in a race which is working out quite well. Of the untested jumps stallions in this contest, Rendition’s sire, Ulysses, is the most interesting of the three. The winner of an International Stakes and an Eclipse, and third in the 2017 Arc, Ulysses is not only the classiest but also has the most well-rounded profile. Out of Galileo and Oaks winner Light Shift, he comfortably has the stamina for the minimum trip over jumps and is also an adequate 16.1hh. His pedigree credentials are further supplemented by damline appearances of Champion Chaser Dodging Bullets (3/2) and Kingwell Hurdle winner Elgin (2/3). Rendition has a couple of pertinent uncles in Ace Ventura, who finished third in a juvenile hurdle on his debut, and Alessandro Volta, who won the Lingfield Derby Trial, while the third dam produced winning hurdlers Poet and High Stratos. Even with her BHA mark now down to 68, Rendition would still be the best treated on these terms and with her representing an interesting new jumps sire, brings with her a solid profile for an interesting trainer who introduced Addosh at this venue last summer. 
    Strong prospects
    1. Rendition
    Reasonable prospects
    2. Rogue Mission
    Feasible prospects
    3. Never No Trouble
    4. Dicktate
    5. Mutara
    Moderate prospects
    6. Graffiti
    Negligible prospects
    .
     
  9. Like
    Labrador reacted to Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    You were unlucky there. Panned out exactly as you thought. 
  10. Like
    Labrador reacted to harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    I’m thinking along similar lines! Gone for split across goal mins and goal rush plus, soften the blow if she scores early.
  11. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    For a bit of interest I've gone with Wendie Renard to break her goal-scoring duck in this tournament. I anticipate that France will be trailing and will have to be "do or die" in the last 15 minutes or so. Renard is bound to be up for any corners or free kicks. It's notable that Spreadex goal minutes for Renard are 6-9 whereas Sporting Index are only 3-6. So a small buy of Wendie Renard's goal minutes at 6.
  12. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    For a bit of interest I've gone with Wendie Renard to break her goal-scoring duck in this tournament. I anticipate that France will be trailing and will have to be "do or die" in the last 15 minutes or so. Renard is bound to be up for any corners or free kicks. It's notable that Spreadex goal minutes for Renard are 6-9 whereas Sporting Index are only 3-6. So a small buy of Wendie Renard's goal minutes at 6.
  13. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    For a bit of interest I've had a bet on Spain corners. England have hardly been put under any defensive pressure so far in the tournament whereas Spain have racked up 32 corners in their group matches. Admittedly 17 were against Finland but they still notched up 6 and 9 against Germany and Denmark respectively. Provided Spain are chasing the game, there could be a chance of a few corners being conceded by England. I have backed over 6.5 Spain corners at 3/1 (skybet).
  14. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    For a bit of interest I've had a bet on Spain corners. England have hardly been put under any defensive pressure so far in the tournament whereas Spain have racked up 32 corners in their group matches. Admittedly 17 were against Finland but they still notched up 6 and 9 against Germany and Denmark respectively. Provided Spain are chasing the game, there could be a chance of a few corners being conceded by England. I have backed over 6.5 Spain corners at 3/1 (skybet).
  15. Thanks
    Labrador reacted to harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    3.75 on the exchange (1st game they've priced the scorer markets up for).
  16. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    There has been a lot of hype about Ellen White being on the cusp of becoming England's all time leading goalscorer - by getting ahead of Wayne Rooney. She needs 1 goal to equal Rooney's 53 goals. It's possible there will be every effort from her team mates for White to score twice and then be subbed to preserve her for the harder games ahead. I was about to press the button on White to score a brace at 9/4 with skybet when they cut to 13/8. I saw 7/4 with Coral (Bet 365 only 4/5). I hate missing out on a price so am swerving now.
    I can see the Northern Ireland defence conceding a penalty or two (especially with Esther Straubli with the whistle) so have backed Georgia Stanway to score at 5/4 and also to score a brace at 7/1 (skybet). Stanway scored twice in England's recent 5-0 beating of NI and neither were penalties.
    I also expect Lucy Bronze to be advanced for much of the game and reckon 4/1 for her to score is a bit of value.
    Given the identity of the referee and NI inevitably having minimal possession and making some tired challenges, I have bought NI bookings at 13 (SX) and their multi bookings at 43 (SX).
    [Will actually be watching the rugby league so will check losses? on the women's footie afterwards].
  17. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Only saw the last 10 minutes or so when it was obvious the Venezuelan ref was not remotely interested in troubling to reach into her pocket despite a couple of agricultural hacks from the N Irish team. Total opposite of Swiss referee Esther Straubli who showed yellow and a red for most innocuous stuff. Definitely a market to play for interest with small stakes.
  18. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Only saw the last 10 minutes or so when it was obvious the Venezuelan ref was not remotely interested in troubling to reach into her pocket despite a couple of agricultural hacks from the N Irish team. Total opposite of Swiss referee Esther Straubli who showed yellow and a red for most innocuous stuff. Definitely a market to play for interest with small stakes.
  19. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    With Riem Hussein officiating in the England v Norway game this evening I've had to have a small bet on cross-bookings with a buy at 180 (SX). I'm not really convinced this fixture will need much disciplinary intervention so only a small unit stake of 12p.
    I'm keener on a bet on Northern Ireland in their make or break match against Austria. For some reason in these European championships there is a Venezuelan referee who is pretty card happy in her domestic leagues but seems more restrained on the international front. However in this fixture Emi Caldera Barrera may be compelled to show a yellow or three. Generally the Austrians seem very well disciplined and receive few cards. I've gone with over 1.5 Northern Ireland cards at 11/8 with Bet 365. 
  20. Like
    Labrador reacted to Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    With these posts in mind, I'm backing a 365 boost which is France to win, Katoto to have at least two shots on target and Renard to have at least one shot on target @ 4.33
  21. Thanks
    Labrador got a reaction from Torque in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Could be worth a goalscorer bet on France skipper and centre back, Wendie Renard, for this evening's clash with Italy. Both for Lyon and the national team Renard is a regular scorer and has actually scored 8 times in 9 appearances for France in 2021 and 2022. Renard is 4/1 to score (skybet), 33/1 to score 2 or more (Coral, Hills, skybet) and 400/1 (Hills) a hat-trick.
  22. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    Could be worth a goalscorer bet on France skipper and centre back, Wendie Renard, for this evening's clash with Italy. Both for Lyon and the national team Renard is a regular scorer and has actually scored 8 times in 9 appearances for France in 2021 and 2022. Renard is 4/1 to score (skybet), 33/1 to score 2 or more (Coral, Hills, skybet) and 400/1 (Hills) a hat-trick.
  23. Like
    Labrador reacted to harry_rag in Women’s Euro 2022   
    SX have some totals markets up (all include extra time barring the 90th minute goals):
    Goals 93-95
    Total goal minutes 4900-5000
    Yellow cards 83-86.5
    Red cards 3.25-3.75
    Bookings 915-945
    Corners 298-305
    90th minute goals 5.75-6.25
    Bonanza 35-45 (5/10/25/50/100 for each game with 6/7/8/9/10+ goals)
    I'm currently perusing the technical report for the 2017 Euros to see if anything stands out. First take, if you've got an account with them, sell total goals at 93. I'd be surprised if it goes over that and there seems to be more upside to the bet than downside.
    2017 was the first 16 team tournament (31 games) and there were 68 goals at an average of 2.19 goals per game. Going back from there the average number of goals were 2.24, 3.00, 3.33, 2.66 and 2.33. Only the 3.33 in 2005 would result in a loss.
  24. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Rugby League Bets 2022   
    Annoying that the game I quoted as most favourable had a multis make up of 432 despite being played on a quasi-paddy field, when the other Sydney match (Bulldogs v Sharks) made up at only 144.
    The weather is not relenting tomorrow so I'm also having a crack at the game at Wollongong between Dragons and Raiders. I've backed under 37.5 match points at evens (skybet) and split stakes with sells of multi-points at 317 (SPIN) and cross-points at 316 (SX). With neither side yet reaching 300 points scored for the season to date, hopefully the terrible weather will mean they have to wait another two or three games to reach that milestone.
  25. Like
    Labrador got a reaction from harry_rag in Rugby League Bets 2022   
    It's worth checking out the weather around Sydney over the weekend. Forecast for torrential rain and very high winds.
    Should point to some unders bets in the NRL. The one I favour is Rabbitohs v Eels at the Accor Stadium which kicks off at 5.35 Aussie time to coincide with the worst of the weather. I've sold match multi-points at 376 (SX). SPIN only 2 points lower at 374.
    [Pity the RU International is in Perth].
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