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Rugby League Bets 2022


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Some random musings on the player markets for St Helens v Catalans later.

Saints hotshots are priced at 43-44 and my "true" value is 43.3. Catalans are 28-31 and 29.36. So, in both cases, my "true" price (based on the player try minutes quotes) is within the spread. On that basis, I'd say the hotshots prices look "technically correct". I'd be interested to see if that's usually the case throughout the season as, in my experience, it certainly isn't when it comes to Rugby Union hotshots.

In terms of anytime trycorer prices, I can't find a single price that looks too big compared to the spreads. (To be fair, I don't do that well selecting bets in that way, but if no prices even look like they might be value on that basis then I'd say it's not a backer's market in tonight's game.)

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4 minutes ago, Labrador said:

Saints new full back Jack Welsby is a dynamic attacking player who could get a few opportunities this evening. Just about worth a dabble to score a try at 13/8.

Good luck. His try minutes might be better value at 19 but all about when and how many he scores. Given it’s a marathon not a sprint I’ll play the “no bet” card for the curtain raiser. 

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Cheers?.

Have had a small buy of Joey Lussick at 8. Has been signed as cover for hooker James Roby who often plays for the whole game. However, it may be that Roby will be increasingly "preserved" given his advancing years. It's conceivable that Lussick might have nearly 40 mins on the pitch or at least play against tiring opponents in the last quarter of the game. Has a decent try-scoring record - notably for Salford. Could well have some darts from dummy half near Cats' line.

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In tonight's TV game conditions look good ahead of the weekend's forecast heavy rain. Hoping that Hull KR will play their usual expansive, attacking style and that their visitors Wigan will not yet have adapted to several personnel changes and one or two key absentees through injury. Perhaps worth a buy of Hull KR's multi-points at 87.

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53 minutes ago, Labrador said:

With Blake Austin making his debut for a depleted Leeds at Wigan this evening in very windy conditions it looks as if 40/20's could be on the cards. Worth a crack at 100/30 for a successful 40/20 if anyone can bet with Hills.

Having googled what exactly a 40/20 is (probably not for the first time) I'm conclusively in agreement with you! :$

I've had 15 points at 10/3.

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26 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Having googled what exactly a 40/20 is (probably not for the first time) I'm conclusively in agreement with you! :$

I've had 15 points at 10/3.

The same firm also have 16/1 for both a successful 40/20 and a successful drop goal. That bet is only 9/1 with skybet. Given a potentially close game in tricky conditions, that could be worth a dabble.

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Just now, Labrador said:

The same firm also have 16/1 for both a successful 40/20 and a successful drop goal. That bet is only 9/1 with skybet. Given a potentially close game in tricky conditions, that could be worth a dabble.

Saw that and had 4 points (2 points of it a freebie) but was shy of posting it! :lol

Sky only 6/4 for the DG I think, versus 3/1 Hills.

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3 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Saw that and had 4 points (2 points of it a freebie) but was shy of posting it! :lol

Sky only 6/4 for the DG I think, versus 3/1 Hills.

I was permitted 1.5 "points" at the 16/1 - generous by Hills' standards?. I was allowed more than expected on the 40/20 bet (6 "points") so have topped up with skybet at 3/1. Good luck with Cust (who could also come to our aid on the 40/20 front).

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Having watched a fair bit of the televised RL so far this season I have been particularly impressed by the attacking flair of Hull KR's half-back, Mikey Lewis. This evening Rovers entertain Castleford in what should be very good playing conditions suitable for an attacking game. Lewis is a bit of value for me to score a try at 3/1 with Hills and Unibet.

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  • 2 weeks later...

Kay to score a try for Wakefield looks big at 5/4 in a few places. Him and Johnstone are both quoted in the 40s for try minutes which would usually correspond with an odds on quote for anytime. Johnstone is indeed 4/6 best so I can't resist an interest in Kay at the bigger price.

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