daveg

Lingfield 12:28 Paradoxical 9/4 Hills

Newcastle 15:33 Red Maids 4/1 Bet365

Southwell 17:05 Gaassee 20/1 Bet365

Yeah, agree MvG is overpriced, and he’s defending a fair chunk of money having reached the final two years ago.

I’ve had a look as well, and I can’t see anything other than Littler or Humphries lifting the trophy in the New Year - boring I know. I think they are currently a class above everyone else, and whoever wins that potential meeting in the semi-final will triumph. Not a big fan of the odds though, so instead my main bet will be on Littler to hit a 9-darter. In the last couple of tournaments he’s looked like he could hit one every time he toes the oche to start a leg. He should play a lot of legs over the next few weeks, and I was pleasantly surprised to see it priced up at 13/2 with Bet365 (Sky have it boosted to 7/1) - that screams value to me. He’s 50/1 to hit more than one, I might have a little on that as well, but that’s probably just being greedy. As has been mentioned, the outright value has to lie in the bottom half of the draw, and the one I’ve gone for is Martin Schindler. He’s not done much in the majors this year, but has won a couple of times on the Euro Tour. He’s been hitting a few decent averages recently, and the German players tend to get plenty of support at Ally Pally, so I’ll take a chance on The Wall at 125/1.

Reckon that’s a great spot mate. In the last 10 years there have been 8,6,4,7,8,3,6,2,6 and 3 170 checkouts in the tournament. So that bet has landed in the last 5 years. Have seen Bet365 go over 4.5 170 checkouts at odds of 2.37, so I’ve taken a bit of that.

Yeah I like the odds on Scott Williams today as well, about 11/8 now I think. I’ve not been that impressed with Ross Smith recently, he’s had the odd good performance, but there’s been plenty of below par efforts too.

Wolverhampton 20:25 Glen Buck 8/1 Bet365

Wolverhampton 18:40 Cephalus 50/1 Hills

Interesting thoughts guys. I’d already backed van Veen and Nijman when they were hitting those big averages during the Grand Slam last week. The only other one I’ve gone for in the outright market is Bunting at 28/1. He’s just become a father for the second time, so he’ll either be up for this … or completely knackered.

Southwell 19:30 Jazzy Angel 10/1 Hills

Southwell 20:15 Good Karma 9/2 Hills

Newcastle 15:48 Azure Angel 33/1 Hills

Wolverhampton 18:00 Eazy On The Eye 11/4 Hills

Lingfield 11:35 Achillea 7/1 Bet365