blackcrow
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Arkansas State -5.5 @ 2.52 pinnacle Over 70.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Arkansas State have a good balancd offence that averaged 264 passing yards and 217 rushing yards per game and like them to do well on this Kent State defence that allowed 277 passing yards and 140 rushing yards. Kent State wil have problems stopping the passing game here, and then the run game will come into it as the defence spreads to stop the pass. On defence. Arkansas State allowed 233 passing yards and 153 rushing yards per game, while Kent State averaged 163 passing yards and 228 rushing yards per game. Ken State will run the ball and should have some success there, but unless the passing game picks up, then like Arkansas State to make a few stops here. Arkansas State played Oregon (57-34 loss to them) in their opening game of the season and managed a respectable 304 passing yards and 226 rushing yards against them, while allowing 308 passing yards and 297 rushing yards, against one of the best offences in the league - and they demolished Kansas State recently. Kent State lost 44-37 to Northern Illinois, who has a similar offence and defence to what they will face here, as Kent State scored 3 TDs in the last 5 minutes of the game to send it to OT. Doubt that they get this fortunate again here 20-33 (-11.56)Pittsburgh @ 2.44 :( Over 55.5 @ 2.06 :( -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan
63-130 (-37.44)Swansea v Arsenal under 2.5 @ 2.15 :( 0-0 at half time and then 1-0 with 10 minutes to go .... not to be. Crazy last 10 minutes Mansfield v Liverpool under 2.5 @ 2.81 :( Refs missing an easy handball for Liverpool's second goal which allowed them to relax and invite Mansfield further forward -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Swansea v Arsenal under 2.5 @ 2.15 pinnacle Swansea have one win and 3 draws in their last 4 EPL games so they will be pretty confident for this game, as will Arsenal who have won 4 and drawn the other of their last 5 EPL games. With a home game against Man City next week, Arsenal may rest a few players for this game, which could see a pretty even contest. Like the unders here as Arsenal have gone under in 6 of their last 8 EPL games which includes 4 of their last 5 away games Mansfield v Liverpool under 2.5 @ 2.81 sportsbet With Liverpool playing Man Utd next week, would expect some of their starting eleven to be rested while also there were reports that Mansfield's pitch is not up to the usual standard that their passing game requires, which may bring them back to the home team. While they still should end up winning, there are enough doubts to suggest that it will not be easy and the under then has quite a bit of value about it 63-128 (-35.44)
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Re: A League > 5 - 6 January
25-39 (-2.19)Brisbane @ 2.32 :eyes Western Sydney @ 3.06 :eyes -
Re: A League > 5 - 6 January
Brisbane @ 2.32 pinnacle The Heart may have beaten Newcastle 2-1 at home last week, but they had lost their three previous games, and the concern is their defence which has allowed 8 goals in these last 4 games. Brisbane have won their last two games and are starting to regain the form that was expected of them, as their up-tempo game has began to bear fruit, which allows their attacking players to win the ball in good position. Their defence has improved with just 4 goals allowed in their last 6 games, and like them to make up for their 4-1 loss to the Heart in Melbourne back in November, but that was when they were out of form. This time around it is different as their key players are getting their confidence back Western Sydney @ 3.06 pinnacle With 4 wins and a draw in their last 6 games, Western Sydney is flying, and they have their import Ono to thank who has been in great form for them. Their defence is solid and give little away while their midfield moves the ball well. Central Coast have won 5 of their last 7 games, and though they beat Perth last week, it was a lethargic display which was much like the last few weeks. Like Western Sydney, who have won their last 3 home games, to add another one here as they have been playing well, and are much better than CC when they played them at home earlier in the season and drew 0-0 with them. CC are still without their playmaker Rogic and look too one dimensional without him as WS have the players in midfield to negate their other players, while they do not really threaten much out wide 25-37 (-0.19)Newcastle v Adelaide under 2.5 @ 2.20 :D Melbourne Victory @ 1.74 :D Melbourne Victory -1 (EH) @ 2.70 :D Perth @ 1.70 :eyes Perth -1 (EH) @ 2.75 :eyes Twice had the lead and should have at least won the game but for some poor goalkeeping -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan
63-128 (-35.44)Brighton v Newcastle over 2.5 @1.86 :eyes Brighton v Newcastle over 3.5 @ 2.96 :eyes Newcastle were very poor Aston Villa @ 1.81 :D Aston Villa -1 (EH) @ 3.10 :eyes Sunderland @ 2.79 :eyes Stoke @ 2.48 :eyes Peterborough v Norwich over 3.5 @ 2.53 :eyes Norwich too strong, but still expected Peterborough to get one goal Southampton v Chelsea under 2.5 @ 2.32 :eyes Didn't expect Chelsea to have such a strong line up for this game -
Re: NFL 2012 Antepost Betting NFC Championship: Green Bay @ $4 sportsbet Super Bowl Winner: Green Bay @ $9 sportsbet Players are healthy on both offence and defence and ready to make another run for the title. Top QB with an improving rushing game, while the defence has its main players there to stop the pass and run
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Pittsburgh @ 2.44 pinnacle Over 55.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle Pittsburgh finished the season off well with two good wins over Rutgers (27-6) and South Florida (27-3) to be bowl eligible. They have a decent QB in Sunseri who can be very good one game and poor the next, but he had 438 passing yards and 2 TDs in these two games, so like him to keep going here. They should do well on this Mississippi defence that allowed 252 passing yards in the SEC league not noted for having exceptional QBs (except for Manziel who had 191 passing yards and 2 TDs, but also ran for 129 yards). Pittsburgh averaged 137 rushing yards while Mississippi allowed 133 yards per game so they tend to cancel each other out here. Mississippi played well against LSU, Texas A&M, Auburn and Arkansas but were comfortably beaten by Texas, Alabama and Georgia, so not sure how this team will play here. They have a more balanced offence than Pittsburgh, as they averaged 257 passing yards and 170 rushing yards, but Pittsbugh has a good defence that allowed 197 passing yards and 127 rushing yards per game. They played Notre Dame very well to lose in OT to them and also lost 35-45 to Louisville, so they too come into this game with some good results. Pittsbugh scored 26+ points in 4 of their last 5 games while Mississippi allowed 27+ points in 6 of their last 8 games. On defence, Pittsburgh has allowed less than 24 points in 4 of their last 6 games while Mississippi has scored 27+ points in 6 of their last 7 games. Both teams to score some points here, but like the Pittsbugh passing game, as long as Sunseri is focused to get enough yards, to win this by a field goal for them 20-31 (-9.56)Texas A+M -3.5 @ 2.04 :D Over 73.5 @ 2.04 :eyes -
Re: FA Cup > 29th Dec - 7th Jan Brighton v Newcastle over 2.5 @1.86 pinnacle Brighton v Newcastle over 3.5 @ 2.96 sportsbet Brighton (9th placed in the Championship) should have close to a full strength side to face Newcastle and should have some confidence after beating Ipswich (19th placed in the Championship) 3-0 but they did lost 3-1 at home to Watford (6th placed in the Championship) and drew 2-2 at home with Millwall (7th placed in the Championship) prior to that, so they have been amongst the goals. With Newcastle having allowed 22 goals in losing 7 of their last 9 EPL games, then would like to believe that Brighton too can score here. However Newcastle have scored 12 goals in their last 8 EPL games on the road, and in 13 of their last 9 EPL games overall, so they have been finding the score sheet as well. With a mild and dry day expected, should be good conditins for a few goals in this game Aston Villa @ 1.81 pinnacle Aston Villa -1 (EH) @ 3.10 sportsbet Villa went off the boil with three heavy losses to Chelsea, Tottenham and Wigan but they regained some pride with a 2-2 away to Swansea and but for an injury time penalty would have won the game. Doubt that there will be much rotation in this squad as they do not have much depth so expect them to field a pretty strong team even though they have Bradford in the League Cup during the week. Agbonlahor and Bent are said to feature which gives them quality up front. Ipswich (19th in the Championship) have won 5 of their last 8 games but they have beaten teams placed around them with the 3-0 home win over 7th placd Millwall of note, but they have lost 3-0 at home to 9th placed Brighton and 2-0 at 8th placed Leeds, so playing against an even better side than these two from the EPL, will be hard for them. They have Henderson and Orr ineligible to play, while Chambers is injured and Drury is sick, so they are missing some players for this game. Villa look to be too good here if they play close to their best side, as Ipswich have a big game away to Cardiff to worry about Sunderland @ 2.79 pinnacle Sunderland will bring some players into their side to cover their injuries, with the likes of Vaughn, Bramble, Campbell and Wickham likely to get a start, and each of these have EPL experience, so there should not be too much of a drop off in their game. Bolton have several players out, with Holden, Davies and Mills out, and few others with niggling injuries. They sit 16th in the Championship, and have lost 3 of their last 4 games, which included a 1-0 home loss to 22nd placed Sheffield Wednesday and a 5-4 away loss at 21st placed Peterborough. Sunderland have played against the likes of Man Utd, Man City, Tottenham and Liverpool recently, so they will be battle-hardened, and have a good record at Bolton from their recent meetings in the EPL, having beaten them on the last 3 occasions, and with O'Neill looking for his side to go on a cup run, expect their near full strength line up to have too much for them. Stoke @ 2.48 pinnacle Looks like Stoke will have pretty much a full strength side as they look to continue their very good run of form. They have been hard to breach their defence as they have 3 clean sheets in their last 4 away games in the EPL, and like them to hold out Crystal Palace who are likely to rest some players, given that they have promotion in mind. CP have scored and conceded in their last 6 games, which is typical of Holloway's approach to games, but coming up a very strong defence, means scoring goals will be much tougher than usual. Conversely, conceding goals has been a problem for them of late , and given that Stoke have scored three goals in 2 of their last 3 games, then CP will have problems holding them out. Like Stoke to edge this Peterborough v Norwich over 3.5 @ 2.53 pinnacle Peterborough sit in 21st spot in the Championship with relegation on their minds, and having several players out for this game for various reasons, then they look light coming into this game against their neighbours Norwich. Norwich also have some players out but they too will be looking to make the most of this game, as they have lost their last four games in the EPL. Both teams have been featuring in some high scoring games as Peterborough have scored at least two goals in their last 6 Championship games, while they have conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 8 games. Norwich have scored and conceded in 9 of their last 10 games, and have allowed at least two goals in 5 of their last 7 games in all competitions. With both teams not only looking to advance but also bragging rights in East Anglia, then like this to be a high scoring game Southampton v Chelsea under 2.5 @ 2.32 pinnacle Southampton have gone under in 7 of their last 8 EPL games, as they look to consolidate their defence, and not be as easily breached as they were at the start of the season. Expect them to carry this mentality into this cup game, especially with Chelsea coming to St Mary's Stadium, as they will likely rest some of their players but still should have a talented line up for this game. Their defence has conceded just one goal in their last 4 EPL games, and doubt that their will be many changes here given that Terry is still out. With neither side giving much away, then expect a low scoring game 62-121 (-29.25)
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Re: A League > 5 - 6 January Newcastle v Adelaide under 2.5 @ 2.20 centrebet Pretty warm temperatures expected for this game whic starts at 5.30 pm local time. Should have a bearing on this game, as both sides will look to conserve their energy, especially in the first half so they do not tire for the second half. Already seen some of the games played at a much slower tempo with the increase in temperatures and has a direct bearing on the standard of play. Newcastle have lost 5 of their last 6 games and two of their last three at home, and they did not score in these two home losses. Adelaide have lost two of their last 3 games, as well as losing their last two on the road. A game which could go either way given the mixed form of both sides, but like the weather to influence this game, and lead to a low scoring game. With 13 of their last 18 meetings also going under, including their last 4 meetings going and their last two games in Newcastle, good reason to see this be a low scoring game Melbourne Victory @ 1.74 pinnacle Melbourne Victory -1 (EH) @ 2.70 sportsbet The Victory were disappointing against Westrn Sydney and they be looking to atone here, and they should, as their home form, of 4 wins and 2 draws from their last 6 games, should be too much for the Wellington side who have lost 3 of their last 4 games, as well as 4 of their last 6 away games. The Victory are bolstered by the return of Milligan which will strenghthen their defence, while Wellington have a number of players doubtful for this game, and may lack some experience in taking on this Victory side. They have poor form against the Victory with 4 straight losses to them, and conceding 11 goals while scoring just 4 in these games, while in Melbourne, they have just two draws with their 6 losses to shwo for their 8 games there, allowing 19 goals while scoring just 5 in these games. In November the Victory won 3-2 after cruising to a 3-0 lead but then allowed 2 goals in the last 10 minutes. Doubt that they allow that to happen again here Perth @ 1.70 pinnacle Perth -1 (EH) @ 2.75 sportsbet Perth have lost both starting centre backs as Thwaite and van den Brink are out, but Sydney have also lost their two starting centre backs with Bosschart and Griffiths also out. While Perth have not been scoring that many goals, this presents them with a very good opportunity to get some here, as Sydney have allowed 19 goals in losing 4 of their last 5 games on the road, and with the problems they have at the back, doubt that they can stop the rot there. Perth have enough cover to make for losing their two defenders but Sydney have still have too many inured players or out of form players, and hard to tip them here. With del Piero coming to Perth, and with a big crowd expected to watch in attendance, this should then give them the impetus they need to win this one and get their season going 22-35 (-1.83)
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Texas A+M -3.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Over 73.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Should be a very offence minded game as you have two teams who move the ball well and quickly. Texas A+M have their Heisman winning QB Manziel leads a balanced offence that averaged 317 passing yards and 235 rushing yards per game while Oklahoma allowed 198 passing yards and 181 rushing yards per game. However, against the similar type of offence that they wil face here, Oklahoma allowed Baylor to pass for 172 yards and run for 252 yards in the 42-34 win over them while Oklahoma had 277 passing yards and 190 rushing yards in this game; Oklahoma allowed 320 passing yards and 458 rushing yards, while they had 554 passing yards and 111 rushing yards in the 50-49 win over West Virginia; and in the 51-48 OT win over Oklahoma State, they allowed 289 passing yards and 199 rushing yards while they gained 512 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. So Oklahoma faces an even better QB than the three they faced here, but also a team that runs the ball even better than what these teams do. Against the top ranked Alabama defence, they managed to pass for 253 yards and run for 169 yards, while allowing 309 passing yards and 129 rushing yards in the 29-24 win over them. Hard to see how Oklahoma is going to stop this balanced offence from scoring 50+ points here. On the flip side. Oklahoma averaged 341 passing yards and 165 rushing yards this season, while TAM allowed 248 passing yards and 141 rushing yards. Expect TAM to hold the Oklahoma running game in check but Landry should be able to pass on this defence, as they allowed Louisiana Tech, who are more offence-minded compared to their other more defence-focused teams in the conference, to pass for 504 yards and run for another 165 yards as TAM beat them 58-57. Should be a shootout, with two gun QBs, but TAM's ability to run the ball and also stop the run better than Oklahoma should give them the edge here 19-30 (-9.60)Oregon -9.5 @ 2.06 :D Under 72.5 @ 2.03 :D -
Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Florida did not show up for this game, while Bridgewater had a big game Oregon -9.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle Under 72.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle See this pretty much like how Oregon played Stanford and Kansas State played againt Baylor. Oregon have a very good and balanced offence that had 227 passing yards and 337 rushing yards per game, while on defence, they allow 236 passing yards and 146 rushing yards per game. Against Stanford, they had 207 passing yards and 198 rushing yards in losing 17-14 to them, and they had led 14-7 with two minutes to go and gave up a 4 and 1 which led to a TD, and then a FG in over time to lose the game. Now Kansas State is built to similar to Stanford in that they allow 256 passing yards and just 120 rushing yards per game, so they will keep Oregon honest, but hard to see them doing it for the full 60 minutes. KSU allowed Baylor to pass for 238 yards and 342 rushing yards in the 52-24 loss to them, and this Oregon offence is much like Baylor's. While KSU averaged 212 passing yards and 198 rushing yards per game, they only had 286 passing yards and 76 rushing yards in that game as they swarmed around QB Klein and prevented him from doing any damage with his legs. Both teams have had plenty of time to prepare for the other, but in the end, Oregon should have too much offence for them. With both teams having a preference to running the ball, then expect this to see long drives whick take away some time off the clock but with Oregon's QB Mariota, who had 30 TDs and just 6 INTs, able to make the plays that lead to TDs rather than FGs, then Oregon is likely to prevail 17-30 (-11.69)Florida -14.5 @ 2.05 :eyes Over 48.5 @ 2.03 :D -
Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks Florida -14.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle Over 48.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle Florida has beaten three very good sides (LSU 14-11, South Carolina 44-11 and Florida State 37-26) which all have won their bowl games over the last two days, and now it is their turn to do so. They will run the ball, as they averaged 194 yards per game, while the passing game managed just 144 yards per game. Against Florida State, who have one of the better defences in the nation, they ran for 244 yards and threw for another 150 yards, and though Louisville allowed 194 passing yards and 151 rushing yards, they have not faced a running game like this. RB Gillislee has 1104 rushing yards and 11 TDs while QB Driskel can also run the ball, with 409 rushing yards and 4 TDs. In losing 45-26 at Syracuse, Louisville allowed 246 passing yards and 278 rushing yards in that game, as Smith had 144 rushing yards while Gulley had 98 rushing yards and 2 TDs. On defence, Florida are very good. They have allowed just 186 passing yards and 87 rushing yards per game, and expect them to blitz regularly, as Louisville averaged just 127 yards on the ground. Their QB Bridgewater led a side to averaging 299 passing yards per game, and it will be on him to get this offence going, but in the end, Florida will have too much speed for them. They will force him to rush his passes, and either they will be incomplete or turned over, and expect them to work with shorter field positions 16-29 (-11.72)
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Re: Liverpool v Sunderland > Wed 2nd January Let the good times roll ............. as long as they are winning, that will suit me :ok
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Re: Newcastle United v Everton > Wed 2nd January
62-121 (-29.25)Everton @ 2.35 :D -
Re: Chelsea v Queens Park Rangers > Wed 2nd January
61-121 (-30.60)Cheslea -2 (EH) @ 2.50 :eyes -
Re: Newcastle United v Everton > Wed 2nd January Everton @ 2.35 sportsbet Newcastle have won 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 EPL games, as the team is in crisis, and not sure if Ba will play given all the transfer talk surrounding him - he may be signing somewhere else by the time this game is played. They have allowed at least two goals in 7 of these 8 defeats, and are coming off allowing 4 goals to Man Utd and 7 goals to Arsenal. Everton, on the contrary, have been unlucky as they should have had got more in their 2-1 loss at home to Chelsea, and expect MOyes to have them fired up to make up for it here. Though they concede goals, they have scored at least two goals in 3 of their last 5 games, and like them to edge this one, as they are a team in form, whiel Newcastle are looking for answers, but Pardew does not have any for them
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Re: Liverpool v Sunderland > Wed 2nd January Liverpool have 5 clean sheets in their last 7 home games but Sunderland have scored in each of their last 5 away games, though they lost 3 of these game. Favouring the under here, as they have gone under in their last 4 meetings, but got hammered yesterday when i expected most of the games to go under, when only one did.
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Re: Chelsea v Queens Park Rangers > Wed 2nd January Cheslea -2 (EH) @ 2.50 sportsbet Doubt that Chelsea will allow themselves to be complacent here as they are 14 points off Man Utd and dropping points, even at this stage of the season, could ruin any chance of fighting for the title. Another aspect they may consider is the need for goals, as they have a goal differential of 5 less goals to Man Utd, and that too may come into consideration later on in the season. While they have the chance, they will put poor teams to the sword as shown against Aston Villa, they did not let up when the game was in the bag, and put 8 past them. With Liverpool hitting them for three, then expect Chelsea, at home, to also put up at least this many. Torres scored a hat trick in the corresponding fixture as Chelsea won 6-1, and this is a great opportunity for him to add to his 7 goals, as he is 7 behind the leader van Persie 61-120 (-29.60)
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
16-29 (-11.72)Northwestern -2.5 @ 2.07 :D Over 55.5 @ 2.06 :eyes Missed it by two points Oklahoma State -17 @ 2.00 :D Over 71.5 @ 2.03 :D South Carolina -5.5 @ 2.01 :eyes Missed it by a point - twice they went for the two point conversion when a PAT would have been enough Over 47.5 @ 1.99 :D Georgia -9.5 @ 2.01 :D Over 62.5 @ 1.99 :D Wisconsin +4.5 @ 2.04 :eyes Missed it by two points Under 46.5 @ 2.05 :D Florida State -14.5 @ 2.00 :D Under 58.5 @ 2.05 :D -
Re: Southampton v Arsenal > Tue 1st January
61-120 (-29.60)Under 2.5 @ 2.31 :D -
Re: Wigan Athletic v Manchester United > Tue 1st January
60-120 (-30.91)Under 2.5 @ 2.37 :eyes -
Re: West Ham v Norwich City > Tue 1st January
60-119 (-29.91)Over 2.5 @ 1.99 :D -
Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Reading > Tue 1st January
59-119 (-30.90)Under 2.5 @ 2.40 :eyes
NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Alabama -17.5 @ 3.30 centrebet Over 46.5 @ 2.67 bet365 Believe experience will count here, as Alabama are used to playing a National Cahampionship game. Both teams rely on their defences and in order for either to get an edge in the game, then they need to use different plays with their offences to open it up. Expect to see more passing than running as both teams can stop the run very well, but believe that Alabama has an edge here, as they have a better passing QB as well as a very good WR (Cooper). ND's secondary is good but containing him will be very hard to do. Alabama are used to playing teams like ND every year but ND has not played a team like Alabama, who have speed all over the field, and a very good offensive line that opens up the field for their QB and RBs. They beat LSU 21-0 last year and ND are a similar side to ND here. With all this time to prepare, and players can get over their niggling injuries, Alabama has too much talent on both sides of the ball 20-35 (-13.56)