blackcrow
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Re: Chelsea v Aston Villa > Sun 23rd December Over 3.5 @ 2.47 pinnacle Over 4.5 @ 4.05 sportsbet Over 5.5 @ 7.00 centrebet Chelsea did well to come back from 1-0 down to beat Leeds 5-1 in the League Cup midweek, and prior to that, they beat Sunderland 3-1 but lost 3-1 at West Ham, so they have featured in some high scoring games of late. Villa are coming off two very good away win, beating Aston Villa 4-1 and Liverpool 3-1, so they too have been amongst the goals in their games. For Chelsea, they have Torres coming back into goalscoring form, and with Mata and Hazard there in creating goals, then like them to do well against this young Aston Villa defence. Villa will be pretty confident going into this game and will have little to fear here, as they have nothing to lose. They will like their chances of scoring on this Chelsea defence that is still missing Terry there. Both games last year saw at least four goals scored in them, and like them to score quite a few here again
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Re: Swansea City v Manchester United > Sun 23rd December Over 3.5 @ 2.51 pinnacle Over 4.5 @ 4.25 sportsbet Over 5.5 @ 7.00 centrebet Swansea have scored at least two goals in 6 of their last 9 games and expect them to attack Man Utd who have allowed a goal in 9 of their last 10 games, and given up at least two goals in 4 of their last 5 away games. Conversely, Swansea have allowed a goal in 7 of their last 8 home games, and allowed at least two goals in 4 of these games while Man Utd have scored at least two goals in 7 of their last 8 away games, and three goals in 6 of these last 8 away games. Both sides are more than capable of scoring a couple of goals here, while Man Utd have the abilty to score even more 49-100 (-33.30)
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Re: NFL: Week 16 picks
Washington -12.5 @ 3.04 sportsbet Washington have won their last 5 games as they look to get RG3 back for this game, and continue their quest for a playoff spot. They have scored 31+ points in 4 of these 5 wins based on their running game which has seen them rush for 120+ yards in 13 of their 14 games this season (average of 162 yards per game in these last 5 games) and they have thrown for 13 TDs and just 3 INTs in these games. Philly looks like they have given up as they have allowed 30+ points in 5 of their last 6 games, and given up 120+ rushing yards in 8 of their last 10 games as well as 19 passing TDs and no INTs in their last 8 games. On offence, Philly have 8 passing TDs with 5 INTs in their last 8 games, while they have run for 100 yards or less in 7 of their last 10 games. Washington have allowed their share of passing TDs but their rush defence has been good, allowing less than 100 yards in 9 of their 14 games. With plenty to play for, Washington look better on both sides of the ball and like them to win this one well Houston -16.5 @ 3.30 centrebet Minnesota have been riding Peterson during their season but they face a very good Houston defence that will block the lanes to stop AP running the ball. They know that Ponder is no threat to them as he has struggled to pass the ball so they will go man-on-man and send at least one safety to stop the threat of Peterson. If they do that, then Minnesota have no offence and expect plenty of 3 and outs. As for Houston, they will look to Schaub to continue to do well as he has 10 passing TDs in his last 4 home games, and given that Minnesota have allowed 16 passing TDs in their last 7 games - at least 2 TDs in 5 of these 7 games - then if they put an extra man in the secondary, this should allow Foster to do well, as he is equally as good as Peterson when he is in the mood. It is this balanced offence that should lead the Texans to a win and home field advantage in the playoffs, as they also have the defence to stop the run, as their LB corp has some very good players like Watt. Indianapolis -13.5 @ 2.95 centrebet Colts are looking to seal a playoff spot with a win here as they should dispose of a Kansas side that has just two wins for the season and has scored less than 10 points in 4 of their last 5 games. Kansas have struggled to pass for TDs with just 2 in their last 6 games, and the Colts secondary should do enough to keep them out. They prefer to run the ball and though they have ran for 100+ yards in 6 of their last 8 games, they cannot convert these yards into points. However their defence has allowed at least 2 passing TDs in their last 4 home games, and face a very good young QB looking to get his team into the playoffs, as next week they have a tough game against Houston and will not be wanting to rely on that game to give them a playoff berth. Kansas's won rush defence has allowed 100+ yards in 10 of their 14 games which should give Luck some extra yards to continue their drives Cincinnati -2.5 @ 3.05 centrebet Cincinnati have won 5 of their last 6 games, and they need to win their last two games to clinch a playoff spot, as they have scored 12 passing TDs in these last 6 games, while they have ran for 120+ yards in their last 5 games. Pittsbugh have lost 4 of their last 5 games, as their momentum has died abnd they face all sorts of problems as they look to stay in touch for a playoff spot. They have allowed 7 passing TD in their last 4 games, while their rush defence has been good, it will be tested here by an improving Bengals rushing attack. On defence, Cincinnati have allowed 1 passing TD or none at all in their last 6 games, and with Rothlisburger still trying to find his groove, then like them to contain him, while their rushing attack has struggled to gain yards and face a Bengals rush defence that has allowed less than 50 yards in their last 3 games. Cincinnati are the form side, and have at present, the better offence while their not much between these respective defences Dallas v New Orleans over 61.5 @ 2.99 sportsbet Dallas have won 4 of their last 6 games as they have thrown for 11 TDs in these 6 games, and with their running game struggling to get going, even though New Orleans has allowed 120+ yards in 4 of their last 5 games, expect Romo to air the ball quite a bit here, as NO has allowed 18 passing TDs in their 7 road games this season. NO will look to finish the year on a high after their sub-par performances and like Brees to do well here, as he has thrown at least 3 TDs in 9 of his 15 games this season, and Dallas has given up 15 passing TDs in their last 6 games. Also Dallas has allowed 100+ rushing yards in 6 of their last 9 games while NO has ran for 100+ yards in 6 of their last 7 games. Expect the offence to prevail here as Dallas needs to keep winning for a playoff spot while NO is playing for pride Green Bay v Tennessee under 38.5 @ 2.96 sportsbet Given that they have clinched a playoff spot, they are looking to win one of their last two games to get a first round bye in the playoffs and should beat Tennessee here. However, with the amount of inuuries they have had this season, expect them to be a bit more conservative and look to minimise the game time for some players, and expect them to use more of their running game here, as they have ran for 113+ yards in their last 4 games. GB will look to exploit a Titans defence that has allowed 100+ rushing yards in 10 of their 14 games, while they have allowed less than 230 passing yards in their last 6 games, with 9 passing TDs allowed but they have 10 INTs in these 6 games. GB's own defence will look to lock up Johnson as they have ran for 100+ yards in 6 of their last 8 games. Tennessee have thrown 7 INTs in their last 3 games and with the GB secondary noted for looking for the INT, then expect them to stick to the run. Believe that with such an emphasis on running the ball by both sides, that this should lead a low scoring game New England -20.5 @ 2.88 centrebet NE have still got an outside chance to get a top 2 seed if they win out and other results go their way. They will look to bounce back from their loss to San Francisco last week, as they face a Jacksonville defence that has allowed 527 passing yards and 5 TDs to Houston a few weeks ago and face a much better QB here. Also their run game should do well, as they have ran for 100+ yards in 7 of their last 8 games while the Jags have allowed 100+ yards in their last 7 games. Jacksonville have little on offence with just 1 TD in their last 3 games while they have ran for 100+ yards in just 4 of their 14 games. The Patriots should win this one easily if they keep their mind on the job, as the Jaguars have not done much this season Carolina -16.5 @ 3.10 centrebet Both teams are out of the playoff picture but carolina have won 3 of their last 5 games and look to finish the season off well. They have QB Newton who has thrown for 10 TDs (and no INTs) in his last 5 games and like him to do well on this Oakland secondary that has allowed 13 TDs (and have 5 INTs) in their last 7 games. Also, Carolina have run for 100+ yards in 7 of their last 9 games while Oakland have allowed 100+ yards in 6 of their last 8 games. On offence, Oakland have 13 passing TDs but also 9 INTs in their last 7 games while they have ran for 100+ yards in just 2 of these last 7 games. Carolina have allowed just 5 passing TDs in their last 4 games, and allowed 10 passing TDs with 7 INTs in their 7 home games this season. Carolina have the much more balanced offence while their defence has done well of late, and like them to stop this pretty poor Raiders offence Denver v Cleveland under 36.5 @ 3.32 sportsbet Denver has pretty much wrapped a top two spot and will be looking to stay healthy in the next two weeks. They have a very good QB who should do well again here, but doubt that he will be allowed to have many big plays as the Browns secondary has done pretty well of late, allowing less than 200 yards in 5 of their last 8 games, with just 6 passing TDs allowed and 5 INTs gained. Denver will look to their improving run game that has averaged 124 yards in their last 5 games, as Cleveland has allowed 100+ yards in 6 of their last 8 games. On offence, Cleveland should have little joy with their running game as Denver has allowed less than 100 yards in 8 of their last 9 games while in the passing game, Cleveland has 5 TDs and 7 INTs in their last 7 games, and though Denver has allowed 15 passing TDs in winning their last 8 games they also have 14 INTs in these games. Record: 38-80 (-1.49)Atlanta -6.5 @ 2.51 :ok Atlanta -11.5 @ 4.20 :ok -
Re: NFL: Week 16 picks Atlanta -6.5 @ 2.51 sportsbet Atlanta -11.5 @ 4.20 sportsbet Hard to see what Detroit has to play for here. Stafford throws too many INTs; they do not have much of a running game while Johnson is their only go-to WR and expect him to be double-teamed here. As for Atlanta, a win here and they can lock up home field advantage throughout the playoffs as they are coming off a 34-0 thumping of the Giants. While there is the fear of a let down spot here, they have too much to play for, and like QB Ryan to continue his good form where he had 270 passing yards and 3 TDs last week while the secondary allowed just 170 passing yards and got 2 INTs. The run game has improved as they have 120+ rushing yards in 2 of their last 3 games, and should do well to complement the passing game. Record: 36-80 (-6.20)
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Re: West Ham v Everton > Sat 22nd December
49-100 (-33.30)Over 2.5 @ 2.07 :ok Over 3.5 @ 3.70 :( -
Re: Southampton v Sunderland > Sat 22nd December
48-99 (-33.37)Over 2.5 @ 1.99 :( Over 3.5 @ 3.26 :( -
Re: Manchester City v Reading > Sat 22nd December
48-97 (-31.37)Man City -2.5 @ 2.01 :( Man City -3 (EH) @ 3.30 :( -
Re: Wigan Athletic v Arsenal > Sat 22nd December
48-95 (-29.37)Arsenal -1 (EH) @ 2.88 :( -
Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
The over was looking good going into the break at half time but they did not go on with it UL Lafayette - East Carolina over 68.5 @ 2.06 pinnacle Both teams are good at passing the ball while their respective pass defences are ordinary. Both have decent rush defences so doubt that they will run much which should lead to plenty of passing and hence scoring. Boise State - Washington under 41.5 @ 2.22 pinnacle Both teams are very good in defneding the pass and doubt that they will focous on passing the ball as their rush offences have done pretty well this season, with Boise State averaging 173 yards per game while Washington averages 137 yards per game. Given that Washington plays in the tough PAC-12 conference, then expect them to be a good test for Boise State, who also has shown that they are hard to score on. Like the look of a game dominated by rushing and good defence 0-2 (-2.00)Central Florida - Ball State over 66.5 @ 2.60 :( -
Re: A League > 21 - 22 December
Injury time winner 16-24 (+0.84)Melbourne Victory @ 2.25 :ok -
Re: West Ham v Everton > Sat 22nd December Over 2.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Over 3.5 @ 3.70 sportsbet West Ham have scored and conceded in 4 of their last 6 games, and especially at home, both sides have scored in 6 of their last 7 home games. They scored twice against Liverpool and thrice against Chelsea in their last two home games, so Everton will hold no fear for them, while Everton have scored and conceded in their last 12 games in the EPL. They have also seen both teams score in their last 6 away games, both West Ham and Everton have scored in their last 7 meetings with 5 of their last 6 games seeing at least 3 goals scored while 4 of these games had at least 4 goals in them. With both teams likely to score can see a couple more goals being scored given that both sides have a history of scoring in these match ups
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Re: Southampton v Sunderland > Sat 22nd December Over 2.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Over 3.5 @ 3.26 sportsbet Both teams sit just above the relegation zone so a win will be massive for both sides. Soton have scored in each of their last 8 home games but also have conceded in 6 of these last 8 games. Sunderland have scored and conceded in 6 of their last 8 games, including their last 4 away games where they have allowed at least two goals in 3 of these last 4 away games. Like both sides to score here, as neither defence has been playing well this season, and both teams have been scoring of late
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Re: Manchester City v Reading > Sat 22nd December Man City -2.5 @ 2.01 pinnacle Man City -3 (EH) @ 3.30 sportsbet City were very good in the first half against Newcastle who had no answer to their play, and should have led by a few goals. Though they relaxed in the second half, they still had too much for the magpies, and given Reading's performance against Arsenal, then hard to see anything but a comfortable City win. They have scored at least three goals against teams in the bottom half at home, beating Aston Villa 5-0, Sunderland 3-0, QPR 3-0 and Southampton 3-2. Reading have conceded at least three goals in their last 4 games, conceding 13 goals in total, and like City to do this easily
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Re: Wigan Athletic v Arsenal > Sat 22nd December Arsenal -1 (EH) @ 2.88 sportsbet Arsenal look like they may be starting to click again as they easily beat Reading 5-2 and now face another side struggling for form. Arsenal have Walcott playing in the central striking role and with his pace, he can cause problems against the bigger centre backs, especially as it seems that Wigan will once again have a number of players out, including Caldwell, Ramis, Lopeza and McCarthy. Their depth will be tested here, as not only have Arsenal got pace up front with Walcott and the Ox, but also Cazorla in behind them can make some incisions into this defence with his passing.Arsenal have scored at least twice in their last 4 visits to Wigan, with 2 wins and a draw, but given Wigan not being able to field a full strength line up, and having to face an Arsenal side that will go third if they win here, and jump over North London rivals Spurs, then like them to win well again here 48-94 (-28.37)
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Re: A League > 21 - 22 December
Should have buried them with the extra chances they had and were made to pay for their complacency Melbourne Victory @ 2.25 Going with the better side here as the Victory has shown in recent games, that they are hard to stop once they have all their players available. With just one loss in their last 7 games, and scoring at least two goals in 5 of these 7 games, they have the players to score, and though they do concede goals, the Heart are not as productive with just one goal in their last 3 games. If the Victory defence holds, then expect their forwards to get on the score sheet and give them the win here 15-24 (-0.41Central Coast @ 2.05 :( -
Re: A League > 21 - 22 December Central Coast @ 2.05 sportsbet Wellington have lost their las two games to Sydney and Adelaide while Central Coast lead the table as they are playing well and have won their last four games, scoring twice in each of these wins. They have won 3 and drawn the other of their last four road games, with all three wins also seeing them keep a clean sheet. Central Coast have won their last six meetings against Wellington and they also have a very good record in Wellington, having won the last four games there, including a 1-0 win over them last month. Like them to continue to roll along 15-23 (+0.59)
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Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks
Had the lead for most of the game on the back of some very good defence, but then the OL stuffed up and allowed BYU to get in behind them and cause fumbles which led to TDs. Central Florida - Ball State over 66.5 @ 2.60 bet365 Both teams with a balanced offence as Central Florida averaged 222 passing yards and 179 rushing yards per game scoring at least 27 points in 7 of their last 8 games, while Ball State averaged 257 passing yards and 214 rushing yards per game. Ball State scord 30+ points in their last 6 games. However defensively both teams give up yards as UCF allowed 218 passing yards per game and 162 rushing yards per game, and at lest 23 points in their last 4 games, while Ball State allowed 254 passing yards and 206 rushing yards per game, and at least 24 points in 7 of their last 8 games. Two offence minded teams against average defences - seems like some points will be scored here 0-1 (-1.00)San Diego State -2.5 @ 2.70 :( -
Re: NCAAF: Bowl Season Schedule AND Picks San Diego State -2.5 @ 2.70 bet365 With both QB's doubtful for this game, then the focus becomes the running game, and this is where San Diego State has the edge. They have averaged 229 rushing yards per game, and though they face a pretty good BYU rush defence that allows just 84 rushing yards per game. San Diego State beat Boise State on the road 21-19 as they had 105 passing yards (0 TD, 1 INT) and ran for 170 yards against a very good defence while they allowed 164 passing yards (1 TD, 1 INT) and 112 rushing yards. In comparison, BYU lost 7-6 at Boise State earlier in the season, whpo had 145 passing yards and 118 rushing yards while BYU had 61 passing yards (0 TD, 3 INTs) and 140 rushing yards. This was a game that Boise State should have won by a larger margin as they intercepted Nelson three times, recovered two fumbles, missed a 32 yard field goal and had one set of downs on the 3 yard line and could not breach the line. Also, even though they lost 17-14 at Notre Dame, they did allow 274 rushing yards to ND, and San Diego State does have very good rushers in Muema and Kazee. While the BYU defence will keep them in the game, believe San Diego State will wear them down, and especially playing at home, should have a very good crowd to support them.
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Re: Capital One Cup > Leeds United v Chelsea > 19th Dec
48-94 (-28.37)Over 3.5 @ 2.59 :ok -
Re: Capital One Cup > Leeds United v Chelsea > 19th Dec Over 3.5 @ 2.59 pinnacle Having already beaten Southampton 3-0 and Everton 2-1 in the League Cup at home, Leeds will be looking at another prize scalp here. Especially with the history between the two managers, then expect Warnock to fire up his players even more for this clash. Leeds have injury concerns regarding their goalkeeper Ashdown while Peltier and Thomas are also uncertain to play, while Chelsea are still without Terry and Cahill in defence, and their two screeners, Mikel and Ramires are both suspended, so both sides have problems, especially in defence. Given this, would not be surprised there are some goals in this game, as a semi final spot is up for grabs as both sides have been scoring goals of late 47-94 (-29.96)
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Re: NFL: Week 15
Record: 36-80 (-6.20)Tennessee v New York Jets under 32.5 @ 4.20 :ok -
Re: Reading v Arsenal > Mon 17th December
47-94 (-29.96)Arsenal -1.5 @ 2.71 :ok -
Re: NFL: Week 15
Tennessee v New York Jets under 32.5 @ 4.20 sportsbet Tennessee have not done much of late in throwing the ball and against this Jets defence that has allowed 211 passing yards or less in 5 of their last 6 games, then expect them to rely on the ground game. However they have averaged just 99 rushing yards per game in their last 3 games, and with the Jets allowing 129 rushing yards per game in their last 5 games, then like the Titans to have some success running the ball. New York has still have an outside chance of making the playoffs but in order for that to happen, then their passing has to improve. They have only once thrown for more than 180 passing yards in their last 5 games, so they will look to the run game to make it happen, as they have averaged 134 yards in these last 5 games on the ground. Tennessee have allowed 221 passing yards or less and 125 rushing yards or less in their last 4 games, so doubt that the Jets do much on offence. Expect this to be a low scoring game with little between these two sides as they look to grind each other down Record: 35-80 (-9.40)St. Louis Rams v Minnesota Vikings over 50.5 @ 4.35 :D Green Bay -12.5 @ 4.15 :@ Led by 14 points in the third quarter, and had two missed FGs and then threw a lateral after they caught the punt, which they fumbled which Chicago then closed it to 8 points. If they had just caught it and then drove down for a FG they would have won by 14 points. Denver -10.5 @ 4.20 :D Pittsburgh -12.5 @ 4.50 :@ Led by 7 points and then they fumbled the ball which allowed Dallas to equalise -
Re: Reading v Arsenal > Mon 17th December Arsenal -1.5 @ 2.71 pinnacle A win for Arsenal here moves them up three places and will sit just two points off third placed Chelsea. Expect them to bounce back from the disappointment of losing to Bradford during the week as they can now focus on the league for the next couple of months. They should welcome back several of their key players which will bring them to closer to full strength. There were quite a few positives to take out of their 2-0 home win over West Brom and like them to do well against this Reading side that has lost their last five games, and allowed at least three goals in 4 of their last 9 EPL games to teams like Sunderland, Man Utd, Wigan and Fulham. 46-94 (-31.67)
Swansea City v Manchester United > Sun 23rd December
in Premier League Predictions
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Re: Swansea City v Manchester United > Sun 23rd December
A game that should have had a few more goals than the two that they did score 49-103 (-36.30)